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    All Forums | Politics

    Biden's lead over trump remains solid

    123456 Next Last»
    fubah2
    SarasotaSlim
    Midnight1
    Europa
    DeezyAZ81
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    123456 Next Last»
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2020 - 8:12 PM ET #1

    A mean average of numerous polls shows Biden's lead over trump increasing slightly to +9.4 nationally

    More importantly, Biden also leads sustantively in most swing states!

    Betting odds have Biden as a solid favorite poker

    Source: https://tinyurl.com/tndypqy

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    A mean average of numerous polls shows Biden's lead over trump increasing slightly to +9.4 nationally

    More importantly, Biden also leads sustantively in most swing states!

    Betting odds have Biden as a solid favorite poker

    Source: https://tinyurl.com/tndypqy

     
    SarasotaSlim
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2020 - 9:10 PM ET #2

    A lead in the polls at this point in time means jack.........

    Reply

    A lead in the polls at this point in time means jack.........

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2020 - 9:56 PM ET #3

    The Miami presidential debate scheduled for Oct. 15 will have 36 people ask questions in a town hall format, Arsht Center Director Johann Zietsman tells Miami-Dade County Commission. Unclear how many more people would be allowed inside: "It will be a few hundred people at most."

    Trump.."what are the names of your grandchildren?

    an_beatup

    Reply

    The Miami presidential debate scheduled for Oct. 15 will have 36 people ask questions in a town hall format, Arsht Center Director Johann Zietsman tells Miami-Dade County Commission. Unclear how many more people would be allowed inside: "It will be a few hundred people at most."

    Trump.."what are the names of your grandchildren?

    an_beatup

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2020 - 10:51 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

    A lead in the polls at this point in time means jack.........

     

    Not according to the trump administration aides, campaign advisors, and Republican allies in and out of Congress.

    THEY are all paying bigtime attention to the contents of POLLS.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

    A lead in the polls at this point in time means jack.........

     

    Not according to the trump administration aides, campaign advisors, and Republican allies in and out of Congress.

    THEY are all paying bigtime attention to the contents of POLLS.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2020 - 10:53 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1:

    The Miami presidential debate scheduled for Oct. 15 will have 36 people ask questions in a town hall format, Arsht Center Director Johann Zietsman tells Miami-Dade County Commission. Unclear how many more people would be allowed inside: "It will be a few hundred people at most." Trump.."what are the names of your grandchildren?

    Grandchildren ??!  Ha!  I wonder if he even knows he has another DAUGHTER besides Ivanka ???

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1:

    The Miami presidential debate scheduled for Oct. 15 will have 36 people ask questions in a town hall format, Arsht Center Director Johann Zietsman tells Miami-Dade County Commission. Unclear how many more people would be allowed inside: "It will be a few hundred people at most." Trump.."what are the names of your grandchildren?

    Grandchildren ??!  Ha!  I wonder if he even knows he has another DAUGHTER besides Ivanka ???

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2020 - 6:49 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    A mean average of numerous polls shows Biden's lead over trump increasing slightly to +9.4 nationally More importantly, Biden also leads sustantively in most swing states! Betting odds have Biden as a solid favorite Source: https://tinyurl.com/tndypqy

     

    Good news for adolf trump: July 02 shows his poll numbers improving!.... now Biden only leads by +9.3

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    A mean average of numerous polls shows Biden's lead over trump increasing slightly to +9.4 nationally More importantly, Biden also leads sustantively in most swing states! Betting odds have Biden as a solid favorite Source: https://tinyurl.com/tndypqy

     

    Good news for adolf trump: July 02 shows his poll numbers improving!.... now Biden only leads by +9.3

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2020 - 9:09 PM ET #7

    July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8

    Reply

    July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2020 - 12:38 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8

     

    UPDATE:  JULY 10  .... still Biden +8.8 nationally

     

    And an average of Biden +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8

     

    UPDATE:  JULY 10  .... still Biden +8.8 nationally

     

    And an average of Biden +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2020 - 2:35 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8   UPDATE:  JULY 10  .... still Biden +8.8 nationally   And an average of Biden +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin(Mich.) said when she hired a pollster in 2018, she used a tactic she learned while working at the Pentagon to probe them on why they didn’t accurately predict the results of the 2016 election. 

