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Destroy the Books! *Double your Bankroll*

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Posted: #601
Series Length:
Streak Length:
Loss Probability:
Streak Probability:
 
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Posted: #602
 
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Posted: #603
and just to let you all know, what kind of "professional" you have here, while he kept it clean in his thread..(for marketing purposes I assume), he was in my thread calling me a "deplorable little person" ..among other things..which i guess is OK, as he never gets to say things like that in real life..  all that is left is for the genius to come and explain how his math was off by a bit..well by 52% to be exact..then we can call an end to this nonsense.
 
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Posted: #604

GL dj with with your future plans, dreams, etc...  - if you stick to it and stay away from the Locks and GOY and all that garbage you should do fine... you are proving that here

Merry Christmas and wish you continued success. 

Looking forward to seeing this thread to completion and really stoked about your upcoming one.

 
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Posted: #605
Yes, I fully took into account that you're playing -220 odds...

Your probability of winning on a -220 bet is 68.75% (not 76%) so the probability of losing is 31.25% Put that in decimal form, then to the power of 3 and you get 3.05%

In the first step, you can see that I showed this calculation. The rest of my calculations thus hold true.

Now, I was wrong to sink to your level and insult you personally but you started it so I'm not sorry. I will take head in the future because you're right, a professional cannot be doing such things.

As for your "streak calculator", I don't care... but I would suggest doing your own calculations because if you honestly think you can make money chasing then you're a lost cause. According to your calculator, if you bump it up to a 5-game chase, it spits out less than 1 percent -- Why not do this as it is better than 17%? If you're willing to chase a little, why not chase a lot?

Anyways, I'm done beating the dead horse. If you think your system isn't going to be like every other chase system you've run on this website then so be it. And If I didn't have bigger plans, I'd challenge you like I challenged Supereagle but I do so I'll stick to my methods/threads and you stick to yours.
 
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Posted: #606
Thanks aerojackel, Merry Christmas to you as well. 
 
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Posted: #607

1) .sink to my level and insult me personally, you did that first.. i.e..deplorable little person..etc..that was you..not me..reread your post

2) so your arrogance even transcends that streak calculator.it is not mine..it is on a pretty well known sports forum but of course it is wrong  and you are right..somebody better let that site know thas their streak calculator is off by a whopping 52% .because DJ says so...

your arrogant, know it all,condescedning attitude will get you kow where in life kid..sooner you learn that..the better...once you finish school and move from mommys basement to the real world you will realize that...

i stick to my first claim that started all this..you are delusional if you think your record here warrants anyone actually paying you for picks..

 
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Posted: #608
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

 I'll stick to my methods/threads and you stick to yours.
 
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Posted: #609
Whoa.. shit.. I guess THIS should have been the first thread I read tonight.. WTF IS GOIN ON ROUND HERE TONIGHT!?!?!

I won $70 playing crib tonight, playin $10 a head.. that's some serious ROI!!!! Ya'll should pay me to play crib for you.. you buy the beer of course! 


Have a good Christmas you guys.. let's fight next week. I'll be much sober.. er.. by then!!


 
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Posted: #610
so DJ .just so i am clear..your math is right..while the streak calculator on SBR forum is wrong ?..correct ?..is that really what you are saying ?..or is it you just cant admit your wrong..?
 
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Posted: #611
i mean cos really..if a streak calculator on a major sports forum, was off by 52% .thats kinda big..i think probably it would have been noticed by someone by now...unless of course. nobody on that forum is as smart as you either...that must be it.
 
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Posted: #612

 
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Posted: #613
Their Kelly Calculator was wrong up until 9 months ago when I told them about it... Unfortunately I don't have documentation of that because I switched emails but they were calculating simultaneous events as independent events... so you can't trust everything you read.

And because I don't think I'm always right and I'm very open to learning, I told two other legit forums about our debate. All in all, no one could find anything wrong with my math but they did find something wrong with your loss probability.

Like I said, I'm done arguing with you because I don't care anymore. I think it's best summed up by member at one of those other forums:

"The real mystery to me is why you even bother with this stuff. You're sharp enough to know that all these chase/progression systems are complete nonsense."

I apologize for personally insulting you (it was very unbecoming) but I stand by what I say concerning your system, now please, stay out of my thread.
 
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Posted: #614
in other words..you were wrong..understood.. gl. out.
 
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Posted: #615
No idea how you inferred what you did but you clearly misunderstood... Please reread that last statement word for word, not "in other words". No reply is necessary. 
 
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Posted: #616

i guess these other 2 streak calculators i found.which show the same results are wrong as well.cos you couldnt be..right ?

https://www.uksportsdata.com/scalp/streaks.php

https://www.beatingbonuses.com/calc_streak.htm

 

the one good thing that came from all your math..if it is even right. is knowing my system is even better then i thought, since the chance of 4 wins in a row is far greater than 4 losses. (when you put in the proper streak odds)..so thanks for that at least..now i am done..

 

 
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Posted: #617
i've fallen off the rails since you've stopped posting
 
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Posted: #618
i lost my ass today
 
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Posted: #619
same here, miss you DJ!
 
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Posted: #620
It's time for the piss-ants to disappear.. I don't care if you're not ready yet DJ.. it's time to grow up fast.
 
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Posted: #621
I'm with you kreatture; I'm done playing games, I'm done trying to show others the light, I'm done with the shitty tout industry... This is our year and we're taking it by storm. Plays will be posted by morning. 
 
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Posted: #622
I'm goin to grab a bite to eat.. but there will be a new thread started before daylight.. and I know you'll be the 1st to respond.

I feel bad for the 2nd person to respond.. and the 3rd..

My regular thread will continue.. as I'm sure Dj's will here.. we both actually have the ability to multi-task....

The New Evolution begins at dawn..
 
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Posted: #623
Record: 182-184-23
Bankroll: $8300.01
Wagered: $79966.96
Returned: $83267.06
Net: +$3300.10
ROI: +4.13%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Penguins/Senators U5.5 [-109] 2% -166.00 to win 152.29

Mechelen 'pk' [-200] 5% -415.01 to win 207.50
Blackburn/Stoke U2.5 [-139] 3% -249.00 to win 179.14
Bolton/West Brom O2.5 [-111] 3% -249.00 to win 224.32
Cercle Brugge 'pk' [+114] 3% -249.00 to win 283.86
Blackpool +0.5 [+129] 2% -166.00 to win 214.14
 
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Posted: #624
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

 
Record: 182-184-23
Net: +$3300.10
ROI: +4.13%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Penguins/Senators U5.5 [-109] 2% -166.00 to win 152.29 

Mechelen 'pk' [-200] 5% -415.01 to win 207.50 CANCELLED
Blackburn/Stoke U2.5 [-139] 3% -249.00 to win 179.14 
Bolton/West Brom O2.5 [-111] 3% -249.00 to win 224.32 
Cercle Brugge 'pk' [+114] 3% -249.00 to win 283.86 
Blackpool +0.5 [+129] 2% -166.00 to win 214.14 CANCELLED


Record: 185-185-23
Bankroll: $8666.39
Wagered: $80879.96
Returned: $84546.35
Net: +$3666.39
ROI: +4.53%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

NO PLAYS
 
 
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Posted: #625
love you dj! is that no plays for tomorrow?
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