Confidence Plays

Make that 6 teams and I am even passing on Chi at 70% 

@Surfer2

 Good luck Surfer 

Surfer , just wondering how you intend to recoup any losses incurred by playing this way ?

Will you be playing multiple chases ?

Will you just roll it all up and start again ?

You are going to require a substantial bankroll to maintain several chases at a time.

Since I started playing this simple System in mid October I have more than doubled my bankroll, don't know why that's not good enough for anybody.  

Anyway you do you , and I'll just keep doing it my way.

I really can't think of a easier system , why go and complicate things?

Best of luck 

[Quote: Originally Posted by rustie] "Since I started playing this simple System in mid-October I have more than 'doubled' my bankroll, don't know why that's not good enough for anybody" 

Yes indeed! well done my brother...

You can lead a horse to water..... and I think you know the rest of it. 

Haven't looked here in a while.  Yeah, that day was rough. 3 out of 6 games lost.  However, they were all 2 team parlay's, so it wasn't a total bloodbath.  I am doing a conservative variation of your system, less wagering at higher probability.  I don't eant to start a weak, chicken-shit online argument.  That said, I just checked and you started this with a bankroll of $620.  You stopped posting picks with a bankroll around $720.  That is not double.  You must be referring to seasons past.

If you lead a Horse to Water, there is a good chance you are in Del Mar 

Surfer, if you check I started POSTING in December and as I stated I started playing in mid October. Best of luck to you 

@rustie

How would you pick tonight's games?  Sagarin has VAN, but they're +116 currently at Pinnacle.  Would you play them on the PL and SEA?

ML for both, however you may choose the PL on Van if you feel more comfortable that way, personally I will take the +odds. Best of luck to you as this system continues to payoff. 

By the way nmgolf did you decide to go ahead with the post allstar system?

Yes, I am playing the PAS, but I'm not posting plays.  Would be happy to contribute as much as possible... just not sure about this pandemic era that we're currently in, which keeps screwing with the schedule.

@rustie

Sagarin has 2 teams with .77 EPCT%.  His ESPREAD and EODDS are the same for each team.  Which will you play with COL today?

I think I'll play each w/COL, but wondering what your official play will be.

Thanks!

57 personally I will be going with Carolina as I like their chances against Detroit more than the Jets playing Montreal. The way the Habs have responded to the coaching change they are a bit of a question mark at the moment and I will wait for them to cool off, which I feel will happen shortly. Best of luck to you what ever you decide as this system continues to produce good results.

I made my play early this morning, and that's exactly what I went with... and for the same reasons.  Thanks for the reply!

Well it turns out Carolina was not the best play, so on to the next one, which I feel good about BTW 

Play Won Lost %
< 50% 7 8 47%
>= 50% 29 37 44%

I plan to track this again this year.

@nmgolf57

Sorry, this is the "coin flip" amount that surfer2 had mentioned.

Rustie, just wondering how the system is doing for you this year.  Also, what was your final from last year?

I've bailed on this one, the juice is too high.  I was down 20 units through 12/16.  My results are probably different from others  since I haven't always been available to make a play.  This happened a few times, and it's possible those days were winners.  Either way, it's not a good fit for me.  Good luck to all who are sticking with it.