Amazonas host Cuiabá in a Serie B matchup that looks likely to produce over 2.5 goals. The home side’s defence has been fragile lately, conceding 9 goals in their last 6 games and rarely keeping a clean sheet. Cuiabá face similar issues at the back, having allowed goals in 5 of their last 6 matches. Notably, all of Cuiabá’s last six away fixtures have seen both teams score, highlighting their attacking intent but also defensive vulnerability. Although Amazonas have failed to find the net in their previous three Serie B games, their home form has been steadier, remaining unbeaten in their last two home outings. The previous meeting between these sides ended in a 3–1 victory for Cuiabá, which further supports the potential for goals in this fixture. Cuiabá enter the game with a fully fit squad, while Amazonas miss only midfielder F. da Cunha Neto, so both sides are expected to line up strong offensively. Given the stats, form trends, and history between these teams, a high-scoring encounter with over 2.5 goals seems very plausible.
America Mineiro – Novorizontino
03.11.2025 23:00
Brazil Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,50
The clash between América Mineiro and Grêmio Novorizontino looks set to be an open encounter, with strong potential for over 2.5 goals. América Mineiro have been consistent in front of goal, scoring in each of their last six matches while conceding in five of them, reflecting an attacking but defensively fragile style. They are unbeaten in their last six home games but haven’t managed a win in their previous two at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, suggesting they’ll push harder offensively this time. Grêmio Novorizontino, meanwhile, have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten Serie B matches and remain unbeaten in their last two away fixtures. Despite a recent trend of low-scoring games, their last head-to-head meeting ended 3–1 in favor of Novorizontino, showing that this matchup can produce goals. América Mineiro are only missing midfielder A. Egea, while the visitors will be without three defenders, including suspended J. Silva Dantas, which could expose their backline. Considering both sides’ form, attacking tendencies, and defensive absences, this fixture strongly points toward over 2.5 goals being scored.
0
Amazonas – Cuiaba
02.11.2025 20:00
Brazil Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,48
Amazonas host Cuiabá in a Serie B matchup that looks likely to produce over 2.5 goals. The home side’s defence has been fragile lately, conceding 9 goals in their last 6 games and rarely keeping a clean sheet. Cuiabá face similar issues at the back, having allowed goals in 5 of their last 6 matches. Notably, all of Cuiabá’s last six away fixtures have seen both teams score, highlighting their attacking intent but also defensive vulnerability. Although Amazonas have failed to find the net in their previous three Serie B games, their home form has been steadier, remaining unbeaten in their last two home outings. The previous meeting between these sides ended in a 3–1 victory for Cuiabá, which further supports the potential for goals in this fixture. Cuiabá enter the game with a fully fit squad, while Amazonas miss only midfielder F. da Cunha Neto, so both sides are expected to line up strong offensively. Given the stats, form trends, and history between these teams, a high-scoring encounter with over 2.5 goals seems very plausible.
America Mineiro – Novorizontino
03.11.2025 23:00
Brazil Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,50
The clash between América Mineiro and Grêmio Novorizontino looks set to be an open encounter, with strong potential for over 2.5 goals. América Mineiro have been consistent in front of goal, scoring in each of their last six matches while conceding in five of them, reflecting an attacking but defensively fragile style. They are unbeaten in their last six home games but haven’t managed a win in their previous two at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, suggesting they’ll push harder offensively this time. Grêmio Novorizontino, meanwhile, have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten Serie B matches and remain unbeaten in their last two away fixtures. Despite a recent trend of low-scoring games, their last head-to-head meeting ended 3–1 in favor of Novorizontino, showing that this matchup can produce goals. América Mineiro are only missing midfielder A. Egea, while the visitors will be without three defenders, including suspended J. Silva Dantas, which could expose their backline. Considering both sides’ form, attacking tendencies, and defensive absences, this fixture strongly points toward over 2.5 goals being scored.
Yesterday the summer tips period ended and today it's time to do a short recap. In the spring I decided to apply my tips selection strategy to a fairly wide set of leagues that are played at a time when the European leagues are on break. I didn't have any special ambitions, after all, two South American, two Asian, one Scandinavian league and two Irish leagues mean a wide range of playing styles and other specifics. So I went into it with the idea that this set would thoroughly test the robustness of my strategy. The result was quite surprising - the net profit after 187 matches played is 184.64 units and the Yield is 9.87%. Good for a start, you can build on that.
The general summary of the strategy is clear, there is nothing to add to this. I will only specify that I use flat stakes - i.e. equal stakes, i.e. 10 points per tip. My Closing Line Value (CLV) is negative for one (important to me) reason. I give tips well in advance, a day or two before the weekend. The odds of my matches usually do not drop – on the contrary – they are highest just before the start of the match. And since I do not want to spend weekend nights or mornings giving closing odds, I am resigned to a negative 2-3 percent CLV. It is the price for a quiet, undisturbed weekend.
The graph illustrates the growth of the bankroll, which is continuous until September. You can see a series of six won matches in a row, which we managed to do twice in August. In mid-September, it broke and a series of seven lost matches came, we lost about 30 percent of the profit and the worst drawdown was during this short period – up to 131.5 points.
The following is a table of monthly profits – we closed more than half of the seven-month period in profit. August 2025 stood out with a profit of 138.7 points. The worst month was October 2025, which ended in minus 24.6 points.
The last table illustrates the profits by league. Five out of seven leagues showed a profit. The Brazilian Seria A brought relatively high losses. The Japanese J1 League excelled – not only did it bring the highest profits, but it also amazed with its numbers. Win rate 57.14% at an average odds of 2.42!!!
Okay, let's outline the facts that will determine how we start the summer leagues in a year - that is, in May 2026. We will definitely eliminate the Brazilian Seria A. We will be left with the two Japanese leagues and the Brazilian Seria B. For now, I am undecided what to do with the two Irish leagues and the Swedish Superettan. It's not that they are critically unprofitable, it's more that they produce few signals - three leagues only delivered fourteen tips, which is not enough. We'll see - so for now we say goodbye to the summer leagues and the classic, European leagues await us. GL!
