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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Back Testing Scenarios Wanted

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    DrChase
    haappyy
    coolspot
    parlay100
    Pendo
    ...
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    Search
    Views: 7215
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    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    DrChase
    DrChase
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 1:00 AM ET #51

    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man
    Reply
    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man
     
    haappyy
    haappyy
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 2:07 AM ET #52

    1 run games broken down by totals please and thank you
    Reply
    1 run games broken down by totals please and thank you
     
    coolspot
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2014 - 11:11 AM ET #53

    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.
    Reply
    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.
     
    parlay100
    parlay100
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2014 - 6:59 PM ET #54

    Total of number of games...
    Number of games won by 1 Run...
    .......% of the 1 run victories by fav and dog.
    .......% of the 1 run victories by home and away

    many Thanks
    Reply
    Total of number of games...
    Number of games won by 1 Run...
    .......% of the 1 run victories by fav and dog.
    .......% of the 1 run victories by home and away

    many Thanks
     
    Pendo
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2014 - 12:56 PM ET #55

    Reply
     
    staf
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2014 - 9:11 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by DrChase:

    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man

    From sportsdatabase.com I get 3971 games where the favorite won by 1 run.  There are 25525 games in the database. So a little over 15.5%
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DrChase:

    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man

    From sportsdatabase.com I get 3971 games where the favorite won by 1 run.  There are 25525 games in the database. So a little over 15.5%
     
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2014 - 9:21 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by coolspot:

    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.

    49%

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=SGS%3D3+and+SG%3D2+and+p%3AL+and+WP%3E40&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by coolspot:

    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.

    49%

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=SGS%3D3+and+SG%3D2+and+p%3AL+and+WP%3E40&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest

     
    staf
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2014 - 9:24 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by haappyy:

    1 run games broken down by totals please and thank you


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=margin%3D1+and+total&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by haappyy:

    1 run games broken down by totals please and thank you


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=margin%3D1+and+total&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
     
    haappyy
    haappyy
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2014 - 1:32 AM ET #59

    doesnt work staf
    Reply
    doesnt work staf
     
    Pendo
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2014 - 5:13 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    From sportsdatabase.com I get 3971 games where the favorite won by 1 run.  There are 25525 games in the database. So a little over 15.5%


    Same query, but excluding Monday-Thursday games
    i.e., only Fri., Sat., and Sun.....?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    From sportsdatabase.com I get 3971 games where the favorite won by 1 run.  There are 25525 games in the database. So a little over 15.5%


    Same query, but excluding Monday-Thursday games
    i.e., only Fri., Sat., and Sun.....?
     
    Bart_
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2014 - 7:30 PM ET #61

    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 
    Reply
    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 
     
    Jattdoit
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2014 - 11:47 PM ET #62

    Hey Irage, was hoping you could do a query on teams that are at the bottom of the division and the top of the division, and what is the most consecutive road wins they had in a row, and home wins in a row? For example cubs just had a six game home stand and had won five games in a row at home before losing to the marlins today at home. They are at the bottom of the central division.
    Reply
    Hey Irage, was hoping you could do a query on teams that are at the bottom of the division and the top of the division, and what is the most consecutive road wins they had in a row, and home wins in a row? For example cubs just had a six game home stand and had won five games in a row at home before losing to the marlins today at home. They are at the bottom of the central division.
     
    Baath887
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2014 - 12:44 PM ET #63

    Irage... are you still alive? lol
    Reply
    Irage... are you still alive? lol
     
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2014 - 7:16 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28%28p%3ASG%3D3+and+streak%3C-2%29+or+%28p%3ASG%3D4+and+streak%3C-3%29+or+%28p%3ASG%3D2+and+streak%3C-1%29%29+and+SG%3D1&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28%28p%3ASG%3D3+and+streak%3C-2%29+or+%28p%3ASG%3D4+and+streak%3C-3%29+or+%28p%3ASG%3D2+and+streak%3C-1%29%29+and+SG%3D1&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
     
    traderjoe13
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:32 AM ET #65

    Was curious to see how teams do the day after a walk off or winning the game in their last at bat.
    Reply
    Was curious to see how teams do the day after a walk off or winning the game in their last at bat.
     
    staf
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 7:45 PM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:

    Was curious to see how teams do the day after a walk off or winning the game in their last at bat.

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28p%3AM8%3C1+and+p%3AW%29+or+p%3AWOW&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:

    Was curious to see how teams do the day after a walk off or winning the game in their last at bat.