    “He told me that they fundamentally undercounted the Trump vote; that the Trump voter is not a voter in every single election, that they come out for Trump, so they’re hard to count,” Slotkin said of Al Quinlan of GQR, a large Washington-based polling firm.

    Surveys often count people they determine are “likely voters,” but Slotkin learned that a person who tells a pollster that they don’t have plans to vote but may ultimately do so “were fundamentally undercounted.”

    “I believe that same thing is happening right now,” Slotkin said.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/506816-house-democrat-warns-about-inaccurate-polls-trump-voters-fundamentally

    Take the grain of salt, Hillary Clinton also has had few advantageous points in national poll over Donald Trump a couple of months before 2016 presidential election. Incumbent president owns tremendous resources and manners over challenger. Listen to Rep. Slotkin, this always will be a tough uphill battle for VP Joe Biden. Slotkin has worked for CIA in the field of political analysis, intelligence and national security, so i guess she is cognizant of it.  

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: July 03: In fairness (as a former longtime baseball umpire and basketball referee) I must report that the polls are now showing a drop in Biden's lead from +9.3 down to +8.8   UPDATE:  JULY 10  .... still Biden +8.8 nationally   And an average of Biden +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin(Mich.) said when she hired a pollster in 2018, she used a tactic she learned while working at the Pentagon to probe them on why they didn’t accurately predict the results of the 2016 election. 

    “He told me that they fundamentally undercounted the Trump vote; that the Trump voter is not a voter in every single election, that they come out for Trump, so they’re hard to count,” Slotkin said of Al Quinlan of GQR, a large Washington-based polling firm.

    Surveys often count people they determine are “likely voters,” but Slotkin learned that a person who tells a pollster that they don’t have plans to vote but may ultimately do so “were fundamentally undercounted.”

    “I believe that same thing is happening right now,” Slotkin said.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/506816-house-democrat-warns-about-inaccurate-polls-trump-voters-fundamentally

    Take the grain of salt, Hillary Clinton also has had few advantageous points in national poll over Donald Trump a couple of months before 2016 presidential election. Incumbent president owns tremendous resources and manners over challenger. Listen to Rep. Slotkin, this always will be a tough uphill battle for VP Joe Biden. Slotkin has worked for CIA in the field of political analysis, intelligence and national security, so i guess she is cognizant of it.  

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2020 - 2:10 PM ET #10

    The other thing is, although Biden's lead remains a constant for nearly a full year,
    there always looms the infamous "October Surprise"
    As of last night, AG Bill BArr has successfully removed ALL the key prosecutors
    who were in position to investigate trump for criminal wrongdoing, while at the
    same time is proceeding full steam with Durham to investigate all persons
    involved with investigating the 2016 Russian influence on our election.
    Postulate: in order to help adolf win re-election
    and at the same time ensure his own job, AG Barr will announce in OCTOBER
    the indictments of several Americans - to make trump look like a saint.
    Or something, more or less along those lines, Bill Barr will be a significant
    part in an "October Surprise"
    In 2016, Comey's "October Surprise" hurt Clinton. Comey chose not to
    reveal that trump's team was under investigation since that July.