0
Hey!
Yesterday the summer tips period ended and today it's time to do a short recap. In the spring I decided to apply my tips selection strategy to a fairly wide set of leagues that are played at a time when the European leagues are on break. I didn't have any special ambitions, after all, two South American, two Asian, one Scandinavian league and two Irish leagues mean a wide range of playing styles and other specifics. So I went into it with the idea that this set would thoroughly test the robustness of my strategy. The result was quite surprising - the net profit after 187 matches played is 184.64 units and the Yield is 9.87%. Good for a start, you can build on that.
The general summary of the strategy is clear, there is nothing to add to this. I will only specify that I use flat stakes - i.e. equal stakes, i.e. 10 points per tip. My Closing Line Value (CLV) is negative for one (important to me) reason. I give tips well in advance, a day or two before the weekend. The odds of my matches usually do not drop – on the contrary – they are highest just before the start of the match. And since I do not want to spend weekend nights or mornings giving closing odds, I am resigned to a negative 2-3 percent CLV. It is the price for a quiet, undisturbed weekend.
The graph illustrates the growth of the bankroll, which is continuous until September. You can see a series of six won matches in a row, which we managed to do twice in August. In mid-September, it broke and a series of seven lost matches came, we lost about 30 percent of the profit and the worst drawdown was during this short period – up to 131.5 points.
The following is a table of monthly profits – we closed more than half of the seven-month period in profit. August 2025 stood out with a profit of 138.7 points. The worst month was October 2025, which ended in minus 24.6 points.
The last table illustrates the profits by league. Five out of seven leagues showed a profit. The Brazilian Seria A brought relatively high losses. The Japanese J1 League excelled – not only did it bring the highest profits, but it also amazed with its numbers. Win rate 57.14% at an average odds of 2.42!!!
Okay, let's outline the facts that will determine how we start the summer leagues in a year - that is, in May 2026. We will definitely eliminate the Brazilian Seria A. We will be left with the two Japanese leagues and the Brazilian Seria B. For now, I am undecided what to do with the two Irish leagues and the Swedish Superettan. It's not that they are critically unprofitable, it's more that they produce few signals - three leagues only delivered fourteen tips, which is not enough. We'll see - so for now we say goodbye to the summer leagues and the classic, European leagues await us. GL!
The upcoming match between Preston North End and Swansea City promises to be an open contest with strong potential for over 2.5 goals. Preston enter this fixture in good form after a 2–0 victory over Southampton, having scored eight goals in their last six games at an average of 1.33 per match. They have also been highly consistent at Deepdale, remaining unbeaten in 20 of their last 23 home Championship fixtures, which often encourages an attacking approach. Swansea, meanwhile, continue to struggle defensively, conceding in five of their last six matches and allowing a total of nine goals. Their recent fixtures tend to be open, with both teams finding scoring opportunities. Historically, matches between these two sides also produce goals – 16 in their last six meetings, averaging 2.67 per game. Preston will miss forward Will Keane and midfielder Josh Thompson, while Swansea’s backline is weakened by the absence of defender Almeida Santos and forward Benson Hedilazio. With both sides capable of scoring but vulnerable at the back, all indicators suggest this clash could see over 2.5 goals.
1
Preston – Swansea
5.11.2025 20:45
England Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,47
The upcoming match between Preston North End and Swansea City promises to be an open contest with strong potential for over 2.5 goals. Preston enter this fixture in good form after a 2–0 victory over Southampton, having scored eight goals in their last six games at an average of 1.33 per match. They have also been highly consistent at Deepdale, remaining unbeaten in 20 of their last 23 home Championship fixtures, which often encourages an attacking approach. Swansea, meanwhile, continue to struggle defensively, conceding in five of their last six matches and allowing a total of nine goals. Their recent fixtures tend to be open, with both teams finding scoring opportunities. Historically, matches between these two sides also produce goals – 16 in their last six meetings, averaging 2.67 per game. Preston will miss forward Will Keane and midfielder Josh Thompson, while Swansea’s backline is weakened by the absence of defender Almeida Santos and forward Benson Hedilazio. With both sides capable of scoring but vulnerable at the back, all indicators suggest this clash could see over 2.5 goals.
The upcoming match between US Orléans and Aubagne FC presents a strong outlook for goals, as both sides have shown patterns that consistently lead to high-scoring encounters. Orléans have conceded in each of their last six matches while also scoring in every home game this season, creating conditions for an open and dynamic contest. Additionally, all of their last six fixtures have produced more than 2.5 goals, confirming a clear upward scoring trend. Aubagne FC are the strongest away team in the league, having won the most away matches, and their confidence is backed by avoiding defeat in nine of their last eleven league games. Their solid away form suggests they will approach the game proactively rather than defensively. Orléans will also be weakened in midfield due to the absence of Y. Aouladzian with a cruciate ligament tear, which may further disrupt their defensive compactness. Given that both teams score frequently but struggle to keep clean sheets, the evidence strongly supports a match with over 2.5 total goals.
Sochaux – Dijon
21.11.2025 19:30
France National
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,45
The matchup between FC Sochaux and Dijon FCO carries notable goal potential, even though some recent fixtures from both sides have featured fewer goals. Sochaux has been the most productive home team in the league and has scored in every home match this season, indicating strong offensive capability. Their impressive 80 percent home win rate across the last five matches suggests they will approach the game proactively and look to control the tempo through attacking play. Dijon, meanwhile, has won the most away games in the league and has scored in each of their last three away fixtures, showing they are capable of contributing offensively even in difficult environments. The absence of midfielder H. Vargas Ríos weakens Dijon’s midfield structure and may create more space for Sochaux to generate scoring opportunities. With both teams demonstrating reliable attacking form and the ability to break down defenses, the conditions support a scenario where the match produces more than 2.5 goals despite some recent trends pointing toward lower scorelines.
