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    All Forums | Pro Football

    Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011)

    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
    freedomteam
    djorange007
    vue21849
    BreakaBookie
    JerryWrasse
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    Views: 47210
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    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    freedomteam
    freedomteam
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 6:35 PM ET #101

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

       My first reaction when the line was posted was that it's inflated. And at Super Bowl time, it usually is to accommodate less sophisiticated bettors.I feel the contest will be very close, till near the end. Both teams' playing styles are  a carbon copy of each other. Weeks ago, I saw the Packers potential as a possible SB team. And up till last weekend, I was gung ho, about Green Bay's chances to win it all. However, I ALWAYS bet with my head and not my heart! I'm a rabid Bears fan, but I bet against them. Sometimes, you have to make hard choices. Like when I chose the Jets over NE.  I'm seeing the Pack as the new darlings of the media, and the betting public. I feel the number could even rise to 3 pts in the public frenzy to bet on "a good thing"! After much analysis, I'm going with:

    PITTSBURGH  + 2.5



    Respect your opinion Vue.  Obviously I hope you're wrong.

    Something to think about:

    To the Packers, this is like a bye week.

    The Packers have won 10 of their last 14 after a bye week and are 3 - 1 under Mike McCarthy.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

       My first reaction when the line was posted was that it's inflated. And at Super Bowl time, it usually is to accommodate less sophisiticated bettors.I feel the contest will be very close, till near the end. Both teams' playing styles are  a carbon copy of each other. Weeks ago, I saw the Packers potential as a possible SB team. And up till last weekend, I was gung ho, about Green Bay's chances to win it all. However, I ALWAYS bet with my head and not my heart! I'm a rabid Bears fan, but I bet against them. Sometimes, you have to make hard choices. Like when I chose the Jets over NE.  I'm seeing the Pack as the new darlings of the media, and the betting public. I feel the number could even rise to 3 pts in the public frenzy to bet on "a good thing"! After much analysis, I'm going with:

    PITTSBURGH  + 2.5



    Respect your opinion Vue.  Obviously I hope you're wrong.

    Something to think about:

    To the Packers, this is like a bye week.

    The Packers have won 10 of their last 14 after a bye week and are 3 - 1 under Mike McCarthy.
     
    djorange007
    djorange007
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 7:38 PM ET #102

    Steelers for me.  We've seen this team and this QB win 2.  Been riding the Steelers as favorites these playoffs b/c of their experience, I'm not jumping off when they are getting points.

    Steelers +2.5
    Reply
    Steelers for me.  We've seen this team and this QB win 2.  Been riding the Steelers as favorites these playoffs b/c of their experience, I'm not jumping off when they are getting points.

    Steelers +2.5
     
    vue21849
    vue21849
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 8:29 PM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

    Is it grass or turf in the dome?

    I think it's like an artificial grass but I'm not sure...

    anybody have an idea?

     

    It's artificial- synthetic turf, called Matrix

    source: NFL Stadiums,coaches,and surfaces at NFL Picks.com

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

    Is it grass or turf in the dome?

    I think it's like an artificial grass but I'm not sure...

    anybody have an idea?

     

    It's artificial- synthetic turf, called Matrix

    source: NFL Stadiums,coaches,and surfaces at NFL Picks.com

     
    vue21849
    vue21849
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 8:42 PM ET #104

    Quote Originally Posted by freedomteam:



    Respect your opinion Vue.  Obviously I hope you're wrong.

    Something to think about:

    To the Packers, this is like a bye week.

    The Packers have won 10 of their last 14 after a bye week and are 3 - 1 under Mike McCarthy.

    It's the Super Bowl. I wish you the best of luck. I respect your right to fade me. Just cause I'm running "hot" lately, doesn't mean I can't be wrong. I did say I believe this to be a close contest, and so if you truly feel the Packers have a great chance, but the M.L. Just don't make a big dent in your bankroll, because after all, it's just one game!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by freedomteam:



    Respect your opinion Vue.  Obviously I hope you're wrong.

    Something to think about:

    To the Packers, this is like a bye week.

    The Packers have won 10 of their last 14 after a bye week and are 3 - 1 under Mike McCarthy.

