Tennessee at Denver (11/19/2007)

Haven't seen a ML for this game yet, if one comes up for Tennessee at +130 or better I would make a 1 unit play on that along with a 2 unit play on teasing Tennessee to +8 and the Over to 32.5 (hedge bet).  Tennessee has a good chance of winning this game and with the line so low, if a decent ML is available you might as well take it for a small bet since this game should be down to the wire.  Otherwise I like this tease because the 2 games that Denver won at home were within 3 points and 4 out of 5 games at home for them have gone over, averaging 43 pts/game at home.  Tenn:  14-4 ATS as underdog.  Denver:  1-10 ATS as a home fave.  Tennessee road #'s:  Points for 23, Points against 18.2  Denver home #'s:  16.8, points against 26.2. 

Day to day: Hainsworth, white, jones, brown. Vince Young new to Denver weather. 

Tennessee-19

Denver-20

 

everyone has a turn in the barrel BD

You don't owe anyone an apology. We all win & lose, what can you do?

My play for MNF (that nobody will like) -

I am the over in this one. Yes, both have subpar offenses, but Denver can put up points at home when they need too, (w/ the exception of Packers, SD etc). THe fact that they are 9-1 over at home (and 7-3 O for the season)is enough for me though - and Selvin Young hopefully pulls another 100 yds.

Everyone says Vince Young's arm to pull the Titans - he has thrown 4 TD's and 10 interceptions this season. Yeah, he looks explosive on camera, Michael Vick-like arm, but in the game he is not very solid. Last week he threw 1 TD, but he has not thrown a TD since wk 3 against NO's crappy defense! Plus, look at their history of wins: Carolina, Oakland, Houston (w/o A.Johnson and injured Shaub/Rosenfel duo, who threw 3 interceptions), Atlanta, NO, Jags and GB. All w/ the exception of Jags and GB, the rest are garbage wins.

Lendale White - Yes, he had over 100 yards 7,8, and 9, but last week a measly 12 yds against Jags. Even if he comes back tonight, I highly doubt he'll be effective due to Knee injury (this includes Haynseworth's protection).

On most days i would take the under, but MNF and Denver at home w/ their win last week, and needing this to tie w/ SD in the division, gotta take the Broncos (Cutler does some weird shiet sometimes, I'm banking on his schizophrenic-like ability)

GLA

Tenn offense averages 23 points away, while the defense gives up 18.3 points to the home opponent.  Denver, meanwhile is averaging 16.8 points at home with the opponents avg 26.2 points.  I'm liking the over more and more, especially IF Haynesworth is out.  By the way, those hating on Vince Young...granted he is inconsistent and is still developing, but I do believe he threw for more yards last week than any game of his short career.  This could lead to even more points.

Young    Season (4 TD,10 Interceptions)
White, Haynseworth, Brown

Titans = No passing game AND no Running game (even if playing, effective? probably not)

Denver -2 =
Over 38 <---Not sure on this one yet

That's nonsense BigD. you've done too much for us. Good luck my friend and I hope to see more of your picks this week. I wouldn't mind get some thoughts on this game either haha.

Have a Great Turkey day to you and your family. Mine will be eating ducks instead

I know but just figured I would apologize before the haters flood in while I'm gone on vacation

Good Luck on this one bro

I am not a big fan of trends but the fact that Tennessee is 4-1 ATS as a dog this year and Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games throws up a red flag for me.

Denvers run D is not good and their starting Running back Travis Henry is banged up and questionable.

Vince Young has a tendency to play great on nationally televised games.

Titans +2

 

I am not a big fan of trends but the fact that Tennessee is 4-1 ATS as a dog this year and Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games throws up a red flag for me.

Denvers run D is not good and their starting Running back Travis Henry is banged up and questionable.

Vince Young has a tendency to play great on nationally televised games.

Titans +2

 

I got a double barrel shotgun on that one my friend.

Doubled up on the Wash/Dallas under while I was out and got in the 4th qtr.

Called in NE at the half to chop my losses but still for Sunday.

Good luck tonight

I'll try to come on during the week but don't want to rush into my picks like I did on Sunday.

Good Luck my friend  

I've all but cut my ties with the NFL for the year. College b-ball and football is where it's at for this week and untill April. Good luck on this game it really is a coin toss.

Bruddah BigD, absolutely NO reason for apologies....we all in dis together so win/lose, we still one ohana!

We all know you stay thinking about that "paradise" vacation to Honolulu. LOL Or is it the Boise game....line came out at Hawaii -4.5.....wat you tink?

Either way, hope to see some of your picks while on vacation but, no worry if no can....we all grown ups here (we'll most of us). And for the haters....F'um....no need worry wat does mutha's tink!

Have a good one my bruddah and hope to see you on the Islands somewhere....maybe Rainbows in Kapahulu. Aloha!

This one seems too hard to call.  It could go either way and may just come down to the last 30 seconds.  I'm considering just staying away from this one, there are plenty of games to come.  Might just stick to putting my money on some basketball and watching them instead.

We will see....

GL!!

 

I like that line in the UH game but we expecting rain for that game.So I'll wait.

I actually set some time this week to try to attend the Warriors practice this week. Come down if you can maybe I'll get to meet you there.

BTW I sent you an invite for my friends list so I can post things in your playbook. Click accept if you like in your space.

Happy Thanksgiving to you and the family bro  

 

 

 

No Apoligies needed. We cleaned up Saturday and gave some back Sunday. I would take ur pics all over again. Like I sid before BD...You d a lot of good on here and I am sure evryone would vouch for that.