Degen, I noticed on the spreadsheet that there might be an error on the 6 hits System. Take SD today for example. When I enter 4 into the hits field they show as a play, enter 6 and it's a no play. The system should be 6 or less, not less than 6. So that would be in your calculations in column K.
Degen, I noticed on the spreadsheet that there might be an error on the 6 hits System. Take SD today for example. When I enter 4 into the hits field they show as a play, enter 6 and it's a no play. The system should be 6 or less, not less than 6. So that would be in your calculations in column K.
Another good catch DanRules.....i'm glad you guys are catching my mistakes - after awhile all the formulas just blend together - so it's great to have antoher set of eyes checking my work.
I also added some highlighting - so if you do enter the # of hits it highlights in yellow - so you don't forget to clear it out the next day.
Uploaded with corrections - same link.
DG
Another good catch DanRules.....i'm glad you guys are catching my mistakes - after awhile all the formulas just blend together - so it's great to have antoher set of eyes checking my work.
I also added some highlighting - so if you do enter the # of hits it highlights in yellow - so you don't forget to clear it out the next day.
Uploaded with corrections - same link.
DG
I checked out the formulas you used and it gave me a headache. Very impressive!
Thursday 4/18 system plays:
Note: Degen - I think the ChiSox should qualify for the 6 hits system as they won yesterday allowing 6 hits and are dogs today entering last game of series. Not showing under this but they are under the MLB dog so still a play.
Milw 109
Balt 116
Pitt 106
ChiSox 100
Tex/Cubs Under 10.5 100
Det/Sea Under 6.5 -110
Thursday 4/18 system plays:
Note: Degen - I think the ChiSox should qualify for the 6 hits system as they won yesterday allowing 6 hits and are dogs today entering last game of series. Not showing under this but they are under the MLB dog so still a play.
Milw 109
Balt 116
Pitt 106
ChiSox 100
Tex/Cubs Under 10.5 100
Det/Sea Under 6.5 -110
DanRules - another great catch! - I need you to test all my spreadsheets to catch my mistakes 
- I was not taking into account 4 game series. I fixed it and uploaded a new version (V5) - you can use the same link.
On a side note - I didn't not consider 2 game series in divisional underdogs - they will be filtered out - unless you thinl they should qualify as well - it does not state it in the system rules - so not sure what to do on that one.
DanRules - another great catch! - I need you to test all my spreadsheets to catch my mistakes - I was not taking into account 4 game series. I fixed it and uploaded a new version (V5) - you can use the same link.
On a side note - I didn't not consider 2 game series in divisional underdogs - they will be filtered out - unless you thinl they should qualify as well - it does not state it in the system rules - so not sure what to do on that one.
I think you should include 2 and 4 game series in the divisional underdogs. A qualified play is a qualified play and the rules do not stipulate series length or just last game of series.
Also, just for tracking purposes, I'm recording the results from each individual system. Some teams qualify for 2 or more systems so I'm tracking these under each system to see if a particular system is stronger or weaker than others. I'll update periodically on these running totals, but my posted totals are for all systems combined.
I think you should include 2 and 4 game series in the divisional underdogs. A qualified play is a qualified play and the rules do not stipulate series length or just last game of series.
Also, just for tracking purposes, I'm recording the results from each individual system. Some teams qualify for 2 or more systems so I'm tracking these under each system to see if a particular system is stronger or weaker than others. I'll update periodically on these running totals, but my posted totals are for all systems combined.
Ok - no problem - added 2 game series to divisional underdog system - uploaded V5 with the update - same link
I am pulling the odds from Vegas Insider. If you take a look at the following links
https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/odds/offshore/
https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/odds/las-vegas/
I am currently using the offshore odds link - you will notice that I can use Pinnacle, 5Dimes, etc - basically whatever you want. I "thought" I was using Pinnacle - but just realized I was using "Sportbook"
Let me know what Odds you want me to use and I'll fix it. Oh and if it's helpful - I can add a column next to odds and populate "opening" odds from Las Vegas Insider - the opening odds are on the 2nd link - so I will have to add another tab and import that link too - but not hard to do if you need it.
DG
Hey Buckeye, on the spreadsheet you need to enter the number of a hits allowed by a winning team the previous game that are undogs the current day. Also, only do this for the last game of a series. Yesterday we had 2 games that fit this - ChiSox and Milw. Both won on Wednesday, allowed 6 hits or less and were dogs on Thurs, the last game of the series.
I should be good to track this until late May. I need to go out of town for my daughter's college graduation. Appreciate the backup help.
Friday 4/19 system plays:
Oak 100
Sea 180
Cubs 104
AZ 108
SD 185
KC/Bos Under 8 Even
Wash/NYM Under 6.5 -110
Interesting that out of the 5 dog systems we still haven't had a game under the low scoring system. Each of the other 4 are all showing a profit.
if we use Pinnacle odds - NYY ends up being a play. Not sure how we handle line movement or odds at different books. Do you think we should take opening odds into consideration.
Then we start factoring in line movement. Maybe we avoid plays with a lot of line movement or if they flip from fav to dogs or dogs to fav?
Not sure...thoughts DanRules....
Yep let's add the NYY as a play at 105.
Not sure how to handle line movement. I guess I'll post when I'm doing my plays for the day and use the lines at that time. I can try and check again about 30 minutes prior to gametime, but I won't always be able to do that. I think if a game is close odds wise, people just need to make their own call. As far as official system plays, I'll count what I would have played at the time I post then add any others we catch before gametime but not remove any that fall out. Afterall, if we can get + odds or even on a team that turns into a fave, I'm good with that.
Open to ideas though. I don't want to make this a nightmare to check. The article said pros use this system and spend a short amount of time each day. lol
Good question. Do most people on here bet offshore? I'm in Vegas so I just bet here. I have only noticed a slight difference in lines but I don't think we are missing any Vegas plays with the lines you have. Just keep it and I'll use the lines from the spreadsheet, not that big a deal.
Was thinking of following the plays today but didn't want to jinx the system.
Saturday 4/20 results:
4-4, +.95 units
YTD 17-18, +3.09
Mets 134 Loss
Tor 102 Loss
Minn 145 WIN
STL 123 WIN
Pitt 127 WIN
Oak 124 Loss
SD 145 Loss
KC/Bos Under 8 -110 WIN
Still no games under the Low Scoring Dog system (should have at least one tomorrow) and the one that has killed us so far is the Division Dogs. The other 3 all have winning records. I happen to like the 2 systems from Tony Stoffo (MLB dog and Top 20 SP under). May have to do some back testing, but not sure how to account for filtering out any top 20 SP at any givien time.
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