0
Orleans – Aubagne
21.11.2025 19:30
France National
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 1,93
The upcoming match between US Orléans and Aubagne FC presents a strong outlook for goals, as both sides have shown patterns that consistently lead to high-scoring encounters. Orléans have conceded in each of their last six matches while also scoring in every home game this season, creating conditions for an open and dynamic contest. Additionally, all of their last six fixtures have produced more than 2.5 goals, confirming a clear upward scoring trend. Aubagne FC are the strongest away team in the league, having won the most away matches, and their confidence is backed by avoiding defeat in nine of their last eleven league games. Their solid away form suggests they will approach the game proactively rather than defensively. Orléans will also be weakened in midfield due to the absence of Y. Aouladzian with a cruciate ligament tear, which may further disrupt their defensive compactness. Given that both teams score frequently but struggle to keep clean sheets, the evidence strongly supports a match with over 2.5 total goals.
Sochaux – Dijon
21.11.2025 19:30
France National
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,45
The matchup between FC Sochaux and Dijon FCO carries notable goal potential, even though some recent fixtures from both sides have featured fewer goals. Sochaux has been the most productive home team in the league and has scored in every home match this season, indicating strong offensive capability. Their impressive 80 percent home win rate across the last five matches suggests they will approach the game proactively and look to control the tempo through attacking play. Dijon, meanwhile, has won the most away games in the league and has scored in each of their last three away fixtures, showing they are capable of contributing offensively even in difficult environments. The absence of midfielder H. Vargas Ríos weakens Dijon’s midfield structure and may create more space for Sochaux to generate scoring opportunities. With both teams demonstrating reliable attacking form and the ability to break down defenses, the conditions support a scenario where the match produces more than 2.5 goals despite some recent trends pointing toward lower scorelines.
The match between Valenciennes FC and FC Fleury 91 carries goal-scoring potential despite recent trends pointing toward low-scoring outcomes. Valenciennes have found the net in each of their last five matches and have scored in every home game this season, suggesting sustained attacking potency. With four wins in their last six home fixtures, Valenciennes typically approach matches at Stade du Hainaut with confidence and offensive intent. While Fleury has been involved in several low-scoring games and a run of draws, their five-match unbeaten streak indicates growing momentum that could translate into a more open style as they seek a breakthrough. The absence of forward R. Takaoka may lead Valenciennes to adjust their structure, which could affect their defensive balance and create more transitional opportunities for both sides. Considering the narrow point gap between the teams and their similar league positioning, this fixture has the potential to evolve into a more dynamic contest. These elements collectively support the possibility of the match producing over 2.5 goals.
Carrarese – Reggiana
22.11.2025 15:00
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,09
The matchup between Carrarese and Reggiana offers several indicators pointing toward a higher-scoring contest. Carrarese have conceded in five of their last six matches, allowing a total of nine goals, and the absence of goalkeeper Mazzini further weakens their defensive structure. Their most recent head-to-head meeting ended 2-2, underlining that encounters between these sides often become open and chance-rich. Reggiana have scored ten goals in their last six fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match, demonstrating consistent offensive output even with defensive absences such as Rozzio and Sampirisi. With Reggiana missing key defenders, Carrarese can profit from the additional space, while their own defensive fragility suggests that opportunities will arise at both ends. Historically, matches between these sides have produced an average of 2.33 goals, reinforcing the potential for a more dynamic scoring environment. All these elements combined point toward favourable conditions for the game to exceed the 2.5 goal threshold.
0
Valenciennes – Fleury
21.11.2025 19:30
France National
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,01
The match between Valenciennes FC and FC Fleury 91 carries goal-scoring potential despite recent trends pointing toward low-scoring outcomes. Valenciennes have found the net in each of their last five matches and have scored in every home game this season, suggesting sustained attacking potency. With four wins in their last six home fixtures, Valenciennes typically approach matches at Stade du Hainaut with confidence and offensive intent. While Fleury has been involved in several low-scoring games and a run of draws, their five-match unbeaten streak indicates growing momentum that could translate into a more open style as they seek a breakthrough. The absence of forward R. Takaoka may lead Valenciennes to adjust their structure, which could affect their defensive balance and create more transitional opportunities for both sides. Considering the narrow point gap between the teams and their similar league positioning, this fixture has the potential to evolve into a more dynamic contest. These elements collectively support the possibility of the match producing over 2.5 goals.
Carrarese – Reggiana
22.11.2025 15:00
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,09
The matchup between Carrarese and Reggiana offers several indicators pointing toward a higher-scoring contest. Carrarese have conceded in five of their last six matches, allowing a total of nine goals, and the absence of goalkeeper Mazzini further weakens their defensive structure. Their most recent head-to-head meeting ended 2-2, underlining that encounters between these sides often become open and chance-rich. Reggiana have scored ten goals in their last six fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match, demonstrating consistent offensive output even with defensive absences such as Rozzio and Sampirisi. With Reggiana missing key defenders, Carrarese can profit from the additional space, while their own defensive fragility suggests that opportunities will arise at both ends. Historically, matches between these sides have produced an average of 2.33 goals, reinforcing the potential for a more dynamic scoring environment. All these elements combined point toward favourable conditions for the game to exceed the 2.5 goal threshold.
The match between Entella and Palermo offers several indicators pointing towards a higher-scoring encounter. Entella have conceded eight goals in their last six games, signalling defensive vulnerabilities that may be amplified by the absence of defender Del Lungo. Palermo show a similar pattern, having allowed seven goals in five of their last six matches, with their defence repeatedly exposed. The visitors are further weakened by the injury to goalkeeper Gomis and the suspension of Ranocchia, removing two key defensive components and increasing the likelihood of conceding. Despite inconsistency, Palermo tend to find the net regularly, suggesting they can contribute offensively even against a strong home side. Entella are unbeaten in six straight home matches and typically engage in games where both teams produce chances, adding to the goal potential. The previous head-to-head meeting produced three goals, aligning with the current trajectories of both teams. With weakened defensive lines, steady attacking output and favourable home dynamics, this fixture carries strong potential to exceed the 2.5-goal mark.