    It's the Super Bowl. I wish you the best of luck. I respect your right to fade me. Just cause I'm running "hot" lately, doesn't mean I can't be wrong. I did say I believe this to be a close contest, and so if you truly feel the Packers have a great chance, but the M.L. Just don't make a big dent in your bankroll, because after all, it's just one game!

     
    vue21849
    vue21849
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 8:56 PM ET #105

    Quote Originally Posted by PeteyRose:

        playoff record (8-4)

    gonna speak early, might change my mind over the course of the next two weeks barring injury news...ect.

    PITT should be favored in this game, Rashad Mendenhall is the difference maker in the matchup on paper.  Somebody said that "vegas was begging for pitt money", however, I see it a different way, the public perception of Greenbay is very high at the moment and it seems to me like the majority of the public would rather see Aaron Rodgers get his first ring, rather than Ben Rapist Roethlisberger, not to mention a change of scenery bodes well for the NFL and it's business. Combine that with the Superbowl's reputation for the average joe to bet heavy on the favorite, the fact that you dont have to give up a full field goal, and a little bluff line movement to mentally reinforcement the favorite 5 minutes after the line came out and bam! you have a great recipe for the public to lose a lot of money come superbowl sunday.  Pittsburgh has the experience, an extremely fast and explosive wide reciever (who had a great game against the pack last go around), the slightly better defense, a traveling fan base just as solid as the cheeseheads, a superbowl proven and decorated quarterback, better tight end, troy polamalu, and the better running game...

    I am not saying to bet Pitt ml, wouldnt be surprised one bit to see Steelers lose by 1 pt which we know is the best overall scenario for the NFL and Vegas.

    STEELERS + ANYTHING OVER 1  

    IF YOUR INTO TEASING STEELERS +9.5 AND OVER 38

    *here is a fun fact...in the last 20 superbowls, we only have had a spread of 3 once, and a spread of less than 3 zero times

    Excellent analysis- Playoff record: 12-2  (10-0 on sides)

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by PeteyRose:

        playoff record (8-4)

    gonna speak early, might change my mind over the course of the next two weeks barring injury news...ect.

    PITT should be favored in this game, Rashad Mendenhall is the difference maker in the matchup on paper.  Somebody said that "vegas was begging for pitt money", however, I see it a different way, the public perception of Greenbay is very high at the moment and it seems to me like the majority of the public would rather see Aaron Rodgers get his first ring, rather than Ben Rapist Roethlisberger, not to mention a change of scenery bodes well for the NFL and it's business. Combine that with the Superbowl's reputation for the average joe to bet heavy on the favorite, the fact that you dont have to give up a full field goal, and a little bluff line movement to mentally reinforcement the favorite 5 minutes after the line came out and bam! you have a great recipe for the public to lose a lot of money come superbowl sunday.  Pittsburgh has the experience, an extremely fast and explosive wide reciever (who had a great game against the pack last go around), the slightly better defense, a traveling fan base just as solid as the cheeseheads, a superbowl proven and decorated quarterback, better tight end, troy polamalu, and the better running game...

    I am not saying to bet Pitt ml, wouldnt be surprised one bit to see Steelers lose by 1 pt which we know is the best overall scenario for the NFL and Vegas.

    STEELERS + ANYTHING OVER 1  

    IF YOUR INTO TEASING STEELERS +9.5 AND OVER 38

    *here is a fun fact...in the last 20 superbowls, we only have had a spread of 3 once, and a spread of less than 3 zero times

    Excellent analysis- Playoff record: 12-2  (10-0 on sides)

     
    vue21849
    vue21849
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 9:38 PM ET #106

    Quote Originally Posted by Duh4U:


    Hahahaha how you doing Vue ! knowledge ??? picking 50 % this year;) grats lucky you !!!!!

    I wish you only the best in all your Super Bowl wagers. I'm neither a basher or a bragger, but get your facts straight:

    My overall NFL record is 53.38 % (as verified by Covers)

    In the current NFL Playoff contest: 12-2  + 4900- rank 26 th, of which I'm 10-0 ATS  +5000 - rank  2 nd  (out of 8,029 players) (as verified by Covers)   RSI:  1 red star(overall)

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Duh4U:


    Hahahaha how you doing Vue ! knowledge ??? picking 50 % this year;) grats lucky you !!!!!

