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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Confidence Plays

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    rustie
    Budman717
    jwgold
    Surfer2
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    Views: 891
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    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2021 - 9:49 AM ET #26

    WED.RESULTS:

    PARLEY: NYR/ANA  WIN  $70.00          BR: 657.20

    SOLO: NYR   WIN   $79.20

              ANA   WIN   $9.99                    BR: 682.18

    Rust never sleeps
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    WED.RESULTS:

    PARLEY: NYR/ANA  WIN  $70.00          BR: 657.20

    SOLO: NYR   WIN   $79.20

              ANA   WIN   $9.99                    BR: 682.18

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2021 - 11:53 AM ET #27

    THUR PLAYS:

    PARLEY:  MINN/TBAY  2.17 X 10 TO WIN 11.79       BR: 657.20

    SOLO:    MINN (REG)  1.526  X 19.01 TO WIN  10.00

                 TBAY        1.427 X 23.42 TO WIN 10.00    BR:682.18

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover        

     

     

     

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    THUR PLAYS:

    PARLEY:  MINN/TBAY  2.17 X 10 TO WIN 11.79       BR: 657.20

    SOLO:    MINN (REG)  1.526  X 19.01 TO WIN  10.00

                 TBAY        1.427 X 23.42 TO WIN 10.00    BR:682.18

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover        

     

     

     

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2021 - 12:13 PM ET #28

    THURS RESULTS:

    PARLEY: MINNY/TBAY LOSE $10.00     BR:  $647.20    +$27.20

    SOLO: MINNY (reg)  LOSE  $19.01

              TBAY     WIN $10.00                BR:  $673.17    +$53.17 

     

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    THURS RESULTS:

    PARLEY: MINNY/TBAY LOSE $10.00     BR:  $647.20    +$27.20

    SOLO: MINNY (reg)  LOSE  $19.01

              TBAY     WIN $10.00                BR:  $673.17    +$53.17 

     

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2021 - 1:32 PM ET #29

    FRIDAY PLAYS:

    PARLEY: ANA (reg)/PITT  2.06 X 20 TO WIN 21.20        BR:647.20

    SOLO:  ANA (reg)  1.568 X 51.06 TO WIN 29.00

               PITT   1.311 X 32.15  TO WIN 10.00                BR: 673.17

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover

     

     

     

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    FRIDAY PLAYS:

    PARLEY: ANA (reg)/PITT  2.06 X 20 TO WIN 21.20        BR:647.20

    SOLO:  ANA (reg)  1.568 X 51.06 TO WIN 29.00

               PITT   1.311 X 32.15  TO WIN 10.00                BR: 673.17

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover

     

     

     

     
    Budman717
    Budman717
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2021 - 1:52 PM ET #30

    @rustie

     Rustie, how did you break the tie between Pittsburgh and St Louis?  Both are at 76%.  Great system, by the way.

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    @rustie

     Rustie, how did you break the tie between Pittsburgh and St Louis?  Both are at 76%.  Great system, by the way.

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2021 - 4:43 PM ET #31

    HEY BUDMAN  ,Welcome and thankyou. Actually when two teams are tied like that I will usually just try to handicap the games , in this case I feel Pitt. is in a good spot as Buffalo played last night as well as playing over their heads and i feel a regression to the mean is due. I guess another option would be to play both teams and hope for the best ? But that's the way I do it, just handicap a little. Good luck going forward clover

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    HEY BUDMAN  ,Welcome and thankyou. Actually when two teams are tied like that I will usually just try to handicap the games , in this case I feel Pitt. is in a good spot as Buffalo played last night as well as playing over their heads and i feel a regression to the mean is due. I guess another option would be to play both teams and hope for the best ? But that's the way I do it, just handicap a little. Good luck going forward clover

     
    Budman717
    Budman717
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2021 - 9:55 AM ET #32

    Thanks, guys.

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    Thanks, guys.

