For Fun - Anything but favorite win by 1 run chase

Ah sorry I meant -1.5 LOL

 

I think that if you added a 3rd game to this chase,,  i.e  bet something like 4% of your roll 1st game ..16% 2nd game and 80% 3rd game you would would have a very good chance to go the whole season without 3 losses in a row. As i am doing it with only 2 games.. my profit will be more , however I also think it is fairly likely i will bust. ..I have also considered ways to apply something like this to other sports.. i think there are far to many 1 goal games to use this in hockey.. but I think for football and basket ball you could manipulate your bet size to similate this.. i.e .. NBA ..i haven't looked at how the numbers would be ..but lets just say for example... you had a  dog paying +240 .. and  a spread of 6 .. if you put  $60 on the fave to cover .and $40 on the dog +240 ..as long as the fave didn't win by 1-6 points you would have a profit ..I have  done no research yet.. but it seems to me that 6 points in a game where 200 or so  on average are scored..would be similar to 1 run in a game where 10-15 runs are scored..just brainstorming. .what ultimately i want to find is something to apply to all sports year round .have a few other ideas i am testing to ..

you may have something there n. does a -6 spread equate to a +240 ML?

Nielsy, I have an idea about how to avoid the 1-run favorites if you want to PM me.

I have played this strategy about 5 times so far this week and I have not lost yet (I really shouldnt talk about it lest my luck be ended) but it seems like a great system.

What is your total up to now on this system from the original $500 you put in?

Hey Keldrin .. i am up to 650 or so ..haven't had much time to keep this going lately as i was in Florida for 10 days..and tommorow going to Atlantic City for the long weekend ..( i bet on Partybets..and they do not allow me to log in from the US) ..when i get back i am going to get back into it..and also another system i have been working on..gl

I've bet these types in the past and had a lot of success but I never chased and so the one time I lost, I just stopped doing them and quit while I was ahead.

Now that I've seen some data and research concerning it, I might give it another shot in favourable circumstances.

GL

Overall this system is working pretty well for me in the past few weeks. I have only lost once (which unfortunately means I need to win about 5-7 times to make that money back, but I am still about +2.5 units over at this point. As long as I stay above 0 I am going to continue playing this.

Ugg, this system killed me.

Lost 3 in a row, I am done with it.

ya.. I saw the writing on the wall..and quit while i was ahead.. statistically it was going to lose sooner or later..