Posted:
#76
This game feels like a trap, but I'll have to go with the better squad.
Indy -2
Indy -2
Indianapolis at Baltimore (11/22/2009)
Posted:
#79
I've been thinking about this game for a very long time. There's so much to think about.
Any statistical data points to the Colts winning this game. They won the last several match ups, better QB, all around more talented super bowl caliber team. To top it off, Colts are a perfect 8-0 this year.
Who remembers last week's Colts/NE match up? Anyone that bet the Colts lost and the majority of NE backers took the money line and lost. Seems very convenient for the sports books.
The Pats had that play on 4th and 2 easy. I've watched it over and over. I don't even blame Pat's coach. Payton w/ 2 mins all it takes is for the refs to call 1 pass interference. He might as well take his chances w/ 4th and 2.
I think it was 2 years ago pats and NE were both undefeated and there was a similar outcome. Books won on both sides.
Colts -1 is not a line that will draw 50/50 action on either side. When I placed my bet I asked the writer if anyone was betting Baltimore. They hadn't had a single bet on Baltimore that day. All Colts.
Sports betting is funny because before the game it feels so sure that the better team will win but during the game we're reminded that any given team can win any given game.
Now I had watched the INDY v Houston match up this year and Indy struggled seemingly without any legitimate reason. Houston could be considered a worse team than Baltimore..
If Vegas wanted 50/50 action, the line would be Indy -7. Even that may draw one sided action. Indy -10 ??
This line is clearly very suspicious. I think we can all agree it's not a line intended to draw 50/50 action.
I'm going to take my chances with BALTIMORE. I'm purely playing the suspicious line.
Any statistical data points to the Colts winning this game. They won the last several match ups, better QB, all around more talented super bowl caliber team. To top it off, Colts are a perfect 8-0 this year.
Who remembers last week's Colts/NE match up? Anyone that bet the Colts lost and the majority of NE backers took the money line and lost. Seems very convenient for the sports books.
The Pats had that play on 4th and 2 easy. I've watched it over and over. I don't even blame Pat's coach. Payton w/ 2 mins all it takes is for the refs to call 1 pass interference. He might as well take his chances w/ 4th and 2.
I think it was 2 years ago pats and NE were both undefeated and there was a similar outcome. Books won on both sides.
Colts -1 is not a line that will draw 50/50 action on either side. When I placed my bet I asked the writer if anyone was betting Baltimore. They hadn't had a single bet on Baltimore that day. All Colts.
Sports betting is funny because before the game it feels so sure that the better team will win but during the game we're reminded that any given team can win any given game.
Now I had watched the INDY v Houston match up this year and Indy struggled seemingly without any legitimate reason. Houston could be considered a worse team than Baltimore..
If Vegas wanted 50/50 action, the line would be Indy -7. Even that may draw one sided action. Indy -10 ??
This line is clearly very suspicious. I think we can all agree it's not a line intended to draw 50/50 action.
I'm going to take my chances with BALTIMORE. I'm purely playing the suspicious line.
Posted:
#81
BAL pk: will keep fading the Colts, especially with Ravens at home. The line is pretty shady, seems like Vegas is begging for action on the Colts and the public is obliging. While i like Peyton in general, i'll take the Ravens and Ray Lewis at home. Some of Manning's tosses last week were wounded ducks to wide open receivers, i see the Baltimore D getting into his head here too. Score: Ravens 21-Colts 18 (4 units).
Posted:
#82
dont understand how colts arent giving way more points. and ravens arent really a well rounded team looking for the W. yes they play super good against really good teams. but they never win. plus suggs not even being 100% is not good at all for this defense. the only person you have to watch out for is addai. but he will be ready. look what he did second half against the patriots. COLTS blow out ravens first half then just sit on the lead.
Posted:
#83
Balt. looked like shit on MNF & without a good D they w/h lost.& Browns kept them @ a piss poor score also
But, you're NOT shutting down the Indy offense as if they were the browns. there @ least 15 times better than those bark-less dogs & indys "D" is also better than the Brownies>hehe.
