I actually can't find many reasons to bet the Texans, other than they're playing at home. But one thing to consider is the LA fires. A lot of these players have homes and families in LA and you have to wonder if this will affect their psyches a bit. Professional athletes are humans too, and especially if you have families at home, you'd have to be somewhat concern if you live by the fires. (Thank God Justin Herbert lives in Orange County!)
Another thing is the Chargers have been practicing in this bad weather, both yesterday and today. Today they wore masks, and I think it was considered a "light" practice. Fortunately they're flying out to Houston today, per one of the Chargers beat writers. (In my opinion, they should've flew out first and then practiced.) Not sure what being outdoors in bad air quality does to a player's lungs, but if you're one to know better than me, this is some info for you.
So, as stated, I'm on the Chargers. I just don't know how much yet and I better get to moving before the line moves. (I already have 1 unit at -3.5 and the ML in a couple of fun money parlays.)
CD Newsletter Wildcard Round
@iConsciousness
Thanks for the time. But I have to ask, with all due respect, have you been drinking with Cranky_Hank?
The line has been -3 the whole time. A couple books have moved to -2.5. The -3's that I see are all -105 or better, almost even.
And the Falcons didn't make the playoffs.
Other than that good luck, I'll be rooting. Think I'm sitting out the game. Any thoughts on the total?
@iConsciousness Thanks for the time. But I have to ask, with all due respect, have you been drinking with Cranky_Hank? The line has been -3 the whole time. A couple books have moved to -2.5. The -3's that I see are all -105 or better, almost even. And the Falcons didn't make the playoffs. Other than that good luck, I'll be rooting. Think I'm sitting out the game. Any thoughts on the total?
Commanders @ Buccaneers-3(-119) O/U 50.5 This line opened -2.5 and now it's heading to 3.5. The total opened 51. Playoffs and unders... Even though I bet the Commanders 1H yesterday, and they lost all while looking terrible, I'm gonna have to come back and bet them here getting points. Especially when the hook comes. Both these teams have been great ats for bettors. Washington 10-6-1, Tampa 10-7. If I'm getting points with one of them, it's what I have to do. We should and will talk more about this game. You guys could talk me out of it. It is a rookie qb in his first playoff game.
I'm out on this game. If it hits +3.5 maybe I'll try a half unit with the Commandos. But not really feeling em. I think that their playoff run ends in Tampa.
@iConsciousness Thanks for the time. But I have to ask, with all due respect, have you been drinking with Cranky_Hank? The line has been -3 the whole time. A couple books have moved to -2.5. The -3's that I see are all -105 or better, almost even. And the Falcons didn't make the playoffs. Other than that good luck, I'll be rooting. Think I'm sitting out the game. Any thoughts on the total?
I use a local, and it's -3.5 at -105. Buying a half point incurs a ridiculous vig at -135. Sometimes I pivot to Bovada, which is probably the best I can get living in a non sports betting state. (I'm jealous of those who have DK as an option.) If you ask why I use them, it's because they give me a flexible credit line and, more importantly, they allow open parlays and teasers. And sometimes they post better lines.
Because of the wildfires I haven't been monitoring line movement, so I don't remember what the line kicked off at, and where its gone since it's current line at -3.5. Since I'll most likely go big, I may as well go with Bovada or BOL.
As for drinking with Hank, I haven't yet, but you get a hell yes from me if the opportunity ever comes about..
Any thoughts on the total?
If I had to go with a total, I'd lean under 42. I know I hyped up the Chargers offense in the previous write up, but I think the Chargers to clamp down on the Texans offense and, similarly, expect the Texans D to at least slow down the Chargers' offense.
I expect a masterpiece from the Chargers defense. And I wouldn't worry if they start off slow. They have the mental makeup that only a veteran group could have, and capacity, to regroup and rebound.
@iConsciousness Also, are you anywhere near the wildfires? Shit looks scary. Be safe
Thank you.
I'm.not bougie enough to live in, or near, the Palisades but I do live close enough to one of the lower profile fires. We're good so far, but sometimes these fires can turn out of control at the drop of a hat that you can't ever truly feel like you're out of the woods I til it's more than 70% contained.
I'll be around to collect my winnings from the Chargers game.
Also leaning Broncos at the spread. I'm looking at some numbers from both the Bills and Broncos previous games though.
Flowers is out this Sunday. I haven't checked to see if the line moved because of that, but if it did now is the time to bet the Ravens. I saw how they played without him, and with the emergence of Likely, I'm thinking more 2 TE sets? Keep Anderson as the inline blocker and have Likely spread out.
I think the Steelers offense is a dumpster fire and don't think they have the horses to keep up. Ravens offense has been coming on strong as of late.
@iConsciousness Makes sense that your local is hanging a 3.5, he's probably getting all Chargers $
I actually don't' know if I'm applying the term correctly. It's an online sportsbook (small, I think), but I have local agents that handle the money in-and-out. Anyway, not that it changes much. Sometimes they put out good lines, or are slow to adjust, and sometimes the juice they put on their lines has too much pulp. I take the good with the bad. The agents are good at cancelling out bets I've made in error (what I'll call heat of the moment live betting), and communicate quick. Two guys.
BigRed, your brother should be okay. Pomona isn't close to any of the small fires popping up. But hope he remains safe just the same.
, In my thoughts.
bigred with the breaking news !
is there anything this guy can’t do ?
He’ll christen your floor with a new sparkling linoleum playground for your feet to tap dance upon like you were Gregory Hines ,
and then bam !
he’ll set you up with late breaking news faster than a good waitress brings over a new spoon because your kid flung his across the room in a fit of toddler rage .
God damn dogg , in your spare time do you perform mouth to mouth resuscitation on squirrels at the park that fall out of trees too ?
like that charger under . Dobbins 18 and 19 rush attempts last two games after coming back from injury . Texans if they’re smart will ride Mixon and his “ resurgence “ this year if you wanna call it that . Guy’s a horse , but I’m an ass , and bigred is just a leopard , I mean leper , dying to be “ The Champ “
good luck to them Ravens . Jamal Lewis one of my favorites .
https://www.instagram.com/p/DElDdNPxI9q/?igsh=ZXRnb3F1ZzdwN2xo
This guy needs another chance, he deserves one. Maybe with another team next year.
Sac has brought up much of this prior in the season…..
just throwing it in…
(viciously stolen from a tout write up)
The dog in the Pitt/Balty matchups,
29-11-3
16-3-1 since’15
and this…
Pitt 8-1 all time in this when a dog of 4 or more
I think as per usual with trends, they are often behind the curve. The Balty running game is prolly better than ever while the Pitt qb is fairly weak.
Supposedly Pitt is gonna be at MAX strength. All hands on deck.
The historical trends, Pitt getting everyone back, Flowers iffy….Vegas looking for takers throwing out that massive number.
I like Balty even more. From what I’ve seen of them, they are not a 2nd h team. The 1st h could be the best move.
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