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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Back Testing Scenarios Wanted

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    Baath887
    irage
    haappyy
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    Baath887
    Baath887
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    Posted: May. 29, 2014 - 9:35 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Based on a lead after the 5th. If only one could bet on games after the 5th.

    2014 = 86.6%
    2013 = 88.3%
    2012 = 90.5%
    2011 = 89.0%
    2010 = 89.8%


    Nice, can you backtest it a few years before 2010 please? Thanks a bunch.
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Based on a lead after the 5th. If only one could bet on games after the 5th.

    2014 = 86.6%
    2013 = 88.3%
    2012 = 90.5%
    2011 = 89.0%
    2010 = 89.8%


    Nice, can you backtest it a few years before 2010 please? Thanks a bunch.
     
    Baath887
    Baath887
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    Posted: May. 29, 2014 - 10:06 PM ET #27

    How about...


    What is the % of wins when an NHL team has a lead after the 1st period?
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    How about...


    What is the % of wins when an NHL team has a lead after the 1st period?
     
    irage
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    Posted: May. 29, 2014 - 10:33 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Good info, thanks for sharing your time, apreciate the effort


    Now this is what I am talking about. I'm working on it and will post the results when I have it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Good info, thanks for sharing your time, apreciate the effort


    Now this is what I am talking about. I'm working on it and will post the results when I have it.
     
    irage
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    Posted: May. 29, 2014 - 10:35 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    How about...


    What is the % of wins when an NHL team has a lead after the 1st period?


    I can only do MLB!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    How about...


    What is the % of wins when an NHL team has a lead after the 1st period?


    I can only do MLB!
     
    haappyy
    haappyy
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    Posted: May. 30, 2014 - 2:26 AM ET #30

    where's my one run games by totals
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    where's my one run games by totals
     
    Baath887
    Baath887
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    Posted: May. 30, 2014 - 4:39 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:



    2014 = 45.6%

    The Dodgers today was the last one to be ahead by 1 after 5 and win the game.


    Can you backtest this going a few years back?
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:



    2014 = 45.6%

    The Dodgers today was the last one to be ahead by 1 after 5 and win the game.


    Can you backtest this going a few years back?
     
    Baath887
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    Posted: May. 30, 2014 - 4:39 PM ET #32

    Forgot to mention: please? lol. Thanks for your efforts and help.
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    Forgot to mention: please? lol. Thanks for your efforts and help.
     
    coolspot
    coolspot
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    Posted: May. 30, 2014 - 8:18 PM ET #33

    bump
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    bump
     
    irage
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    Posted: May. 31, 2014 - 1:11 AM ET #34

    Check this stat out.

    Dodgers since 2005 win 74.1% of home games following a loss of more than 5 runs.

    Too bad it only happens a couple times each year.
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    Check this stat out.

    Dodgers since 2005 win 74.1% of home games following a loss of more than 5 runs.

    Too bad it only happens a couple times each year.
     
    Baath887
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    Posted: May. 31, 2014 - 11:40 AM ET #35

    Irage... if you don't mind me asking again: do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks for your help again.
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    Irage... if you don't mind me asking again: do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks for your help again.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2014 - 10:44 PM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by Burly:

    how about home teams -150 or higher first game of a series?


    Took me a little while to get the filters right on this one. Some searches are just harder than others.

    Home Favorite with -150 juice or greater winning the first game of 3 game series.

    Since 2004 = 47.1%

    The run line only hits 26.9%, the down side is I only found one game in 2014 that met this criteria.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Burly:

    how about home teams -150 or higher first game of a series?


    Took me a little while to get the filters right on this one. Some searches are just harder than others.

    Home Favorite with -150 juice or greater winning the first game of 3 game series.

    Since 2004 = 47.1%

    The run line only hits 26.9%, the down side is I only found one game in 2014 that met this criteria.
     
    haappyy
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2014 - 10:37 AM ET #37

    one run games by totals?
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    one run games by totals?
     
    IbetIlose
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2014 - 12:53 PM ET #38

    irage back check this only need 2 years i know the % is high to fade teams in game.

     

    Heres the sceneario when a team is losing 3 -0 or 2-0 and hasnt answered back with a run within 5 innings they almost always wind up losing the game like i think it's high 90%

     

    Heres another one i like to see back checked when two teams have both #1 starters facing off how many times the DOGGED team won the game s/u

    NO matter if team is on a losing streak of 3 or 4 games it dosent matter just results how many times the DOGGED ace starter won the game.

     

     

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    irage back check this only need 2 years i know the % is high to fade teams in game.

     

    Heres the sceneario when a team is losing 3 -0 or 2-0 and hasnt answered back with a run within 5 innings they almost always wind up losing the game like i think it's high 90%

     

    Heres another one i like to see back checked when two teams have both #1 starters facing off how many times the DOGGED team won the game s/u

    NO matter if team is on a losing streak of 3 or 4 games it dosent matter just results how many times the DOGGED ace starter won the game.

     

     

     
    SFJustice
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2014 - 11:12 PM ET #39

    Has there always been a "under" recorded in a 7 game homestand of these 5 Parks : LA Dodgers , Oakland A's , SF Giants, Sea Mariners, & San Diego Padres?  Reasoning: Heavy air because near water and small parks.  Thanks.
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    Has there always been a "under" recorded in a 7 game homestand of these 5 Parks : LA Dodgers , Oakland A's , SF Giants, Sea Mariners, & San Diego Padres?  Reasoning: Heavy air because near water and small parks.  Thanks.
     
