For Fun - Anything but favorite win by 1 run chase

i am a retard,,,,its been 5 days..

5 days down.....145 to go !!!

been on vacation in Florida...got a few games in ..not many...currently my roll is up to 606.89

made a slight change..front loading the first bet a little more.. 20% of roll..with 2nd game being 80%

tonite

Jays +129   60.69 to win 78.29

Red sox by 2   +134  60.69 to win 81.32

assumimg Boston stays ahead by 2

starting roll :$500

current roll :$627.52

game 1 record 8-1

game 2 record 1-0

next play

Dodgers +142   $62.75 to win  $89.11

D-Backs by 2  $62.75 to win   $72.16

starting roll  $500

current roll   $653.88

game 1 record   9-1

game 2 record  1-0

Early play

White Sox  +121  $65.39 to win  $79.12

Twins by 2   +142  $65.39 to win $92.85

going to bet number 2 for a 2nd time !

A's +123   $261.55 to win $321.71

Rangers by 2 +137   $261.55 to win $358.32

and the chase lives

game 1 record  9-2

game 2 record 2-0

starting roll $500

current roll $619.87

Excuse me if I get it wrong, but do you actually realize, that

when you betting

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White Sox  +121  $65.39 to win  $79.12

Twins by 2   +142  $65.39 to win $92.85

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You betting $130.78 to win either 92.85 or $79.12

It's a guarantee loss.

Your ratio is too low for those bets

For example today I bet on Demo on STL - Huston

STL (-1.5) 1.75

Huston 3.3

STL $1000 * 1.75  = $1750

Huston $500 * 3.3 =$1650

So? I m betting on both, total bet $1500 to win $1650 or $1750

(or lose if dirrerence only in 1 run)

You should have total ratio more than 4.. To be in profit

For example betting $100 on one team and $100 on the Other

you now nee more than 200 to cover bets only so that 2.0 and 2.0

will be Even and if you have like 2.5 and 1.7 you are in profit with whateever is over 4 in that example 0.2 is yours.

Sorry I don't played much with American Betting -110 + 150

I'm into simple Decimal coefficients

Much easier

1.5 means just that you have $50 on top of your $100

2.0 double. I guess some like to complecate things...

So tell me how your bets are profitable if you getting less than

you betting each time?

Thank you.

Like:

Jays +129   60.69 to win 78.29  ($138.98 including initial bet)

Red sox by 2   +134  60.69 to win 81.32 ($142.01 including initial bet)

===

That's what I miss,.. Sorry, disregard previoius message then..

Let's say in easy term. you are making about 10% of the

bet or so.. If you lose ones you need x 10 next time to cover loss

If you bet $5 

5$ lose than $50 and if lose again then $500

Can you get less than 2 runs 3 Game in the row? Probably

Anyboydy who has stats can help us here.. Possible? 3 picks in

the row with less than 2 runs? Depends on the picks I guess.

2 picks in a row with the favorite winning by 1 run = 2.8%

3 picks in a row with the favorite winning by 1 run = less than 1/2 of 1%  (about 5 times out of a thousand trials)

When you say that the favorite wins by 1 twice in a row only 2% of time, is that the same favorite team vs the same dog?

btw, does anyone know if this works for hockey as well? I suspect not but I would be interested to know.

Looks like a good system to very slowly but consistenly build profit.

keldrin, it's just the odds of your picking two straight games where the favorite wins by 1-run. Doesn't have anything to do with the same teams. It is a terrific way to consistently build profit but takes discipline and time.

Well it is interesting. We'll see how it goes.

I bet Dodgers ML = +125 and Padres +1.5 = +155

SD playing SF today.  SD +155    SF RL (-1.5) +135

Is this what you played? That would be the correct way to do it. Or did you play tomorrow's game already because I don't see any odds yet for that game.  And if you can get LAD +125 ML and SD +155 (+1.5) Bet your house and your neighbor's house at those odds since you can't lose. And give me the name of your bookie.