    I wish you only the best in all your Super Bowl wagers. I'm neither a basher or a bragger, but get your facts straight:

    My overall NFL record is 53.38 % (as verified by Covers)

    In the current NFL Playoff contest: 12-2  + 4900- rank 26 th, of which I'm 10-0 ATS  +5000 - rank  2 nd  (out of 8,029 players) (as verified by Covers)   RSI:  1 red star(overall)

     
    BreakaBookie
    BreakaBookie
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 10:32 PM ET #107

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    It's artificial- synthetic turf, called Matrix

    source: NFL Stadiums,coaches,and surfaces at NFL Picks.com



    This run that you have put together for the playoffs is really impressive.... keep up the good work.....  no way I'm fading you haha!

    I'm on the Steelers as well.... I think this line will go up and I'm going to try to get it at 4.5.... (buying as little points as possible)

    I would be suprised if the Steelers lost a superbowl by more than 4....

    GL TO ALL!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    It's artificial- synthetic turf, called Matrix

    source: NFL Stadiums,coaches,and surfaces at NFL Picks.com



    This run that you have put together for the playoffs is really impressive.... keep up the good work.....  no way I'm fading you haha!

    I'm on the Steelers as well.... I think this line will go up and I'm going to try to get it at 4.5.... (buying as little points as possible)

    I would be suprised if the Steelers lost a superbowl by more than 4....

    GL TO ALL!
     
    JerryWrasse
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 11:22 PM ET #108

    Some trends in favor of Pittsburgh.

    Teams playing in their first Super Bowl against an experienced club are 5-3-1 ATS in their L9

    The team that averages more points per game offensively headed into the Super Bowl is just 2-8-1 ATS (10%) over L11 years.

    The team with the better turnover differential heading into the Super Bowl is 1-6 ATS (0%) over the L7 years.

     

    ***DISCLAIMER***

    New Orleans bucked all of these last year.

    Reply

    Some trends in favor of Pittsburgh.

    Teams playing in their first Super Bowl against an experienced club are 5-3-1 ATS in their L9

    The team that averages more points per game offensively headed into the Super Bowl is just 2-8-1 ATS (10%) over L11 years.

    The team with the better turnover differential heading into the Super Bowl is 1-6 ATS (0%) over the L7 years.

     

    ***DISCLAIMER***

    New Orleans bucked all of these last year.

     
    cappithadon21
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2011 - 11:23 PM ET #109

    I LIKE THE UNDER HERE...CONSIDERING THE LAST TIME THEY PLAYED THEY COMBINED FOR 900 PASSING YDS 6 TDS 4 DIFFERENT LEAD CHANGES IN THE 4TH QT. ALONE I SAY THE UNDER.

    BUT MY GUT TELLS ME GB TO THE OVER. AS WELL AS A SMALL $50 BET ON HEADS....

    THE AFC IS MORE DOMINATE AND BEING A DIE HARD PHINPHAN I SHOULD SAY PITT BUT I JUST THINK GB IS ON FIRE. AARON RODGERS NEEDS THIS TO GET OUTTA BRETTS SHADOW.

    SO ALL STATS ASIDE N A STR8 GUT BET GB TO THE OVER

    Reply

    I LIKE THE UNDER HERE...CONSIDERING THE LAST TIME THEY PLAYED THEY COMBINED FOR 900 PASSING YDS 6 TDS 4 DIFFERENT LEAD CHANGES IN THE 4TH QT. ALONE I SAY THE UNDER.

    BUT MY GUT TELLS ME GB TO THE OVER. AS WELL AS A SMALL $50 BET ON HEADS....

    THE AFC IS MORE DOMINATE AND BEING A DIE HARD PHINPHAN I SHOULD SAY PITT BUT I JUST THINK GB IS ON FIRE. AARON RODGERS NEEDS THIS TO GET OUTTA BRETTS SHADOW.

    SO ALL STATS ASIDE N A STR8 GUT BET GB TO THE OVER

     
    ronnie101
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 12:56 AM ET #110

    Does anyone know of a team pitt played where the QB had a quick release as Rogers has.  this information may offer some insite as to what the game may or may not be like.

