This one has been around forever and keeps returning good money year after
year. Ignore it for the first month of baseball because it depends on pitcher
performances which really have no indicators until they have a couple of starts
under their belts.
1. Play teams that are +100 to +150 only.
2. Eliminate games in which the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row
and/or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row.
3. Eliminate games where the favorite has a Top 20 pitcher starting the game.
2. “Tired Road Teams”
A strong system that had results as high as 70% several years back.
- Play against a road team in game #1 of a series if it’s their 3rd or 4th
straight road series if they were swept in the prior series.
3. “Double – Double Digit Games”
- Play the home team in the 3rd or 4th game of the series if they scored
double-digits in the first 2 games of the series. Must be a non-divisional
game.
4. “Dogs off a 1-Run Loss”
- As simple as they get. Historical numbers seem to be just above 50% but with
dogs, that is a nice profit. Doesn’t matter if they are at home or away: Play a
dog +100 to +150 if they are off a 1-run loss to the same team in the previous
game.
5. “Home Team Off a Win vs. Road Team Off a Loss” ("live" in game
# 1 of a series only)
- Bet a home dog or favorite up to –130 that is coming off a SU win AND Series
Win if they scored 5+ runs in the previous game versus a road team off a SU
loss AND series loss. Obviously, game # 1 of a series.
6. “Play the Bad Team at Home”
- Play any team at home that are 10 games or more below .500 in the first game
of the series if they have a .500+ home record as long as the road team has not
won more than 5 of their last 10 games.
7. “Go Against a Road Team After 2 Straight Shutout Wins”
- For whatever reason, the numbers are heavily on the home sides playing
against road teams that have just recorded 2 straight shutout wins.
8. “April American League System”
- Play any American League road team whose bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.75
or lower that’s facing an opponent with a .260 or worse team batting average in
April.
9. “Late Season Streaky Trend”
- September only: Bet on teams that have won 6 or more of their last 10 versus
teams that have won 5 or less in their last 10.
“Home Dog #1”
This is a simple approach that comes up 20-30 times per year:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Play home dog that won 6 or more of the last
10 and has a positive home record (at least 2 more wins than losses at home)
“Home Dog #2”
A variation of the above with more emphasis on poorer road teams. Rare with
only a dozen or so plays per season:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Home Dog with a home record 55%+ and winners
of 6 of the last 10 vs. team with a 50% or less overall road record.
“Home Dog #3”
- Must be Division rivalry game. Play a home dog coming off a loss and winners
of no more than 5 of their last 10 games against a road team that is under 40%
on the road during the season.
“Road Dog #1”
- Play dogs of +135 or higher who are .500+ road teams and won 6 or more of
their last 10 games versus home team that is under 60% at home and won 4 or
less games in their last 10 (NO Interleague!!)
“Road Dog #2”
- Play road dog with road winning percentage 47%+ and winners of 12+ of last 20
versus home team with home winning percentage under 53% (no divisional games
and no first games of a series).
__________________________________________________ ___
PLAYING FAVORITES:
"Home Favorite #1"
- Play a home favorite in Game # 3 of a series if they lost Game # 2 of the
series as –200 or higher favorites (sweet revenge situation). Must be
non-divisional game. (Only high juice play in the systems)
"Home favorite #2"
- Play home favorites between –110 to –130 coming off a loss in which they
scored 5 or fewer runs. They must be winners of 6+ in their last 10 AND 3+ of
their last 7 home games. Road team must be winners of only 5 or less in their
last 10.
"Road Favorite #1"
Probably one of the most complicated ones I ran across but as the others, seems
to utilize current form with overall record. Follow this:
-Non-divisional game
-Road favorite of –130 or less!!!
-.500+ overall road record
-5 wins in last 10 games
-coming off a loss to same team
-Home team must home winning percentage under 60%
-Home team not have more than 5 wins in last 10 games.
"Road Favorite #2"
- First game of a series in which the home team is coming off the road. Road
team must be favorite and winners of 6+ of their last 10. Home team winners of
only 7 or less home games of their last 15; and 3 or less of their last 5 home
games.
0
Is this what you're looking for?
1.
“Old Fashion Dog System”
This one has been around forever and keeps returning good money year after
year. Ignore it for the first month of baseball because it depends on pitcher
performances which really have no indicators until they have a couple of starts
under their belts.
1. Play teams that are +100 to +150 only.
2. Eliminate games in which the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row
and/or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row.
3. Eliminate games where the favorite has a Top 20 pitcher starting the game.
2. “Tired Road Teams”
A strong system that had results as high as 70% several years back.
