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1st Inning Score Chase System

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Posted: #101
7/21/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (23-0 YTD)

CHC / COL (SCR Y) - C  Bet
OAK / LAA (SCR N) - C  Bet

UNOFFICIAL (30-4 YTD)

PHI / NYM (SCR N) - C Bet
 
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Posted: #102
DG have you looked back at the 23-0 official record to see what would have happened if you chased the opposite essentially taking the +money?
 
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Posted: #103

Degen with your two official play wins today I show you are at 25-0.

  • A: 11-14
  • B: 7-7
  • C: 7-0

Breakdown by Yes or No:

YES: 11-0

  • A: 4-7
  • B: 5-2
  • C: 2-0

NO: 14-0

  • A: 7-7
  • B: 2-5
  • C: 5-0
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

DG have you looked back at the 23-0 official record to see what would have happened if you chased the opposite essentially taking the +money?

I have not - but if I have time i'll take a look - maybe something there.  Thanks for the heads up
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Degen with your two official play wins today I show you are at 25-0.

  • A: 11-14
  • B: 7-7
  • C: 7-0

Breakdown by Yes or No:

YES: 11-0

  • A: 4-7
  • B: 5-2
  • C: 2-0

NO: 14-0

  • A: 7-7
  • B: 2-5
  • C: 5-0

Thanks for the help DanRules - as always - you RULE!!! 
 
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Posted: #106
7/21/13 Results

OFFICIAL (25-0 YTD)

CHC / COL (SCR Y) - C  Bet - W
OAK / LAA (SCR N) - C  Bet - W

UNOFFICIAL (30-5 YTD)

PHI / NYM (SCR N) - C Bet - L


Looks like it's time to shut down the unofficial plays
 
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Posted: #107
7/22/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (25-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - A  Bet
OAK / HOU (SCR N) - A  Bet
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - A  Bet
TB / BOS (SCR Y) - A  Bet

 
Prospect
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Posted: #108
Is there a data base available where the system can be back-tested? I never see old 1st inning lines.
 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by DobisPR:

Is there a data base available where the system can be back-tested? I never see old 1st inning lines.

Donbest has 1st inning logs - I have a DB of 1st inning score results but have not had time to backtest - if you're offering to backtest - i can post it here
 
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Posted: #110
7/22/13 Results

OFFICIAL (27-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - A  Bet - L
OAK / HOU (SCR N) - A  Bet - W
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - A  Bet - L
TB / BOS (SCR Y) - A  Bet - W


7/23/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (27-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - B  Bet
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - B  Bet
 
Prospect
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Posted: #111
Sure, I'll help out. Lemme know.
 
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Posted: #112
7/23/13 Results

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - B  Bet - W
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - B  Bet - W

No plays for 7/24
 
MVP
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Posted: #113
29 units in six weeks is sick
 
Prospect
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Posted: #114
looks like a few good plays for the 25th
 
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Posted: #115
7/25/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

No official plays for 7/25

For you action junkies you could play LAA/OAK (N SCR) and CIN / LAD (Y SCR) - but their Last 3 numbers take them out of the Official play category
 
Prospect
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Posted: #116
When would you start this system next year...how far into the season would you wait before starting?
 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by flwareagle:

When would you start this system next year...how far into the season would you wait before starting?

Would probably start end of May timeframe.  Hopefully some backtesting would show the optimal time to start and stop the system.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #118
does NYM/WAS qualify for the NO? Officially?

one of the teams has its last 3 at 33.33%

I believe for it to be a NO pick no individual stat can be above 33%, but only 0% is lower than 33.33% in that particular column.
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

does NYM/WAS qualify for the NO? Officially?

one of the teams has its last 3 at 33.33%

I believe for it to be a NO pick no individual stat can be above 33%, but only 0% is lower than 33.33% in that particular column.

Yes that is correct
 
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Posted: #120
7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 


those would of been unofficial plays?   so this the only official for the weekend?  

any unofficial for the junkies? lol
 
Prospect
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 

Why is this an official play?  WAS last 3 were 33.3% and last 1 was 100%.  What am I missing?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #123
"Last 1" is not a factor, ignore it.

"Last 3" is rounded down seeing as there is nothing between 0% and 33.33% for that stat. Essentially they scored in the first inning only once in their last 3 games. If doing that made it a no play there would be VERY FEW plays.
 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

"Last 1" is not a factor, ignore it.

"Last 3" is rounded down seeing as there is nothing between 0% and 33.33% for that stat. Essentially they scored in the first inning only once in their last 3 games. If doing that made it a no play there would be VERY FEW plays.

In that case, the system has a loss.  I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by flwareagle:


In that case, the system has a loss.  I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.

That was actually the weekend before the All-Star break.
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