Atlanta at Arizona (01/03/2009)

Been a Cardinal fan for 40 years and have watched every play of every game for a couple of years running, so I know of what I speak. It is not an accident that a ton of late money is coming in on the Cards. Records aside they are the MORE TALENTED team and they are playing at home getting points. That doesn't mean they are absolutely going to win, but it is a fact and the sharps know it. Notice I said more talented. Truth is over the course of the year Atlanta has played better and if you just look at recent history and buy into the hype it is understandable to like Atlanta in this game. But If you put your money on them, YOU WILL LOSE!!!! I will be absolutely stunned if AZ loses this game, but anything can happen. But for Atlanta to win Matt Ryan is going to have to be near perfect, they will have to dominate penalty yardage and they are going to need to get a couple of breaks from the refs. I will follow up with reasons.

 

CARDS -2 FOR ME

I'm on ATL....

 

 

straight up....

 

leaning over... but just taking ATL

i HATE THIS LINE MOVE AM HEDGING OFF 2/3

I have seen alot of talk of how M.Turner is going to run wild vs Cards. PREDICTION: Cards hold Turner under 80 yards.

For the first 11 games, up until the NYG game which is crucial to all my reasoning, of the season this was a top 5 run defense and the numbers back it up. These are the numbers THE RB'S of each of those teams put up as compared to their season average:

NYG-87 season avg: 157 (-70)

MIA-53 season avg: 118(-65)

SEA-26 season avg: 110(-84)

STL-29 season avg: 102(-73)

DALL-67 season avg: 108(-41)

CAR-118 season avg: 152(-34)

SF-96 season avg: 100(-4)

SF-107 season avg: 100(+7)

NYJ-72 season avg: 125(-53)

And the NYJ get is specifically significant since that was a game they trailed 34-0 yet the NYJ's still did not run the ball well.

The reason the NYG game is significant is because it was really the last meaningful game this team played with home field in the playoffs on the line. Yes they hadn't clinched the division yet, but really, it was a foregone conclusion by then and the team played like it which is dangerous going into the playoffs, but they seemed to have turned the corner last week which I will get into next.

Cards -2

GL 2 ALL

Last week Cards were reeling when they played SEA and the game started the same way the last few have. Then, a strech from the 2nd Q to the 4th AZ scored on 6 of 7 possessions including 4 of 5 for TD's when Warner was in. If this team can start strong and it is close at halftime, they will win going away. The biggest problem they have had is the slow starts by the offense. I just don't see Atl being able to take advantage of the slow starts.

On Zona & teased

SWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEET

Two more things. The Cards have shown a propensity to be score in all facets of the game. They have scored on a fumble return, interception return, kick off return, blocked FG return and blocked punt return and Breaston is always dangerous returning punts. I don't think Atlanta is as prolific.

Also, I have seen alot of posts of how the Cards are one dimensional. Well, if you look at the games Edge started this team avgd. over 100 ypg from the RB's. If they get close to that, they should win this game easily.

If you get your info from guys like Keith Olbermann, Matt Millen and Warren Sapp when you are wagering, you are bound to lose money. Just a word of warning

Run it up!

over 51  but i still have AZ -2