- Play against a road team in game #1 of a series if it’s their 3rd or 4th
straight road series if they were swept in the prior series.
3. “Double – Double Digit Games”
- Play the home team in the 3rd or 4th game of the series if they scored
double-digits in the first 2 games of the series. Must be a non-divisional
game.
4. “Dogs off a 1-Run Loss”
- As simple as they get. Historical numbers seem to be just above 50% but with
dogs, that is a nice profit. Doesn’t matter if they are at home or away: Play a
dog +100 to +150 if they are off a 1-run loss to the same team in the previous
game.
5. “Home Team Off a Win vs. Road Team Off a Loss” ("live" in game
# 1 of a series only)
- Bet a home dog or favorite up to –130 that is coming off a SU win AND Series
Win if they scored 5+ runs in the previous game versus a road team off a SU
loss AND series loss. Obviously, game # 1 of a series.
6. “Play the Bad Team at Home”
- Play any team at home that are 10 games or more below .500 in the first game
of the series if they have a .500+ home record as long as the road team has not
won more than 5 of their last 10 games.
7. “Go Against a Road Team After 2 Straight Shutout Wins”
- For whatever reason, the numbers are heavily on the home sides playing
against road teams that have just recorded 2 straight shutout wins.
8. “April American League System”
- Play any American League road team whose bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.75
or lower that’s facing an opponent with a .260 or worse team batting average in
April.
9. “Late Season Streaky Trend”
- September only: Bet on teams that have won 6 or more of their last 10 versus
teams that have won 5 or less in their last 10.
“Home Dog #1”
This is a simple approach that comes up 20-30 times per year:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Play home dog that won 6 or more of the last
10 and has a positive home record (at least 2 more wins than losses at home)
“Home Dog #2”
A variation of the above with more emphasis on poorer road teams. Rare with
only a dozen or so plays per season:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Home Dog with a home record 55%+ and winners
of 6 of the last 10 vs. team with a 50% or less overall road record.
“Home Dog #3”
- Must be Division rivalry game. Play a home dog coming off a loss and winners
of no more than 5 of their last 10 games against a road team that is under 40%
on the road during the season.
“Road Dog #1”
- Play dogs of +135 or higher who are .500+ road teams and won 6 or more of
their last 10 games versus home team that is under 60% at home and won 4 or
less games in their last 10 (NO Interleague!!)
“Road Dog #2”
- Play road dog with road winning percentage 47%+ and winners of 12+ of last 20
versus home team with home winning percentage under 53% (no divisional games
and no first games of a series).
__________________________________________________ ___
PLAYING FAVORITES:
"Home Favorite #1"
- Play a home favorite in Game # 3 of a series if they lost Game # 2 of the
series as –200 or higher favorites (sweet revenge situation). Must be
non-divisional game. (Only high juice play in the systems)
"Home favorite #2"
- Play home favorites between –110 to –130 coming off a loss in which they
scored 5 or fewer runs. They must be winners of 6+ in their last 10 AND 3+ of
their last 7 home games. Road team must be winners of only 5 or less in their
last 10.
"Road Favorite #1"
Probably one of the most complicated ones I ran across but as the others, seems
to utilize current form with overall record. Follow this:
-Non-divisional game
-Road favorite of –130 or less!!!
-.500+ overall road record
-5 wins in last 10 games
-coming off a loss to same team
-Home team must home winning percentage under 60%
-Home team not have more than 5 wins in last 10 games.
"Road Favorite #2"
- First game of a series in which the home team is coming off the road. Road
team must be favorite and winners of 6+ of their last 10. Home team winners of
only 7 or less home games of their last 15; and 3 or less of their last 5 home
games.
I don't know how you would word it ..but I want to bet both teams +1.5 runs...so I need to know how many one run games there are broken down by totals..im assuming the higher the total the less one run games and it might be profitable....thanks
0
I don't know how you would word it ..but I want to bet both teams +1.5 runs...so I need to know how many one run games there are broken down by totals..im assuming the higher the total the less one run games and it might be profitable....thanks
This one has been around forever and keeps returning good money year after year. Ignore it for the first month of baseball because it depends on pitcher performances which really have no indicators until they have a couple of starts under their belts.
1. Play teams that are +100 to +150 only. 2. Eliminate games in which the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row and/or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. 3. Eliminate games where the favorite has a Top 20 pitcher starting the game.
2. “Tired Road Teams”
A strong system that had results as high as 70% several years back.
- Play against a road team in game #1 of a series if it’s their 3rd or 4th straight road series if they were swept in the prior series.
