New Orleans at Chicago (12/11/2008)

N.O. has had only two games go under in the last month.......both by a point!!!  This total is at 44 and will go down with the bad weather low players that will bang it down in the last 23 hours.........load up on the over.......N.O. is one of the best over plays every single week...........the Bears don't have the type of defense to defend this balanced attack.  Bears might win.......I don't care.........I'll be rooting for both teams all night and pounding the over!!!!

simply comes down to who is the home team. chicago in december gonna be shitty weather and look for that Bears D to put brees on his ass.

This is a tough game to cap. Like many of you have mentioned the Saints have been aweful on the road. But they've lost road games to Carolina, Atlanta, Tampa, Washington, and Denver. All pretty good home teams. Their only road win is against the lowly Chiefs.

 

Along with the weather the Saints lack of Def will be one of the deciding factors in this game. Chicago is a hard place to play on a normal Sunday. Move the game to prime time and lower the temp to about 20 degrees and its even more difficult.The Bears are averaging almost 27 points a game at home while allowing a little over 23 ppg. Meanwhile the Saints are allowing 28 points on the road while scoring an average of 22 points per outing on the road. IMO neither of these teams will put up a lot of points in tonight's match up and the UNDER is probably the play here.

 

Drew Brees is a different QB on the road than he is at home. He has 7 touchdown passes in 6 road games but 16 in 6 home games...one game that I didn't include with the home games was played in England where he had 3 TD passes. Brees also has 10 INT's on the road compared to just 4 at home. His QB rating is much worse on the road than it is at home and his play will be another factor in this game. On grass is QB rating is 86.6 compared to 105.3 on turf. His rating in road games is 76.7 compared to 117.2 in road games.

 

Kyle Orton isn't anything special whether he is playing at home or on the road, but has been playing better as of late. If the Bears can establish the run and allow Orton to make short 5 - 10 yards passes to Matt Forte and Devin Hester then the Bears will win this game.

 

 

Two teams with identical records late in the season. One is bad on the road, one is very good at home.

One plays indoors on turf, the other outdoors on grass. One has a tough defense, one starts Jason David.

I'll happily give the 3 and watch Brees toss 3 picks while the Bears slow down Bush.

This almost seems too easy.

Someone smarter than me tell me what I'm missing.

12/10/2008 12:42 AM	Spread	500.00	500.00	Football - 302 Chicago Bears -3  +100 for Game
	12/10/2008 10:11 AM	Total	825.00	750.00	Football - 301 New Orleans Saints/Chicago Bears under 45 -110 for Game
	12/10/2008 10:11 AM	Total	1150.00	1000.00	Football - 301 New Orleans Saints/Chicago Bears under 23 -115 for 1st Half
	12/10/2008 10:12 AM	Parlay	1000.00	2,692.90	Football - 302 Chicago Bears -3 +100 for Game   Football - 301 New Orleans Saints/Chicago Bears under 23 -115 for 1st Half

I've only been posting for a week or so and notice there is a lot of animosity in these threads. I also noticed that a lot these guys starting crap have 1 or 2 posts and seem to create an account just for that reason.