THE MOST PROFITABLE BETTING STRATEGY

All I have to do is choose a football team to bet on. For example, I choose Napoli. I decide what starting amount I will bet on. In this example, the starting amount is €100.

The bet is placed on the HT/FT game. In this example it is: draw/Napoli.

 • First attempt: Payment €100, betting odds are 5,15. Ticket not won. Total balance is -€100.

 • Second attempt: Payment €239, betting odds are 4.70. Ticket not won. Total balance is -€339.

 • Third attempt: Payment €306, betting odds are 6.45. Ticket not won. Total balance is -€645.

 • Fourth attempt: Payment €414, betting odds are 7.30. Ticket not won. Total balance is -€1059.

 • Fifth attempt: Payment €625, betting odds are 6.75. The ticket is won. The winnings are €4219 and the total balance is +€2535.

Just for comparison, if we make all five attempts with a fixed deposit of €100 and all five tickets are winning, then the total balance will be: 415+370+545+630+575=€2535.

Conclusion: This betting strategy, with just one winning ticket, achieves the same total balance as if we had five winning tickets with a fixed payment.

This betting strategy can be continued with the same football team with the same initial payment of €100 or continued with a new football team, with the same or a different initial payment.

Please read posts: #18,#19 and #20.

@Sanargon

 Thank you for the invitation. I have carefully reviewed your site.                                                                           But from 2014 until today, I have only been practicing the strategy that I am publicly announcing for the first time.      

So we bet only on Draw/FT & Napoli

@Ogaga828

 No. Napoli is listed as an example. You can bet on any other team.

@Taurus15

 Nice strategy. 

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

It would be working better, with a small filter added, like:

If in this case was: "draw/Napoli"

=> Start on step 1 only if in Napoli's previous match in the same competition (this is also important, do not mix cups with league games!) would have been a loser if playing the "draw/Napoli".

Even better:

Start on step 1 only if in Napoli's previous 2 matches in the same competition would have been both losers if playing the "draw/Napoli".

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Drawback of this whole strategy:

Takes too much time to go with all 5 steps (if first 4 steps are all losers), some times will take 4 weeks or even more.

Workaround of this drawback:

Go with 2, 3, 4 or even 5 teams at the same time (maybe start in the same day all 2-5), after you divide your bankroll in 2, 3, 4 or even 5 equal parts for each team.

@Taurus15

 I hope you do not want to use this thread only to spam to advertise some site!

(Because of what you have replied to "Sanargon".)

@jersey_dude

 I have no intention of advertising any sites. "Sanargon" invited me to visit his site. While I was browsing his site, his post had already been deleted.

As for your comments, I sincerely appreciate them. However, read the post HT/FT Betting Strategy, Top Events 2025-26 on the same forum and everything will be clearer to you. You will see that the strategy has no flaws. The whole idea of the strategy is to achieve a guaranteed profit in the long run.

greeting

@Taurus15

I have read now the https://www.covers.com/forum/soccer-36/htft-betting-strategy-top-events-2025-26-103964489. (You should have posted this link in the first post of this thread to make things clear.)

So I see you stick to a team from the 1st match of the season until the last match of the season, also including everything in between (league +any kind of cups). Right? You only skip friendlies or you include those too?

@jersey_dude

 That's right, I only skip the friendly matches.

I was wrapping my head around this strategy, and.... I do not want to seem like someone ruining anything possible good, but....

I would think that in case if this strategy is always successful in the long run, any bookie on the face of Earth would ban someone using this (even Pinnacle), even well before the end of a full season.

How easy is to detect by the bookies' the strategy, if it is always the same "draw/win" for example. Or we can go with any kind of other high odds generating proposition, if researched over a season looks good, like following a team with "Over 3.5 full time" or "Under 1.5 full time".

Yes, one can add a lots of side bets all the time besides this strategy, to confuse and to not seem obvious for the bookie, but still... in these days when they are using that many software to detect any kind of "unfair" advantage (unfair from their point of view, lol) of the players, how would something like this work?

What do you think?

@jersey_dude

 Man you saying rubbish, bookies don't care about your bets man

@Taurus15

 I want to follow your strategy, every step of the way, your team and even bet.

