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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Kreatture's Playbook 2011

    «First Previous 91011 ... 596061 Next Last»
    kreatture
    PhiTau-NOLES
    nolemonasses
    mtp104
    dj_destroyer
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 135458
    Posts: 1504
    «First Previous 91011 ... 596061 Next Last»
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 6:35 PM ET #201

    Just got home guys so picks will be delayed. Everything is finalized and I'll post them shortly. Don't worry, the earliest game is 8pm EST.
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    Just got home guys so picks will be delayed. Everything is finalized and I'll post them shortly. Don't worry, the earliest game is 8pm EST.
     
    PhiTau-NOLES
    PhiTau-NOLES
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 7:23 PM ET #202

    waiting for them

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    waiting for them

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 7:37 PM ET #203

    BANKROLL: $12,935.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 33-23-2    (58.9%)

    INVESTED: $13,029.23
    RETURNED: $15,964.43
    PROFIT: +$2935.20
    ROI %: +22.53%


    NCAAF

    Oklahoma State  -4.5 (-105)
    3% $388.06 to win $369.58


    NHL

    Los Angeles Kings  ML (-120) (OT included)
    3% $388.06 to win $323.38


    NBA

    Phoenix Suns  -5.5 (-105)
    2% $258.70 to win  $246.38


    Reply
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    BANKROLL: $12,935.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 33-23-2    (58.9%)

    INVESTED: $13,029.23
    RETURNED: $15,964.43
    PROFIT: +$2935.20
    ROI %: +22.53%


    NCAAF

    Oklahoma State  -4.5 (-105)
    3% $388.06 to win $369.58


    NHL

    Los Angeles Kings  ML (-120) (OT included)
    3% $388.06 to win $323.38


    NBA

    Phoenix Suns  -5.5 (-105)
    2% $258.70 to win  $246.38


     
    PhiTau-NOLES
    PhiTau-NOLES
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    Posts: 343
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 7:46 PM ET #204

    Like Okst alot..thanks, 
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    Like Okst alot..thanks, 
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 9:27 PM ET #205

    On the OKST game, couldn't you/would'nt you sell a point and get

    -5.5 @ plus odds? I mean, what's the point of -4.5 vs -5.5 in football?

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    On the OKST game, couldn't you/would'nt you sell a point and get

    -5.5 @ plus odds? I mean, what's the point of -4.5 vs -5.5 in football?

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 9:30 PM ET #206

    I like arizona and that defense wouldnt plays big though good luck Kreatture
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    I like arizona and that defense wouldnt plays big though good luck Kreatture
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 11:01 PM ET #207

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    On the OKST game, couldn't you/would'nt you sell a point and get

    -5.5 @ plus odds? I mean, what's the point of -4.5 vs -5.5 in football?



    Because NCAA Football is much different than NFL Football.. extra points are always missed and safeties are more frequent. With high scoring games you see more odd looking scores. I was going to buy this down to 4, but in the end decided to stick with the number.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    On the OKST game, couldn't you/would'nt you sell a point and get

    -5.5 @ plus odds? I mean, what's the point of -4.5 vs -5.5 in football?



    Because NCAA Football is much different than NFL Football.. extra points are always missed and safeties are more frequent. With high scoring games you see more odd looking scores. I was going to buy this down to 4, but in the end decided to stick with the number.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 11:25 PM ET #208

    Pretty pissed at myself tonight.. I actually shredded my NBA card right prior to posting the plays.. I had Denver ML and Lakers -3 and Suns -5.5 .. Didn't like the odd line movement and percentages in the Denver game and decided to toss them all.. then before I hit Submit I said fuck it and scrolled back up and wrote Phoenix back in.. Looks like a 1-2 night on the horizon.. the first losing night I've had over 2%.

    Can't win them all I guess.. altho I sure as hell damn try.
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    Pretty pissed at myself tonight.. I actually shredded my NBA card right prior to posting the plays.. I had Denver ML and Lakers -3 and Suns -5.5 .. Didn't like the odd line movement and percentages in the Denver game and decided to toss them all.. then before I hit Submit I said fuck it and scrolled back up and wrote Phoenix back in.. Looks like a 1-2 night on the horizon.. the first losing night I've had over 2%.