Derby – Watford
22.11.2025 16:00
England Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,38
The matchup between Derby County and Watford contains several elements that support the expectation of more than 2.5 goals being scored. While Derby have conceded only four goals in their last six matches, their defence is significantly weakened by the absence of Nelson, Johnston and Beck, all key defenders whose injuries may disrupt the team’s stability at the back. Although Derby are unbeaten in their last five home games, they have conceded in most of them, and this tendency could continue against a Watford side capable of creating chances. Watford have conceded seven goals in their previous six fixtures, highlighting their defensive fragility, and with Wiley out injured and Vata missing in attack, the game could open up even more structurally. Historically, matches between these two teams average 2.67 goals, suggesting a naturally high-scoring pattern when these clubs meet. Watford’s ongoing run of 13 away league games without a win often forces them into a more open, risk-oriented approach, which tends to generate additional goal opportunities. Considering defensive absences, recent form and their goal-heavy head-to-head record, this fixture presents strong conditions for the game to exceed the 2.5-goal mark.
0
Virtus Entella – Palermo
22.11.2025 15:00
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,23
The match between Entella and Palermo offers several indicators pointing towards a higher-scoring encounter. Entella have conceded eight goals in their last six games, signalling defensive vulnerabilities that may be amplified by the absence of defender Del Lungo. Palermo show a similar pattern, having allowed seven goals in five of their last six matches, with their defence repeatedly exposed. The visitors are further weakened by the injury to goalkeeper Gomis and the suspension of Ranocchia, removing two key defensive components and increasing the likelihood of conceding. Despite inconsistency, Palermo tend to find the net regularly, suggesting they can contribute offensively even against a strong home side. Entella are unbeaten in six straight home matches and typically engage in games where both teams produce chances, adding to the goal potential. The previous head-to-head meeting produced three goals, aligning with the current trajectories of both teams. With weakened defensive lines, steady attacking output and favourable home dynamics, this fixture carries strong potential to exceed the 2.5-goal mark.
Derby – Watford
22.11.2025 16:00
England Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,38
The matchup between Derby County and Watford contains several elements that support the expectation of more than 2.5 goals being scored. While Derby have conceded only four goals in their last six matches, their defence is significantly weakened by the absence of Nelson, Johnston and Beck, all key defenders whose injuries may disrupt the team’s stability at the back. Although Derby are unbeaten in their last five home games, they have conceded in most of them, and this tendency could continue against a Watford side capable of creating chances. Watford have conceded seven goals in their previous six fixtures, highlighting their defensive fragility, and with Wiley out injured and Vata missing in attack, the game could open up even more structurally. Historically, matches between these two teams average 2.67 goals, suggesting a naturally high-scoring pattern when these clubs meet. Watford’s ongoing run of 13 away league games without a win often forces them into a more open, risk-oriented approach, which tends to generate additional goal opportunities. Considering defensive absences, recent form and their goal-heavy head-to-head record, this fixture presents strong conditions for the game to exceed the 2.5-goal mark.
The match between SD Huesca and Sporting Gijón has the potential to produce more goals than the long-term head-to-head numbers suggest, especially when considering both teams’ recent form. Huesca have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals during that run, highlighting clear defensive vulnerabilities. Their back line may be further weakened by the absence of key players such as Javi Mier and Jordi Martín. Sporting Gijón have scored 7 goals in their most recent six fixtures, showing a stable attacking output. Their last meeting ended in a 3-2 win for Huesca, a result that directly supports the hypothesis of a higher-scoring game. Although the historical goal average between these sides sits at 1.83, current trends indicate a more open contest. Huesca are unbeaten in their last three home matches, which could encourage a more attack-oriented setup. Sporting consistently find ways to score away from home, adding to the likelihood of an offensive match. Considering Huesca’s defensive inconsistency, notable injuries, and Sporting’s steady scoring rate, the over 2.5 goals scenario seems entirely plausible here.
0
Huesca – Gijon
23.11.2025 16:15
Spain Segunda Liga
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,69
The match between SD Huesca and Sporting Gijón has the potential to produce more goals than the long-term head-to-head numbers suggest, especially when considering both teams’ recent form. Huesca have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals during that run, highlighting clear defensive vulnerabilities. Their back line may be further weakened by the absence of key players such as Javi Mier and Jordi Martín. Sporting Gijón have scored 7 goals in their most recent six fixtures, showing a stable attacking output. Their last meeting ended in a 3-2 win for Huesca, a result that directly supports the hypothesis of a higher-scoring game. Although the historical goal average between these sides sits at 1.83, current trends indicate a more open contest. Huesca are unbeaten in their last three home matches, which could encourage a more attack-oriented setup. Sporting consistently find ways to score away from home, adding to the likelihood of an offensive match. Considering Huesca’s defensive inconsistency, notable injuries, and Sporting’s steady scoring rate, the over 2.5 goals scenario seems entirely plausible here.
The clash between Watford and Preston North End strongly suggests that the match may exceed 2.5 goals based on both teams’ current form and statistical indicators. Watford are the best team in the Championship for over 2.5 goals and their recent 2-3 victory against Derby highlights both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. They have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals in that period, which points to vulnerabilities at the back. At the same time, Watford have scored in each of their last 6 games, reinforcing expectations of another open encounter. Preston also show defensive issues, having conceded 7 goals in their past 6 matches. However, they have scored in each of their last 5 games and in all of their last 5 away matches, making them a consistent threat going forward. Both sides are dealing with several injuries, particularly in defence, which could further increase the likelihood of goals. Watford remain strong at home, while Preston have avoided defeat in their last three away meetings against them. Overall, the combination of scoring streaks, defensive weaknesses, and team news suggests a strong probability of the match producing more than 2.5 goals.