Take Mannings Mean machine & show yourself the MONEY
Posted:
#86
Here are my picks for Sunday. I have struggled for survival on college but my pro picks have been very good. Last week was tough in the NFL so I will look to have a nice rebound. Will the dogs rule again this week? I say things get straightened out this Sunday and so...
Green Bay -6.5
Indy -1.5
Dallas -10.5
Minn Over46
New England -11
Cinn -9
My best to the true vets on here! 
Let's WIN!!! 
Posted:
#88
The colts are 9-0 with a 4 game lead on the division while the ravens are scrapping to get into the playoffs still. I don't think the team will coast just yet however, as the Jags & Texans both can close the division lead to 3 Games if the Colts Lose.
The Colts have also had trouble stopping the run, and while Baltimore's offence is sputtering the last few games, I believe they might have more success converting some tds on the ground. It doesn't have to be said that the colts will find a way to score also, which is why I'm taking over 44 in this one.
Posted:
#90
Quote Originally Posted by usmail:
TEAMS PLAYED GOOD GAME LIKE INDY DID LAST SUNDAY NITE USUALLY LOSE THE NEXT ONE OR NOT COVERED,BECAUSE MOST PEOPLE EXPECTED THEM TO DO THE SAMETHING. DO YOU THINK? I THINK IT WILL BE PK GAME. THIS IS HARD TO TELL.SHOULD I PICK OVER FOR THIS SHOOT OUT GAME????????????????
FLAK-O HELD BACK IN THAT GAME LAST MONDAY SO AS NOT TO EMBARESS THE HOME TEAM TOO MUCH...HE HAD ONLY 13 COMPLETIONS.....WATCH THE MF TURN INTO JOE MONANA ALL OF A SUDDEN...I THINK THE FIX IS IN....EVERYONE IS RIDING THE INDY HO TRAIN JUST LIKE THE SAINTS...GL....IM NOT TOUCHING THIS
TEAMS PLAYED GOOD GAME LIKE INDY DID LAST SUNDAY NITE USUALLY LOSE THE NEXT ONE OR NOT COVERED,BECAUSE MOST PEOPLE EXPECTED THEM TO DO THE SAMETHING. DO YOU THINK? I THINK IT WILL BE PK GAME. THIS IS HARD TO TELL.SHOULD I PICK OVER FOR THIS SHOOT OUT GAME????????????????
Posted:
#91
DISCLAIMER: The grades/ratings below have nothing to do with the past. So, don't tell me what Peyton Manning's grade should be.
KEY:
COOL COLORS = good/lucky ratings/grades
WARM COLORS = bad/unlucky ratings/grades
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS OFFENSE & O-LINE:
C-Peyton Manning B-Joseph Addai A+Donald Brown C-Gijon Robinson B-/C-Reggie Wayne C-Pierre Garcon C-Austin Collie B-Dallas Clark
RT C-Ryan Diem; RG A+Mike Pollak; C B-Jeff Saturday; LG B+Ryan Lilja; LT C-Charlie Johnson
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS DEFENSE:
DE B+Robert Mathis; DT A+Antonio Johnson; DT C+Daniel Muir; DE B-Dwight Freeney; LB A+Philip Wheeler; LB CGary Brackett; LB C-Clint Session; CB B-/C-Jerraud Powers; CB C-Tim Jennings; SS B+Melvin Bullitt; FS B-/C+Antoine Bethea
BALTIMORE RAVENS OFFENSE & O-LINE:
B-Joe Flacco C-Ray Rice B+Willis McGahee CLe'Ron McClain C+Derrick Mason A+Mark Clayton CKelley Washington C-L.J. Smith
RT B+Michael Oher; RG B-Chris Chester; C C+Matt Birk; LG A-/B+Ben Grubbs; LT B+Jared Gaither
BALTIMORE RAVENS DEFENSE:
DE C-Trevor Pryce; NT B-Kelly Gregg; DE B+Haloti Ngata; LB C+Jarret Johnson; LB A+Ray Lewis; LB B-/C+Tavares Gooden; LB B+Paul Kruger; CB B+Fabian Washington; CB B+Domonique Foxworth; SS C+Dawan Landry; FS B+Ed Reed
Pick: Baltimore Ravens +1
Reason: You guys know those "reader" shops you pass by when you're out driving? Take out $25, walk in and give 'em Peyton Manning's birth date. They'll tell you one thing: UNLOAD as much as you can [afford] on the Ravens. The Colts will be undefeated no more on November 22, 2009. Walk out; proceed to invest 100,000 times $25 on this game. Thats right, sell your house or car if you have to. Its UNLOAD [as much as you can] day!
