Biden's lead over trump remains solid

President Trump's rating is trending downward nationally ......good news..

That from a guy who falsely insists polls are meaningless.

In any case, there is no significant trend movement at all, when we realize the source I have repeatedly listed is only summarizing the numbers based on a recent "rolling average" of the last 8 polls, not an actual aggregate of all polls

Oh Yes,, the aggregate...

Not all polls... just the ones that are not favorable to the President..

Right.  The aggregate....as in ALL available polls listed at RealClearPolitics

over a specified period of significance not restricted to LAST 8 only:

Source: https://tinyurl.com/tndypqy

YouGov Biden +7       = 293 / 33 polls = 8.88 mean (since June 1)
Rasmussen Biden +2
The Hill Biden +7
FOX News Biden +8
ABC/WP Biden +10
YouGov Biden +9
CNBC* Biden +10
Rasmussen Biden +3
Quinnipiac Biden +15
NBC/WSJ Biden +11
YouGov Biden +9
Rasmussen Biden +10
The Hill Biden +4
YouGov Biden +9
IBD/TIPP Biden +8
Monmouth Biden +12
CNBC Biden +8
USA Today Biden +12
NPR/PBS Biden +8
The Hill Biden +4
YouGov Biden +8
CNBC Biden +9
NYT/Siena Biden +14
Harris Biden +12
YouGov Biden +9
FOX News Biden +12
Quinnipiac Biden +8
CNBC Biden +10
YouGov Biden +8
CNN Biden +14
NPR/PBS Biden +7
Emerson Biden +6
The Hill Biden +10 =293 / 33 polls = 8.88 mean (since June 1)

...which are ALL the 101 polls this year......save for one by Emerson, Feb 18.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#polls

THE REAL POLL NUMBERS ARE IN.
Georgia: Trump 49, Biden 46
Kentucky: Trump 60, Biden 34
Michigan: Trump 50, Biden 45
Montana: Trump 52, Biden 42
North Carolina: Trump 49, Biden 46
Pennsylvania: Trump 48, Biden 47
Texas: Trump 49, Biden 45

Link to source please...so we can verify those numbers.

Of course not. They are fugazi numbers. 

Ohh.... LOL.  Our friend Nature is having a little fun...I get it 

The Democrat suicide hotline call board is over heating with calls....

Of course. The Radical Rightists believe they are real...

SENATE ELECTIONS

Arizona: Kelly 48%, McSally 41%

Georgia: Perdue 46%, Ossoff 44%

Georgia: (Special): Collins 29%,Lieberman 23%, Loeffler 19%, Tarver 9%

Iowa: Greenfield 45%, Ernst 43%

Kentucky: McConnell 55%, McGrath 33%

Michigan: Peters 47%, James 37%

Montana: Daines 47%, Bullock 44%

North Carolina: Cunningham 40%, Tillis 40%

Texas: Cornyn 47%, Hegar 37%

Rasmussen poll accuracy...In the final polls before the 2016 election, many national pollsters closely forecasted a Clinton popular vote victory. But,Rasmussen pinned the exact spread: a 2.0 % point Clinton win.  Forget the aggregate ,,, just go with a proven winner.

Today, Rasmussen polls reporting President Trump's approval ratings are in....He is enjoying a 49% approval rating  better than Obama at the same respective time period in his Presidency. 

National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of POTUS–... 49%

Men LV App – 48%

Women LV App – 50%

GOP LV App – 81%

Dem LV App – 27%

Ind LV App – 41%

White LV App – 48%

Black Total LV App – 49% !

Other Non-White Total LV App – 57%

Can you feel it ?....National backlash is building...

As KellyM_1964 would say ...............

Take it with the grain of salt, can't be complacent on Biden's lead. Hillary Clinton was leading over Donald Trump in many polls few months before the 2016 election. 

Pres. Trump leads VP Biden in these states,

N.C. Trump +3

Mont. Trump +10

Mich. Trump +4

Ky. Trump +27

Ga. Trump +3

Sc. Trump +4

Ak. Trump +1

Tx. Trump +2

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

Link shows only one poll with these numbers so hard to tell. That Poll Spry Strategies isn't highly rated either. Every other poll has Biden ahead in Michigan by sizable margin (Quinnipac, ABC News, Public Policy Polling). Could be that outlier Fubah talks about or simply partisan bias, who knows? 