    Can't win them all I guess.. altho I sure as hell damn try.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2010 - 11:49 PM ET #209

    NBA

    Utah Jazz  2nd Half -3 (-110)
    2% $258.70 to win $235.18
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    NBA

    Utah Jazz  2nd Half -3 (-110)
    2% $258.70 to win $235.18
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:30 AM ET #210

    I think I like the Clippers tonight... but I've never understood quarter/half lines -- is the -3 just for the second half or is it for the final score?
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    I think I like the Clippers tonight... but I've never understood quarter/half lines -- is the -3 just for the second half or is it for the final score?
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:48 AM ET #211

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I think I like the Clippers tonight... but I've never understood quarter/half lines -- is the -3 just for the second half or is it for the final score?


    Just for the 2nd Half. They were down 6 at break, so as long as they come back and lose by only 2, or win the game outright, it's a win.

    Looks like an easy winner and Oklahoma State is just finishing up their beatdown on Arizona, so I recovered and just lost the juice tonight. I'm still not very happy about it.. Oklahoma should have been a 5% play and Denver and the Lakers should have been on the card. I'll be glad when the Holidays are over and I get rid of this flu so my head can return to a regular routine.

    I'll just grind til then..
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I think I like the Clippers tonight... but I've never understood quarter/half lines -- is the -3 just for the second half or is it for the final score?


    Just for the 2nd Half. They were down 6 at break, so as long as they come back and lose by only 2, or win the game outright, it's a win.

    Looks like an easy winner and Oklahoma State is just finishing up their beatdown on Arizona, so I recovered and just lost the juice tonight. I'm still not very happy about it.. Oklahoma should have been a 5% play and Denver and the Lakers should have been on the card. I'll be glad when the Holidays are over and I get rid of this flu so my head can return to a regular routine.

    I'll just grind til then..
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:51 AM ET #212

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


    BANKROLL: $12,935.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 33-23-2    (58.9%)

    INVESTED: $13,029.23
    RETURNED: $15,964.43
    PROFIT: +$2935.20
    ROI %: +22.53%


    NCAAF

    Oklahoma State  -4.5 (-105)    
    3% $388.06 to win $369.58


    NHL

    Los Angeles Kings  ML (-120) (OT included)    
    3% $388.06 to win $323.38


    NBA

    Phoenix Suns  -5.5 (-105)    
    2% $258.70 to win  $246.38

    Utah Jazz  2nd Half -3 (-110)    
    2% $258.70 to win $235.18


    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


    BANKROLL: $12,935.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 33-23-2    (58.9%)

    INVESTED: $13,029.23
    RETURNED: $15,964.43
    PROFIT: +$2935.20
    ROI %: +22.53%


    NCAAF

    Oklahoma State  -4.5 (-105)    
    3% $388.06 to win $369.58


    NHL

    Los Angeles Kings  ML (-120) (OT included)    
    3% $388.06 to win $323.38


    NBA

    Phoenix Suns  -5.5 (-105)    
    2% $258.70 to win  $246.38

    Utah Jazz  2nd Half -3 (-110)    
    2% $258.70 to win $235.18


     
    butta01
    butta01
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    Posts: 2256
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:51 AM ET #213

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    Just for the 2nd Half. They were down 6 at break, so as long as they come back and lose by only 2, or win the game outright, it's a win.

    Looks like an easy winner and Oklahoma State is just finishing up their beatdown on Arizona, so I recovered and just lost the juice tonight. I'm still not very happy about it.. Oklahoma should have been a 5% play and Denver and the Lakers should have been on the card. I'll be glad when the Holidays are over and I get rid of this flu so my head can return to a regular routine.

    I'll just grind til then..

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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    Just for the 2nd Half. They were down 6 at break, so as long as they come back and lose by only 2, or win the game outright, it's a win.

    Looks like an easy winner and Oklahoma State is just finishing up their beatdown on Arizona, so I recovered and just lost the juice tonight. I'm still not very happy about it.. Oklahoma should have been a 5% play and Denver and the Lakers should have been on the card. I'll be glad when the Holidays are over and I get rid of this flu so my head can return to a regular routine.

    I'll just grind til then..