3. “Double – Double Digit Games”
- Play the home team in the 3rd or 4th game of the series if they scored double-digits in the first 2 games of the series. Must be a non-divisional game.
4. “Dogs off a 1-Run Loss”
- As simple as they get. Historical numbers seem to be just above 50% but with dogs, that is a nice profit. Doesn’t matter if they are at home or away: Play a dog +100 to +150 if they are off a 1-run loss to the same team in the previous game.
5. “Home Team Off a Win vs. Road Team Off a Loss” ("live" in game # 1 of a series only)
- Bet a home dog or favorite up to –130 that is coming off a SU win AND Series Win if they scored 5+ runs in the previous game versus a road team off a SU loss AND series loss. Obviously, game # 1 of a series.
6. “Play the Bad Team at Home”
- Play any team at home that are 10 games or more below .500 in the first game of the series if they have a .500+ home record as long as the road team has not won more than 5 of their last 10 games.
7. “Go Against a Road Team After 2 Straight Shutout Wins”
- For whatever reason, the numbers are heavily on the home sides playing against road teams that have just recorded 2 straight shutout wins.
8. “April American League System”
- Play any American League road team whose bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.75 or lower that’s facing an opponent with a .260 or worse team batting average in April.
9. “Late Season Streaky Trend”
- September only: Bet on teams that have won 6 or more of their last 10 versus teams that have won 5 or less in their last 10.
“Home Dog #1” This is a simple approach that comes up 20-30 times per year:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Play home dog that won 6 or more of the last 10 and has a positive home record (at least 2 more wins than losses at home)
“Home Dog #2”
A variation of the above with more emphasis on poorer road teams. Rare with only a dozen or so plays per season:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Home Dog with a home record 55%+ and winners of 6 of the last 10 vs. team with a 50% or less overall road record.
“Home Dog #3”
- Must be Division rivalry game. Play a home dog coming off a loss and winners of no more than 5 of their last 10 games against a road team that is under 40% on the road during the season.
“Road Dog #1”
- Play dogs of +135 or higher who are .500+ road teams and won 6 or more of their last 10 games versus home team that is under 60% at home and won 4 or less games in their last 10 (NO Interleague!!)
“Road Dog #2”
- Play road dog with road winning percentage 47%+ and winners of 12+ of last 20 versus home team with home winning percentage under 53% (no divisional games and no first games of a series).
__________________________________________________ ___ PLAYING FAVORITES:
"Home Favorite #1"
- Play a home favorite in Game # 3 of a series if they lost Game # 2 of the series as –200 or higher favorites (sweet revenge situation). Must be non-divisional game. (Only high juice play in the systems)
"Home favorite #2"
- Play home favorites between –110 to –130 coming off a loss in which they scored 5 or fewer runs. They must be winners of 6+ in their last 10 AND 3+ of their last 7 home games. Road team must be winners of only 5 or less in their last 10.
"Road Favorite #1"
Probably one of the most complicated ones I ran across but as the others, seems to utilize current form with overall record. Follow this:
-Non-divisional game -Road favorite of –130 or less!!! -.500+ overall road record -5 wins in last 10 games -coming off a loss to same team -Home team must home winning percentage under 60% -Home team not have more than 5 wins in last 10 games.
"Road Favorite #2"
- First game of a series in which the home team is coming off the road. Road team must be favorite and winners of 6+ of their last 10. Home team winners of only 7 or less home games of their last 15; and 3 or less of their last 5 home games.
Good info, thanks for sharing your time, apreciate the effort
0
Quote Originally Posted by staf:
Is this what you're looking for?
1. “Old Fashion Dog System”
This one has been around forever and keeps returning good money year after year. Ignore it for the first month of baseball because it depends on pitcher performances which really have no indicators until they have a couple of starts under their belts.
1. Play teams that are +100 to +150 only. 2. Eliminate games in which the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row and/or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. 3. Eliminate games where the favorite has a Top 20 pitcher starting the game.
2. “Tired Road Teams”
A strong system that had results as high as 70% several years back.
- Play against a road team in game #1 of a series if it’s their 3rd or 4th straight road series if they were swept in the prior series.
3. “Double – Double Digit Games”
- Play the home team in the 3rd or 4th game of the series if they scored double-digits in the first 2 games of the series. Must be a non-divisional game.
4. “Dogs off a 1-Run Loss”
- As simple as they get. Historical numbers seem to be just above 50% but with dogs, that is a nice profit. Doesn’t matter if they are at home or away: Play a dog +100 to +150 if they are off a 1-run loss to the same team in the previous game.
