Posted:
#51
Forgot to say thanks for the Cin@Tex (SCR N) play on Sunday!!! Started my day off in the right direction!
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1st Inning Score Chase System
Posted:
#53
YTD 27-1 (have not back tested yet)
7/2/13 Results
OFFICIAL
DET / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet - W
ARI / NYM (SCR N) - B Bet - W
SEA / TEX (SCR N) - A Bet - L
LAD / COL (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
UNOFFICIAL
NYY / MIN (SCR N) - B Bet - W
MIL / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet - W
BAL / CWS (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
CLE / KC (SCR N) - A Bet - L
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Posted:
#59
YTD 33-2 (have not back tested yet)
7/5/13 Results
OFFICIAL
HOU / TEX (SCR N) - A Bet - L
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - A Bet - L
COL / ARI (SCR Y) - A Bet - W
UNOFFICIAL
MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
BAL / NYY (SCR N) - A Bet - W
OAK / KC (SCR N) - A Bet - W
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet - L
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Posted:
#61
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
YTD 33-2 (have not back tested yet)
7/6/13 Plays
OFFICIAL
HOU / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - B Bet
UNOFFICIAL
MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - B Bet
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet
quick question so scr n means no score in first inning and scr y means a score correct?
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Posted:
#66
YTD 37-3 (have not back tested yet)
7/7/13 Results
OFFICIAL
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - C Bet - W
UNOFFICIAL
MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - C Bet - L
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - C Bet - W
UnOfficial Plays not doing so hot - gonna track unofficial plays for one more week before killing them - on the bright side the Official plays are undefeated.
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Posted:
#69
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
In a quest to find other angles for systems - I had a thought on chasing 1st inning scores (by either team)
In a quest to find other angles for systems - I had a thought on chasing 1st inning scores (by either team)
So I created a preliminary spreadsheet to test things out and to solicit feedback - if it does well for a week or so - I'll see if I can backtest and as always hopefully we can think of things to make it better.
You can download the automated spreadsheet from here:
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5dydT9Oe6JbNV9tQ0wyamFUMlE/edit?usp=sharing
I basically pull the 1st inning score % for each team for 2013, last 3 and Home/Away from teamrankings.com
I then look for a total of 64% or greater for all 3 categories to initiate a 3 game chase (no 2 game series)
This will be a test for a week or so - and if it works out - I may be looking for volunteers to run the thread while I work on improvements - lol - you guys know my track record for threads. 
Just downloaded your excel sheet and trying to update it. Are you still supporting/updating it?
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Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:
Looks promising. Good job DG.
My system involved more of a money management focus on taking the biggest dog in every time slot. Had a long losing streak midway through the second season and took up too much time.
Gonna get on board today.
Looks promising. Good job DG.
My system involved more of a money management focus on taking the biggest dog in every time slot. Had a long losing streak midway through the second season and took up too much time.
Gonna get on board today.
Thanks Smitler - yeah I like how your system chased dog plays - too bad it had a losing streak in the middle of the season
I still need to back test this system to make sure it's just not a short run winning streak - hoping to find some filters that will allow more "OFFICIAL" plays and verify it's profitable in the long run Luckily the "OFFICIAL" plays seem to be holding up. It's the UNOFFICIAL plays that seem to be less desirable
But I am horrible at backtesting - 
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