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2021 - 10:36 AM ET #33

    FRIDAY RESULTS:

    PARLEY: ANA(reg)/ PITT  LOSS   -$20.00        BR:627.20     +27.20

    SOLO:  ANA(reg)  LOSS    -$51.06

               PITT  WIN    $10.00                           BR:632.11     +12.11

     

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    FRIDAY RESULTS:

    PARLEY: ANA(reg)/ PITT  LOSS   -$20.00        BR:627.20     +27.20

    SOLO:  ANA(reg)  LOSS    -$51.06

               PITT  WIN    $10.00                           BR:632.11     +12.11

     

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2021 - 10:45 AM ET #34

    SAT.PLAYS: 

    PARLEY: EDM/DET  3.40 X $30.00 TO WIN $72.10      BR:627.20

    SOLO:   EDM 1.877 X $69.56 TO WIN  $61.00

                DET  1.813 X  $12.30 TO WIN $30.00            BR:632.11 

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover   

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    SAT.PLAYS: 

    PARLEY: EDM/DET  3.40 X $30.00 TO WIN $72.10      BR:627.20

    SOLO:   EDM 1.877 X $69.56 TO WIN  $61.00

                DET  1.813 X  $12.30 TO WIN $30.00            BR:632.11 

    GOOD LUCK ALL clover   

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2021 - 9:42 AM ET #35

    SAT. RESULTS:

    PARLEY:EDM/DET  WIN 72.10       BR. 699.30        +79.30

    SOLO:  EDM WIN    61.00

               DET  WIN    10.00            BR:  703.11        +83.11

    SORRY FOR THE TYPO IN THE LAST POST DETROIT SHOULD HAVE BEEN TO WIN $10.00 ,IT HAS BEEN CORRECTED IN THE TOTALS OF THIS POST.

     

     

               

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    SAT. RESULTS:

    PARLEY:EDM/DET  WIN 72.10       BR. 699.30        +79.30

    SOLO:  EDM WIN    61.00

               DET  WIN    10.00            BR:  703.11        +83.11

    SORRY FOR THE TYPO IN THE LAST POST DETROIT SHOULD HAVE BEEN TO WIN $10.00 ,IT HAS BEEN CORRECTED IN THE TOTALS OF THIS POST.

     

     

               

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2021 - 11:52 AM ET #36

    SUN.PLAYS:

    PARLEY:  VEGAS/PITT  2.66 X $10.00 TO WIN $16.64       BR: $699.30

    SOLO:    VEGAS   1.751 X 13.32 TO WIN  $10.01

                 PITT    1.520 X 19.23 TO WIN $ 10.02                BR:$703.11

    BEST OF LUCK ALL clover

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    SUN.PLAYS:

    PARLEY:  VEGAS/PITT  2.66 X $10.00 TO WIN $16.64       BR: $699.30

    SOLO:    VEGAS   1.751 X 13.32 TO WIN  $10.01

                 PITT    1.520 X 19.23 TO WIN $ 10.02                BR:$703.11

    BEST OF LUCK ALL clover

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2021 - 9:04 AM ET #37

    SUN. RESULTS:

    PARLEY: VEGAS/PITT  WIN   $16.64        BR. $715.94    +95.94

    SOLO:   VEGAS    WIN   $10.01

                PITT    WIN    $10.02                BR: $723.14     +103.14

     

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    SUN. RESULTS:

    PARLEY: VEGAS/PITT  WIN   $16.64        BR. $715.94    +95.94

    SOLO:   VEGAS    WIN   $10.01

                PITT    WIN    $10.02                BR: $723.14     +103.14

     

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2021 - 9:51 AM ET #38

    If anyone is reading this I would like your opinion ,with so many games being postponed I am undecided as to keep this thread going ? What are your opinions?

     

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    If anyone is reading this I would like your opinion ,with so many games being postponed I am undecided as to keep this thread going ? What are your opinions?