By the way, i had the Colts -1 over the Patriots last week. Okay, so i was lucky to get the push there but the point is: it sure was Peyton Manning's "lucky" day, wasn't it? Funny how "luck" changes. As gamblers, we all know a 'lil some-some about luck.
According to the "readings" above, it looks like Kruger and/or Ellerbe will fill in nicely for Terrell Suggs. Ditto for L.J. Smith over Todd Heap. I just wanted to get that out of the way because Colts bettors will make a big deal over those 2 key players being doubtful for the Ravens, i think.
Thats part of my take on the game. Hopefully, this is one of those "pre-destined" game where my biorhythm/ephemerides "system" can get some credit/accolade. 
Posted:
#92
Quote Originally Posted by Philly215:
This line tells you Ravens win. How can they be favored over the colts after the way the've played the last 4 weeks? Indy coming off a real tough game against NE and now travelling to Baltimmore, guess this is a perfect spot for thier first loss of the year, Vegas I agree.
Ravens -1
I'm glad theres more people in here with some sense.
Baltimore +1
Don't be a sucker.
Posted:
#93
At this time of the year, the lines are the toughest to beat, people always go broke towards the end of the year, remember that. Baltimore must win this game, Indy is feeling good about themselves and are probably taking it easy in practice going thru the motions. Baltimore stomped on Denver at home, when they came in riding high and the Ravens came out hungry. The Colts have been getting lucky as of late in their wins, this time, they won't get so lucky. One week a team can look unbeatable, and the next they can get stomped. The linemakers know everyone saw how poorly the Baltimore offense played against a Cleveland D, that was pumped for that challenge.
BALTIMORE ROLLS
Posted:
#94
RAvens are clearly the play guys, if vegas wanted us to be 50/50 on this game thie line would be colts -7 cuz thats the only way the pub would be 50/50 so why would they try to "play with our minds" and hope we go for it when they can just make the line -7 which is the only way they level this game out, Ravens win today in a chilly baltimore stadium,. i dont know if any of you have been there, but its a loud crazy place
Posted:
#98
Quote Originally Posted by coltsalltheway:
Ravens will take this, they are a solid team and at home they should be able to come away with the victory, should be a great game to watch
i guess you don't watch much football.. the ravens are a solid team???
dude they couldn't score a single point for 3 periods against a team that are one of the shittiest in the nfl. the colts d kept brady from a first down on a 4th and 2 away. you really think flacco is capable of winning against manning. my answer is hell no and this line will move to indi -3 by game time and you will see. how solid can they be with 4 losses and one of them is at home?
indi 33-17
Have you not seen their schedule? They easily have the toughest schedule in the league up to this point. They should have won at Minn if it werent for a missed 44 yard field goal, inside a dome which should be relatively automatic for an NFL kicker. Also, I hate to say it, but a loss at the Pats which if it weren't for a dropped pass at the end of the game by Mason I believe, they probably win that game. This team is an extremely solid team. I hope they don't make the playoffs cause I would rather not play them, but nevertheless, I will take them at home against an Indy team which quite frankly should have 3 losses by now, Miami, Houston, and the Pats
Posted:
#99
Baltimore wins by 10 minimum. Colts are 9-0. That record is the only reason their favorite bc they been winning with friggin mirrors. last three games all home could have easily lost all three. Colts have so many injuries its scary plus if the pats who were up 17 late in the game hang on this line would be Balt-3. I personally think this game is a ten point win and beyond for baltimore. This is the nfl people indy losing one game is not realy a big deal. Baltimore 27 Indy 17. Lip
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