     

       O yeah they are on A turf

    Reply

    Does anyone know of a team pitt played where the QB had a quick release as Rogers has.  this information may offer some insite as to what the game may or may not be like.

     

       O yeah they are on A turf

     
    jaywm
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 4:14 AM ET #111

    ight check it g.b got this watching tha games in tha season pitt had a hard time scoring easy opp.g.b can get down tha feald when they need to score. pitts d wont be able to stop rodgers he has to many tools on offence greg jennings, donald driver , starks big play makers starks just comin to his sence.rothless burger has a poor offensive line mathews, woodson,jenkens are going to have a feald day on rothlesburger. u think baltimore has a good pass rush g.bs even better nd plus i trust rodgers way more hes good in tha pocket nd can scramble when needed nd if u blits him hes going to have that release. troy nd harrison cant defend jennings nd driver
    Reply
    ight check it g.b got this watching tha games in tha season pitt had a hard time scoring easy opp.g.b can get down tha feald when they need to score. pitts d wont be able to stop rodgers he has to many tools on offence greg jennings, donald driver , starks big play makers starks just comin to his sence.rothless burger has a poor offensive line mathews, woodson,jenkens are going to have a feald day on rothlesburger. u think baltimore has a good pass rush g.bs even better nd plus i trust rodgers way more hes good in tha pocket nd can scramble when needed nd if u blits him hes going to have that release. troy nd harrison cant defend jennings nd driver
     
    bluephinn
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 5:06 AM ET #112

    Like the toothless soldier leading this thread,futures already has me on the PACKERS at dandy odds...Mon-E..Mi amigo..Je vous ai manqué..

    BOLA
    Reply
    Like the toothless soldier leading this thread,futures already has me on the PACKERS at dandy odds...Mon-E..Mi amigo..Je vous ai manqué..

    BOLA
     
    freedomteam
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 7:02 AM ET #113

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    It's the Super Bowl. I wish you the best of luck. I respect your right to fade me. Just cause I'm running "hot" lately, doesn't mean I can't be wrong. I did say I believe this to be a close contest, and so if you truly feel the Packers have a great chance, but the M.L. Just don't make a big dent in your bankroll, because after all, it's just one game!



    If this is a close game, there is a chance that it could go into overtime.

    Of course, then someone would win by at least 3 points.

    It will be a good game to watch.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    It's the Super Bowl. I wish you the best of luck. I respect your right to fade me. Just cause I'm running "hot" lately, doesn't mean I can't be wrong. I did say I believe this to be a close contest, and so if you truly feel the Packers have a great chance, but the M.L. Just don't make a big dent in your bankroll, because after all, it's just one game!



    If this is a close game, there is a chance that it could go into overtime.

    Of course, then someone would win by at least 3 points.

    It will be a good game to watch.
     
    DrDogs
    DrDogs
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 9:04 AM ET #114

    WE will win! Pack will lose! Good luck. Nice season we had at times. Booyashaka

     

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

       My first reaction when the line was posted was that it's inflated. And at Super Bowl time, it usually is to accommodate less sophisiticated bettors.I feel the contest will be very close, till near the end. Both teams' playing styles are  a carbon copy of each other. Weeks ago, I saw the Packers potential as a possible SB team. And up till last weekend, I was gung ho, about Green Bay's chances to win it all. However, I ALWAYS bet with my head and not my heart! I'm a rabid Bears fan, but I bet against them. Sometimes, you have to make hard choices. Like when I chose the Jets over NE.  I'm seeing the Pack as the new darlings of the media, and the betting public. I feel the number could even rise to 3 pts in the public frenzy to bet on "a good thing"! After much analysis, I'm going with:

    PITTSBURGH  + 2.5

    If you’re not large, you’re small - the DOC
    Reply

    WE will win! Pack will lose! Good luck. Nice season we had at times. Booyashaka

     

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

       My first reaction when the line was posted was that it's inflated. And at Super Bowl time, it usually is to accommodate less sophisiticated bettors.I feel the contest will be very close, till near the end. Both teams' playing styles are  a carbon copy of each other. Weeks ago, I saw the Packers potential as a possible SB team. And up till last weekend, I was gung ho, about Green Bay's chances to win it all. However, I ALWAYS bet with my head and not my heart! I'm a rabid Bears fan, but I bet against them. Sometimes, you have to make hard choices. Like when I chose the Jets over NE.  I'm seeing the Pack as the new darlings of the media, and the betting public. I feel the number could even rise to 3 pts in the public frenzy to bet on "a good thing"! After much analysis, I'm going with:

    PITTSBURGH  + 2.5

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 9:29 AM ET #115

    Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:

    The fact that the action is essentially split down the middle proves that the linemakers were correct to make GB a 3 pt favorite. If anyone thinks that Pittsburgh is clearly the better team and will win needs to pound the line.