Please create a channel or something

I don't still understand everything 

Dude, if you are saying this, you have no freaking idea how real life betting works.

Bookies will severely limit any player who is a winner in the long run, in case if they are making more than some non-important amounts of money in time - I mean if one makes just around $100 each and every month on average, they will not limit.

The one and only bookie I know and I trust in the world, that will not limit you, no matter even if you make several thousands of $$ per month, and each and every month, is Pinnacle (there maybe some Asian bookies too, but probably restricted to locals). Other than that, you can use betting exchanges if you are forever big enough winner, or some Asian betting brokerages, to have access to Pinnacle and exchanges too + maybe some Asian bookies).

This strategy is a failure was tried many years ago

@jersey_dude

 I prefer to respond to everyone immediately. However, when I tried to respond to your previous comment, I received a notification that as a new member of this forum, I am only allowed to post five times a day.

If you have already read the post at the following link: https://www.covers.com/forum/soccer-36/htft-betting-strategy-top-events-2025-26-103964489 you will notice that I have processed Arsenal for the entire 2024/25 season as an example. And if you notice that for the entire season Arsenal has played 58 matches excluding friendlies. If we make a payment with a correctly calculated payment for all 58 matches, with an initial payment of €100 with a total balance of +€25350. In this case, we only have 10 winning tickets, the remaining 48 tickets are losers.

What is the "unfair" advantage here? We have 48 tickets with a negative balance and only 10 tickets with a positive balance.

No software can detect anything. The strategy system itself does not allow it.

But we can discover it ourselves by publicly presenting too much data.

You can find me, just put an A in front of my name. I'll explain everything in detail in a private message.

@Ogaga828

 Thank you for your trust. I already have a channel. Read my posts carefully and you will find me. I will explain everything in detail there.

@jersey_dude

 #13

Why do you think bookmakers will severely limit any player who is a long-term winner?

By applying this strategy, bookmakers cannot discover that you are the overall winner at the end of the season.

Here's why:

I will return to the example of Arsenal again. During the entire 2024/25 season, this team has played 58 matches. We make 58 correctly calculated payments of the type draw/Arsenal.

We make several payments in several bookmakers. For example, in 6 bookmakers we will pay 9 to 10 tickets alternately. This means that in each bookmaker we would achieve approximately the same results, i.e. we would have 8 to 9 losing tickets and 1 or 2 winning tickets.

Even if one of the bookmakers decided to follow you, what would they conclude? They would conclude that throughout the season you placed 10 bets on one team, skipping their matches, and made 9 losing bets and 1 winning bet.

Based on this, can any of these 6 bookmakers conclude that you are the overall winner at the end of the season and place any restrictions on you?

There are a few more things you need to know to successfully implement this strategy.

The strategy is ideal.

Only those who have not understood the essence of this strategy criticize it.

ARSENAL 2024/25 - score, odds and a complete betting strategy

All score and odds are real and taken from:

