MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

Looking at some more numbers, system isn't too far gone BUT A+B games should win us 90% of the games right off the bat. A Games should win us 60% also (that's pretty consistant over the years).  53% for A Game winners is too low, way too low. 

Granted, MLB started about a half week later this year, so maybe it's just fine tuning right now.  IDK.  The RPI numbers are not too high or low for the top and bottom teams, our problem is losing teams/.500 are getting high RPI points.

Irage is right, be discriminant. 

What do you guys think about a 4.5 game difference in record to start off with as a filter for May?  They say every system loses eventually, I just don't to start now. 

I still believe this system works and it hasn't had a failed year. If your not adjusting your not winning. This is gambling boys and we have to stay one step ahead of the books.

I agree with B2W, adding a filter is going to reduce our choices and hopefully pick more winners. Lets start looking for filters.

4/20 - (A) Toronto (4) .545 +102 - (V145) - WIN
4/20 - (A) WhiteSox .545 -123 - (H46) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Washington .769 -115 - (H133) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cincinnati .333 -122 - (V64) - WIN
4/20 - (A) St. Louis .750 -124 - (V54) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cleveland .500 -116 - (V85) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Mets .583 -131 (H153) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Boston .333 -110 - (H77) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Tampa Bay .500 -176 - (H43) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Milwaukee .500 -127 - (H75) - LOSS

4/21 - (A) Texas .333 -103 - (V84) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Mets .583 -109 (H153) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Tampa Bay .500 -198 - (H43) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Milwaukee .500 -121 - (H75) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Baltimore .583 +181 (V174) - LOSS

4/22 - (C) Baltimore .533 +158 (V140) - WIN

4/23 - (A) Texas .800 -139 (H132) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) WhiteSox .600 -108 (V203) - WIN

4/24 - (B) Texas .800 -139 (H113) - WIN
4/24 - (B) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/24 - (A) Mets .571 +104 (H138) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Washington .750 -115 (V112) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Cleveland .615 -130 (H104) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Tampa Bay .533 -148 (H109) - WIN

4/25 - (C) St. Louis .667 -144 (V75) - WIN

4/26 - (A) WhiteSox .583 -118 (V78) - LOSS

4/27 - (A) Cleveland .529 +132 (H49) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Seattle .500 +178 (V50) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Atlanta .632 -174 (H69) - WIN
4/27 - (A) San Francisco .532 +104 (H53) - LOSS
4/27 - (B) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Texas .789 -140 (H92) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Mets .579 +149 (V108) - LOSS

I'm chasing Baltimore, San Francisco and I know it's crazy, but C games are 100%, WhiteSox. Technically, I like all these games except for the Mets.

4/28 - (C) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - PENDING
4/28 - (B) San Francisco .532 -159 (H53) - PENDING
4/28 - (B) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - PENDING
4/28 - (B) Texas .789 -160 (H92) - PENDING
4/28 - (B) Mets .579 +128 (V108) - PENDING

Peavy! This would be their LAST chance to win. If they don't, sweep is on the way. Just my two cents. This is by far the best match up they have in the rotation. Lester vs Peavy. Peavy wins IMO.

If BoSox goes crazy again with their bats against Peavy, I may have to think 100 times before fading them.

Hectar lovers ATL!!!  With 3 games left in the series time for a double dip!!!

Neilsy agrees with Hectar

 I didnt realize it was 4 games!! 

On ATL again boys!

Things looking much better today on the B games. Mets behind, but time to get it done, Texas tight, but out front, WhiteSox still have a prayer, but have to close it up in the 9th.

The system still works. Come'on WhiteSox don't fail me now. Great game for Peavy so far.

Well, Im glad the NYM, SF & TEX came through for whoever bet them. I didn't. I'm on a "B" game with ATL tomorrow.  I do have to say though, winning "A" games is so much easier!!

I'm ready for the official RPI start on Monday woohoo!

Don't forget Baltimore with the easy win.

ATL is on a "B" game tomorrow. If you haven't bet ATL lately, let me tell ya that ATL has the most runs scored in the NL and only 4 runs less than TEX and 7 less than BOS.  You should jump on against pit. 

Here's my opinion about baseball....
1. Think elementary when handicapping games/series chases.
2. Pitching matchups mean very little in my book.  The Bullpen will screw it up if your team isn't leading by 3 runs anyway.  Starting pitchers are totally, 100%, completely overated in my book.
3. Think logically. These are all MLB players. They got here for a reason.  They can all hit 95mph fastballs. That means Halladay and the stud Verlander.
4. I personally do not really care about pitching matchups with the RPI, or a straight up game, because, as I learned in Little League, High School & College ball, somehow, we always seemed to get to the pitcher...and remember, we are betting on the better team. 
5. The ML is determined by the starting pitchers. Which, ultimately, will have no bearing on most close games (the better team normally wins, meaning they have a better bullpen).  Close games are usually decided by the bullpen malfunction.

That's my take.  It's how I see it. Played it as baseball player. And bet it as a degenerate.

Now, DON'T SCREW IT UP!!!