    Reply

    The other thing is, although Biden's lead remains a constant for nearly a full year,
    there always looms the infamous "October Surprise"
    As of last night, AG Bill BArr has successfully removed ALL the key prosecutors
    who were in position to investigate trump for criminal wrongdoing, while at the
    same time is proceeding full steam with Durham to investigate all persons
    involved with investigating the 2016 Russian influence on our election.
    Postulate: in order to help adolf win re-election
    and at the same time ensure his own job, AG Barr will announce in OCTOBER
    the indictments of several Americans - to make trump look like a saint.
    Or something, more or less along those lines, Bill Barr will be a significant
    part in an "October Surprise"
    In 2016, Comey's "October Surprise" hurt Clinton. Comey chose not to
    reveal that trump's team was under investigation since that July.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2020 - 4:01 PM ET #11

     

    UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally

     

    Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

     
    Reply

     

    UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally

     

    Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

     
     
    DeezyAZ81
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2020 - 4:14 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. an_wink

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. an_wink

     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2020 - 4:25 PM ET #13

    If these Democratic leaning polling media sites were smart they would be telling the desperatecrats that Biden was losing. As it stands right now, they all believe the CNN numbers so they believe it's in the bag for Biden. It ends up being just another reason for the Dems to forget to show up and vote on election day because they are busy doing something else like spending food stamps, rioting or protesting something. 

    These same polls had it in the bag for Hillary and all of you dummies believe the same old lies. 

     

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
    Reply

    If these Democratic leaning polling media sites were smart they would be telling the desperatecrats that Biden was losing. As it stands right now, they all believe the CNN numbers so they believe it's in the bag for Biden. It ends up being just another reason for the Dems to forget to show up and vote on election day because they are busy doing something else like spending food stamps, rioting or protesting something. 

    These same polls had it in the bag for Hillary and all of you dummies believe the same old lies. 

     

     
    DeezyAZ81
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2020 - 4:41 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    If these Democratic leaning polling media sites were smart they would be telling the desperatecrats that Biden was losing. As it stands right now, they all believe the CNN numbers so they believe it's in the bag for Biden. It ends up being just another reason for the Dems to forget to show up and vote on election day because they are busy doing something else like spending food stamps, rioting or protesting something.  These same polls had it in the bag for Hillary and all of you dummies believe the same old lies.

    You do realize that the CNN poll is only 1 of about 20 polls that have Biden winning right? confused

    Even your coveted Fox News Poll has consistently had Biden ahead by at least +5 points. This is not simply a CNN poll thing. an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    If these Democratic leaning polling media sites were smart they would be telling the desperatecrats that Biden was losing. As it stands right now, they all believe the CNN numbers so they believe it's in the bag for Biden. It ends up being just another reason for the Dems to forget to show up and vote on election day because they are busy doing something else like spending food stamps, rioting or protesting something.  These same polls had it in the bag for Hillary and all of you dummies believe the same old lies.

    You do realize that the CNN poll is only 1 of about 20 polls that have Biden winning right? confused

    Even your coveted Fox News Poll has consistently had Biden ahead by at least +5 points. This is not simply a CNN poll thing. an_cheers

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2020 - 5:23 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary.

    Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing.

    Only believe the ones that have him winning.

    Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  confused

    I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101:

    ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate.

    "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later"

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary.

    Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing.

    Only believe the ones that have him winning.

    Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  confused

    I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101:

    ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate.

    "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later"

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 1:33 AM ET #16

    UPDATE:  JULY 15  .... Biden inches up to +9.1 nationally

     

    Biden inches up to  +5.1 in "trump owned" swing states.

    Reply

    UPDATE:  JULY 15  .... Biden inches up to +9.1 nationally

     

    Biden inches up to  +5.1 in "trump owned" swing states.

     
    DeezyAZ81
    DeezyAZ81
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    Posts: 8713
    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 1:36 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states. Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101: ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate. "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later"

    Fubah,

    I was being sarcastic. I actually agree with you. I was poking fun of Trumpers that think just because Trump beat Hilary and polls had her winning at between 3 or 4 points margin of error that all future polls must be wrong. It is silly. 2016 has not bearing on 2020 polls or election. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states. Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101: ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate. "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later"

    Fubah,

    I was being sarcastic. I actually agree with you. I was poking fun of Trumpers that think just because Trump beat Hilary and polls had her winning at between 3 or 4 points margin of error that all future polls must be wrong. It is silly. 2016 has not bearing on 2020 polls or election. 

