Kreatture's Playbook 2011

I can't say I don't like this 'New Evolution' tagline, it's catchy and it allows us like-minded people to band together behind one central cause: change the sports betting industry forever. No more locks, no more shady marketing, no more slimy tactics, and most of all, no more losing! It's an evolution and you're either with us or against us. I believe in Parker almost as much as I believe in myself and would consider myself privileged to sit atop the sports betting world with him. I invite you all to join us because if we aim high, chances are you won't be disappointed! 

It's a New Year and a New Evolution.

Hallelujah!  I believe!

BANKROLL: $11,577.19
OVERALL RECORD: 18-12-2    (60%)

INVESTED: $6272.29
RETURNED: $7849.48
PROFIT: +$1577.19
ROI %: +25.15%


NFL

Baltimore Ravens  -3.5 (-110)
3% $347.32 to win $315.75

New York Jets  ML (+125)
3% $347.32 to win $434.15

Indianapolis Colts  -2.5 (-110)
5% $578.86 to win $526.24

TEASER
New England Patriots  -0.5
New York Jets  +9.5
Baltimore Ravens  +3.5
San Diego Chargers  -1
Indianapolis Colts  +4.5          (+350)
3% $347.32 to win $1215.62

I hope your colts pick isnt influenced by a touch of homerism. That game is scary to back either team. Surprised you took it.

GL today.

Kreatture I hate to say this but I like Cleveland and Chicago both teams are good at home and I cant seem them both losing today.  Chicago seems to be a pretty strong play and so could Cleveland.  know Baltimore and New York need a win but I believe this is Cleveland last home game which means they will play really well and Chicago is playing for a bye and home field advantage.  Just my two sense. I wont get into the Oakland game Good Luck

GO BLUE!!!

I love my Colts.. but I love my money more. I haven't always backed them this season and I can separate emotion from reality. In my opinion, this is the strongest play on the board today.

There will be NHL picks later. Currently like 2 games but will wait for goaltender announcements.

Enjoy your Boxing Day!

BANKROLL: $11,577.19
OVERALL RECORD: 18-12-2    (60%)

INVESTED: $6272.29
RETURNED: $7849.48
PROFIT: +$1577.19
ROI %: +25.15%


NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  -0.5 (-103) (regulation)
2% $231.54 to win $224.80

Chicago Blackhawks  TT Over 3 (-103)
2% $231.54 to win $224.80

Pittsburgh Penguins  TT Over 3 (+103)
2% $231.54 to win $238.49


NBA

Denver Nuggets  -3.5 (-105)
1% $115.77 to win $110.26


San Diego 6 minutes away from being eliminated.. who would have thunk it. Messed up the Teaser!

Way to grind, kreatture. 

That teaser would have been nice, but if you think about it, NYJ was the only place where the extra points helped. Take the same teams on a parlay and it pays SO much more... Also, round robin'ing could be useful (3x5 would have profited).

Or even better, avoid junk bets all together. 

BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


Was another profitable and fun day, really enjoyed the NFL games, except San Diego. The Teaser would have normally been just a 1% play but I really liked all 5 games so took a shot.

I see the Eastern US is getting slammed by snow right now and I guess it's heading here tonight.. supposed to be 8 inches by morning then turn to freezing rain, so if I'm not around it's cuz I've lost power. Otherwise, it'll be business as usual.

I may post some plays tonight if the lines are released soon. I'm looking at 2 NHL games and 1 NBA game.

Cheers  

BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


NBA

Golden State Warriors  -4 (-102)
3% $354.80 to win $347.84

East coast teams who leave Denver and travel even further out West aren't in a favorable situation. Throw in the fact this is a back-to-back and Philadelphia is a horrible road team, we'll jump on this one early.

I like Columbus in the NHL, but the line is higher than I am willing to pay. No line for Detroit/Colorado yet, but I'll be jumping on the Avs if a good line comes out.

Cheers 

an informative thread, very good insight into handicapping skills, and unit managment technique. way above this forum...

good job Kreatture, may you prosper always...New Evolution

Later....

 

Been lurking around here for about a month now looking for a way to improve my picking. I think i can learn alot here. Looks like this thread may be a good start.

I have been poking around quite a few months.  Kreatture and DJ are by far the best I have found.

There's some really strange lines around the Leagues tonight.. tryin to figure out what the Books know we know, that we know what they know, that they know we know we know..

Yep. That's right.

Final card up very shortly.

Line for Golden State is now down to -2.5.  The way it is going it might be a pick by game time...liked it at -4, loving it if it becomes a pick.

Good luck tonight kreatture.

 

 hate that the GSW line dropped bought it at 4..definitely like GSW

BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


NBA

Golden State Warriors  -4 (-102)
3% $354.80 to win $347.84


Milwaukee Bucks  ML (-134)
1% $118.27 to win $88.26


Atlanta/Milwaukee  Under 179.5 (-111)
1% $118.27 to win $106.55



NHL

New York Islanders  +0.5 (+119) (regulation)
1% $118.27 to win $140.74

Colorado Avalanche  ML (-113) (OT included)
1% $118.27 to win $104.66

Los Angeles Kings  ML (+140) (OT included)
2% $236.54 to win $331.16

Los Angeles Kings  1st Period +0.5 (-172)
2% $236.54 to win $137.52


NFL

TEASER
New Orleans  +9.5
New Orleans/Atlanta  Under 56  (-130)
3% $354.80 to win $272.92

Kreatture, I'm curious what you think about wagering on the World Junior tourney.  Is there any value to be found there?

Have been watching the teams and lines.. missed the Canada/Russia cutoff time the other day. Have not seen anything I really like yet. ML's are usually too high and not a big fan of having to play multi-goal spreads (-3.5, -4.5, etc.)

There will be a few WJC picks this week and next, just nothing yet.

It's been announced Favre won't be starting tomorrow night so I imagine the Eagles line will jump tomorrow sometime. As far as the game is concerned, it doesn't matter who is starting for Minnesota, but it does matter for what line you want to get. It's currently -14 at some places but Pinnacle still has it at -13.5
They are a have point worse on the Saints tonight (than Intertops is), but I'd rather have the extra half with Philly tomorrow.
This is too much value to pass up in my opinion and I don't like to leave money on the table when it's just lying there ready to be stolen..

NFL

New Orleans  +9
Philadelphia  -6.5     (-130)
5% $591.34 to win $454.88

That is a 7-pt Teaser, btw.. I know most of you are smart enough to have figured that out.

Good luck with it, it does look tasty. 

I'm a Viking fan and don't see how in the world they stay within a TD tomorrow. 

total is up another point in the saints game