Nope...can't feel it.  Ramussen is not only right-biased, it is an outlier.

That's why the astute handicapper takes a reading from the majority of polls, never just one, like the UNskilled 'cappers do.

Actually,
fivetthirtyeight has Biden ahead +7.4 in Michigan,
trump up +1.3 in Georgia, and Biden +2.2 in NorthCarolina

Realclearpolitics has Biden ahead +8.2 in Michingan,
trump +2.7 in Georgia, and Biden +2 in North Carolina

Biden also leads in the rest of the SWING STATES:

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, and Arizona

While it is VERY IMPORTANT not to become complacent,
accuracy matters too...

As an experienced and skilled handicapper, I for one will NOT
place equal weighting on an outlier compared to the majority.
This includes putting any weight at all on a "sample size of ONE"
To win long-term in handicapping we have to fully understand
all the tenets of "probability".
One-offs and flukes *DO* happen. No question.
But the frequency is exceptionally tiny.
In college hoops since 2003, HOME favs of exactly -22.5 pts at close,
have played 150 times and won 149. One loss.
So an extremely heavy fav DID lose once. Yep.
So what ?
Rare upsets like that DO happen occasionally.
But at 149 to 1, it's foolish (simpleton logic) to place any weight
on that ONE TIME occurance to repeat.

the truth is polls that showed Hillary as a clear winner left the party lackadaisical approach to actually voting wear she was to win anyway and charged up the top to have a huge turnout. 

By using the other extreme of the plus or minus 5 percent it shows democrats still have alot to do to win in November.

Yes, and that brings up a good point....MOE.

In that example, it appears an arbitrary amount of MOE (5 percentage points)
was subtracted from the current leader, Biden. And that *could* occur.
But on the other hand it could swing the opposite way too, and that is
no less likely (within the usual 95% confidence level)

Another thing that often gets overlooked, is for the overwhelming
majority of polls (I'd estimate at least 80% of them) the poll question
that yeilds those numbers is usually something like this:
Q: "If the election were held TODAY, who would you vote for?"
Most polls DO NOT ASK "Who do you think will win?" -- which is a
TOTALLY different Q.
Polls are NOT mean to be a prediction of a future outcome. WRONG!
Polls are simply an information gathering tool about what the public
feels on a myriad of different issues -- and ALL public election campaigns
on a federal or state level, rely on them, including the trump campaign.
Of course, the most import poll Q campiagns look at first is the one
asking "If the election was held today...?" They want to know public
sentiment TODAY, so they can make adjustments in crafting their
campaigns going forward. Much like the halftime adjustments coaches
make when they have a full half of stats to tell them what is and is not
working.
And because teams will make those "halftime adjustments" that means
a halftime lead of 7-0 is NOT a sure thing for a victory! Far from it.
Only a fool would believe that a halftime lead of 7-0 means a win.
There WILL be adjustments....and in presidential politics that can mean
several new developments can happen to flip upset the current trend.
The "October Surprise" (eg. James Comey) is a typical event.

Very good point!

It *could* all turn around on Biden. No question it could.
Not likely IMO but it could! I agree! Perhaps another October Surprise!
Perhaps AG BARR -- knowing he is about to lose his job if trump loses --
will announce that Joe Biden is under intense investigation for some
alleged criminal activity.
THAT would throw the election to trump for sure, even if it's bogus, like
the Comey announcement did to Hillary.
trump's team *MUST* make their "halftime adjustments" somehow!
So all bets are off until we know what that is.

Even so, the polls showing that more people favored Hillary over trump
were in fact accurate....she won by nearly 3 million more votes.
Few if any asked "Who is going to win the electoral college in 5 months?"

The Comeback....1993...Buffalo Bills, down 27-3 at half time ..recovered from a 32-point deficit to win in O/T 41–38 over the Houston Oilers..

I had the Bills ... thriller..

You must of had Hilary winning the presidential election then?