     

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2021 - 12:32 PM ET #39

    Point is moot today anyway as of now there is only one game. 

    Is there anybody out there ?

    Rust never sleeps
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    Point is moot today anyway as of now there is only one game. 

    Is there anybody out there ?

     
    jwgold
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2021 - 2:10 PM ET #40

    @rustie

     Hi Rustle

    I follow daily. I THINK you said earlier you had prior success and doing well this year also. Interesting you talk about so many cancelled games...but in terms of suppressing the system or cancelling the thread. I have been playing the DRRules parlay system but I stopped playing...going to wait it out. Anyway thanks for posting.

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    @rustie

     Hi Rustle

    I follow daily. I THINK you said earlier you had prior success and doing well this year also. Interesting you talk about so many cancelled games...but in terms of suppressing the system or cancelling the thread. I have been playing the DRRules parlay system but I stopped playing...going to wait it out. Anyway thanks for posting.

     
    Budman717
    Budman717
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2021 - 2:41 PM ET #41

    Rustie;

    Whether you post or not in this thread, you've given me another tool to use.  Thanks.

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    Rustie;

    Whether you post or not in this thread, you've given me another tool to use.  Thanks.

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2021 - 9:22 AM ET #42

    @rustie

     I just checked the schedule and 8 out of 10 games today are postponed.  The expected win percentages of the games are 53% and 60-sonething.  I was thinking more games means a greater chance of 2 stronger teams.  Then I saw all of the games for Wednesday and Thursday are postponed.  It looks like an easy decision, at least for the next 3 days, take a break.  You probably aren't tired, but you earned it. cool

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    @rustie

     I just checked the schedule and 8 out of 10 games today are postponed.  The expected win percentages of the games are 53% and 60-sonething.  I was thinking more games means a greater chance of 2 stronger teams.  Then I saw all of the games for Wednesday and Thursday are postponed.  It looks like an easy decision, at least for the next 3 days, take a break.  You probably aren't tired, but you earned it. cool

     
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2021 - 9:47 AM ET #43

    Thanks for the kind words guys, I am going to shut this down for a while till things get back to "normal". And Surfer your right , not tired but retired, just do this to supplement my meager Canada pension. How about you guys , what do you do for a day job? It might be nice to get to know a little about the people behind the avatars and poster names, don't have to be much maybe country of origin ,occupation , hobbies?

    Myself I'm a retired Butcher and Cabinetmaker, born in England currently residing in Canada (ottawa valley) who likes gambling, reading and woodworking.

    Happy holidays to all. peace_5

    Rust never sleeps
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    Thanks for the kind words guys, I am going to shut this down for a while till things get back to "normal". And Surfer your right , not tired but retired, just do this to supplement my meager Canada pension. How about you guys , what do you do for a day job? It might be nice to get to know a little about the people behind the avatars and poster names, don't have to be much maybe country of origin ,occupation , hobbies?

    Myself I'm a retired Butcher and Cabinetmaker, born in England currently residing in Canada (ottawa valley) who likes gambling, reading and woodworking.

    Happy holidays to all. peace_5

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2021 - 8:45 AM ET #44

    Surf, Skate. Golf. San Diegan to the bone.  I sneak onto this site because none of my surf/skate friends respect pro sports and my golf buddies aren't great at wagering.

    ***Interesting Fact***

    I am descended from Louis Herbert and Marie Rollet, the Patriarchs of Quebec.

    Merry Christmas 

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Surf, Skate. Golf. San Diegan to the bone.  I sneak onto this site because none of my surf/skate friends respect pro sports and my golf buddies aren't great at wagering.

    ***Interesting Fact***

    I am descended from Louis Herbert and Marie Rollet, the Patriarchs of Quebec.

    Merry Christmas 

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2021 - 2:08 PM ET #45

    Cool story Surfer, Louis Hebert the first Lord of Canada ,a apothecary and one of the first full time settlers of Quebec.