0
Watford – Preston
25.11.2025 20:45
England Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,19
The clash between Watford and Preston North End strongly suggests that the match may exceed 2.5 goals based on both teams’ current form and statistical indicators. Watford are the best team in the Championship for over 2.5 goals and their recent 2-3 victory against Derby highlights both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. They have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals in that period, which points to vulnerabilities at the back. At the same time, Watford have scored in each of their last 6 games, reinforcing expectations of another open encounter. Preston also show defensive issues, having conceded 7 goals in their past 6 matches. However, they have scored in each of their last 5 games and in all of their last 5 away matches, making them a consistent threat going forward. Both sides are dealing with several injuries, particularly in defence, which could further increase the likelihood of goals. Watford remain strong at home, while Preston have avoided defeat in their last three away meetings against them. Overall, the combination of scoring streaks, defensive weaknesses, and team news suggests a strong probability of the match producing more than 2.5 goals.
The West Midlands derby between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City shows multiple indicators suggesting the potential for over 2.5 goals. West Bromwich come from a 3-2 defeat against Coventry, once again highlighting their defensive issues, as they have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals. Their home form is stronger, with four consecutive league matches unbeaten, which often translates into increased attacking output. However, they are missing key players: Daryl Dike (thigh problems), Josh Maja (calf injury), and J. Molumby (red card suspension), all of whom weaken the defensive and midfield structure. Birmingham enter the derby boosted by a convincing 4-1 win over Norwich, demonstrating their ability to exploit defensive gaps. Although they have only one win from their last seven away league games, they have shown they can score in high-tempo fixtures. Their only absentee is Ethan Laird with a hamstring injury, meaning the squad remains largely intact. Historically, meetings between these sides average 2.33 goals per match, with both teams regularly finding the net. Given their recent defensive vulnerabilities and attacking form, the match carries a strong expectation of producing over 2.5 goals.
0
West Bromwich – Birmingham
26.11.2025 21:00
England Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,42
The West Midlands derby between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City shows multiple indicators suggesting the potential for over 2.5 goals. West Bromwich come from a 3-2 defeat against Coventry, once again highlighting their defensive issues, as they have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, allowing 8 goals. Their home form is stronger, with four consecutive league matches unbeaten, which often translates into increased attacking output. However, they are missing key players: Daryl Dike (thigh problems), Josh Maja (calf injury), and J. Molumby (red card suspension), all of whom weaken the defensive and midfield structure. Birmingham enter the derby boosted by a convincing 4-1 win over Norwich, demonstrating their ability to exploit defensive gaps. Although they have only one win from their last seven away league games, they have shown they can score in high-tempo fixtures. Their only absentee is Ethan Laird with a hamstring injury, meaning the squad remains largely intact. Historically, meetings between these sides average 2.33 goals per match, with both teams regularly finding the net. Given their recent defensive vulnerabilities and attacking form, the match carries a strong expectation of producing over 2.5 goals.
The match between Schalke and Paderborn has strong potential for goals, as their recent head-to-head history averages 3.5 goals per game, supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals. Although Schalke has produced several low-scoring matches recently, their home performances are usually more dynamic and they are unbeaten in their last three league games at Veltins-Arena. Paderborn’s defensive issues are evident, having conceded 11 goals across their last six matches, which suggests Schalke should be able to create goal-scoring opportunities. Schalke’s defensive stability may be weakened by the absences of C. Louis Gomis, J. Siebeking, T. Kalas and Z. Amoussou-Tchibara. Paderborn also faces key absences, with J. Zambrano, suspended M. Baur, and M. Hoffmeier missing, further complicating their defensive structure. At the same time, Paderborn frequently scores in away fixtures and has remained unbeaten in their last six league matches on the road. This could lead to a more open match in which both teams push forward and leave defensive gaps. Considering the offensive qualities of both sides and their current defensive vulnerabilities, the matchup leans toward a higher goal count. While the game may remain balanced, statistical indicators point toward a scenario where over 2.5 goals is a realistic outcome.
Empoli – Bari
29.11.2025 15:00
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,32
The match between Empoli and AS Bari carries strong potential for goals, as their head-to-head history averages 3.33 goals per game, clearly supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals. Empoli have scored seven goals in their last six matches and have found the net in every home game this season, indicating reliable attacking output. Bari, meanwhile, have conceded in all their away matches this season and have allowed eight goals in their previous six encounters, exposing consistent defensive vulnerabilities. At the same time, Bari have scored in eight consecutive matches, which contributes to an open style of play and increases the likelihood of multiple goals. Empoli will be without I. Konate and defender T. Ebuehi, potentially affecting their defensive stability. Bari also miss key defenders E. Darboe and G. Pereiro, which may lead to further issues in containing Empoli’s attack. Bari’s run of 12 away league matches without a win often forces them into a more aggressive approach in search of goals. Both sides therefore come into this game with scoring momentum but structural weaknesses at the back. The combination of current form, defensive absences and historically high-scoring meetings strongly points toward the match finishing with more than 2.5 goals.
0
Schalke – Paderborn
28.11.2025 18:30
German 2 Bundesliga
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 1,97
The match between Schalke and Paderborn has strong potential for goals, as their recent head-to-head history averages 3.5 goals per game, supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals. Although Schalke has produced several low-scoring matches recently, their home performances are usually more dynamic and they are unbeaten in their last three league games at Veltins-Arena. Paderborn’s defensive issues are evident, having conceded 11 goals across their last six matches, which suggests Schalke should be able to create goal-scoring opportunities. Schalke’s defensive stability may be weakened by the absences of C. Louis Gomis, J. Siebeking, T. Kalas and Z. Amoussou-Tchibara. Paderborn also faces key absences, with J. Zambrano, suspended M. Baur, and M. Hoffmeier missing, further complicating their defensive structure. At the same time, Paderborn frequently scores in away fixtures and has remained unbeaten in their last six league matches on the road. This could lead to a more open match in which both teams push forward and leave defensive gaps. Considering the offensive qualities of both sides and their current defensive vulnerabilities, the matchup leans toward a higher goal count. While the game may remain balanced, statistical indicators point toward a scenario where over 2.5 goals is a realistic outcome.