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:54 AM ET #214

    BANKROLL: $12,893.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 35-25-2    (58.3%)

    INVESTED: $14322.75
    RETURNED: $17215.95
    PROFIT: +$2893.20
    ROI %: +20.20%
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    BANKROLL: $12,893.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 35-25-2    (58.3%)

    INVESTED: $14322.75
    RETURNED: $17215.95
    PROFIT: +$2893.20
    ROI %: +20.20%
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:12 AM ET #215

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I think I like the Clippers tonight...


    That's why you're the basketball guy!
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I think I like the Clippers tonight...


    That's why you're the basketball guy!
     
    PhiTau-NOLES
    PhiTau-NOLES
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:18 AM ET #216

    darn wish I would have seen the Utah halft time play, instead I played Memphis at the half only to see them blow it against Sac.
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    darn wish I would have seen the Utah halft time play, instead I played Memphis at the half only to see them blow it against Sac.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 11:56 AM ET #217

    BANKROLL: $12,893.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 35-25-2    (58.3%)

    INVESTED: $14322.75
    RETURNED: $17215.95
    PROFIT: +$2893.20
    ROI %: +20.20%

    I've seen enough in the World Juniors by now so we're jumping in today. There's a dominant Sweden going today and a pissed off Russian squad who have yet to win a game (0-2) and will surely have no compassion (like the Canadians last night) to let their foot off the gas. Cuz that's how Russians are..

    Pinnacle isn't offering ML's on these 3 games (pretty smart) but Intertops is, and I'm going to take advantage of it and get the juice I lost last night back. I can't see Sweden being upset here. I have a tremendous track record with International Hockey, including World Juniors, Worlds, and Olympics. I imagine most people will skip this one, but I'll take the $100. First game is 3pm ET.

    U20 WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIP

    Parley  (-513)

    Sweden  ML (-625)

    USA  ML (-5000)

    Russia  ML (-10000)

    5% $644.66 to win $125.66

     

    Russia  -5.5 (-125)

    2% $257.86 to win $206.29

    We'll take a shot with the Russians, as well, who like I said have been pushed around thus far and will likely want to run up the scoreboard as high as possible.

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    BANKROLL: $12,893.20
    OVERALL RECORD: 35-25-2    (58.3%)

    INVESTED: $14322.75
    RETURNED: $17215.95
    PROFIT: +$2893.20
    ROI %: +20.20%

    I've seen enough in the World Juniors by now so we're jumping in today. There's a dominant Sweden going today and a pissed off Russian squad who have yet to win a game (0-2) and will surely have no compassion (like the Canadians last night) to let their foot off the gas. Cuz that's how Russians are..

    Pinnacle isn't offering ML's on these 3 games (pretty smart) but Intertops is, and I'm going to take advantage of it and get the juice I lost last night back. I can't see Sweden being upset here. I have a tremendous track record with International Hockey, including World Juniors, Worlds, and Olympics. I imagine most people will skip this one, but I'll take the $100. First game is 3pm ET.

    U20 WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIP

    Parley  (-513)

    Sweden  ML (-625)

    USA  ML (-5000)

    Russia  ML (-10000)

    5% $644.66 to win $125.66

     

    Russia  -5.5 (-125)

    2% $257.86 to win $206.29

    We'll take a shot with the Russians, as well, who like I said have been pushed around thus far and will likely want to run up the scoreboard as high as possible.

     
    alldayinvestor
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:43 PM ET #218

    You must be a privileged customer there at Intertops?  The max play for a new guy with them is $275 for that 3 team parlay. 
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    You must be a privileged customer there at Intertops?  The max play for a new guy with them is $275 for that 3 team parlay. 
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:43 PM ET #219

    Locking the NBA plays in now, before I 2nd guess myself last minute like last night. Unlike NHL, there's really nothing to wait around all day for with NBA games. They're pretty clear about who's out and who's starting, and I'm done my work on them.

    NBA

    San Antonio Spurs  -3 (-105)

    3% $386.80 to win $368.38

    Utah/Portland  Under 188 (-103)

    1% $128.93 to win $$125.17

     

    Nothing currently standing out on the NHL board for tonight. Will move on to college.

    Cheers 

     

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    Locking the NBA plays in now, before I 2nd guess myself last minute like last night. Unlike NHL, there's really nothing to wait around all day for with NBA games. They're pretty clear about who's out and who's starting, and I'm done my work on them.

