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    All Forums | Pro Football

    San Diego at Buffalo (09/21/2014)

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    MATRIX_WIZARD
    POCallaghan05
    osu200200
    BoltsHomer
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    12 Next Last»
     
    Covers
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    Joined: Jul, 2002
    Posts: 61
    Posted: Sep. 16, 2014 - 1:22 AM ET #1

    Away:  San Diego [2-0 ATS]
    Home:  Buffalo [2-0 ATS]

    Game Time: 1:00 PM
    Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium

    Recent Meetings:
    N/A

    Team Leaders:

    San Diego:
    Passing: Philip Rivers (522)
    Rushing: Ryan Mathews (71)
    Receiving: Antonio Gates (177)

    Buffalo:
    Passing: EJ Manuel (375)
    Rushing: C.J. Spiller (122)
    Receiving: Sammy Watkins (148)

    More:
    Live Odds
    In-Depth Matchup Information
    Consensus Betting Information

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Away:  San Diego [2-0 ATS]
    Home:  Buffalo [2-0 ATS]

    Game Time: 1:00 PM
    Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium

    Recent Meetings:
    N/A

    Team Leaders:

    San Diego:
    Passing: Philip Rivers (522)
    Rushing: Ryan Mathews (71)
    Receiving: Antonio Gates (177)

    Buffalo:
    Passing: EJ Manuel (375)
    Rushing: C.J. Spiller (122)
    Receiving: Sammy Watkins (148)

    More:
    Live Odds
    In-Depth Matchup Information
    Consensus Betting Information

     
    MATRIX_WIZARD
    MATRIX_WIZARD
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2014 - 1:16 PM ET #2

    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.
    Reply
    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.
     
    POCallaghan05
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    Posted: Sep. 16, 2014 - 6:05 PM ET #3

    We get it west coast team going east, chargers may struggle in this spot in the past bet eh, ill put my money on Philip rivers and gates again over whoever plays qb for the bills.

    Bolts ml
    Reply
    We get it west coast team going east, chargers may struggle in this spot in the past bet eh, ill put my money on Philip rivers and gates again over whoever plays qb for the bills.

    Bolts ml
     
    osu200200
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 10:43 PM ET #4

    sadly i'm taking the bills
    Reply
    sadly i'm taking the bills
     
    BoltsHomer
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 11:36 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by MATRIX_WIZARD:

    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.

    Uhhhm are you seriously taking a 2008 result when "Buffalo worked San Diego by 9 points" into account? Hahahahahahaha!

    What about the last time 3 years ago when SD won 37-10?

    Thanks for the laugh!

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MATRIX_WIZARD:

    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.

    Uhhhm are you seriously taking a 2008 result when "Buffalo worked San Diego by 9 points" into account? Hahahahahahaha!

    What about the last time 3 years ago when SD won 37-10?

    Thanks for the laugh!

     
    BreakaBookie
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2014 - 11:44 PM ET #6

    I think Phillip Rivers goes up to buffalo and takes it too them.

    SD defense is underrated as well.

    Bills giving points? I'll take them

     

    GL to all!

    Reply

    I think Phillip Rivers goes up to buffalo and takes it too them.

    SD defense is underrated as well.

    Bills giving points? I'll take them

     

    GL to all!

     
    iangoogs
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 12:02 AM ET #7

    Buffalo to 3-0??!!! Maybe...EJ coming along and that defense playing nicely. Sammy has yet to really show what he can do and CJ playing like he did when he had fantasy owners drafting him in the top 5 of their respective drafts...Carpenter may have 7 field goals in this one. and I'd say Buffalo wins by 4 and gets off to their best start in years
    Reply
    Buffalo to 3-0??!!! Maybe...EJ coming along and that defense playing nicely. Sammy has yet to really show what he can do and CJ playing like he did when he had fantasy owners drafting him in the top 5 of their respective drafts...Carpenter may have 7 field goals in this one. and I'd say Buffalo wins by 4 and gets off to their best start in years
     
    parlay_picks
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 1:31 PM ET #8

    BEST PLAY PICK

    BUFFALO

    Very few think San Diego would defeat easily the best team in the NFL. Many we thought that Miami would defeat after Buffalo beat the New England Patriots. It seems a very balanced game both have chances to win. But I think this is the time for Buffalo to put their record at 3-0 when they host San Diego at home. The numbers favor the home team and they win by more than 3 points is not impossible. Take Buffalo. When was the last time Buffalo started the season 3-0? ... On Sunday they will come out with everything and very motivated to win this game.
    Prediction: 21-17 BUFFALO. 
    Good luck friends.
    Reply
    BEST PLAY PICK