Empoli – Bari
29.11.2025 15:00
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,32
The match between Empoli and AS Bari carries strong potential for goals, as their head-to-head history averages 3.33 goals per game, clearly supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals. Empoli have scored seven goals in their last six matches and have found the net in every home game this season, indicating reliable attacking output. Bari, meanwhile, have conceded in all their away matches this season and have allowed eight goals in their previous six encounters, exposing consistent defensive vulnerabilities. At the same time, Bari have scored in eight consecutive matches, which contributes to an open style of play and increases the likelihood of multiple goals. Empoli will be without I. Konate and defender T. Ebuehi, potentially affecting their defensive stability. Bari also miss key defenders E. Darboe and G. Pereiro, which may lead to further issues in containing Empoli’s attack. Bari’s run of 12 away league matches without a win often forces them into a more aggressive approach in search of goals. Both sides therefore come into this game with scoring momentum but structural weaknesses at the back. The combination of current form, defensive absences and historically high-scoring meetings strongly points toward the match finishing with more than 2.5 goals.
Spezia enter the match against Sampdoria following a heavy 4–1 defeat to Mantova, highlighting once again their defensive fragility, as they have conceded in five of their last six matches for a total of nine goals. At the same time, Spezia have scored in each of their last five home games, suggesting an open match environment that favours multiple goals. Sampdoria also struggle defensively, having conceded in five of their previous six matches, likewise allowing nine goals, and they have conceded in every away match this season. Offensively, however, Sampdoria have found the net in four consecutive away games, which further increases the likelihood of over 2.5 goals. Spezia’s defence will be weakened by the absences of F. Bandinelli, F. Cassata, E. Soleri and S. Zurkowski, reducing their stability at the back. Sampdoria face an even more extensive injury list, missing Alex Ferrari, Matteo Ricci, Oliver Abildgaard, Marvin Cuni, Alessandro Pio Riccio, Lorenzo Malagrida, Lorenzo Malanca and Giorgio Altare, while Fabio Depaoli is suspended. Such severe defensive shortages are likely to impact Sampdoria’s organisation and resistance. Spezia have also won only one of their last fifteen league matches, often resulting in chaotic, high-tempo encounters. The combination of weak defences, consistent scoring patterns and significant squad absences supports the expectation that this match could comfortably produce more than 2.5 goals.
0
Spezia – Sampdoria
30.11.2025 17:15
Italy Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,38
Spezia enter the match against Sampdoria following a heavy 4–1 defeat to Mantova, highlighting once again their defensive fragility, as they have conceded in five of their last six matches for a total of nine goals. At the same time, Spezia have scored in each of their last five home games, suggesting an open match environment that favours multiple goals. Sampdoria also struggle defensively, having conceded in five of their previous six matches, likewise allowing nine goals, and they have conceded in every away match this season. Offensively, however, Sampdoria have found the net in four consecutive away games, which further increases the likelihood of over 2.5 goals. Spezia’s defence will be weakened by the absences of F. Bandinelli, F. Cassata, E. Soleri and S. Zurkowski, reducing their stability at the back. Sampdoria face an even more extensive injury list, missing Alex Ferrari, Matteo Ricci, Oliver Abildgaard, Marvin Cuni, Alessandro Pio Riccio, Lorenzo Malagrida, Lorenzo Malanca and Giorgio Altare, while Fabio Depaoli is suspended. Such severe defensive shortages are likely to impact Sampdoria’s organisation and resistance. Spezia have also won only one of their last fifteen league matches, often resulting in chaotic, high-tempo encounters. The combination of weak defences, consistent scoring patterns and significant squad absences supports the expectation that this match could comfortably produce more than 2.5 goals.