    Burly
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 2:25 AM ET #40

    Thanks irage
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    Thanks irage
     
    Burly
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 2:28 AM ET #41

    Can you check with filters of win streaks?

    ex. -150 team on a 3+ game winning streak home or away

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    Can you check with filters of win streaks?

    ex. -150 team on a 3+ game winning streak home or away

     
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 3:05 PM ET #42

    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.
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    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 5:09 PM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.

    I think this site hates me. I have posted the results back to 2006 twice now, but either I am not clicking submit or it's just not posting. There from 06 - 2010 there was nothing above 49.1%, in fact 2007 I believe was 36.8%

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    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.

    I think this site hates me. I have posted the results back to 2006 twice now, but either I am not clicking submit or it's just not posting. There from 06 - 2010 there was nothing above 49.1%, in fact 2007 I believe was 36.8%

     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 5:22 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.

    Help me understand how this useful?

    • 2014 = 86.6%
    • 2013 = 88.3%
    • 2012 = 90.5%
    • 2011 = 89.0%
    • 2010 = 89.8%
    • 2009 = 87.7%
    • 2008 = 88.2%
    • 2007 = 89.1%
    • 2006 = 87.6%
    • 2005 = 88.6%
    • 2004 = 87.7%
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

    Irage, I don't know if you saw my request, but I will ask you for a third time, please:

    Do you think you can backtest this for a few years back: If a team has a 1 run lead after 5 innings, what is the win % of those teams?

    Thanks and please let me know if that would be possible for you to figure out.

    Help me understand how this useful?

    • 2014 = 86.6%
    • 2013 = 88.3%
    • 2012 = 90.5%
    • 2011 = 89.0%
    • 2010 = 89.8%
    • 2009 = 87.7%
    • 2008 = 88.2%
    • 2007 = 89.1%
    • 2006 = 87.6%
    • 2005 = 88.6%
    • 2004 = 87.7%
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 5:23 PM ET #45

    6/3/2014 - Pick of the Day

    Tampa Bay -115

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    6/3/2014 - Pick of the Day

    Tampa Bay -115

     
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 6:05 PM ET #46

    Any team +.500 coming off a loss playing at home, you could also check for road.
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    Any team +.500 coming off a loss playing at home, you could also check for road.
     
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2014 - 7:28 PM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Help me understand how this useful?

    • 2014 = 86.6%
    • 2013 = 88.3%
    • 2012 = 90.5%
    • 2011 = 89.0%
    • 2010 = 89.8%
    • 2009 = 87.7%
    • 2008 = 88.2%
    • 2007 = 89.1%
    • 2006 = 87.6%
    • 2005 = 88.6%
    • 2004 = 87.7%


    Oh crap... I think there is a misunderstanding here... I don't think I gave you a proper explanation.

    I meant, when a team has a one run lead after 5 innings, what % of the time does that team go on to win the game?

    That's what I meant.
    Really sorry for the confusion bro, but do you think you could still give me the numbers per year? :S
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    Help me understand how this useful?

    • 2014 = 86.6%
    • 2013 = 88.3%
    • 2012 = 90.5%
    • 2011 = 89.0%
    • 2010 = 89.8%
    • 2009 = 87.7%
    • 2008 = 88.2%
    • 2007 = 89.1%
    • 2006 = 87.6%
    • 2005 = 88.6%
    • 2004 = 87.7%


    Oh crap... I think there is a misunderstanding here... I don't think I gave you a proper explanation.

    I meant, when a team has a one run lead after 5 innings, what % of the time does that team go on to win the game?

    That's what I meant.
    Really sorry for the confusion bro, but do you think you could still give me the numbers per year? :S
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 12:11 AM ET #48

    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.
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    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.
     
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 12:45 AM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.


    Oh ok great, thanks a lot. But what did you mean in post #43, when you said:

    "There from 06 - 2010 there was nothing above 49.1%, in fact 2007 I believe was 36.8%"

    What do these numbers represent?

    And to answer your question: I know some books offer live bets, so I figured I might give it a shot.
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.


    Oh ok great, thanks a lot. But what did you mean in post #43, when you said:

    "There from 06 - 2010 there was nothing above 49.1%, in fact 2007 I believe was 36.8%"

    What do these numbers represent?

    And to answer your question: I know some books offer live bets, so I figured I might give it a shot.
     
     
    Baath887
    Baath887
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2014
    Posts: 46
    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 12:53 AM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.



    Oohh hold on a sec! I wanted the stats to represent teams that were ahead by one run specifically after 5 innings lol, not ahead by more than one run. I think that might considerably change the numbers you posted! If you have the time to find these specific stats, I'll be very grateful.
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    Quote Originally Posted by irage:

    I understood it correctly.

    The numbers above are based on the the team that is ahead by 1 or more after 5 innings and goes on to win.



    Oohh hold on a sec! I wanted the stats to represent teams that were ahead by one run specifically after 5 innings lol, not ahead by more than one run. I think that might considerably change the numbers you posted! If you have the time to find these specific stats, I'll be very grateful.
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