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54107
    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 1:44 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states. Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101: ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate. "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later" Fubah, I was being sarcastic. I actually agree with you. I was poking fun of Trumpers that think just because Trump beat Hilary and polls had her winning at between 3 or 4 points margin of error that all future polls must be wrong. It is silly. 2016 has not bearing on 2020 polls or election.

     

    coolYa, man, I know LOL!  I'm with ya.  It's all good.  My response points out the FLAWED tinking of the conservative Handicappers.  In fact I have a whole list!  Kinda funny, if they weren't so sad. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: UPDATE:  JULY 13  .... Biden inches up to +9 nationally   Biden remains an average of +5 in "trump owned" swing states. Remember these polls mean nothing Fubah because Trump won in 2016 against Hilary. Do not believe any polls that have Trump losing. Only believe the ones that have him winning. Well then I stand corrected.  My bad.  I forgot a most basic tenet of conservative Handicapping 101: ... the infamous "sample size of ONE" postulate. "If a team flukes off an upset ONE TIME,  4 years ago,  WITH DIFFERENT PLAYERS,  then it's a cinch the same outcome *WILL* occur again in their very next meeting 4 years later" Fubah, I was being sarcastic. I actually agree with you. I was poking fun of Trumpers that think just because Trump beat Hilary and polls had her winning at between 3 or 4 points margin of error that all future polls must be wrong. It is silly. 2016 has not bearing on 2020 polls or election.

     

    coolYa, man, I know LOL!  I'm with ya.  It's all good.  My response points out the FLAWED tinking of the conservative Handicappers.  In fact I have a whole list!  Kinda funny, if they weren't so sad. peace_5

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 2:14 AM ET #19

    GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report

    The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says.

    https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/

    Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems. 

    Reply

    GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report

    The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says.

    https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/

    Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems. 

     
    DeezyAZ81
    DeezyAZ81
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    Posts: 8713
    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 2:21 AM ET #20

    Interesting read Europa. Normally, this would cause concern for Biden. However, the author claims most of the newly registered Republican voters are old and white. I am not sure that even favors Trump in this election. Biden appears to be leading that demographic right now, especially with independents. Should be interesting to see if any of these old Republicans vote for him instead of Trump. The old okie doke. 

    Reply

    Interesting read Europa. Normally, this would cause concern for Biden. However, the author claims most of the newly registered Republican voters are old and white. I am not sure that even favors Trump in this election. Biden appears to be leading that demographic right now, especially with independents. Should be interesting to see if any of these old Republicans vote for him instead of Trump. The old okie doke. 

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2020 - 2:42 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says. https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/ Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems.

    You're absolutely RIGHT!  It *COULD* happen again.  Unlikely, but it could.

    However, for that to happen bottom line is:

    an INCUMBENT president *MUST* achieve net positive job approval/favorability ratings by late October. No ifs ands or buts.  It MUST occur!  He's nowhere even close to turning that around.  Something has to happen, like maybe another "Comey Surprise" at the last week.  Something catastrophic to boost HIS historically LOW approval numbers and knock Biden's down.

    Biden has held a consistent lead over trump since last August.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says. https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/ Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems.

    You're absolutely RIGHT!  It *COULD* happen again.  Unlikely, but it could.

    However, for that to happen bottom line is:

    an INCUMBENT president *MUST* achieve net positive job approval/favorability ratings by late October. No ifs ands or buts.  It MUST occur!  He's nowhere even close to turning that around.  Something has to happen, like maybe another "Comey Surprise" at the last week.  Something catastrophic to boost HIS historically LOW approval numbers and knock Biden's down.

    Biden has held a consistent lead over trump since last August.

