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MLB UNDER System

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Posts: 139
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #76
5/11
Only one potential play on unfiltered system. Late game, so watching for now. Invalid if total goes to 8.5.

CIN/SF 8.0U
 
Prospect
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_huskers:

5/11
Only one potential play on unfiltered system. Late game, so watching for now. Invalid if total goes to 8.5.

CIN/SF 8.0U


No plays today. CIN/SF total is holding at 8.5.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #78
Results from 5/10/2017

CLE/TOR: 8.0U -115           LOSS (-1.15u)

PIT/LAD: 7.5U -105          WIN (+1.0u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)

April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 8-7-4 (+0.35u)


Filtered System (13% ROI)

May Actual Plays: 2-2-0 (-0.25u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #79
Plays for 5/12

Unfiltered System


CIN/SF: 7.0U -105
     Valid play at 6.5 or 7.5 also.


DET/LAA: Will be a play if total drops from 8.5 to 8.0. Not there yet.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #80
Potentials for 5/13

CIN/SF: 8.0U
     Looks good. Holding at 8.0.

DET/LAA: 8.0U
     Currently 8.5. Needs 8.0. Late game, so watching.



 
Prospect
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Posted: #81
CIN/SF - no play. Consensus appears to be 8.5 heading into game time.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #82
DET/LAA - no play. Total stayed at 8.5.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #83
Plays for 5/14

Making these early today. Got tons going on today.

Unfiltered System

DET/LAA:  8.0U +100
CIN/SF: 8.0U  -112


Not playing CHC/STL. Total is bouncing between 8.0 and 8.5. Latest trend is 8.5.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #84
Results from 5/14/2017

Unfiltered System
DET/LAA: 8.0U +100          WIN (+1.0u)
CIN/SF: 8.0U -112          LOSS (-1.12u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 10-8-4 (+1.23u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 2-2-0 (-0.25u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #85
Potential Plays for 5/15

Unfiltered
OAK/SEA: 8.0U
     Needs to hold total 8.0, but trending 8.5.

Filtered
CWS/LAA: 8.0U
     Need total 8.0, but currently 8.5. Trending 8.0 though.

Both late games, so waiting them out.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #86
No plays for 5/15.

OAK/SEA is 50-50 split between 8.0 and 8.5.
CWS/LAA is staying 8.5.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #87
Plays for 5/16

Filtered System
MIL/SD: 8.0U -110
     Nelson's ERA is 3.99, so this is a borderline play at 8.0, but total is trending heavily towards 7.5.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #88
Possible Play for 5/17

Filtered System

CWS/LAA: 7.5U
     Total needs to hold 7.5 or less. Gonzalez ERA of 3.83 makes 8.0 invalid, and total is trending that way. Late game, so waiting it out.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_huskers:

Possible Play for 5/17

Filtered System

CWS/LAA: 7.5U
     Total needs to hold 7.5 or less. Gonzalez ERA of 3.83 makes 8.0 invalid, and total is trending that way. Late game, so waiting it out.


No plays for 5/17.
Got a 50-50 split between 7.5 and 8.0 for the CWS/LAA game. The 7.5 does fit the higher ROI filtered system, but I prefer a consensus. Good luck if you're playing it!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #90
Results from 5/16/2017

Filtered and Unfiltered System
MIL/SD: 8.0U -110       PUSH


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 10-8-5 (+1.23u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 2-2-1 (-0.25u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #91
Play for 5/18

Unfiltered System

MIA/LAD: 8.0U -105

 
Prospect
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Posted: #92
Locked in on the MIA/LAD 8.0U play earlier today. Looks like the total jumped to 8.5 on me. Oh well.  Total 8.5 still has a positive ROI for home favorites, so I guess we'll test that out tonight.  Good luck!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #93
Two definite plays on the filtered and unfiltered systems for 5/19.

LAA/NYM: 7.5U
CWS/SEA: 7.5U

Both are plays at 7.5 or 8.0. Waiting to see if I can snag an 8.0. Both are currently at 7.5 +105. Might just take the positive odds.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #94
Plays for 5/19

Filtered and Unfiltered Systems

LAA/NYM: 7.5U +105
CWS/SEA: 7.5U +107
 
Prospect
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Posted: #95
Adding CLE/HOU 8.0U +100 for the unfiltered system. Got the even odds and Morton's 3.97 ERA is so close to 4.00. Worth a shot.

Not a play on the filtered system because Bauer's ERA is over 5.25. I didn't notice that earlier.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #96
Results from 5/18/2017

Unfiltered System
MIA/LAD: 8.0U -105        LOSS (-1.05u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 10-9-5 (+0.18u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 2-2-1 (-0.25u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #97
Results from 5/19/2017

Filtered/Unfiltered System
LAA/NYM: 7.5U +105     WIN (+1.05u)
CWS/SEA: 7.5U +107     WIN (+1.07u)

Unfiltered System Only
CLE/HOU 8.0U +100     PUSH


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 12-9-6 (+2.30u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 4-2-1 (+1.87u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #98
Plays for 5/20

Need to make some early decisions today. I won't be around a computer after this, so I'm only going with the games that are currently meeting the parameters.


Filtered and Unfiltered Systems
ARI/SD: 7.5U -109
     Also a play at 7.0 or 8.0 if the line moves.

Unfiltered System Only
SF/STL: 7.5U  -105
     Total must be 7.5 or less due to Martinez ERA of 3.88. This is very close to a Filtered System play.



Other Possibilities
I'm not playing these because I won't be able to watch, but they could fall into place.

Unfiltered System Only
LAA/NYM:  7.5U
     Total is currently 8.0. Needs 7.5 or less due to Wheeler ERA of 3.76. Total is currently trending towards 7.5.

CWS/SEA:  8.0U
     Total is currently 8.5, but trending towards 8.0. Any total 8.0 or less is a play.

BOS/OAK:  8.0U
     Total is currently 8.5, but trending towards 9.0, so probably unlikely.
 
Veteran
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Posts: 3644
Posted: #99
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 279
Posted: #100
Results from 5/20/2017

Filtered/Unfiltered System
ARI/SD: 7.5U -109 LOSS (-1.09u)

Unfiltered System Only
SF/STL: 7.5U -105 WIN (+1.0u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 13-10-6 (+2.21u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 4-3-1 (+0.78u)
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