    NBA

    San Antonio Spurs  -3 (-105)

    3% $386.80 to win $368.38

    Utah/Portland  Under 188 (-103)

    1% $128.93 to win $$125.17

     

    Nothing currently standing out on the NHL board for tonight. Will move on to college.

    Cheers 

     

     
    Spitfire15
    Spitfire15
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 12:47 PM ET #220

    World Juniors


    Keep an eye on the over/unders.... every year there are some gifts being handed out.  I'm surprised your book would allow a bet of over $500 on the Jr's though.  Care to tell us where you play?  Thanks.  Very intriguing thread.
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    World Juniors


    Keep an eye on the over/unders.... every year there are some gifts being handed out.  I'm surprised your book would allow a bet of over $500 on the Jr's though.  Care to tell us where you play?  Thanks.  Very intriguing thread.
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:01 PM ET #221

    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

    You must be a privileged customer there at Intertops?  The max play for a new guy with them is $275 for that 3 team parlay. 

    Yes, I had to call it in. I call in a few wagers when there are afternoon games and I'm not home or in front of a computer, cuz they lack a mobile app.

    I have been with them for a few years now and have rolled over their bonus system almost to the max they have listed. I've asked them what they will do for me after that and they said to ask them again when I've reached it, LoL.

    I think it said $325 earlier when I tried to do it online. If the only thing you can do is $275 then I guess that will still get you about $50.

    Like I said before, I really like Intertops as a Book. I've never had any problems with them and they've always treated me good. I added Pinnacle because the lines are usually better by 5-10cents. I discontinued 5Dimes cuz I really didn't care for them, and they brought nothing to the table over Pinnacle. The only thing I don't like about Intertops is their lack of NHL Regulation Lines. And I still actually prefer the Live Wagering there.

    Intertops is actually still listed on the front page of Covers here in the top right under Covers Recommended Top Sportsbooks. It's at #8.

    Cheers 

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    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

    You must be a privileged customer there at Intertops?  The max play for a new guy with them is $275 for that 3 team parlay. 

    Yes, I had to call it in. I call in a few wagers when there are afternoon games and I'm not home or in front of a computer, cuz they lack a mobile app.

    I have been with them for a few years now and have rolled over their bonus system almost to the max they have listed. I've asked them what they will do for me after that and they said to ask them again when I've reached it, LoL.

    I think it said $325 earlier when I tried to do it online. If the only thing you can do is $275 then I guess that will still get you about $50.

    Like I said before, I really like Intertops as a Book. I've never had any problems with them and they've always treated me good. I added Pinnacle because the lines are usually better by 5-10cents. I discontinued 5Dimes cuz I really didn't care for them, and they brought nothing to the table over Pinnacle. The only thing I don't like about Intertops is their lack of NHL Regulation Lines. And I still actually prefer the Live Wagering there.

    Intertops is actually still listed on the front page of Covers here in the top right under Covers Recommended Top Sportsbooks. It's at #8.

    Cheers 

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:06 PM ET #222

    Also, Intertops does have low max bets overnight and sometimes well into the day. Those restrictions are always lifted by late afternoon if you ever encounter the problem again.
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    Also, Intertops does have low max bets overnight and sometimes well into the day. Those restrictions are always lifted by late afternoon if you ever encounter the problem again.
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:08 PM ET #223

    It doesn't look like you did these hoops plays on Intertops, the juice is way off.  These are with Pinnacle then?
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    It doesn't look like you did these hoops plays on Intertops, the juice is way off.  These are with Pinnacle then?
     
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:11 PM ET #224

    Thanks for the info, Kreatture.
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    Thanks for the info, Kreatture.
     
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2010 - 1:45 PM ET #225

    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    It doesn't look like you did these hoops plays on Intertops, the juice is way off.  These are with Pinnacle then?

    Correct. Intertops pretty much offers straight -110 odds on spreads. Pinnacle offers pretty much -105 on spread odds, and then moves the lines according to action and other variables.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    It doesn't look like you did these hoops plays on Intertops, the juice is way off.  These are with Pinnacle then?

    Correct. Intertops pretty much offers straight -110 odds on spreads. Pinnacle offers pretty much -105 on spread odds, and then moves the lines according to action and other variables.

     

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