Destroy the Books! *Double your Bankroll*

Betting against Barcelona

But hey scared money don't make money right :D

They truly are in another league... 

Record: 172-177-22
Bankroll: $7751.26
Wagered: $75756.30
Returned: $78507.56
Net: +$2751.26
ROI: +3.63%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Wild [-117] 3% -232.54 to win 198.75

Thrashers/Leafs O5.5 [-109] 3% -232.54 to win 213.34

Thrashers [-111] 2% -155.03 to win 139.67

Thrashers -1.5 [+256] 1% -77.51 to win 198.43

Some good reads:

Expected Value vs. Expected Growth
Maximizing Expected Growth
Bayesian Theory

  BOL on the thrashers tmrw!

Nice win on the Thrashers game bud! I'll look forward to reading those articles tomorrow when I can keep my eyes open.

Awesome hockey sweep.  I had the Wild ML too, so it was perfect.

Extra bonus: 4-1 equals a win for Neilsy!

Sorry, I meant Wild at -1,5.  ML was in your picks.  All good!

Record: 176-177-22
Bankroll: $8501.45
Wagered: $76453.92
Returned: $79955.37
Net: +$3501.45
ROI: +4.58%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Blues [+136] 2% -170.03 to win 231.24

Nimes 'pk' [-201] 6% -510.09 to win 253.78

Evian Thonon Gaillard [-131] 4% -340.06 to win 259.59

Celtic/Kilmarnock O3 [-116] 4% -340.06 to win 293.16

Bayesian theory is kinda heavy but the other two are simple and easy to read. I suggest that EVERYONE who wants to take gambling seriously reads it, you won't regret it.

You used that word Gambling again.. I'll forgive you this time 

LoL

The Blues are a mess right now, I want nothing to do with this team. With Conklin likely getting the start tonight, do you see something I'm missing for tonight? They're a good +Dog, but I actually think the line should be higher (like +160) for myself to see value with it. What are your thoughts?

I think this is the perfect matchup for the Blues who are desperate for some offensive wins. With both backups likely to start, St.Louis has no better time than the present to start scoring some goals. Atlanta is all about offense but this St. Louis team isn't going to have any of it tonight. Conklin will face less than 25 shots while C. Mason will get riddled early on and may even have to get yanked. I see a methodical game from the Blues with measured attacks. Some other trends to consider is that the last two games went into SO so it will likely be hard fought... I pegged this game somewhere around 55/45 whereas the books have it 57.63/42.37 

What word do you prefer?

Sports investing... I use the two terms synonymously but kreattutre's right, I prefer to say I invest than I gamble.

Yo, thanks for the links!

It's amazing how often Pinnacle hockey lines go offline. 

Record: 178-179-22
Bankroll: $8306.35
Wagered: $77814.16
Returned: $81120.51
Net: +$3306.35
ROI: +4.25%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Lightning -1.5 [+186] 2% -166.13 to win 309.00

Canucks [+119] 2% -166.13 to win 197.69

Stade Rennais 'pk' [-126] 6% -498.38 to win 395.54

Valenciennes/Toulouse O2 [-103] 4% -332.25 to win 322.57
Brest 'pk' [+197] 2% -166.13 to win 327.28

Monaco/Sochaux DRAW [+218] 2% -166.13 to win 362.16

Lille/Saint Etienne DRAW [+337] 2% -166.13 to win 559.86

Scary card... 

Slept in, missed out. GL

So close to a very good day... Monaco scored in injury time; that alone would have made it nice but also Rennais gave up a stupid goal early on and couldn't mount an attack as Caen just sat back and played hard D.

Canucks choked in the 3rd, couldn't hold the lead, lost in OT You just can't allow 19 shots to the Wings in the 3rd.

Tampa couldn't bury the Isles.  Dominated except on the scoresheet.

Record: 180-183-23
Bankroll: $8192.01
Wagered: $79475.44
Returned: $82667.45
Net: +$3192.01
ROI: +3.84%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Blues [-120] 2% -163.84 to win 136.53

Lightning/Rangers U5.5 [-105] 2% -163.84 to win 156.04

Wild/Avalanche U5.5 [-121] 2% -163.84 to win 135.40