CD Newsletter Week 17

@undermysac

 Ya I was thinking cy special

@dubz4dummyz

 I’ll wait for that line to drop. There is A lot of Under bettors . I want it to drop to 51 or lower 

@bigred84

 You’re right about this one , but waiting to see how the weather will be at game time . 

@Cyrax

 My friend, I can tell you right now that no one will be betting the under between Dallas and Detroit. 

I need 15 2nd half points for the over. This is almost as good a feeling as when my wife's relatives left on Christmas night.

@sportschat

Here's what I got for the week. Scary feeling to not like any dogs on the card, maybe Miami if it hits 4.5. I scaled back a bit and left a couple leans for later.

Alabama ML(+105) *1.00/1.05

For Hugh's bookie 

Rams -6(-110) *.75/.68

Ass hat sharps will be on the Giants I can feel it. I don't think it will matter one bit.

Lions @ Cowboys O53.5(-110) .75/.68

Saw the opener was 51. Still think this should sniff the high 50's maybe 60+. The whole world will be on this over if not all ready.

Packers @ Vikings U46(-110) *.50/.45

Lost the hook while on my way to the casino. 

The Buccaneers will probably be my biggest play. The juice is indicating that it's headed from 3 to 2.5. Please Saints backers, keep on betting the Saints.

Still leaning Colts. I bet it's heading to 2.5. So I'll wait.

Good Luck 

Rookie Jaren Hall may start over Nick "the Pick" Mullens for Minnesota. Another reason to bet that under now.

Forget this week about Jacksonville. Nobody knows a thing about them. However I will be all about betting against them in week 18 at Tennessee.  Revenge is a dish best served cold.

[Quote: Originally Posted by trainwreck66]

Jets / Browns   7 / 35.5 I believe the Browns are locked in at 5 seed and will play at home depending but could be wrong .

Just read that the Browns kicker and punter are injured. How many more injuries can this team sustain?

Lions / Cowboys   6 / 53.5 Love Campbell...but think he might not be able to keep motivation here Boys or nothing.

My first gut reaction was yours, Lions just won the division, let down spot. Plus, we still have the Mccarthy off a loss trend in play. But when I read that the Lions actually have a path to the #1 seed(49ers loss), I think Campbell could motivate them. Lions D still sucks, there will be scoring. 

Falcons / Bears   3 / 53.5 This Falcons team has screwed me all year for and against . Heavy lean Bears at the low juice 2.5

Cole Kmet got hurt last week, not sure how bad but he never came back. DJ Moore got banged up. Came back but wasn't the same. He didn't play many snaps.

Falcons dome team otr outdoors can't be good. Heineke will be up against it vs this D. The Bears have the LB's to run with Bijon.

Once again, the Falcons spread is no more than 3 whether they are the fav or dog. All year. They are 5-10 ats.

Heard a good argument for keeping Justin Fields instead of drafting a qb, and it was simple.

"Since last season, Fields has led the Bears in rushing and passing yards. So who exactly are you looking for to replace that?"

It's frightening, but yet promising that he seems to be cut from the same mold as Lamar Jackson. Depends on your opinion of this type of qb. We've heard pro's and cons on both dudes.

The opinions are formed mostly via the results if you think about it.

With Lamar, it's he's great, but can't win in the playoffs. 

For a guy like Jalen Hurts, you don't hear much at all since it's been instant success right off the bat.

Fields has mostly gotten criticism. Clearly the results haven't been pretty till recently. 

Random thoughts, carry on.

Dallas TT whatever the number 

@BIGDTITLE

 That might be the best bet in this one 

Watching the Dallas and Miami replay.

What a bullshit roughing the passer penalty on Micah Parsons right before halftime. 

What is this guy supposed to do, not rush fast? Should the league implement a 2 hand touch rule on qb's?

I'm starting to sour on backing Miami at Baltimore next week. Can't forget that Miami in the McDaniel era has only 3 wins vs teams .500 or better.

Can the Ravens refocus after their big win vs the Niners?

@undermysac

 Like rams and bama

@undermysac

 The NFL is trying to make a violent game 'safe' for quarterbacks. Can't hit 'em in the legs, can't put your weight on them, can't touch their head or when they slide.

48 degrees....

It was a terrible call...4 point swing....

Call on Lamb was bad too....

If Waddle is out they wont win.....

Hugh is onto something with Parsons being held all the time. Then when he does make a play he gets flagged. 

I think the dude is just faster and stronger than most DE's, makes it look like he's more violent than the average Joe.

I know that he moves around a lot on the line. He is up for a big challenge against Penei Sewell who plays RT. I seen that guy render Montez Sweat obsolete in the first Lions game. In game 2, the Bears moved Sweat over to the other side and he had a hell of a game.

Sewell is the top rated RT per PFF. Also, Frank Ragnow is the top rated center per PFF.

The Cowboys are going to want Hankins back for this game. The Lions with Montgomery and Gibbs are a dangerous duo. Especially with the Cowboys LB's as being know as a little "slow", Gibbs quickness is deceptive as hell.

For the Cowboys sake, hopefully they don't have a run stopping effort like vs the Bills. The home crowd noise should help if it forces the Lions into a silent count.

This is mostly true, but it feels like they are kind of discriminatory with this penalty. Some qb's get the benefit, others don't. Fields has zero roughing the passer penalties against. When backups get drilled, it's rare as well.

Then you have teams like the Eagles, who to this date have only 5 offensive holding calls. The Cowboys and Chiefs have 20 a piece. 

Early Bird wager! Browns and Cowboys ML. -127. Thought it was value as my #'s say -142! Let's enjoy today gentlemen!

@undermysac

 Yeah when Hugh pointed that out i was like damn. Kinda like the stat the 49 ers are 0 - 28 when entering the 4th down by 8 or more under Shanny.

If one were to bet TNF how do you not back the Fighting Flaccos - 7  against Siemian who has shown some flashes of being a decent back-up while often looking like poo poo.

WEEK 17 1st look weather:

Thursday 8:15

Jets @ Browns  42F (partly cloudy), 25% chance of rain, 12 mph wind

Sunday 1 PM:

Dolphins @ Ravens 47F (partly cloudy), 6% chance of rain, 11 mph wind

Patriots @ Bills  37F (cloudy), 41% chance of rain, 14 mph wind   ***CHECK CLOE TO GAME TIME***

Falcons @ Bears 37F (partly cloudy), 21% chance of rain, 9 mph wind

Panthers @ Jaguars 55F (clear skies), 0% chance of rain, wind 5 mph

Rams @ Giants 45F (partly cloudy), 6% chance of rain, 8 mph rain

Cardinals @ Eagles 45F (partly cloudy) 9% chance of rain, 9 mph wind

Saints @ Bucs 63F (clear), 0% chance of rain, 9 mph wind

49ers @ Redskins 47F (partly cloudy), 5% chance of rain, 9 mph wind

4:05

Steelers @ Seahawks 49F (partly cloudy), 41% chance of rain, 3 mph wind

4:25

Chargers @ Broncos 44F (partly cloudy), 6% chance of rain, 5 mph wind

Bengals @ Chiefs 34F (partly cloudy), 1% chance of rain, 15 mph wind

@sportschat

 More than half these games are being played in northern climates and yet not a single temperature below freezing.

I'm concerned about TW's igloo. I remember what happened to Frosty the Snowman.