    Of course the line was set to induce action on Pittsburgh. GB is the public darling. The line had to be set at where it is to prevent an overload of money being poured on GB. If the it opened at a pk over 70% would be on the Pack.

    I think we are looking at this 2 different ways. You see that Pitt is a better team and so the line should be indicative of that. I see it as a way to split the vote.

    SB a different beast than reg season game.LARGE amounts of $$ by John Q.,and Vegas knows that the majority of that will be bet on the fav.Had they made Pitt the fav (which they should be) they would have ended up with lopsided action which they dont want esp in this game.Other than the possibly the Cowboys the Steelers have the strongest following nationwide.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:

    The fact that the action is essentially split down the middle proves that the linemakers were correct to make GB a 3 pt favorite. If anyone thinks that Pittsburgh is clearly the better team and will win needs to pound the line.

    Of course the line was set to induce action on Pittsburgh. GB is the public darling. The line had to be set at where it is to prevent an overload of money being poured on GB. If the it opened at a pk over 70% would be on the Pack.

    I think we are looking at this 2 different ways. You see that Pitt is a better team and so the line should be indicative of that. I see it as a way to split the vote.

    SB a different beast than reg season game.LARGE amounts of $$ by John Q.,and Vegas knows that the majority of that will be bet on the fav.Had they made Pitt the fav (which they should be) they would have ended up with lopsided action which they dont want esp in this game.Other than the possibly the Cowboys the Steelers have the strongest following nationwide.
     
    bigcat33
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 9:54 AM ET #116

    Looking at these two teams, it's a tough call. Green Bay looks good and could possibly cover. I think it may come down to that old adage - "The team that makes the least mistakes will win."

    WIth the spread money favoring GB 55% to 45%. it possible to see the line go to +3 for the Steelers. I could only wish for +3.5 - Then I would bet the Steelers.

    But currently teasing 'lers and the over/under looks better right now.

    Reply

    Looking at these two teams, it's a tough call. Green Bay looks good and could possibly cover. I think it may come down to that old adage - "The team that makes the least mistakes will win."

    WIth the spread money favoring GB 55% to 45%. it possible to see the line go to +3 for the Steelers. I could only wish for +3.5 - Then I would bet the Steelers.

    But currently teasing 'lers and the over/under looks better right now.

     
    vue21849
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #117

    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:



    This run that you have put together for the playoffs is really impressive.... keep up the good work.....  no way I'm fading you haha!

    I'm on the Steelers as well.... I think this line will go up and I'm going to try to get it at 4.5.... (buying as little points as possible)

    I would be suprised if the Steelers lost a superbowl by more than 4....

    GL TO ALL!

    I strongly feel that this SB, will be one of the closer ones in recent years. Wouldn't surprise me in the least that Green Bay wins SU, but Pittsburgh covers the number! Afterall, it's the NFL (Not For Long!)

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:



    This run that you have put together for the playoffs is really impressive.... keep up the good work.....  no way I'm fading you haha!

    I'm on the Steelers as well.... I think this line will go up and I'm going to try to get it at 4.5.... (buying as little points as possible)

    I would be suprised if the Steelers lost a superbowl by more than 4....

    GL TO ALL!

    I strongly feel that this SB, will be one of the closer ones in recent years. Wouldn't surprise me in the least that Green Bay wins SU, but Pittsburgh covers the number! Afterall, it's the NFL (Not For Long!)

     
    Fusilli-Mondo
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 11:47 AM ET #118

    Quote Originally Posted by ronnie101:

    Does anyone know of a team pitt played where the QB had a quick release as Rogers has.  this information may offer some insite as to what the game may or may not be like.

