Houston at New England (01/13/2013)

Hmmm Patriots coming off a by facing a team that they just put up over 40 points on & destroyed about a month ago on Monday Night Football... Sounds familiar!!! Last week the Texans offense didn't look great but they put up enough to win the game because of great play by their defense & I look for the Texans defense to show up big this week. Taking Texans +9.5 & under but also sprinkling a lil on the moneyline. Patriots have a habbit of being over confident & get out worked some home playoff games against inferior opponents (I.E. Jets 2010 playoffs & Ravens 2009 playoffs)

PATRIOTS LARGE  

Texans just not playing their best at the wrong time. NEW ENGLAND wins here easy. Maybe not 42-14, at least by two to three scores.

DENVER / NEW ENGLAND next week.

Math play based on both teams' home and away scoring averages (PF and PA) this year:

New England 28  Houston  22 

New England 41 Houston 27

NOW THAT IS A CONCERN. . . . IF THERE IS ONE THING I KNOW ABOUT THE PATS, IS THAT WHEN THE MONEY IS ON THEM OVER 70%, BRADY SEEMS TO STRUGGLE. 

COULDN'T POSSIBLE BE RIGGED EH? 

Patriots could cover the large spread against the Texans for they have the firepower to do so and have done it in the last 2 match ups. However, it's a little ridiculous during the playoffs to be giving double digits points to any NFL team. I really can't see the Texans beating the Patriots since the Patriots do own the Texans at this point.  ML the Patriots is a huge risk but its a risk I'll take. 

It sounds silly, but if you remember the 1st meeting, the Texans made adjustments and slowed the Patriots down dramatically in the 2nd half....... If they can slam Brady a couple times early, and fling the ball around a little, Houston can stay in this game all the way til the end.

NE 28-20

Plus the Pats are HORRIBLE ATS in the post season....have been forever really....(other than 2001)

ne defense will force at least 3 turnovers. brady is unstoppable with his weapons. houston offense not so hot against good teams.                        pats+under=  10-31

Okay guys initially this game seemed as a no brainer, Pats and Pats big but, I come across a nugget that I cant hardly believe, The Pats are 0-6 in the playoffs when facing teams that they previously beat in the regular season. WHAT?? Is that even true? I have no way of verifying this aside from tracing back the previous 6 playoff losses and the teams faced that year, far too much work for a team I'm already locked into, but for those still undecided its a molly whooper of a trend!!

Pats win this one and cover 9.5 is nothing.Go Big on Pats.

Ridiculous homer analysis, here! I do agree that the Pats put up 31+ on Houston but will not allow less than 17 on offense.  I am on the over 48 large.  Houston has been exploited by prolific passing offenses all year (Patriots, Green Bay, Indy and Detroit).  They also gave up 31 to a piss poor Jags offense and 23 to a mediocre Minnesota team.  NE is far better than Cinncy on offense.  You knuckle heads can't seriously compare a home defensive performance against the Bungels to this weeks match up against the Pats.

PATS run off a quick 14-point lead, and by half time are up by more. Only after the pressure is off Houston and they are angry at getting beat up do they start mounting a comeback led by A.J. and A.F. only to fall short Final Score NEP 30 Houston Oilers ...ooops Texans 24. A little too little a little too late. Gronk has a MONSTER game!!!

The game comes down  to two things A) Can Houston put pressure on Brady consistently if not he will pick you apart. Look at the games NE lost this year Arz, Sea, Bal, and SF all these teams rush the passer extremely well not to mention the Superbowl losses to the Giants.I see JJ Watt and the defensive line causing some problems in the backfield. B) Arian Foster is the most important part of the Texans offence stop him and the best play action team in the NFL becomes one dimensional. I think Foster has a good game and enables this facet of the passing game to take place (playaction). Ne wins but in a lot closer game than forecast by most prognosticators.

i scaredthinkin ne and the unda for all u all,im drinkin george wash.recipe for this game mother fuckers!!!!!

Last couple of weeks was just awesome weeks in both college bowl games and NFL playoff games (all posted on this site):

 

It started with Week #17 going 4-0 in NFL.

Minnesota – Win (Best Play)

Cincinnati – Win

St. Louis – Win

Denver - Win

 

Last five (5) College Bowl games went 4-1.

Oregon – Win

Oklahoma – Lose

Mississippi – Win

Arkansas St. – Win

Alabama – Win

 

NFL Playoff last week went 3-1.

Cincinnati – Lose

Green Bay – Win

Baltimore – Win

Seattle – Win

 

This week:

Baltimore +9.5

San Francisco -2.5

Atlanta -1 (Best Play)

Houston +9.5

 

Good luck guys! 

Houston - 30                                         New England - 27

Texans +10                                      over 46.5

Gisele is not going to be happy after this one is over  A team with over a .700 winning percentage on the year, getting double digits, is hard to pass up on. Texans in a big time upset.

Houston - Over

I posted my opinions on the merits of picking Denver.I didn't post on the second game (in progress), but I took the Pack.I'm thinking no one cares what I think about this one.

Low scoring in the first half and pats will cover in the second

New England d will shut down Houston UNDER=$$$$$

The writing is on the wall. Texans host AFC Championship Game with a win...........goodnight now! Gary Kubiak Attack

If you wager by quarters....my book will give you Texans +3 in 1st qtr. Texans +3 second quarter Texans +0.5 in 3rd and Texans +0.5 in 4th. What do you suppose this is saying? The total when points added is Houston +7 for the game yet the line is +10 now? Isn't that kinda backwards?

Home Home on the Range.............according to my book Pats will cover 1 point in the second half. Read my post

I meant to say push 1 point in the second half