The Dolphins looked like they didn’t want to be out on the field last week in San Diego as they trailed 23-0 at halftime before waking up a little in the second half. While they may be looking forward to the season ending we’ll probably get a good rebound effort from them this week at home against a foe that they can and should beat. Mainly because the Colts are really bad right now, having lost their last three SU and ATS by an average score of 37-12 and losing against the spread by an average of 22.5 points.
Indy is really beat up with Luck still out and Hasselbeck nursing multiple injuries behind a banged up and ineffective offensive line. Facing a dysfunctional but talented Miami defense is not what the doctor ordered for the Indy offense. Last week the Colts couldn’t generate any offensive production with just 190 total yards at 3.5 yppl at home against Houston and this week I don’t expect much better.
Overall on the season the Colts are well below average in all efficiency metrics and they find themselves in a bad spot in this game. The Colts can’t run the ball (averaging 85 yards at 3.7 ypr against teams that allow 101 yard sat 4.1 ypr) and they can’t defend the run (allowing 125 yards at 4.5 ypr) and they face a Dolphins team that runs the ball fairly well when given the chance (4.8 ypr against teams that allow 4.3 ypr). Based on their advantage via the ground the Dolphins qualify in a good 701-523-41 fundamental rushing situation that is already 25-18 this season.
Miami is really hurting up front with center Mike Pouncey and left tackle Brandon Albert battling injuries that may hinder their ability to rush the ball and pass protect. Indy can still make the playoffs if they win out but Indianapolis has very little margin for error right now, as a loss to the Dolphins and a win by the Texans would end the team’s playoff hopes. My model favors the Dolphins by 3.0 points. bol!!!
MIAMI (-1.5) 24 Indianapolis 21
The Dolphins looked like they didn’t want to be out on the field last week in San Diego as they trailed 23-0 at halftime before waking up a little in the second half. While they may be looking forward to the season ending we’ll probably get a good rebound effort from them this week at home against a foe that they can and should beat. Mainly because the Colts are really bad right now, having lost their last three SU and ATS by an average score of 37-12 and losing against the spread by an average of 22.5 points.
Indy is really beat up with Luck still out and Hasselbeck nursing multiple injuries behind a banged up and ineffective offensive line. Facing a dysfunctional but talented Miami defense is not what the doctor ordered for the Indy offense. Last week the Colts couldn’t generate any offensive production with just 190 total yards at 3.5 yppl at home against Houston and this week I don’t expect much better.
Overall on the season the Colts are well below average in all efficiency metrics and they find themselves in a bad spot in this game. The Colts can’t run the ball (averaging 85 yards at 3.7 ypr against teams that allow 101 yard sat 4.1 ypr) and they can’t defend the run (allowing 125 yards at 4.5 ypr) and they face a Dolphins team that runs the ball fairly well when given the chance (4.8 ypr against teams that allow 4.3 ypr). Based on their advantage via the ground the Dolphins qualify in a good 701-523-41 fundamental rushing situation that is already 25-18 this season.
Miami is really hurting up front with center Mike Pouncey and left tackle Brandon Albert battling injuries that may hinder their ability to rush the ball and pass protect. Indy can still make the playoffs if they win out but Indianapolis has very little margin for error right now, as a loss to the Dolphins and a win by the Texans would end the team’s playoff hopes. My model favors the Dolphins by 3.0 points. bol!!!
i Thought M. Pouncey was done for the seeson?..Nonetheless,he is one of many that has had limited practice over the week. Hasselbeck has been more beaten up than a $5 hooker,lol!. Hasselbeck been knocked out of each of the last 3 games with back, shoulder, neck and rib injuries.
MIA ranks 26th in the NFL with 25.8 pts per game and 30th in total defense, allowing 396.8 yards per game. MIA givn up at least 30 pts for the 5th time in 8 games
INDY rank 25th in the league against the run, allowing 123.8 yards per game, but have been even worse in defending the pass and rank 29th with an average of 267.2.
Me thinks INDY can still move the ball on this MIA team and are playing in must win mode. Last 5 meets have been decided by 6pts of less if ya give a sh!t bout that trend,lol!
INDY +3.0
i Thought M. Pouncey was done for the seeson?..Nonetheless,he is one of many that has had limited practice over the week. Hasselbeck has been more beaten up than a $5 hooker,lol!. Hasselbeck been knocked out of each of the last 3 games with back, shoulder, neck and rib injuries.
MIA ranks 26th in the NFL with 25.8 pts per game and 30th in total defense, allowing 396.8 yards per game. MIA givn up at least 30 pts for the 5th time in 8 games
INDY rank 25th in the league against the run, allowing 123.8 yards per game, but have been even worse in defending the pass and rank 29th with an average of 267.2.
Me thinks INDY can still move the ball on this MIA team and are playing in must win mode. Last 5 meets have been decided by 6pts of less if ya give a sh!t bout that trend,lol!
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