    Joyeux Noel to you and yours 

    Rust never sleeps
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    Cool story Surfer, Louis Hebert the first Lord of Canada ,a apothecary and one of the first full time settlers of Quebec.

    Joyeux Noel to you and yours 

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2021 - 10:24 AM ET #46

    Hope everyone had a great xmas. Going to have a go at this again. Had some luck with hoops over the break which is great as I know nothing about basketball lol

    but that's a different system for another day. So

    Parley: Tbay/SJ  2.00X 10  to win 10.00      B.R. 715.94

    Solo:   Tbay (reg)  1.558 X10.00  to win  5.58

              SJ        1.465 X  10.00 to win  4.65   B.R. 723.14 

    Good luck all clover

    Rust never sleeps
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    Hope everyone had a great xmas. Going to have a go at this again. Had some luck with hoops over the break which is great as I know nothing about basketball lol

    but that's a different system for another day. So

    Parley: Tbay/SJ  2.00X 10  to win 10.00      B.R. 715.94

    Solo:   Tbay (reg)  1.558 X10.00  to win  5.58

              SJ        1.465 X  10.00 to win  4.65   B.R. 723.14 

    Good luck all clover

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2021 - 9:24 AM ET #47

    Hey Bluestar, I hear you on football it's a tough one, never had much luck with it, so gave up on it.

    Curious as to what baseball systems you use, I was going to give a couple a try that I have found here in this forum and perhaps one of my own that I am trying to backtest (slow going as I am not very computer savvy).

    Good luck going forward clover

    Rust never sleeps
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    Hey Bluestar, I hear you on football it's a tough one, never had much luck with it, so gave up on it.

    Curious as to what baseball systems you use, I was going to give a couple a try that I have found here in this forum and perhaps one of my own that I am trying to backtest (slow going as I am not very computer savvy).

    Good luck going forward clover

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2021 - 9:35 AM ET #48

    Realize now that I messed up the plays yesterday as I didn't play the solo games to win a unit. However I shall count it how it was posted for the record here.

    Parley: Tbay/Sj   win  $10.00     B.R. 725.94

    Solo:  Tbay (reg) lose  -$10.00

             Sj     win     $4.65            B.R.  717.79

    Rust never sleeps
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    Realize now that I messed up the plays yesterday as I didn't play the solo games to win a unit. However I shall count it how it was posted for the record here.

    Parley: Tbay/Sj   win  $10.00     B.R. 725.94

    Solo:  Tbay (reg) lose  -$10.00

             Sj     win     $4.65            B.R.  717.79

     
    rustie
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2021 - 10:03 AM ET #49

    TODAYS PLAYS:

    PARLEY: STL/ANA   3.39 X 10 TO WIN  23.90          BR.  725.94

    SOLO:   STL    1.735 X 13.61  TO WIN  10.00

                ANA   1.952 X 10.50  TO WIN  10.00         BR.   717.79

    GOOD LUCK ALL (IT'S A CRAPSHOOT OUT THERE) clover

    Rust never sleeps
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    TODAYS PLAYS:

    PARLEY: STL/ANA   3.39 X 10 TO WIN  23.90          BR.  725.94

    SOLO:   STL    1.735 X 13.61  TO WIN  10.00

                ANA   1.952 X 10.50  TO WIN  10.00         BR.   717.79

    GOOD LUCK ALL (IT'S A CRAPSHOOT OUT THERE) clover

     
     
    rustie
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2021 - 9:21 AM ET #50

    WED RESULTS:

    PARLEY: STL/ANA  LOSS   10.00             BR.  715.94

    SOLO:  STL  WIN   10.00

               ANA  LOSS  10.50                     BR.  717.29

     

    Rust never sleeps
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    WED RESULTS:

    PARLEY: STL/ANA  LOSS   10.00             BR.  715.94

    SOLO:  STL  WIN   10.00

               ANA  LOSS  10.50                     BR.  717.29

     

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