OK, I appear to have launched an emotional response. Perhaps, I was tad trite.
You guys even convinced me that I was a touch dismissive and that I should go back and reanalyze the past posts. I was suspicious, but as I said before I believe in sabermetrics and I think it can be profitable in sports wagering. Hell, it has been profitable in sports wagering. I'm already successful with it. I use an approach different from the one that you guys use but I'm always open to new things.
Anyway, I did go back and reread the posts. I don't think you like what I'm going to say. As a matter of fact, I can pretty much predict the reaction. I'm a loser. I'm embarrassing myself. You aren't really here to help me. You don't have to respond to bottom feeders like me, etc. etc. What you won't hear is a direct answer to the legitimate points that I make.
I'm being respectful and logical and directly responding to the issue. You could try doing the same.
This "system" is a complete and total fraud. There might be some success in the formula he uses. There might not be. Through over 2000 posts, its never directly documented. Every attempt that anybody makes to ask direct questions is obfuscated.
He does post games. He posts 100s of games. Perhaps 1000s. But his true results are never documented. He never posts the units that he bets. Only the units that he "won" after the fact. This allows him to routinely be up +14 units after 6-4 days but only down -2 units after 4-6 days. With the ability to determine bet size after the games are played, its no wonder he is up quite a few units on the year.
When people ask him to explain his unit betting strategy, he directs them to post #508, which can be summed up as "Unit management is really important. Be sure you do it..." When people ask him a second time, he says he already did it. When they point out that #508 doesn't actually say anything useful, he starts to call them names. He also tells them to do their own work and that he isn't really here to help them, etc. He tells them he'll send them the units privately. What exactly is the point of having a public forum?????
Why is he here?
He is here to document his method, of course. Yet the process of "documentation" seems to always leave out the most important details.
I haven't seen him try to sell anything...yet. But I suspect the real reason is to eventually sell his picks and say look I earned a zillion dollars in 2009.
I've invested way too much time in this already. But having gone this far, I would like to warn anyone that might possibly stumble across this post. I have no doubt what the next posts will say: A bunch of personal insults of me, claims that I haven't tried hard enough, etc. He might even include a threat to ban me from the forum, because what good is negativity like mine.
What they won't include is any attempt to document an actual unit management strategy....
You can be profitable with sabermetrics sports wagering but you won't win anywhere near 70% of your bets. Anybody telling you otherwise is a con man operating a shell game.
I had high hopes for this thread but I'm sorely disappointed...
09'
Hot Forum Topics