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54107
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2020 - 12:11 AM ET #22

     

    Source: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...oo/ar-BB16R6jW


    President Trump’s faltering reelection campaign increasingly is dragging
    on the Republican Senate, giving Democrats their best hope in more
    than a decade of winning control of both houses of Congress
    as well as the White House.

    Democrats now threaten Republican Senate incumbents in


    Georgia,

    Iowa

    Montana

    Colorado

    Arizona,


    and Maine, where GOP Sen. Susan Collins is facing the toughest
    election in her long career.

    The challengers have been swamping Republican rivals
    in fundraising and moving ahead in polls, leading independent
    analysts to dial up their assessment of the Democrats' chances.

    Reply
     

    Source: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...oo/ar-BB16R6jW


    President Trump’s faltering reelection campaign increasingly is dragging
    on the Republican Senate, giving Democrats their best hope in more
    than a decade of winning control of both houses of Congress
    as well as the White House.

    Democrats now threaten Republican Senate incumbents in


    Georgia,

    Iowa

    Montana

    Colorado

    Arizona,


    and Maine, where GOP Sen. Susan Collins is facing the toughest
    election in her long career.

    The challengers have been swamping Republican rivals
    in fundraising and moving ahead in polls, leading independent
    analysts to dial up their assessment of the Democrats' chances.

     
    Europa
    Europa
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    Joined: Dec, 2003
    Posts: 42771
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2020 - 12:34 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa: GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says. https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/ Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems. You're absolutely RIGHT!  It *COULD* happen again.  Unlikely, but it could. However, for that to happen bottom line is: an INCUMBENT president *MUST* achieve net positive job approval/favorability ratings by late October. No ifs ands or buts.  It MUST occur!  He's nowhere even close to turning that around.  Something has to happen, like maybe another "Comey Surprise" at the last week.  Something catastrophic to boost HIS historically LOW approval numbers and knock Biden's down. Biden has held a consistent lead over trump since last August.

    Love your confidence. I was right at Mr. Donald J Trump to win the GOP presidential nomination however I thought Hillary Clinton would beat Trump by wining 320+ electoral collage votes in 2016. Well, I was wrong. Can't be complacent, got to strive until Nov. 3.  

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa: GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states: report The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says. https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/ Take with a grain of salt, Hillary Clinton was leading in many polls over Donald J Trump just months before the last presidential election. Trump has won once, he may repeat it in November. Prepare yourselves, Dems. You're absolutely RIGHT!  It *COULD* happen again.  Unlikely, but it could. However, for that to happen bottom line is: an INCUMBENT president *MUST* achieve net positive job approval/favorability ratings by late October. No ifs ands or buts.  It MUST occur!  He's nowhere even close to turning that around.  Something has to happen, like maybe another "Comey Surprise" at the last week.  Something catastrophic to boost HIS historically LOW approval numbers and knock Biden's down. Biden has held a consistent lead over trump since last August.

    Love your confidence. I was right at Mr. Donald J Trump to win the GOP presidential nomination however I thought Hillary Clinton would beat Trump by wining 320+ electoral collage votes in 2016. Well, I was wrong. Can't be complacent, got to strive until Nov. 3.  

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2020 - 6:24 AM ET #24

    Biden still maintaining his solid lead over trump, including in ALL the key swing states

    Reply

    Biden still maintaining his solid lead over trump, including in ALL the key swing states

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2020 - 2:19 PM ET #25

    JULY 22:

    Slight downward movement on Biden's lead....now +8.4 nationally, down from +9.1 last week, although this is due in large part to a "rolling average" not an aggregate....so it all depends on where an outlier poll falls inside or outside a rolling average.  Overall, Biden is over +9 nationally

     

    Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#polls

    Reply

    JULY 22:

    Slight downward movement on Biden's lead....now +8.4 nationally, down from +9.1 last week, although this is due in large part to a "rolling average" not an aggregate....so it all depends on where an outlier poll falls inside or outside a rolling average.  Overall, Biden is over +9 nationally

     

    Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#polls

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