https://www.oddsportal.com/search/results/:hA1Zm19f/

Half Time / Full Time => Draw / Arsenal

from August 17, 2024 to May 25, 2025

 score W/L odds   pay           total

1 1:0 2:0 L 4.30     10              -10

2 0:0 0:2 W 4.85.  21.17       71.5

3 1:0 1:1 L 4.40.     10.          61.5

4 0:0 0:1 W 6.50.   18           160.5

5 0:0 0:0 L 5.00      10.          150.5

6 1:2 2:2 L 11.0.     15.          135.5

7 2:0 5:1 L 5.20    49.29        86.21

8 2:0 4:2 L 4.05    94.03        -7.82

9 2:0 2:0 L 4.65   114.33      -122.15

10 0:0 3:1 W 4.35  168.7       443

11 0:0 2:0 L 5.00      10          433

12 1:0 1:0 L 4.33    25.02.     407.98

13 2:1 2:2 L 5.60    33.55      374.43

14 0:2 0:3 L 4.20    68.71      305.72

15 1:0 1:0 L 5.10    80.39      225.33

16 1:0 1:0 L 6.50    84.54     140.79

17 0:0 1:1 L 6.50  109.91     30.88

18 1:0 3:0 L 4.10   240.46     -209.58

19 0:3 1:5 L 5.50   229.08.    -438.66

20 2:5 2:5 L 4.40   380.58.    -819.24

21 0:0 2:0 W 4.40  502.51      889.3

22 1:0 1:1 L 4.65.      10.          879.3

23 1:0 3:0 L 4.35    23.88.       855.42

24 0:0 0:0 L 4.00    44.63        810.79

25 0:1 3:2 L 4.50       61          749.79

26 1:3 1:5 L 4.33     92.44      657.35

27 1:0 1:0 L 4.40    127.72     529.63

28 1:1 1:3 W 4.60   166.1.      1127.6

29 0:1 1:1 L 4.80       10.         1117.6

30 0:1 0:2 L 4.60     23.33       1094.3

      score W/L odds pay.          total

31 0:0 1:1 L 4.75    38.62        1055.7

32 2:1 2:1 L 4.35    64.76         990.89

33 1:0 2:2 L 4.60    88.25         902.64

34 1:0 3:0 L 4.35   131.18        771.46

35 0:0 0:1 W 4.50  173.04       1377.1

36 1:2 1:2 L 4.40.       10.         1367.1

37 1:0 5:1 L 5.40         20          1347.1

38 1:0 2:0 L 5.10.    36.34         1310.8

39 0:0 0:2 W 4.18.  68.28.        1527.9

40 0:1 0: 1 L 4.04       10           1517.9

41 0:0 0: 0 L 5.01     20.07       1497.8

42 1:3 1:7 L 5.03      34.96       1462.9

43 1:0 1: 1 L 4.76    56.76.       1406.1

44 2:1 2:2 L 4.51     86.98.       1319.1

45 1:0 1:0 L 4.67.    116.89      1202.2

46 1:0 2:1 L 4.30    175.41       1026.8

47 0:1 1:1 L 5.10    193.97        832.86

48 0:0 3:0 W 5.46   231.8         1866.7

49 0:0 1:1 L 4.70.      10.           1856.7

50 0:0 1:2 W 12.0    14.27        2013.7

51 0:2 0:4 L 4.35.       10.          2003.7

52 2:1 2:2 L 4.25.     23.38       1980.3

53 0:1 0:1 L 5.50      32.08       1948.2

54 1:0 1:2 L 4.90.     55.25.        1893

55 1:0 2:1 L 7.50.     51.65       1841.3

56 2:0 2:2 L 7.83      66.71       1774.6

57 0:0 1:0 W 5.50    126.08      2342

58 0:1 1:2 L 4.50         10.         2332

In this strategy, the most important thing is to calculate the next payment accurately. The system does everything else.

The example shows that for an initial payment of (for example $10) the strategy system itself provides a balance of $2342, with only 10 winning predictions out of a total of 58 predictions.

The same goes for an initial payment of $100 or any other payment.

The most important thing is to accurately calculate the payment depending on the betting odds for the next match.

If we make a payment different from the correctly calculated payment in each subsequent match, at the end of the season we will receive a different balance than desired and thus we will not have achieved the goal of the HT/FT betting strategy.

This HT/FT betting strategy applies exclusively to the draw/selected team game, in this example draw/Arsenal.

Draw/selected team betting strategy.

I hope that most of you will welcome this idea. Those who cannot calculate their next payment themselves will have each subsequent payment calculated for them.

In this strategy, the most important thing is to calculate the next payment accurately. The system does everything else.

@Taurus15

 So, is there a formula to calculate the next stake (payment)?

@TobyJugg

 Excellent question. Yes, the calculation of the next bet is done exclusively with a formula. But unfortunately I don't have the technical ability to write the formula in the post.

I primarily wanted to present the strategy to you as a good idea, and for all those who know mathematics well to create their own formula for calculating the next bet.

This like like reading war and peace

@Taurus15

I think I've figured out the staking plan. Quite a basic loss recovery system really. Like you, I don't have the mathematical ability to express it as a formula though.
It's theoretically an interesting strategy.