5. “Home Team Off a Win vs. Road Team Off a Loss” ("live" in game # 1 of a series only)
- Bet a home dog or favorite up to –130 that is coming off a SU win AND Series Win if they scored 5+ runs in the previous game versus a road team off a SU loss AND series loss. Obviously, game # 1 of a series.
6. “Play the Bad Team at Home”
- Play any team at home that are 10 games or more below .500 in the first game of the series if they have a .500+ home record as long as the road team has not won more than 5 of their last 10 games.
7. “Go Against a Road Team After 2 Straight Shutout Wins”
- For whatever reason, the numbers are heavily on the home sides playing against road teams that have just recorded 2 straight shutout wins.
8. “April American League System”
- Play any American League road team whose bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.75 or lower that’s facing an opponent with a .260 or worse team batting average in April.
9. “Late Season Streaky Trend”
- September only: Bet on teams that have won 6 or more of their last 10 versus teams that have won 5 or less in their last 10.
“Home Dog #1” This is a simple approach that comes up 20-30 times per year:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Play home dog that won 6 or more of the last 10 and has a positive home record (at least 2 more wins than losses at home)
“Home Dog #2”
A variation of the above with more emphasis on poorer road teams. Rare with only a dozen or so plays per season:
- Must be Division rivalry game: Home Dog with a home record 55%+ and winners of 6 of the last 10 vs. team with a 50% or less overall road record.
“Home Dog #3”
- Must be Division rivalry game. Play a home dog coming off a loss and winners of no more than 5 of their last 10 games against a road team that is under 40% on the road during the season.
“Road Dog #1”
- Play dogs of +135 or higher who are .500+ road teams and won 6 or more of their last 10 games versus home team that is under 60% at home and won 4 or less games in their last 10 (NO Interleague!!)
“Road Dog #2”
- Play road dog with road winning percentage 47%+ and winners of 12+ of last 20 versus home team with home winning percentage under 53% (no divisional games and no first games of a series).
__________________________________________________ ___ PLAYING FAVORITES:
"Home Favorite #1"
- Play a home favorite in Game # 3 of a series if they lost Game # 2 of the series as –200 or higher favorites (sweet revenge situation). Must be non-divisional game. (Only high juice play in the systems)
"Home favorite #2"
- Play home favorites between –110 to –130 coming off a loss in which they scored 5 or fewer runs. They must be winners of 6+ in their last 10 AND 3+ of their last 7 home games. Road team must be winners of only 5 or less in their last 10.
"Road Favorite #1"
Probably one of the most complicated ones I ran across but as the others, seems to utilize current form with overall record. Follow this:
-Non-divisional game -Road favorite of –130 or less!!! -.500+ overall road record -5 wins in last 10 games -coming off a loss to same team -Home team must home winning percentage under 60% -Home team not have more than 5 wins in last 10 games.
"Road Favorite #2"
- First game of a series in which the home team is coming off the road. Road team must be favorite and winners of 6+ of their last 10. Home team winners of only 7 or less home games of their last 15; and 3 or less of their last 5 home games.
Good info, thanks for sharing your time, apreciate the effort
The Dodgers today was the last one to be ahead by 1 after 5 and win the game.
I hit the submit before I had finished testing. Based on a team that is ahead by 1 point after 5 innings the results show 100% of games in this scenario have one. I call BS, so I need to review the results.
0
Quote Originally Posted by irage:
2014 = 45.6%
The Dodgers today was the last one to be ahead by 1 after 5 and win the game.
I hit the submit before I had finished testing. Based on a team that is ahead by 1 point after 5 innings the results show 100% of games in this scenario have one. I call BS, so I need to review the results.
Hey Old Friend... knew to find you come MLB season...welcome back Irage
What's up brotha? I think I went blind last season staring at stats, but I'm back again, trying to find something that will consistently make money. I killed it in March Madness this year, knocking out 10k in 15 days, then lost it all in round 3 and 4. Duke losing serious WTF!
0
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Hey Old Friend... knew to find you come MLB season...welcome back Irage
What's up brotha? I think I went blind last season staring at stats, but I'm back again, trying to find something that will consistently make money. I killed it in March Madness this year, knocking out 10k in 15 days, then lost it all in round 3 and 4. Duke losing serious WTF!
I hit the submit before I had finished testing. Based on a team that is ahead by 1 point after 5 innings the results show 100% of games in this scenario have one. I call BS, so I need to review the results.
will be watching==thanks
0
Quote Originally Posted by irage:
I hit the submit before I had finished testing. Based on a team that is ahead by 1 point after 5 innings the results show 100% of games in this scenario have one. I call BS, so I need to review the results.
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