The match between Villefranche and SM Caen carries strong potential for a high-scoring encounter, given that both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks. Villefranche have conceded in each of their last eight matches, suggesting that Caen should find opportunities in attack. The hosts also rank among the league’s more goal-heavy sides, with over 2.5 goals recorded in 64 percent of their games this season. Villefranche will be without midfielder S. Keita due to a red-card suspension, which could further disrupt their midfield structure and defensive balance. Caen show similar defensive inconsistency, having conceded in all of their away matches and seeing both teams score in each of their last six away fixtures. Offensively, Caen remain reliable, scoring in every away game this season. Their defensive problems may worsen due to the absences of forward S. Noireau-Dauriat, defender V. Henry and defender D. Bolumbu, all of whom are sidelined with injuries. Both sides also enter the match in poor form, each winning just one of their previous six league games. The combination of unstable defences, a consistent BTTS pattern and key defensive absences strongly supports the expectation of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Charlton – Portsmouth
06.12.2025 13:30
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,20
The match between Charlton and Portsmouth offers strong potential for over 2.5 goals, largely due to the defensive vulnerability shown by both sides in recent weeks. Charlton have conceded 13 goals across their last six matches, allowing goals in five of those fixtures, which highlights their current defensive instability. At the same time, Charlton have found the net in each of their last six home games, suggesting their attacking output remains consistent. The hosts will be without defender J. Roussillon, whose absence further weakens their defensive setup. Portsmouth have similar issues, having conceded in five of their last six matches, with a total of 12 goals against them during that period. The visitors also remain winless away from home in their last seven league outings, often leading to open and unpredictable matches. Portsmouth will additionally miss goalkeeper N. Schmid due to a broken finger, which could further impact their defensive reliability. Historical meetings between these sides support a high-scoring scenario, with 18 goals scored in their last six encounters, averaging three per match. Considering the defensive struggles on both sides and Charlton’s strong scoring form at home, the conditions strongly support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
0
Villefranche – Caen
05.12.2025 19:30
France, National 1
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,25
The match between Villefranche and SM Caen carries strong potential for a high-scoring encounter, given that both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks. Villefranche have conceded in each of their last eight matches, suggesting that Caen should find opportunities in attack. The hosts also rank among the league’s more goal-heavy sides, with over 2.5 goals recorded in 64 percent of their games this season. Villefranche will be without midfielder S. Keita due to a red-card suspension, which could further disrupt their midfield structure and defensive balance. Caen show similar defensive inconsistency, having conceded in all of their away matches and seeing both teams score in each of their last six away fixtures. Offensively, Caen remain reliable, scoring in every away game this season. Their defensive problems may worsen due to the absences of forward S. Noireau-Dauriat, defender V. Henry and defender D. Bolumbu, all of whom are sidelined with injuries. Both sides also enter the match in poor form, each winning just one of their previous six league games. The combination of unstable defences, a consistent BTTS pattern and key defensive absences strongly supports the expectation of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Charlton – Portsmouth
06.12.2025 13:30
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,20
The match between Charlton and Portsmouth offers strong potential for over 2.5 goals, largely due to the defensive vulnerability shown by both sides in recent weeks. Charlton have conceded 13 goals across their last six matches, allowing goals in five of those fixtures, which highlights their current defensive instability. At the same time, Charlton have found the net in each of their last six home games, suggesting their attacking output remains consistent. The hosts will be without defender J. Roussillon, whose absence further weakens their defensive setup. Portsmouth have similar issues, having conceded in five of their last six matches, with a total of 12 goals against them during that period. The visitors also remain winless away from home in their last seven league outings, often leading to open and unpredictable matches. Portsmouth will additionally miss goalkeeper N. Schmid due to a broken finger, which could further impact their defensive reliability. Historical meetings between these sides support a high-scoring scenario, with 18 goals scored in their last six encounters, averaging three per match. Considering the defensive struggles on both sides and Charlton’s strong scoring form at home, the conditions strongly support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
QPR enter this match after a 3–1 loss to Norwich, and their defensive issues are clear, having conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, which strongly supports the likelihood of a higher goal tally. At the same time, they have managed to score 7 goals in that period, indicating an open playing style. West Brom are in a similar situation defensively, conceding in 5 of their last 6 matches with a total of 8 goals allowed, which further points toward a game with chances on both ends. Their most recent 3–2 victory over Swansea also highlights a trend of high-scoring encounters. Historically, the head-to-head numbers show an average of 2.67 goals per match, reinforcing the expectation of goals. QPR remain weakened by the absences of J. Clarke-Salter, Z. Larkeche and K. Poku, making their defence even more unstable. On the other hand, West Brom will be without J. Maja, J. Molumby and D. Dike, which impacts their attack, but their recent match patterns still show strong goal potential. Given that both teams struggle defensively and regularly score and concede, this fixture offers a favourable profile for the over 2.5 goals scenario.
Southampton – Birmingham
06.12.2025 16:00
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 1,98
Southampton enter this match after a 3–2 defeat to Millwall, and their recent games have been extremely high-scoring, with 23 total goals in their last six matches, averaging 3.83 per game. Southampton alone have scored 15 goals in that span, showing strong attacking momentum and an open style of play. Birmingham also demonstrated their ability to find the net in their recent 2–1 win over Watford. Historically, this fixture produces plenty of goals: the last six head-to-head encounters have brought 20 goals in total, an average of 3.33 per match, and their most recent meeting ended 4–3. Defensive absences should further contribute to an open game, with Southampton missing Welington and J. Stephens, while Birmingham are without E. Laird and M. Ducksch. These injuries, particularly in defensive positions, may increase vulnerability on both sides. With both teams showing patterns of scoring and conceding consistently, this match presents strong conditions for an outcome above 2.5 goals.
0
QPR – West Bromwich
06.12.2025 16:00
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,20
QPR enter this match after a 3–1 loss to Norwich, and their defensive issues are clear, having conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, which strongly supports the likelihood of a higher goal tally. At the same time, they have managed to score 7 goals in that period, indicating an open playing style. West Brom are in a similar situation defensively, conceding in 5 of their last 6 matches with a total of 8 goals allowed, which further points toward a game with chances on both ends. Their most recent 3–2 victory over Swansea also highlights a trend of high-scoring encounters. Historically, the head-to-head numbers show an average of 2.67 goals per match, reinforcing the expectation of goals. QPR remain weakened by the absences of J. Clarke-Salter, Z. Larkeche and K. Poku, making their defence even more unstable. On the other hand, West Brom will be without J. Maja, J. Molumby and D. Dike, which impacts their attack, but their recent match patterns still show strong goal potential. Given that both teams struggle defensively and regularly score and concede, this fixture offers a favourable profile for the over 2.5 goals scenario.
Southampton – Birmingham
06.12.2025 16:00
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 1,98
Southampton enter this match after a 3–2 defeat to Millwall, and their recent games have been extremely high-scoring, with 23 total goals in their last six matches, averaging 3.83 per game. Southampton alone have scored 15 goals in that span, showing strong attacking momentum and an open style of play. Birmingham also demonstrated their ability to find the net in their recent 2–1 win over Watford. Historically, this fixture produces plenty of goals: the last six head-to-head encounters have brought 20 goals in total, an average of 3.33 per match, and their most recent meeting ended 4–3. Defensive absences should further contribute to an open game, with Southampton missing Welington and J. Stephens, while Birmingham are without E. Laird and M. Ducksch. These injuries, particularly in defensive positions, may increase vulnerability on both sides. With both teams showing patterns of scoring and conceding consistently, this match presents strong conditions for an outcome above 2.5 goals.