    BUFFALO

    Very few think San Diego would defeat easily the best team in the NFL. Many we thought that Miami would defeat after Buffalo beat the New England Patriots. It seems a very balanced game both have chances to win. But I think this is the time for Buffalo to put their record at 3-0 when they host San Diego at home. The numbers favor the home team and they win by more than 3 points is not impossible. Take Buffalo. When was the last time Buffalo started the season 3-0? ... On Sunday they will come out with everything and very motivated to win this game.
    Prediction: 21-17 BUFFALO. 
    Good luck friends.
     
    maidenryche
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 3:18 PM ET #9

    though I like the Chargers on paper, thinking a let down spot and travelling to the east coast early afternoon game w/ the Bills tough front seven...

    Bills - 2 1/2
    Reply
    though I like the Chargers on paper, thinking a let down spot and travelling to the east coast early afternoon game w/ the Bills tough front seven...

    Bills - 2 1/2
     
    TheQuadYeah
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 7:07 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

    I think Phillip Rivers goes up to buffalo and takes it too them.

    SD defense is underrated as well.

    Bills giving points? I'll take them

     

    GL to all!

    People underestimate the West Coast...........

    Travelling is nothing.............

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

    I think Phillip Rivers goes up to buffalo and takes it too them.

    SD defense is underrated as well.

    Bills giving points? I'll take them

     

    GL to all!

    People underestimate the West Coast...........

    Travelling is nothing.............

     
    DylPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 7:13 PM ET #11

    Chargers way underrated. Bills tough at home and hot. I don't see Philip and friends letting down after that Seahawks win though, more of a momentum boost for them. Gimme my points! 
    Reply
    Chargers way underrated. Bills tough at home and hot. I don't see Philip and friends letting down after that Seahawks win though, more of a momentum boost for them. Gimme my points! 
     
    DylPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2014 - 7:15 PM ET #12

    And this matrix guy is really bothering me so I hope he doesn't do well at all. The sh!t he is coming up with smhhhh
    Reply
    And this matrix guy is really bothering me so I hope he doesn't do well at all. The sh!t he is coming up with smhhhh
     
    Whalewatcher
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 12:09 AM ET #13

    UNDER 3 JUMP ON IT!!!!
     NOPE ....WHALES VAGINA ml!!

    Reply
    UNDER 3 JUMP ON IT!!!!
     NOPE ....WHALES VAGINA ml!!

     
    Whalewatcher
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 12:10 AM ET #14

    Lol you can't type d#ck sh#t f#g, but VAGINA is ok
    Reply
    Lol you can't type d#ck sh#t f#g, but VAGINA is ok
     
    MayBWrngDoubtIt
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 2:06 AM ET #15

    I watched EJ play at Florida State...dude is nice...hes just soft...but when hes healthy...check his win %...The Bills remind me of last years Chiefs...TOUGH D...GAME MANAGING QUARTERBACK....RUNNING GAME....so the streak continues...BILLS RUN WILD OVER THE SUPER CHARGERS in an unlikely shootout...31-20...BILLS, OVER
    Reply
    I watched EJ play at Florida State...dude is nice...hes just soft...but when hes healthy...check his win %...The Bills remind me of last years Chiefs...TOUGH D...GAME MANAGING QUARTERBACK....RUNNING GAME....so the streak continues...BILLS RUN WILD OVER THE SUPER CHARGERS in an unlikely shootout...31-20...BILLS, OVER
     
    wangichu
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 10:01 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by MATRIX_WIZARD:

    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.

    The bills are favored because they are 2-0 and the bolts are 1-1, plus everyone knows about the west team traveling east to the extent that it is being built into the line.  

    Also, earlier in the week sharps are betting more than public so percentages are skewed.  Plus the math behind percentages of tickets only kicks in around 80/20, where there is an edge in taking the public fade approach.  doing that at anything less is not helping your cause.

    One more.  Teams that are +2.5 win upwards of 55% of the time so there is a slight edge in being on that side.  One data point from last week pales in comparison to the hundreds of data points the other way even if it was relevant on it's own.  Sharps often are willing to look at the other side when the line hits 3, which is why vegas is rarely willing to get there.

