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Carolina at Miami (11/24/2013)

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Posts: 39

Sammy_Ace

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 296

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 9:08 AM ET #26

This game could be the letdown spot for Carolina, especially after just beating the 49ers, and the Patriots in very close fashion. Now they have a short week and will face a desperate Miami team. Miami has struggled to protect Tannehill all season, but lady luck might be on their side this Sunday. Starting defensive end Chris Johnson (8.5 sacks) has been ruled out with a knee injury suffered on Monday night. And defensive end Kevin Hardy will probably be playing with a knee injury. This just might slow down Carolina enough for the Fish to protect Tannehill and keep this a competitive game.

We all know Miami hasn't been very impressive this year, but that have played tough at home. Nonetheless, every Miami home game this season has been decided by 4 points or less, win or lose.

SD 20-16 win

Cincy 22-20 win

Buf 21-23 loss

Bal 23-26 loss

Atl 27-23 win

Given the situation, I can't see why Miami couldn't find another way to lose a close one. And who knows, maybe they do the Saints a favor and find a way to pull off the upset.

Small play on the Fish for me.

mtgmoney

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 340

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 9:47 AM ET #27

throw the short week comment out..Car played at home and their a bus ride away in Miami...past win record means nothing, not against THIS team, why turn the rock over and look for a reason..bet the better team..you know..the 1 that beat San Fran & New England..

Carolina for the cover..

efectivo_24

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2013

Posts: 106

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 9:55 AM ET #28

carolina con su defensa va a ganar este juego

AngeNoir

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2013

Posts: 11

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 10:50 AM ET #29

MIA will UPSET CAR....

omb1

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2001

Posts: 1762

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 10:55 AM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

This game could be the letdown spot for Carolina, especially after just beating the 49ers, and the Patriots in very close fashion. Now they have a short week and will face a desperate Miami team. Miami has struggled to protect Tannehill all season, but lady luck might be on their side this Sunday. Starting defensive end Chris Johnson (8.5 sacks) has been ruled out with a knee injury suffered on Monday night. And defensive end Kevin Hardy will probably be playing with a knee injury. This just might slow down Carolina enough for the Fish to protect Tannehill and keep this a competitive game.

We all know Miami hasn't been very impressive this year, but that have played tough at home. Nonetheless, every Miami home game this season has been decided by 4 points or less, win or lose.

SD 20-16 win

Cincy 22-20 win

Buf 21-23 loss

Bal 23-26 loss

Atl 27-23 win

Given the situation, I can't see why Miami couldn't find another way to lose a close one. And who knows, maybe they do the Saints a favor and find a way to pull off the upset.

Small play on the Fish for me.

Agree - also looking at exactly one year ago - Week 12 home win versus the Seattle Seahawks. Fish are a tough out at home.

easypics

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2008

Posts: 2635

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 11:01 AM ET #31

F i s H

$mell

snif ' snif ' . . .Hey Nice new Cologne Vue.

Almost scored in Parking lot again ?

WOOF WOOF...Anybody see Rx Chee$e Dog ?

Beware of Vue's Bestial tendencies !

If not for dying sharks choking on Moose Meat or rare Oar fishes washing up on Sobo Beach , Fishy line can hardly be to blame.

After all one team has cracked 30 + Pts on numerous occasions while one does'nt even come close.

Or perhaps it's Bookies United having historical memories of Phins saving Salty Load for Jets on tap n' historically playing poorly vs

non divisional ,conference foes prior to Gang Green GangBang.

or could it be that Panthers are simply the better team ?

Right Whale W ?

Not thee I hope, washed up on shore ,stinkin' up this game.

lol

IMO Panthers have Offensive ability to put this one out of Phin reach via Solid Carolina D that will hold Phins down to 16.

Then again, if Drew Brees could'nt score more than 3 second Half pts

vs lowly Falcs D, who am I to know that Cam fig wont do the same ?

Does'nt matter who Phins play ,they are one of the most consistent teams maintaining 17 - 19 Pts score avg via home or road.

Should not be enough to cover 26 that Panthers should be able to score.

PANTHERS 26 PHINS 16

BOLA

Sorry , there's more to say liking this one , can't stop laughing at

Liana Mgm 's posts I've just read entirely from Monday nite.

Sammy_Ace

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 296

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 11:04 AM ET #32

Quote Originally Posted by mtgmoney:

throw the short week comment out..Car played at home and their a bus ride away in Miami...past win record means nothing, not against THIS team, why turn the rock over and look for a reason..bet the better team..you know..the 1 that beat San Fran & New England..

Carolina for the cover..

Why should we throw the short week comment out? It is a fact that they've had one less day of preparation and one less day to heal. In my opinion, betting the NFL has nothing to do with betting on the better team. It's always been about situational betting. And in this situation, I think the Dolphins are positioned to lose by less than 4 points. Especially given that we are now in week 12 and they have yet to lose by 3 points or more at home all season. How is that not relevant? Especially w 67% of the public on Carolina?

I could obviously be wrong about this bc the Panthers are a better team. But this "bet the better team" mindset is what helps keep the lights on in Vegas sportsbooks. Sometimes you have to think outside the box and go against the grain. So it's side w the house on Miami or no play for me.

Good luck

mikeru3

Hall of Fame

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 22710

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 11:07 AM ET #33

Camolina Camthers -4.5

Fat Nasty Large!

wackycracker

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 483

Posted: Nov. 24, 2013 - 11:17 AM ET #34

Great write-up as usual Sammy_Ace, and your comeback was an unusual approach ,but in this case---(not to either prove my popint or agree with mtgmoney , who happens to see the light on this one) all I can say ,using your percentages, is that if 67% of the people get on the bus with Carolina -i'm getting on that bus this week with them . Sorry my man and this may be the night that the lights go out or at least dim somewhat at the Vegas sportsbooks.... P.S. still love your insights and strategys, it kept my lights on more than once !!!