Swansea City come into this match after a 3–2 defeat to West Bromwich Albion, and their recent games have consistently produced goals, with at least three goals scored in five of their last six fixtures. During that run, Swansea conceded 15 goals while scoring 6, highlighting defensive instability. Oxford United also struggle defensively, having conceded in all of their last six matches for a total of 10 goals. Historical data between these teams supports a high-scoring expectation as well: their last six head-to-head meetings produced 20 goals, averaging 3.33 per match. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3–3 draw, reinforcing the trend. Both teams also face squad limitations, with Swansea missing forward M. Benson Hedilazio and Oxford United without attacker O. ter Haar Romeny. These absences may disrupt defensive balance further and contribute to a more open game. With both sides showing persistent defensive vulnerabilities and a consistent ability to be involved in high-scoring matches, this fixture has strong potential to finish with over 2.5 goals.
Dunfermline – Arbroath
06.12.2025 16:00
Scotland, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,21
Dunfermline Athletic enter this match after a narrow 1–0 defeat, but their recent attacking numbers remain strong with 10 goals scored across their last six fixtures. They have also scored in each of their last three home matches and remain unbeaten in their previous four home league games. Arbroath continue to struggle defensively, having conceded in all of their away matches this season and failing to win any of their last five away league fixtures. Their squad is additionally weakened by the absence of Ross Callachan, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Historical data clearly supports a high-scoring outlook, as the last six meetings between these sides have produced 23 goals, averaging 3.83 per game. Their most recent head-to-head ended with a dominant 5–0 win for Dunfermline, further highlighting Arbroath’s defensive vulnerabilities. Arbroath have also failed to record a single victory against Dunfermline in their last five encounters. With Dunfermline showing solid attacking momentum and Arbroath exhibiting consistent defensive problems, this match presents a strong probability of finishing with over 2.5 goals.
0
Swansea – Oxford
06.12.2025 16:00
England, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,27
Swansea City come into this match after a 3–2 defeat to West Bromwich Albion, and their recent games have consistently produced goals, with at least three goals scored in five of their last six fixtures. During that run, Swansea conceded 15 goals while scoring 6, highlighting defensive instability. Oxford United also struggle defensively, having conceded in all of their last six matches for a total of 10 goals. Historical data between these teams supports a high-scoring expectation as well: their last six head-to-head meetings produced 20 goals, averaging 3.33 per match. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3–3 draw, reinforcing the trend. Both teams also face squad limitations, with Swansea missing forward M. Benson Hedilazio and Oxford United without attacker O. ter Haar Romeny. These absences may disrupt defensive balance further and contribute to a more open game. With both sides showing persistent defensive vulnerabilities and a consistent ability to be involved in high-scoring matches, this fixture has strong potential to finish with over 2.5 goals.
Dunfermline – Arbroath
06.12.2025 16:00
Scotland, Championship
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,21
Dunfermline Athletic enter this match after a narrow 1–0 defeat, but their recent attacking numbers remain strong with 10 goals scored across their last six fixtures. They have also scored in each of their last three home matches and remain unbeaten in their previous four home league games. Arbroath continue to struggle defensively, having conceded in all of their away matches this season and failing to win any of their last five away league fixtures. Their squad is additionally weakened by the absence of Ross Callachan, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Historical data clearly supports a high-scoring outlook, as the last six meetings between these sides have produced 23 goals, averaging 3.83 per game. Their most recent head-to-head ended with a dominant 5–0 win for Dunfermline, further highlighting Arbroath’s defensive vulnerabilities. Arbroath have also failed to record a single victory against Dunfermline in their last five encounters. With Dunfermline showing solid attacking momentum and Arbroath exhibiting consistent defensive problems, this match presents a strong probability of finishing with over 2.5 goals.
Empoli approach this match in excellent form, highlighted by their recent 5–0 win over Bari and the fact that they have scored in every home game this season. While their defence has looked solid with only four goals conceded in their last six matches, both teams’ attacking momentum suggests that goals should be expected. Palermo also come into this fixture after a convincing 5–0 victory, showing strong offensive rhythm with 11 goals scored across their last six matches. However, they have a poor away record against Empoli, failing to win in their last seven league visits. Palermo are additionally weakened by injuries to goalkeeper A. Gomis, who is out with a broken arm, and midfielder C. Gomes, who suffers from a shoulder injury. Their defensive issues are evident, having conceded in each of their last five away games. The head-to-head statistics also support the likelihood of goals, with their last six meetings averaging exactly 2.5 goals per match, including a 4–0 Empoli win in their previous league encounter. Considering Empoli’s strong home scoring run and Palermo’s defensive fragility on the road, this clash carries strong potential to exceed 2.5 goals.
0
Empoli – Palermo
07.12.2025 17:15
Italy, Seria B
Tip: OVER 2,5 Goals
Odds: 2,09
Empoli approach this match in excellent form, highlighted by their recent 5–0 win over Bari and the fact that they have scored in every home game this season. While their defence has looked solid with only four goals conceded in their last six matches, both teams’ attacking momentum suggests that goals should be expected. Palermo also come into this fixture after a convincing 5–0 victory, showing strong offensive rhythm with 11 goals scored across their last six matches. However, they have a poor away record against Empoli, failing to win in their last seven league visits. Palermo are additionally weakened by injuries to goalkeeper A. Gomis, who is out with a broken arm, and midfielder C. Gomes, who suffers from a shoulder injury. Their defensive issues are evident, having conceded in each of their last five away games. The head-to-head statistics also support the likelihood of goals, with their last six meetings averaging exactly 2.5 goals per match, including a 4–0 Empoli win in their previous league encounter. Considering Empoli’s strong home scoring run and Palermo’s defensive fragility on the road, this clash carries strong potential to exceed 2.5 goals.
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