All Forums | Systems & Strategies

1st Inning Score Chase System

...

Participants:

Posts: 223

NoSoLucky

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 99

Posted: Jul. 27, 2013 - 12:42 AM ET #126

Quote Originally Posted by flwareagle:

In that case, the system has a loss. I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.

Incorrect. According to teamrankings.com on the 12th when that chase would have started, TB 2013 record was 33.33%. That and the other stats must be below 33% to be a play. The only stat that is rounded down from 33.33% is the "last 3" stat.

Like I said before, that is most likely because there would be very few plays if that had to be 0%.

Oh and the 2nd game of the double header was a win today.

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Jul. 27, 2013 - 1:15 AM ET #127

7/26/13 Results

OFFICIAL (30-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet - W

No new series till Monday

flwareagle

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 298

Posted: Jul. 27, 2013 - 9:08 AM ET #128

Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

The only stat that is rounded down from 33.33% is the "last 3" stat.

Not trying to argue, but I went back through the thread and did not see where it said to round the last 3 only. Is that a revision? I understand why, but just didn't see where it was posted to only round the last 3. Either way...I really like this chase system.

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Jul. 28, 2013 - 4:09 PM ET #129

so maybe this will clear up some confusion here is the criteria I use - as far as rounding down I do that especially if the individual stat is 33.3% or something.

SCR Y PLAY - Must have a total of 63% or more for 2013, last 3 and Hm/Awy (All Individual team % must be more than 30%)

SCR N PLAY - Must have a total of 55% or less for 2013, last 3 and Hm/Awy AND (All Individual team % must be less than 33%)

NoSoLucky

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 99

Posted: Jul. 28, 2013 - 11:37 PM ET #130

So the CIN/SD series is a YES? And the only play I assume?

730champ

MVP

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 16266

Posted: Jul. 29, 2013 - 4:48 PM ET #131

so one official play today?

NoSoLucky

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 99

Posted: Jul. 29, 2013 - 6:53 PM ET #132

teamrankings updated their site. CIN's last 3 is now 0% which makes this a no play

RaintreeTrading

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 7

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 11:17 AM ET #133

Looks like a good system will keep an eye on it. Thanks

730champ

MVP

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 16266

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 3:54 PM ET #134

anything today?

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 4:19 PM ET #135

7/30/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (30-0 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - A Bet

CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - B Bet

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 4:19 PM ET #136

Sorry for the late posts - on vacation until Sunday - so may not post in a timely manner

SweetDickWormy

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 473

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 4:59 PM ET #137

Forgive me Degen, but I thought WAS/DET qualified as a no score wager today as well per the system parameters?

Thank you, and enjoy your vacation!

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Jul. 30, 2013 - 6:48 PM ET #138

Quote Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Forgive me Degen, but I thought WAS/DET qualified as a no score wager today as well per the system parameters?

Thank you, and enjoy your vacation!

WAS / DET was close for a SCR N - except DET home % is 35.3% which is clearly over the 33% criteria - but all the other stats line up

PLUS - pitching match up looks good for the N SCR - sanchez vs strasburg.

I couldn't fault any one for putting money on todays game as a one off - for a N SCR 1st inning - but as far as official plays go - it's a no go.

730champ

MVP

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 16266

Posted: Jul. 31, 2013 - 4:47 PM ET #139

was cincy an official play or not?

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Aug. 1, 2013 - 9:53 AM ET #140

7/31/13 Results

OFFICIAL (31-1 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - W

CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - L

So the first loss for the official plays this season - depending on what line you got it was probably around a 9-10 unit loss

NoSoLucky

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 99

Posted: Aug. 1, 2013 - 5:06 PM ET #141

Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/31/13 Results

OFFICIAL (31-1 YTD)

KC / MIN (SCR N) - W

CIN / SDG (SCR Y) - L

So the first loss for the official plays this season - depending on what line you got it was probably around a 9-10 unit loss

Not so sure about that. The CIN/SD series started on the 7/29. According to teamrakings.com CIN was at 0% for "last 3." I checked just before making the bet and it was at 0% then and not just at the end of the day. It must be over 30% right? Which I guess means the system is still undefeated.

SweetDickWormy

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 473

Posted: Aug. 1, 2013 - 5:22 PM ET #142

I believe Lucky is correct Degen. I noticed that too and stayed away.

Your system is still undefeated!

Moneycash

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 125

Posted: Aug. 1, 2013 - 5:23 PM ET #143

i want play whis this system help me to use this system :(

730champ

MVP

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 16266

Posted: Aug. 2, 2013 - 3:05 PM ET #144

does anybody know if there is anything today?

DegenGamble

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 1150

Posted: Aug. 2, 2013 - 3:36 PM ET #145

Quote Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I believe Lucky is correct Degen. I noticed that too and stayed away.

Your system is still undefeated!

To be honest I don't know - I may have missed the Last 3 stat - as I said I'm on vacation so - may have just over looked it - I will keep it in for now - but good catch by you guys and laying off.