     

       O yeah they are on A turf

    Yes, They lost to MR. Brees wk 8 by 10 pts. and were beaten badly by MR. Brady wk 10. Last time I checked their releases were pretty good...great point ronnie...i may look at this game differently.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ronnie101:

    Does anyone know of a team pitt played where the QB had a quick release as Rogers has.  this information may offer some insite as to what the game may or may not be like.

     

       O yeah they are on A turf

    Yes, They lost to MR. Brees wk 8 by 10 pts. and were beaten badly by MR. Brady wk 10. Last time I checked their releases were pretty good...great point ronnie...i may look at this game differently.
     
    LRpisano
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 12:27 PM ET #119

    Quote Originally Posted by bigcat33:

    Looking at these two teams, it's a tough call. Green Bay looks good and could possibly cover. I think it may come down to that old adage - "The team that makes the least mistakes will win."

    WIth the spread money favoring GB 55% to 45%. it possible to see the line go to +3 for the Steelers. I could only wish for +3.5 - Then I would bet the Steelers.

    But currently teasing 'lers and the over/under looks better right now.



    BigCat, IF indeed the line goes up to +3 for Pittsburgh & doesn't rise anymore, you were saying that you HOPE  it would go to +3.5. IF, it doesn't, just buy a half point. Buying that half point is HUGGGGGGE!!!! I've done it before, many of times & I'm very thankful that I did!!! So, IF it just goes to -3 & stays there, I would buy that half point. Just a suggestion to you, my friend. Good luck to you : ) !!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bigcat33:

    Looking at these two teams, it's a tough call. Green Bay looks good and could possibly cover. I think it may come down to that old adage - "The team that makes the least mistakes will win."

    WIth the spread money favoring GB 55% to 45%. it possible to see the line go to +3 for the Steelers. I could only wish for +3.5 - Then I would bet the Steelers.

    But currently teasing 'lers and the over/under looks better right now.



    BigCat, IF indeed the line goes up to +3 for Pittsburgh & doesn't rise anymore, you were saying that you HOPE  it would go to +3.5. IF, it doesn't, just buy a half point. Buying that half point is HUGGGGGGE!!!! I've done it before, many of times & I'm very thankful that I did!!! So, IF it just goes to -3 & stays there, I would buy that half point. Just a suggestion to you, my friend. Good luck to you : ) !!!
     
    LRpisano
    LRpisano
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #120

    I know that Green bay has a TERRIFIC offense (Especially a GREAT passing attack!!), but no one is realizing, IF you give a team like Pittsburgh 2 WEEKS to prepare for a game, rather than 1 WEEK, that's HUGE!!!!!!!!! I feel with the extra week that Pittsburgh's defense has to prepare for Green Bay's offense, I think that they will find a way to SLOW UP (NOT shut down completely!!) Green Bay's offense!!! Pittsburgh has the experience & has been to the Super Bowl a lot more than Green Bay & has won A LOT more Super Bowls, too!!! I feel Pittsburgh will get the job done!!!

    Final score: Pittsburgh 31 Green Bay 21
    Reply
    I know that Green bay has a TERRIFIC offense (Especially a GREAT passing attack!!), but no one is realizing, IF you give a team like Pittsburgh 2 WEEKS to prepare for a game, rather than 1 WEEK, that's HUGE!!!!!!!!! I feel with the extra week that Pittsburgh's defense has to prepare for Green Bay's offense, I think that they will find a way to SLOW UP (NOT shut down completely!!) Green Bay's offense!!! Pittsburgh has the experience & has been to the Super Bowl a lot more than Green Bay & has won A LOT more Super Bowls, too!!! I feel Pittsburgh will get the job done!!!

    Final score: Pittsburgh 31 Green Bay 21
     
    bigcat33
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 12:57 PM ET #121

    Quote Originally Posted by LRpisano:



    BigCat, IF indeed the line goes up to +3 for Pittsburgh & doesn't rise anymore, you were saying that you HOPE  it would go to +3.5. IF, it doesn't, just buy a half point. Buying that half point is HUGGGGGGE!!!! I've done it before, many of times & I'm very thankful that I did!!! So, IF it just goes to -3 & stays there, I would buy that half point. Just a suggestion to you, my friend. Good luck to you : ) !!!