    I'll be on CHARGERS +2.5, but will likely be teasing this up.  

    Bills are TERRIBLE the week after playing miami.  They consider it a huge rivalry game.  Also, they MAY be decent but the chargers could be contenders.  Much better QB play, and they are $$ as underdogs.  2-0 already this year and 6-3-1 last year.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MATRIX_WIZARD:

    Okay, so the last time in Buffalo they worked San Diego by 9 23-14 right? The line then was Buffalo (-1 ). Today it's -2.5 and will most likely end up (-3 ). This numerical pattern almost always favors the favorite. Take a look at Carolina last week. Same thing. Also, after what the Chargers did to Seattle, why aren't they favored? See what I mean? And Diego currently has the entire betting community behind then by almost 70%!

     BUFFALO -2.5 or -3 either way.

    The bills are favored because they are 2-0 and the bolts are 1-1, plus everyone knows about the west team traveling east to the extent that it is being built into the line.  

    Also, earlier in the week sharps are betting more than public so percentages are skewed.  Plus the math behind percentages of tickets only kicks in around 80/20, where there is an edge in taking the public fade approach.  doing that at anything less is not helping your cause.

    One more.  Teams that are +2.5 win upwards of 55% of the time so there is a slight edge in being on that side.  One data point from last week pales in comparison to the hundreds of data points the other way even if it was relevant on it's own.  Sharps often are willing to look at the other side when the line hits 3, which is why vegas is rarely willing to get there.

    I'll be on CHARGERS +2.5, but will likely be teasing this up.  

    Bills are TERRIBLE the week after playing miami.  They consider it a huge rivalry game.  Also, they MAY be decent but the chargers could be contenders.  Much better QB play, and they are $$ as underdogs.  2-0 already this year and 6-3-1 last year.
     
    MATRIX_WIZARD
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2014 - 5:20 PM ET #17

    No one has even mentioned the fact that the weather people have predicted "Showers"....not rain..."Showers." So now it all makes perfect sense.  
    Reply
    No one has even mentioned the fact that the weather people have predicted "Showers"....not rain..."Showers." So now it all makes perfect sense.  
     
    charlieb2012
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2014 - 12:02 AM ET #18

    public worng again!
    Reply
    public worng again!
     
    fan1ranger
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2014 - 8:20 PM ET #19

    Bills playing well,so looking for them to continue their win streak.
    Reply
    Bills playing well,so looking for them to continue their win streak.
     
    damascus2014
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2014 - 11:47 PM ET #20

    BUFFALLO will win and covers

    Reply

    BUFFALLO will win and covers

     
    W8LIFTER
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    Posts: 6791
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2014 - 11:54 PM ET #21

    San Diego Chargers +2.5 LARGE
    Reply
    San Diego Chargers +2.5 LARGE
     
    Doy619
    Doy619
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2014
    Posts: 1
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 12:43 AM ET #22

    Chargers win and could have covered -7
    Reply
    Chargers win and could have covered -7
     
    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2013
    Posts: 58800
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 1:56 AM ET #23

    the rain favors the home team and the rain also favors the team that can run the ball better ... And that is the Bills

    No Ryan Matthews.. Only Danny Woodhead against a tough Bills run defense. 

    Rivers won't have much choice but to sling it in the rain. Sling it in the raaaain. Fortunately for him the Bills pass defense is ranked 28th.. but you gotta wonder how much it will affect throwing and receivers trying to catch a wet ball. 

    This game is a coin flip but the luck is on the Bills side. But I think the Under is the best play....
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    the rain favors the home team and the rain also favors the team that can run the ball better ... And that is the Bills

    No Ryan Matthews.. Only Danny Woodhead against a tough Bills run defense. 

    Rivers won't have much choice but to sling it in the rain. Sling it in the raaaain. Fortunately for him the Bills pass defense is ranked 28th.. but you gotta wonder how much it will affect throwing and receivers trying to catch a wet ball. 

    This game is a coin flip but the luck is on the Bills side. But I think the Under is the best play....
     
    mo008
    mo008
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2011
    Posts: 20
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 2:08 AM ET #24

    Buffalo by 4
    Reply
    Buffalo by 4
     
     
    SportsGuruX
    SportsGuruX
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 2489
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2014 - 5:59 AM ET #25

    you have to pay the billssss

    Reply
    you have to pay the billssss

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