 

 

 

 

I'm looking at the RPI right now and I believe it's about exactly where it should be.  I know this sounds crazy and weird, but last year I was worried  about KC, and, WHAMO, they did us under.  Look at SEA, that has me worried..but we don't have to bet them because they are a .500 team.  It's pretty much the same but I do have to say that we are starting ONE series earlier this year compared to last year because MLB started one half week earlier last year.  We will be OK.

B2W very good thinking about baseball. For me you look most adult in your conceptions and system understanding from whole guys in here with theirs systems

Now let me prepare to tomorrow RPI. For me we should start with ATL at game "B" or if you find something interesting we will start ATL "B" and other "A" games. Its my opinion but waiting on your decision and Irage OFFICIAL playes.

Regards guys from sunny Poland

In my opinion, but didn't want to disrupt the RPI, ATL would have been a legit play.  And since they won their "A" game I would have told others to play it again since they won (4 game series). BUT, since I told everyone the RPI starts Monday, I did not write it in stone. 

"ATL" would be only play tomorrow, as a "B" bet.  I believe all other bets won this weekend except the CWS which, none of the plays were official anyway, including ATL. But ATL is official to ME! GL

ATL would be if today they lost right?
Yes whole other games are ended good job

OK guys, tomorrow is the official start to the BETTOR2WIN strategy. The PRE-RPI actually did pretty well with only 1 C game loss that came yesterday. The tracking will be reset tomorrow.

First off we are doing this to help you win, follow the strategy and you will make money. B2W has put a lot of time into this and has tremendous insight. He believes in beating the books and gives this system away for free. A sign of someone that is working for YOU, how many people do you have in your life that are helping you to make money? Other than myself, I have none.

I suggest picking one or two series, don't try to pick them all. Both B2W, GLEF, myself and a couple others offer what we think our the best series plays. Of course if you have a compelling reason to pick a series, please tell us.

We our a community of winners, so please act like one. Winners show respect, winners work together and winners most of all WIN.

Lastly, manage your bankroll, greed is the enemy of every gambler. Take it slow and make smart decisions. A couple of times in the year there are what I call "DOUBLE DIME" plays. These plays you can load up on and give your roll and big bump and will be designated with "DOUBLE DIME" in the title.

I do want to give a special thanks to Superman and Major. Both have created a AWESOME spreadsheets that I recommend you use. If you haven't checked it out, you should.

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101332893

Good luck, guys!

4/20 - (A) Toronto (4) .545 +102 - (V145) - WIN
4/20 - (A) WhiteSox .545 -123 - (H46) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Washington .769 -115 - (H133) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cincinnati .333 -122 - (V64) - WIN
4/20 - (A) St. Louis .750 -124 - (V54) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cleveland .500 -116 - (V85) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Mets .583 -131 (H153) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Boston .333 -110 - (H77) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Tampa Bay .500 -176 - (H43) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Milwaukee .500 -127 - (H75) - LOSS

4/21 - (A) Texas .333 -103 - (V84) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Mets .583 -109 (H153) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Tampa Bay .500 -198 - (H43) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Milwaukee .500 -121 - (H75) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Baltimore .583 +181 (V174) - LOSS

4/22 - (C) Baltimore .533 +158 (V140) - WIN

4/23 - (A) Texas .800 -139 (H132) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) WhiteSox .600 -108 (V203) - WIN

4/24 - (B) Texas .800 -139 (H113) - WIN
4/24 - (B) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/24 - (A) Mets .571 +104 (H138) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Washington .750 -115 (V112) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Cleveland .615 -130 (H104) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Tampa Bay .533 -148 (H109) - WIN

4/25 - (C) St. Louis .667 -144 (V75) - WIN

4/26 - (A) WhiteSox .583 -118 (V78) - LOSS

4/27 - (A) Cleveland .529 +132 (H49) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Seattle .500 +178 (V50) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Atlanta .632 -174 (H69) - WIN
4/27 - (A) San Francisco .532 +104 (H53) - LOSS
4/27 - (B) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Texas .789 -140 (H92) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Mets .579 +149 (V108) - LOSS

4/28 - (C) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - LOSS
4/28 - (B) San Francisco .532 -159 (H53) - WIN
4/28 - (B) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - WIN
4/28 - (B) Texas .789 -160 (H92) - WIN
4/28 - (B) Mets .579 +128 (V108) - WIN

Great recap of pre-RPI season and well pep speech, Irage
As someone said a tone of times:
"Work the system, don't get worked by the system"

GL everyone who play ATL "B" today

Would it be a good strategy to take 2-3 series, and then the second day you could hop on a "B" game and then, if needed, the "C" game. So you take a few series' "A" game, and skip some others to get to the "B" game following a loss.

Murphmanny, not confusing, but Yes I have thot of that before. In reality though, that would be a different system. Wait for a good team to lose the opening game then chase em.

Funny you should mention that. I thought the exact same thing. I think to start I am going to wait for B games, play C games if necessary. One problem with this method is there are weeks when you won't have a B game. I think statistically A games hit higher percentage of games than B and C. Another problem is the juice often increases as the series progresses.

Yeah you're right it would be a different system. However, I won't be playing every A game out there, so if I hit a few A games, the next night I might hop on a B game because it still is part of the system (still meets the RPI, trends, starting pitching, etc). 

ATLANTA