Kreatture's Playbook 2011

I got in on the Canada-Russia game yesterday.  Even at -1,5, the line was steep, I think -140.  I kept it small, and had to hold my breath until halfway through the 3rd.

I agree that -3,5 is a really steep price in a hockey game, especially when we don't really know how the teams will gel in a short tournament.  A goalie standing on his head can keep any team in any game.  I looked at tonight's games, but had no strong feeling on either of them. 

Nice start to this game for our Under.. we have a lot of room to middle right now as the Live In-Game total just dropped to 43.5

I should probably jump on this right now.. but I'll wait for one more possession and hope they don't score.

I still think this gets to at least 23-20, so if we can get an Over 43 we'll jump for 3%. If you can get 43, take it.

NFL LIVE IN-GAME

New Orleans/Atlanta  Over 41.5 (-120)
3% $354.80 to win $295.67

Get it quick during this commercial

damn, had a rough day! i had a few plays on the side all of which lost



will you have a 2nd half play?

Maybe.. have to see how these last 2 minutes end and what the line will be..

okay awesome i should strictly stick to your plays

I'll address this when I have more time.. like when there's not a great game goin on, LoL.

I imagine you're not the only one who does this.

Let's take a look at the Halftime line now..

okay man, awesome


btw unbelievable i think milwaukee is actually gonna go under! they're really shooting bricks now

Unbelievable, eh?  I wrote that Under off. 

same here, much needed!

uh oh close now

Nothing for the second half?

The 2nd Half Total is at 24.5, which would make the game total 41.5 right now.. and I all ready have an In-Game Live Wager on the Over 41.5, so there's nothing for me to play there.

The side is Atlanta -0.5 at -105 and there is no value there whatsoever to me. I have New Orleans at +9 and +9.5 on the 2 Teasers, and when the Live Wagering opens to start the 2nd Half you should be able to grab Atlanta about +110 if you wanted a middle there. Honestly, I missed a great middle earlier when Atlanta ML was +180 at one point. I didn't grab it then so can't grab it now at the current price.

Milwaukee game might go Under?? No friggin' way, it was on pace for 200 midway through the 3rd.. I haven't looked at the NBA board since.

No 2nd Half play for NFL tonight.

13 points in the 4th.  Craptacular performance by Milwaukee, nice for us.  Salvage something from the game

it went under man!

i think i'm happy to leave the under 50 as it is with no middle

I'm only wagering $3 bets, so it's not really worth middling things right now

What exactly did you play? I didn't play the Total at 50 anywhere.. LoL

I just played the under 50 instead of teasing it with the saints.

I know I need to be stricter and tail your exact plays, and I will adjust. I just loved the under 50 as it was tonight

Pretty damn good game goin on here.. power is flickering, snow comin down.. gonna be so pissed if it goes out and I miss this finish!

Oh fuck Brees.. christ goes from a TD to another pick.. yikes.

GL Kreatture ..enjoy the weather !

I just had a message typed up and then hit refresh on my browser instead of submit.. grrrr.. this has been a great football game I'm completely distracted, HaHa.

The snow sucks neilsy.. I don't mind it when it's light and fluffy, but this stuff with the wind is coming down sideways fast and hard.. power flicking like crazy, 3 times just while writing this paragraph..

The In-game wager hurt tonight, but at least the Saints covered. Will take the Teaser win tonight and then have the Eagles left tomorrow night to still turn a profit in the end from this game.

Colorado scored late to tie it then freakin blows it in OT on a penalty by Budaj.. son of a..

BANKROLL: $12,313.21
OVERALL RECORD: 27-20-2    (57.4%)

INVESTED: $10,714.06
RETURNED: $13,027.27
PROFIT: +$2313.21
ROI %: +17.76%


I thought it was a tough day with some of the lines and I played a couple of things different which ended up not working. Fortunately my strong plays all hit tonight and it was a very nice +$ night once again.
The Pending Teaser has not been included in the new above totals, and will be added or subtracted from Tuesday's plays, after it's completion.

Once again, I know I won a Teaser which also would have won if just parlayed straight up, but I prefer to have the easier cushion. As you'll have noticed, I've yet to actually play a parley here.. and that's because parleys are usually all ready losing wagers before the games even begin.

I've added 23% to the Bankroll now in 1 week+, and it doesn't matter what size your roll began at. Play it as is and you're still up 23%. Maximize your wins, minimize your losses.. and the percentage will continue to rise.

I've been lucky with the power so far, despite the constant flickering. I'd better hit submit before I lose this..

Cheers 

Hopefully you have power to post tomorrow! I better start tailing this 100%

Just because you acknowledge then discredit the idea of parlaying instead teasing doesn't mean it's not a good idea... Trust your instincts, guys like you don't need cushions. 

PS. Thanks for the GSW pick, I had nothing on today's card and needed some action!

Kreatture, I kinda like Sweden -.5  (+115) against Russia.  I found Russia worked hard against Canada, but came up lucky a couple of times. I think the line is an indication of them not getting blown out by Canada, but I have a feeling Sweden will put them away early.

Any thoughts, wisdom, advice?