     

    Thanks LR

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by LRpisano:



    BigCat, IF indeed the line goes up to +3 for Pittsburgh & doesn't rise anymore, you were saying that you HOPE  it would go to +3.5. IF, it doesn't, just buy a half point. Buying that half point is HUGGGGGGE!!!! I've done it before, many of times & I'm very thankful that I did!!! So, IF it just goes to -3 & stays there, I would buy that half point. Just a suggestion to you, my friend. Good luck to you : ) !!!

     

    Thanks LR

     
    PeteyRose
    PeteyRose
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    Posts: 1433
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 1:10 PM ET #122

    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    Excellent analysis- Playoff record: 12-2  (10-0 on sides)

      Thanks Vue...good luck to you...I liked your write up as well, I think we are both on the same page on this one.  I really feel like Rodgers will throw a game winning td at the end of the game to win by 1 point. 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

    Excellent analysis- Playoff record: 12-2  (10-0 on sides)

      Thanks Vue...good luck to you...I liked your write up as well, I think we are both on the same page on this one.  I really feel like Rodgers will throw a game winning td at the end of the game to win by 1 point. 

     
    PeteyRose
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 1:19 PM ET #123

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    SB a different beast than reg season game.LARGE amounts of $$ by John Q.,and Vegas knows that the majority of that will be bet on the fav.Had they made Pitt the fav (which they should be) they would have ended up with lopsided action which they dont want esp in this game.Other than the possibly the Cowboys the Steelers have the strongest following nationwide.

    Exactly, Vegas knows that people like to bet the favorite in the superbowl especially the average joe looking for some one day a year entertainment, so if that is the case why make the team that vegas thinks is going to win the favorite? or make them the favorite by 1.5 and watch them only win by 1...hmmmmmm.  However, I am really not baseing my pick solely on what I think Vegas wants even though it usually works out pretty well for me, I am baseing it on the fact that Rashad Mendenhall is going to help Pitt keep Rodgers off the field and the run defense will make GB sort of one dimensional with Polamalu making a big play or two and Big Ben scrambling and making some big plays to Wallace. I wouldnt factor the injury to Pouncey into the equation, the guy as two weeks of rest...that is all media bs and he will play.

       

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    SB a different beast than reg season game.LARGE amounts of $$ by John Q.,and Vegas knows that the majority of that will be bet on the fav.Had they made Pitt the fav (which they should be) they would have ended up with lopsided action which they dont want esp in this game.Other than the possibly the Cowboys the Steelers have the strongest following nationwide.

    Exactly, Vegas knows that people like to bet the favorite in the superbowl especially the average joe looking for some one day a year entertainment, so if that is the case why make the team that vegas thinks is going to win the favorite? or make them the favorite by 1.5 and watch them only win by 1...hmmmmmm.  However, I am really not baseing my pick solely on what I think Vegas wants even though it usually works out pretty well for me, I am baseing it on the fact that Rashad Mendenhall is going to help Pitt keep Rodgers off the field and the run defense will make GB sort of one dimensional with Polamalu making a big play or two and Big Ben scrambling and making some big plays to Wallace. I wouldnt factor the injury to Pouncey into the equation, the guy as two weeks of rest...that is all media bs and he will play.

       

     
    FleshGordun
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 1:41 PM ET #124

    Quote Originally Posted by FleshGordun:

    Stalker gets it. Both winners build a lead get painfully conservative and put the game on two excellent defenses that can make the other team burn clock. PIT has the experience in SB's IMO this si a huge factor, but they have some injuries, and Polumolu still not 100%. Still PIT edge at saftey GB edge at corners. lineabckers edge PIT, D line even. Offense run game even, passing even, O-line GB. Special teams after further review.

    Watched the GB CHI game again (recorded) and amend my statement about GB. Despite a good running game ( CHI fans sorry, Urlacher cant get off blocks anymore) Rogers was completely ineffective unable to find open recievers. I have to ask is the CHI D better than the PIT D equal?  GB needed to score, was trying to score and was completely blanked drive after drive. Conversely Haini haney WTF his name is drove his team repeatedly into GB territory eventually throwing INTs.

