same as yesterday. Expected 0-0 by “experts”. 2-0 real quick. games you expect 4 goals produce 1 in first half maybe
I realized in stupid soccer, when it looks calm as fck with 0-0 , somehow a score pops out of the blue at like 40 mins before half time lol
So I want to post this game because I really really like it.
To begin, this will already be the THIRD game between a European team and an African team. Both games ended with the European being tested until a second goal late in the game produced a 2-1 result. Much will be similar here, except the final result.
I do NOT like the Belgian coach, I have said that much over and over. The Belgians somehow advanced and actually WON the group stage after pummeling New Zealand, a side that was amongst the worst in the tournament. The five goals represent more than the Red Devils had managed across their previous seven World Cup matches combined! I'm not going to be sold on that showing against a weak team but instead I will point to the games against both Iran and Egypt that ended up in a draw. And Senegal is/was rated higher than Egypt.
Senegal on the other hand came out of the group of death with France and Norway both taking them out, both of which happen to also be European teams, the first of which is the odds on favorite to lift the CUP. But...Senegal scored in both of those games and they have only not scored TWICE over their past 10 games. They hammered Iraq 5-0 so they have the talent to get the ball into the back of the net, and more than once for that matter!
Five of Senegal’s last six games featured over 3.5 goals and I think that this game should be played open and Senegal will have nothing to lose. Belgium have an insane amount of pressure on them to perform and they certainly have the talent to do so. But they are a sum of parts instead of one team that flows. That will be the biggest issue for them in my opinion.
YES BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE BELGIUM/SENEGAL (-150)...BIG PLAY!!!: Senegal will score so if the Belgians dont' then they will be heading home. I can see an exciting game here even though both will be tight and nervy given the stakes. I already have them as the second leg of a parlay with DR Congo +1.5 so fingers crossed...
OVER 2.5 FG BELGIUM/SENEGAL (-135): I would BIG PLAY this at -160 including extra time but I think this gets over the hump in regulation. Might also be worth taking a shot at OVER 3.5 (+185) but I won't make that an official play as it's more based on trends than the magnitude of the game.
ISMAILA SARR ANYTIME GOALSCORER (+285): Can't make this a play but he has as good a chance as any to score for Senegal. Strangely something doesn't line up, I think this game will see goals but both of the team totals provide heavy returns if you take either TT over 1.5 goals. But the total is only juiced 125 to the OVER?
Here is the thing, I am going to lay so much cash on the USA tonight so this is all just lining up for me. I don't want to take a bath but some of these games are kinda obvious, at least for me. The first game I took a shot at the FH Under, haven't played one of those this Cup. I won't do it again but the return was just so appetizing.
Gonna stick with these, was EXTREMELY tempted to add the FH OVER 1 but I dont' want to overexpose myself. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Why is soccer stupid? Don't you also bet baseball? I could argue that is in of itself much more stupid and I have a ton of knowledge in MLB because of relationships and "working in the industry". I would actually argue that baseball has purposely put in rules that will impact scoring b/c U.S. based fans only watch sports with scoring. I am American and actually can't disagree. Look at all the sports and the uptick in scoring, especially hockey.
So the game of soccer is only stupid to you not because YOU are stupid, but because you are conditioned to not enjoy a lower scoring game due to ignorance of many American sports fans that have a bevy of sports to choose from. Dont' forget globally nobody really cares about baseball and certainly not the NFL, which is the biggest fraud of any of the leagues. I happen to also crush in the NFL but I had a really challenging year last year and part of that was due to the insane scoring in the NFL games.
Soccer is not stupid, it's just you're not conditioned to watch the beautiful game. I mean the NFL has one play ever 30 seconds so that's as slow as you can get, even in tennis guys don't take that long to get the ball back in play.
Maybe a controversial post/response but those are just my own observations.
I'm so mad at myself might just stop posting altogether. I spend so much time drafting these that sometimes I get put into a pickle myself by not just overthinking but being up against the clock to get my own plays in. And mind you I don't make a penny for doing this for others but have gotten ridiculed in the past.
I wanted to take Senegal FH at +285 and then just quietly didn't. Thought there was no reason they couldn't win and those were extremely juicy odds.
Believe me, I'm super happy we got half of our BTTS and 1/3 of the FG OVER. I'm not going to act ungrateful. It just takes me so much time to post and then I want to try and answer questions but it often times puts me up against my own clock and then, like today, it costs me.
And I know, I could go grab it live but I usually do not engage in live bets nor do I post them since I think it's unfair to presume people are on the site refreshing pages after a game begins. Oh well, I am going to shower and wash it off if the Belgians can get on the board, I will be 10 times as happy as I am frustrated right now.
Ok, that's enough of my venting. Just sucks to leave money on the table and I also took Sarr as an anytime goal scorer and he came closer than you can actually come without scoring.
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