MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

WTF??

Last try!

RPI numbers open up with at the beggining of the season:
HOME: 40-42 (educated decision)
VISITOR: 50

 for the picks see you in in awhile

How does this look?



SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

RELATIVE POWER INDEX (RPI)
The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.
6. Season ends the week of the August 20th.

JUICE
1. This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

2. Pass on games over

WEBPAGES
Matchup = https://www.thespread.com/
Odds Calculator = https://www.sportbet.com/calc/index.asp
Percentage Calculator = https://www.marshu.com/articles/calculate-percent-with-simple-number-percentage-calculator.php




4/16 - Mets .714 <PITCHER> -100 (V182) - PENDING

I agree that home line should be adjusted in the beginning of the season as all teams haven't played each other yet, but how did you determine 50? Based on what I know I would have put the number much higher like 90.

STONG WORK IRAGE!

HAPPY JACKIE ROBINSON DAY EVERYBODY! ALL MLB PLAYERS WILL BE WEARING #42 TODAY. 
Thanks Jackie!!

I dont understand word "juice". Could you explane me what are you calling juice?
Noob question but i dont know that meaning of "juice"

And why are the Dodgers not number 1?

I just want to preface this by saying these are NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS. Here is the next series with RPI applied.



4/16 - Mets .750 T. Hanson -?? (V125) - PENDING
4/16 - WhiteSox .714 P. Humber -?? (H239) - PENDING
4/16 - Washington .778 S. Strasburg -?? (H182) - PENDING
4/16 - Detroit .625 J. Verlander -?? (V228) - PENDING
4/16 - San Diego .222 C. Luebke -?? (V93) - PENDING
4/16 - Oakland .444 B. McCarthy -?? (V188) - PENDING
4/16 - Yankees .500 <PITCHER> -?? (H93) - PENDING
4/16 - Arizona .625 <PITCHER> -?? (H110) - PENDING
4/17 - Tampa Bay .500 J. Niemann -?? (H250) - PENDING
4/17 - Dodgers .590 C. Billingsley -?? (V119) - PENDING
4/17 - Seattle .500 K. Millwood -?? (H122) - PENDING

WOW, if you are asking that question in this forum you shouldn't be betting on games.

Juice is the odds placed each game. For instance.

Baltimore +154 v Toronto -164

This means you have to bet 1.64 to win a 1.00 on Toronto.

With plus juice it works the opposite for every dollar you bet you would win 1.54 for Baltimore.

Plus juice is often referred to as a DOG. Picking DOG's is difficult, but if can they are very profitable.

The reason I answered this question was because last year I believe we had a few good doggies in the RPI, which is why this year, you will see the line listed with the pick.

You see all those teams with 600 and 700 RPI's?  They wont be there in the next week or two. All teams will be between 400 and 600. The top team will be around 540 and the lowest rated will be around 440.

Because SD & PIT are terrible with losing records.

Anyone chasing the Tigers? I'm in bad s**t now. Stopped chasing Sea and Stl but they won. I won't chase Det even if Porcello is on the mound but if they won, I'm gonna f***ing bump my head in the wall literally. Lost "A" and "B" games already but not gutsy to take "C" as I already blew more than 1/4 of my BR.

I pulled the trigger in "C" games for Tor, Phi and Det..... Gotta be in it to win it. A loss on Tor or Phi will suck bad....I mean real bad :(

Try this link!

https://www.bonusbeast.com/what-is-juice-in-sports-betting.php

HAHA
Im from Europe and my english/american is not so good so i dont know a meaning of word "juice". I never bet on MLB so I was thinking its a slang in Baseball.
Plus I cant learn your "juice" system : -150 or +150 maybe Im to stupid BTW Im betting for 2 years so I know "something".

Haha still cant stop laugh at myself for soooo stupid question.

Anyways thanks.

I'm chasing Detroit for the C game.. i'm going to be a nervous wreck during this game haha BOL everyone.

I've learned that you have to be patient!!! Nobody has a gun to your head to make these bets. You can wait for the next game! If they win...move on to the next bet. There will be HUNDREDS of plays with ALL the systems! Be more selective and don't get greedy. If you go on a big winning streak, IMO you should LOWER your bet. Look what happened with TEX @ MIN. We are in the 4th game and if you bet $100 the first, $200 the next and then $400, then you have to bet $770 just to break even! If you started with $1000, you're screwed!

I suggest to bet 1%, if loss, then 1.5%, if loss 3%, if loss 6%

If you started with $1000 you would lose $10, then $15, then $30, then $60. You should be aware of how much you could lose BEFORE you CHASE!!! This keeps you from gettin greedy!!!

f you win, you just subtract the last loss From the WIN. That's you profit. Of course these bets would net you < $5, BUT...A WIN IS A HELL OF A LOT BETTER THAN A LOSS!!! IT KEEPS YOU IN THE BALL GAME!!!

Let's say we lose a 4 game chase, HOPE NOT!, but shit happens!!! It is rare! Look at the records! I would DOUBLE my next STARTING BET ON THE A GAME IN THE NEXT SERIES IN THAT SAME SYSYEM ONLY! $20, $30, $60, $120. Of course, it is always up to YOU!!! If you lose all your $$$, it is YOUR fault!!! BAD MONEY MANAGEMENT!!! DON'T BLAME IT ON B2W, cisco, or ANYONE ELSE!!!

Well said gbpackman.I like your money management thinking.  I don't bet big whatsoever.  I'm kinda a scrooge too. 

Slow down. Long season. 

It's all good, you should preface your questions with the fact that your not from the US or at least put your country in your profile. I'd be more sympathetic to people that aren't familiar with US betting terms.

you guys thinking it would be a good idea to fade the padres (all season long) whenever they start a series against a new team?  This team can't win any games let alone sweep a series.

thoughts?

So all the Teams in bold are the ones that have the correct RPI for the UN- OFFICIAL PLAYS?

Or are you saying that we all the listed ones are UN- OFFICIAL  PLAYS?

Thnaks

JayCut from UK

And the Tigers won lol god damn! I really. Don't know whats up with me this year. This year is perhaps the worst year of my entire life. And btw gbpack, did I blame anyone else? Are u high or something? All I ever said was I wint chase them because I blew my BR but I NEVER put blame on anyone else but me. Get sober buddy before yapping s**t about what I said and process that in your thoughts first.

WHOW WHOW WHOW! EASY CHIEF! Everone just settle down.  This is a no bad mouthing thread.

I hope everyone cleaned their books clocks today!!!

AND!!!!!  What happened to MY AVATAR????  

When I say YOU, YOU know I don't mean YOU PERSONALLY. Every bettor has a bad run. The word YOU means ANYBODY. We have ALL been there! I would say the majority of us have lost a LOT of $$$ on stupid bets! (LOOK WHO'S TALKING!) meaning me! You said you lost a 1/4 of your bankroll. I've been there and I am trying to help you come back! OK?