Bengals should clean house riding the momentum of last weeks win against the Ravens. Panthers have looked bad. Panthers will come out scratching and clawing but the Bengals 23 - Panthers 13.
Bengals should clean house riding the momentum of last weeks win against the Ravens. Panthers have looked bad. Panthers will come out scratching and clawing but the Bengals 23 - Panthers 13.
In the Bengals L-20 games as favorites they are 9-11 SU and 4-16 ATS. The Bengals are also on a current 0-7 ATS run as favorites and during that span are 4-3 SU in those games. When I looked at the Bengals L-20 games as Favs of 4 pts or less, they are 10-10 SU and 9-10-1 ATS in those games.
Carolina is 7-13 SU and 10-10 ATS in thier L-20 as dogs, however they are 6-2 SU and ATS in thier L-8 as dogs of any spread. When I looked deeper into the Panthers as dogs of 4 pts or less, The Panthers are just 4-8 SU and ATS in thier L-12 with a 2-6 SU and ATS record in thier L-8 as dogs of 4 pts or less.
The Bengals scare me since they have a history of bonehead games as road favorites where they are just 1-4 ATS in thier L-5 games as road favs.Carolina is 3-1 ATS in thier L-4 as home dogs.
In their L-17 games vs the NFC South the Bengals are a lowly 3-14 Su and 3-13-1 ATS.
In their L-22 games vs the AFC North, Carolina is 12-10 SU and 10-9-3 ATS.
I don't really like anything about this games however I select each and every games so... I'm gonna side with the home dog, Carolina+3 at EVEN money. It may not be the PC selection but the numbers are on thier side.
Pick = Carolina+3 (EV)
My Guesstimate = Bengals-17 Carolina-16
In the Bengals L-20 games as favorites they are 9-11 SU and 4-16 ATS. The Bengals are also on a current 0-7 ATS run as favorites and during that span are 4-3 SU in those games. When I looked at the Bengals L-20 games as Favs of 4 pts or less, they are 10-10 SU and 9-10-1 ATS in those games.
Carolina is 7-13 SU and 10-10 ATS in thier L-20 as dogs, however they are 6-2 SU and ATS in thier L-8 as dogs of any spread. When I looked deeper into the Panthers as dogs of 4 pts or less, The Panthers are just 4-8 SU and ATS in thier L-12 with a 2-6 SU and ATS record in thier L-8 as dogs of 4 pts or less.
The Bengals scare me since they have a history of bonehead games as road favorites where they are just 1-4 ATS in thier L-5 games as road favs.Carolina is 3-1 ATS in thier L-4 as home dogs.
In their L-17 games vs the NFC South the Bengals are a lowly 3-14 Su and 3-13-1 ATS.
In their L-22 games vs the AFC North, Carolina is 12-10 SU and 10-9-3 ATS.
I don't really like anything about this games however I select each and every games so... I'm gonna side with the home dog, Carolina+3 at EVEN money. It may not be the PC selection but the numbers are on thier side.
this game terrifies me so i must leave it alone. if anything, i'd tease carolina. first of all, this cincy team is an entirely different squad when they go on the road. in other words, they suck on the road. last time they won on the road was when they went to baltimore last year. i mean, this team even managed to get beat in Oakland last year. second of all, who knows how clausen will perform. could he be any worse than matt moore? maybe he has better chemistry with their receivers?
i gotta leave this one alone. too many question marks.....
this game terrifies me so i must leave it alone. if anything, i'd tease carolina. first of all, this cincy team is an entirely different squad when they go on the road. in other words, they suck on the road. last time they won on the road was when they went to baltimore last year. i mean, this team even managed to get beat in Oakland last year. second of all, who knows how clausen will perform. could he be any worse than matt moore? maybe he has better chemistry with their receivers?
i gotta leave this one alone. too many question marks.....
I don't see Carolina rebounding from those two opening day losses against the playoff hungry Bengals. Plus throw in the fact that the Cats are clawless as non-conference dogs.
Bengals - over.
Cincinnati - 27 Carolina - 20
Bengals -3 over 37.5
I don't see Carolina rebounding from those two opening day losses against the playoff hungry Bengals. Plus throw in the fact that the Cats are clawless as non-conference dogs.
Bengals are a weird team. They play great against their division but rarely blow out teams outside of their division especially on the road. I would usually play Panthers in this situation at +3 or in a teaser as the game should be close, but I can't put money on Jimmy Claussen until he shows me something. Bengals won't lose this game although I'm not sure they will cover. For these reasons my play is
BENGALS ML
Bengals are a weird team. They play great against their division but rarely blow out teams outside of their division especially on the road. I would usually play Panthers in this situation at +3 or in a teaser as the game should be close, but I can't put money on Jimmy Claussen until he shows me something. Bengals won't lose this game although I'm not sure they will cover. For these reasons my play is
The Vegas books have been openly gloating about destroying the public last week, which is generally good for me... I love playing 'dogs, better to get points than lay points (especially in the NFL). However, I think they have gotten too cocky this week with their lines (trying to put out sucker bets). This is lining up to be a good week for favorites. Christ, I am even playing a parlay this week loaded with favorites!
This is a bad spot for Clausen. Take the Bengals and lay the points!
Dawg
The Vegas books have been openly gloating about destroying the public last week, which is generally good for me... I love playing 'dogs, better to get points than lay points (especially in the NFL). However, I think they have gotten too cocky this week with their lines (trying to put out sucker bets). This is lining up to be a good week for favorites. Christ, I am even playing a parlay this week loaded with favorites!
This is a bad spot for Clausen. Take the Bengals and lay the points!
CAR +3.5 (1unit) - taking the home dog. Actually, this is more of a play against Cincy. And besides, if the public is pounding the Bengals, i like to side with vegas supporting a home dog... but that's just me.
CAR +3.5 (1unit) - taking the home dog. Actually, this is more of a play against Cincy. And besides, if the public is pounding the Bengals, i like to side with vegas supporting a home dog... but that's just me.
Clausen is starting but I have yet to see D-Lo and Stewart have a great game. I think they dominate the field today and keep Cincy in check. Panthers +3 +110 (1 unit)
Clausen is starting but I have yet to see D-Lo and Stewart have a great game. I think they dominate the field today and keep Cincy in check. Panthers +3 +110 (1 unit)
Live near Charlotte, starting raining early this morning, supposed to rain all day. Just FYI
Clausen is the future, just afraid the future is not here yet. However, they have looked at their schedule and the Panthers know they need to win today or a win will be a long time coming.
Live near Charlotte, starting raining early this morning, supposed to rain all day. Just FYI
Clausen is the future, just afraid the future is not here yet. However, they have looked at their schedule and the Panthers know they need to win today or a win will be a long time coming.
CAROLINA + 3 !
over 37.5
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