    Observations: Rogers is extremely accurate putting the ball where only his recievers cna catch it. However, GB recievers were unable to get seperation and or Rogers was unable to find the open one. Again is the PIT D at least equal to CHI?

    DEF GB has a fine pass rush but they are poor against the run particularly short yardage.other wise there excellent.

    It has been mentioned that GB during the season was unable to generate come form behind victories where as PIT has. Except for ATL I cant see evidence of this supposed juggernaut spread offense when its really needed. IMO PIT D is better than ATL at least equal to CHI. PIT 3-4 D has better LB's across the board and more complicated in disguising coverages. From 09 to 10 PIT has changed there CB play from a large cushion 90% to tighter man coverage vastly improving the short to medium pass defense, however leaving them vulnerable to the long pass (JETS game).

    Both PIT and GB offenses have seemingly lost momentum in the second half of there last games and now have 2 weeks off, I havent reviewed the PIT NYJ game, but right now I am thinking of waiting till the public pushes the # up and playing the under.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by FleshGordun:

    Stalker gets it. Both winners build a lead get painfully conservative and put the game on two excellent defenses that can make the other team burn clock. PIT has the experience in SB's IMO this si a huge factor, but they have some injuries, and Polumolu still not 100%. Still PIT edge at saftey GB edge at corners. lineabckers edge PIT, D line even. Offense run game even, passing even, O-line GB. Special teams after further review.

    Watched the GB CHI game again (recorded) and amend my statement about GB. Despite a good running game ( CHI fans sorry, Urlacher cant get off blocks anymore) Rogers was completely ineffective unable to find open recievers. I have to ask is the CHI D better than the PIT D equal?  GB needed to score, was trying to score and was completely blanked drive after drive. Conversely Haini haney WTF his name is drove his team repeatedly into GB territory eventually throwing INTs.

    Observations: Rogers is extremely accurate putting the ball where only his recievers cna catch it. However, GB recievers were unable to get seperation and or Rogers was unable to find the open one. Again is the PIT D at least equal to CHI?

    DEF GB has a fine pass rush but they are poor against the run particularly short yardage.other wise there excellent.

    It has been mentioned that GB during the season was unable to generate come form behind victories where as PIT has. Except for ATL I cant see evidence of this supposed juggernaut spread offense when its really needed. IMO PIT D is better than ATL at least equal to CHI. PIT 3-4 D has better LB's across the board and more complicated in disguising coverages. From 09 to 10 PIT has changed there CB play from a large cushion 90% to tighter man coverage vastly improving the short to medium pass defense, however leaving them vulnerable to the long pass (JETS game).

    Both PIT and GB offenses have seemingly lost momentum in the second half of there last games and now have 2 weeks off, I havent reviewed the PIT NYJ game, but right now I am thinking of waiting till the public pushes the # up and playing the under.

     
     
    bouncer07
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 3:05 PM ET #125

    To all the people why GB is favor:

    GB defeated Seeds: 1,2, & 3.

    Steelers defeated Seeds: 5 & 6.

    With GB's defeating the top seeds, they are on FIRE! Did I just say Hot? If Green Bay was favor, EVERYONE will be jumping on Packers. Seriously, 75% of the public will be riding them right now. But since they are favor'd, it's a 51/49 - Vegas wants money, Vegas wants people to pick on Steelers and it's working. "Stupid is, Stupid does", Green Bay is the team to win the SUPERBOWL.

     

    Good Luck! History repeats itself, Green Bay will keep holding the most record TITLE TOWN, this will be their 13th superbowl win and championships. THE MOST IN ALL NFL!

     

     

    Reply

    To all the people why GB is favor:

    GB defeated Seeds: 1,2, & 3.

    Steelers defeated Seeds: 5 & 6.

    With GB's defeating the top seeds, they are on FIRE! Did I just say Hot? If Green Bay was favor, EVERYONE will be jumping on Packers. Seriously, 75% of the public will be riding them right now. But since they are favor'd, it's a 51/49 - Vegas wants money, Vegas wants people to pick on Steelers and it's working. "Stupid is, Stupid does", Green Bay is the team to win the SUPERBOWL.

     

    Good Luck! History repeats itself, Green Bay will keep holding the most record TITLE TOWN, this will be their 13th superbowl win and championships. THE MOST IN ALL NFL!

     

     

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