MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

Thursday 5/9 system results

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 5-4, +2.52 units

Philly 107 Loss

Dog EFF

2-1, +2.94 units

YTD 20-18, +13.78 units

Minn 141, 2 units WIN

Pitt 106, 2 units Loss

Atl 106, 2 units WIN

System Plays

3-4, -.48 units

YTD 86-87, +21.68 units

Clev 105 WIN

Colo 115 Loss

Minn 141 WIN

Pitt 106 Loss

Tor 133 Loss

Hou 138 Loss

Atl 106 WIN

Do you think we should the filter - dogs going for a sweep - not sure what the record is but I have to imagine that the success rate of dogs going for a sweep in a series is low. It would have eliminated HOU as a play. Thoughts?

"their are many who are interested" good stat DG, it coincides with last nights winning RRL action>

(62.5%) Atlanta Braves +182 RRL  WIN /SFG

(45.5%) Minnesota Twins +220 RRL  WIN /BOS

it has now become excessively clear the dominant factor of the Dog EFF system is the production of the RRL [Dog-EFF/RRL] the results in this thread speak clearly for themselves

the incorporation of RRL data, and it's value; is essential to the progression of the DogEFF system

I think that's a good idea. Although Hou should have won that game.

As far as incorporating the RRL, I think that's a good idea as SN suggested. I usually bet online through the Station casinos and they don't offer it online. On the odds site I use at Vegas Insider they don't show RRL. Anyone know where I can see these lines? If they are incorporated into the spreadsheet, I could grab them from there and post.

Friday 5/10 system plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 5-4, +2.52 units

Atlanta 109

Dog EFF

YTD 20-18, +13.78 units

NYY 105, 2 units

Atl 109, 2 units

System Plays

YTD 86-87, +21.68 units

NYY 105

Atl 109

Clev 174

Mil 130

NYM 102

Min 105

LAA ?

Yes add LAA, I missed it. When I first ran the update I didn't notice no line posted for that game. It has been fixed. Add LAA to the System plays at 11 and also the Dog EFF plays.

 

Nice catch Rommi.

Friday 5/10 system plays (REVISED FOR LAA)

Dog EFF Score

YTD 5-4, +2.52 units

Atlanta 109

Dog EFF

YTD 20-18, +13.78 units

NYY 105, 2 units

Atl 109, 2 units

LAA 114, 2 units

System Plays

YTD 86-87, +21.68 units

NYY 105

Atl 109

Clev 174

Mil 130

NYM 102

Min 105

LAA 114

That LAA game could change. Hanson was the scheduled starter and he will miss the game. This is a no play for now until a starter is announced and lines are updated.

I still can't update or upload any docs to google docs for some reason.

5/10/2013

CLE RRL DOG EFF - .412 (41.2%)

MIN RRL DOG EFF - .478 (47.8%)

ATL RRL DOG EFF - .667 (66.7%)

LAA is a confirmed play.

[Quote: Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn]

[/Quote

Thanks Buckeye - leads me to believe that it is a browser issue - btw - I automated to buddah system for you to track - as soon as I can fix my google docs issues - I will upload it and you can track it for the season - you still down for that right?

I use Google Chrome, and yeah, I'm up for it.  I've been cleaning up my personal spreadsheet to get ready to do this.

I've taken the Dog EFF leans and filtered them through sabermetric handicapping matchups, with an average of  2 plays per day, I began 3 days ago when I noticed the WIN consistency of the RRL; ironically the Dog EFF system, as prescribed, opened the door, and I unified it with my sabermetric dog matchup formulated RRL handicap.....which now stands at 8 consecutive WINS and +32;73units....I think I'll wire DG his end, well done;

btw  two 'books' on-line that are exclusive to MLB wagering, and carry the RRL are> PinnacleSports, and 5dimes, they are listed under "Alternative Lines" if by chance anyone dealing with a book that does not accept RRL bets, this would be a red flag, that you really need to take your action elsewhere..the RRL is set aprx 4 hours after  the opening line is posted to contain balance...all my action goes through LV I seldom use an online service for anything other than soccer, the RRL odds I have posted in this thread  are the closing lines from CantorLV M Resort sportsbook....my best

 

 

I'm just glad I could help you for once Sports Network, you are always helping me - so i'm glad I was able to add some value to your handicapping process.  It's like the saying goes "What gift do you give to a man that has everything" - LOL - you are defintely light years ahead of me when it comes to general capping knowledge.

I do have have a question though if you have the time - I will send it to you via PM.

Cheers

DG

Friday 5/10 results

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 5-5, +1.52 units

Atlanta 109 Loss

Dog EFF

2-1, +2.38 units

YTD 22-19, +16.16 units

NYY 105, 2 units WIN

Atl 109, 2 units Loss

LAA 114, 2 units WIN

System Plays

2-5, -2.81 units

YTD 88-92, +18.87 units

NYY 105 WIN

Atl 109 Loss

Clev 174 Loss

Mil 130 Loss

NYM 102 Loss

Min 105 Loss

LAA 114 WIN

Yesterday's Dog EFF/RRL Results: [filtered handicap*]

<NY Yankees² +182 RRL  WIN>

 

*9-0  100%  ROI +39.45units

Pitt ?

Saturday 5/11 system plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 5-5, +1.52 units

No plays

Dog EFF

YTD 22-19, +16.16 units

Pitts 108, 2 units

System Plays

YTD 88-92, +18.87 units

Pitts 108

ChiSox 100

Minn 101

Atl/SF Under 7 -120

Mia/LAD Under 7 -120 (you could also get 6.5 +110)

Wow, superb stuff here guys. Seems like you've got it dialed in with RRL DOG EFF.

There is a great group of combined minds here producing an incredible product.

This type of effort is what the covers community is all about in my eyes. There is a lack of quality products in general but this thread breeds involvement and collaboration to achieve a goal. This has been proven right here in real time. The process of initiation through a great spreadsheet and continuing to work at filtering and tracking and refining!

Kudos to all involved here, and continued success. Keep it positive and continue to grind it out win or lose, it's worth it to the overall learning experience.

Peace

very square day yesterday with favorites winning 11 out of 15 - and DOG EFF still was profitable, with the other 2 minor setbacks.

With the square day - you know what's coming - dogs gonna be barking. 

DanRules - have you been able to gleen any insights from tracking?  I am thinking there will be some combination of filters that will give us a huge ROI.

At first glance it looks like the more of the systems agree - the better the result

 

Thanks oilcountry for the kind words. Hopefully we can fine tune this and make it better for all.

Degen, yes so far the system plays seem to do better when they qualify for more than 1. Not a lot of plays though and a small sample size. I'll keep an eye on it and report findings every week or so time permitting.

I think SN is on to something with this RRL. I may have to open an account at Cantor just to bet it online since I cannot do so at Stations online app.