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28p%3AM8%3C1+and+p%3AW%29+or+p%3AWOW&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
     
    Baath887
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 8:25 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28p%3AM8%3C1+and+p%3AW%29+or+p%3AWOW&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest


    Ok man since you seem to have taken Irage's place in this thread, here is a query for you:

    When the game is tied after 5 full innings, what % of the time does the DOG win the game? The dog must be dog at the beginning of the game.

    I need this info backtested going back as further as possible, a little 10 years would be fabulous.

    Just to be clear on the calculation, it needs to go like this:

    100% = games tied after 5 full innings
    Dog win% = out of that 100% above


    Thanks!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=%28p%3AM8%3C1+and+p%3AW%29+or+p%3AWOW&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest


    Ok man since you seem to have taken Irage's place in this thread, here is a query for you:

    When the game is tied after 5 full innings, what % of the time does the DOG win the game? The dog must be dog at the beginning of the game.

    I need this info backtested going back as further as possible, a little 10 years would be fabulous.

    Just to be clear on the calculation, it needs to go like this:

    100% = games tied after 5 full innings
    Dog win% = out of that 100% above


    Thanks!!
     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 11:02 PM ET #68

    I've got a spin off of bD's MC1 system.
    His system is fade a home team after returning from a 6 game or more away trip when play 5 games at home.
    I want to take the series that have them playing a 3 game series vs a team.
    Chase the away team for the 3 games only if they start as favorites in game 1.
    Also want to look at chasing the away team if their win pct is over 0.517.
    Cheers.
    Reply
    I've got a spin off of bD's MC1 system.
    His system is fade a home team after returning from a 6 game or more away trip when play 5 games at home.
    I want to take the series that have them playing a 3 game series vs a team.
    Chase the away team for the 3 games only if they start as favorites in game 1.
    Also want to look at chasing the away team if their win pct is over 0.517.
    Cheers.
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2014 - 12:27 AM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by DrChase:

    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man


    This year alone a staggering 100% of games favorites that win by exactly 1. 148 - 0. On the flip side dogs that win by exactly 1 are 100% as well 128 - 0.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DrChase:

    Whats the percentage of times a favorite wins by exactly one run?

    Thanks man


    This year alone a staggering 100% of games favorites that win by exactly 1. 148 - 0. On the flip side dogs that win by exactly 1 are 100% as well 128 - 0.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2014 - 12:36 AM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by coolspot:

    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.


    For 2014 only 40% are wins, but I don't keep track of teams win %, so it's not exactly what you are looking for.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by coolspot:

    what percentage of teams above 400pct win the second game of a 3 game series after losing the first game.


    For 2014 only 40% are wins, but I don't keep track of teams win %, so it's not exactly what you are looking for.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2014 - 12:49 AM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 


    2014 = 46.8%, Mets recently lost back to back series.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    Can you write a query that finds teams which have been swept in a series? 


    2014 = 46.8%, Mets recently lost back to back series.
     
    irage
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2014 - 12:54 AM ET #72

    Thanks Staf for the assist.

    I've been buried at work and had my grandson for the past 2 weeks, so I've been a bit busy.
    Reply
    Thanks Staf for the assist.

    I've been buried at work and had my grandson for the past 2 weeks, so I've been a bit busy.
     
    staf
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2014 - 7:24 PM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:



    Ok man since you seem to have taken Irage's place in this thread, here is a query for you:

    When the game is tied after 5 full innings, what % of the time does the DOG win the game? The dog must be dog at the beginning of the game.

    I need this info backtested going back as further as possible, a little 10 years would be fabulous.

    Just to be clear on the calculation, it needs to go like this:

    100% = games tied after 5 full innings
    Dog win% = out of that 100% above


    Thanks!!

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:



    Ok man since you seem to have taken Irage's place in this thread, here is a query for you:

    When the game is tied after 5 full innings, what % of the time does the DOG win the game? The dog must be dog at the beginning of the game.

    I need this info backtested going back as further as possible, a little 10 years would be fabulous.

    Just to be clear on the calculation, it needs to go like this:

    100% = games tied after 5 full innings
    Dog win% = out of that 100% above


    Thanks!!

    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
     
    Baath887
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2014 - 7:59 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest


    Wow man, thanks! Would it be possible for you to run it for 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010 also?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by staf:


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest


    Wow man, thanks! Would it be possible for you to run it for 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010 also?
     
     
    staf
    staf
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 132
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 6:28 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:



    Wow man, thanks! Would it be possible for you to run it for 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010 also?


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D+and+season&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:



    Wow man, thanks! Would it be possible for you to run it for 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010 also?


    https://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sdql=M5%3D0+and+D+and+season&submit=S+D+Q+L+!&sid=guest
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