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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 17

    123 ... 222324 Next Last»
    trainwreck66
    undermysac
    Biscuiteater1
    Cyrax
    BIGDTITLE
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 715
    Posts: 590
    123 ... 222324 Next Last»
     
    trainwreck66
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 11:34 AM ET #1

    Will start this up now but Pinnacle hasnt released the important lines and Im not sure of the mathematics yet so bear with me as this sucks. Shrimp ...if you are not done lets keep your gloating on the other thread for now...for the love of god peace_5

     

    Jets / Browns   7 / 35.5

    I believe the Browns are locked in at 5 seed and will play at home depending but could be wrong . Lean to the over 

     

    Lions / Cowboys   6 / 53.5

    Love Campbell...but think he might not be able to keep motivation here Boys or nothing 

     

    Falcons / Bears   3 / 53.5

    This Falcons team has screwed me all year for and against . Heavy lean Bears at the low juice 2.5 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Will start this up now but Pinnacle hasnt released the important lines and Im not sure of the mathematics yet so bear with me as this sucks. Shrimp ...if you are not done lets keep your gloating on the other thread for now...for the love of god peace_5

     

    Jets / Browns   7 / 35.5

    I believe the Browns are locked in at 5 seed and will play at home depending but could be wrong . Lean to the over 

     

    Lions / Cowboys   6 / 53.5

    Love Campbell...but think he might not be able to keep motivation here Boys or nothing 

     

    Falcons / Bears   3 / 53.5

    This Falcons team has screwed me all year for and against . Heavy lean Bears at the low juice 2.5 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     
    trainwreck66
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 11:49 AM ET #2

     

    Saints / Bucs   3 / 41

    If you are Cy you may want to play the over as this number is getting steamed ... Baker really having a great year which is surprising , someone holding comeback player of the year tickets may be golden . Lean Bucs

     

    Steelers / Seahawks  3.5 / 42

    This number opened too high as its trending towards 2.5 with early Steelers money . I may play the Seahawks in some form here and make Mason repeat his performance OTR but think they are locked in at the 7 seed ?

     

    Packers / Vikes   2.5 / 46

    Guarantee Cy is on the over in this one 

     

    Reply

     

    Saints / Bucs   3 / 41

    If you are Cy you may want to play the over as this number is getting steamed ... Baker really having a great year which is surprising , someone holding comeback player of the year tickets may be golden . Lean Bucs

     

    Steelers / Seahawks  3.5 / 42

    This number opened too high as its trending towards 2.5 with early Steelers money . I may play the Seahawks in some form here and make Mason repeat his performance OTR but think they are locked in at the 7 seed ?

     

    Packers / Vikes   2.5 / 46

    Guarantee Cy is on the over in this one 

     

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 1:20 PM ET #3

    Good job, finish her off peace_5

    Reply

    Good job, finish her off peace_5

     
    trainwreck66
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 1:31 PM ET #4

    @undermysac

     

    Take her home my friend ....We have bear problems we have to deal with abd then off to the inlaws for moose jerky dinner peace_5

    Reply

    @undermysac

     

    Take her home my friend ....We have bear problems we have to deal with abd then off to the inlaws for moose jerky dinner peace_5

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 2:43 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @undermysac   Take her home my friend ....We have bear problems we have to deal with abd then off to the inlaws for moose jerky dinner
    That jerky sounds good with a beer, but for dinner. confused

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @undermysac   Take her home my friend ....We have bear problems we have to deal with abd then off to the inlaws for moose jerky dinner
    That jerky sounds good with a beer, but for dinner. confused

     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:20 PM ET #6

    @trainwreck66

     I will be on the Over in Jets / Browns game.

    I don’t trust the Over in GB/ Vikings game since it’s on Sunday Night. 
    The Over in Bucs / Saints game doesn’t interest me that much.

    There is One game that I’m an_eek2 ing  right now.

    Can you guess??? peace_5

    Reply

    @trainwreck66

     I will be on the Over in Jets / Browns game.

    I don’t trust the Over in GB/ Vikings game since it’s on Sunday Night. 
    The Over in Bucs / Saints game doesn’t interest me that much.

    There is One game that I’m an_eek2 ing  right now.

    Can you guess??? peace_5

     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:24 PM ET #7

    @Cyrax

     

    raiders colts 

    Reply

    @Cyrax

     

    raiders colts 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:31 PM ET #8

    Dolphins @ Ravens -4 (47.5)

    Not much interest in this game for me. Gun to head Dolphins +4. Think it opened at 3.

    If the Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is out, Tua will carve them up.

    Patriots @ Bills -12 (41)

    The Bills should bounce back after almost losing vs the Chargers on the west coast. It was an inevitable flat spot vs a team on a dead cat bounce after their coach was fired.

    Yet the Pats still playing Belichick ball, keeping games close by playing ugly as hell. Too bad they don't face Russell Wilson again who is inept in throwing the ball down the field. Josh Alen is more than equipped to do so.

    Zappe has been a spark plug for the Pats late. Will the Pats get some key players back? They limped into Denver and still pulled off a win.

    I don't know what to do with this #. Maybe it's too high for teaser protection?

     

    Reply

    Dolphins @ Ravens -4 (47.5)

    Not much interest in this game for me. Gun to head Dolphins +4. Think it opened at 3.

    If the Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is out, Tua will carve them up.

    Patriots @ Bills -12 (41)

    The Bills should bounce back after almost losing vs the Chargers on the west coast. It was an inevitable flat spot vs a team on a dead cat bounce after their coach was fired.

    Yet the Pats still playing Belichick ball, keeping games close by playing ugly as hell. Too bad they don't face Russell Wilson again who is inept in throwing the ball down the field. Josh Alen is more than equipped to do so.

    Zappe has been a spark plug for the Pats late. Will the Pats get some key players back? They limped into Denver and still pulled off a win.

    I don't know what to do with this #. Maybe it's too high for teaser protection?

     

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:50 PM ET #9

    Titans @ Texans -3.5 (42.5)

    This # is saying that CJ Stroud is playing right?

    As much as we like to take Vrabel as a dog, I wouldn't here.

    Will Tannehill start again, or Will Levis?

    Hard game to cap, ugly matchup in the afc south where 3 teams are all 8-7, but the Titans ain't one of them.

    Raiders @ Colts -3 (44)

    There's only 1 play. You guys should know. We take the colts here every time.

    Aiden O'Connell had 62 yards passing the entire game and beat the Chiefs. Even better, they were all in the 1st quarter.

    The Raiders played their ass off vs a division rival, and otr. Now have to go otr again, non division vs a team that got beaten handily by the Falcons. They are 7-8, I guess still in the playoff picture? Not sure. But there will be a let down.

    https://youtu.be/W55xzrgoJbc?si=Sx9KTwJ2yX9pZkEu

    This is the Raiders post Chiefs game.

    I can't talk too much about the Colts, because if I do no one here would lay 3 with them. This is a hard bet to make, but it's a winner.

    We can talk about it some more later. Maybe the 1H would be better, we'll see.

    Reply

    Titans @ Texans -3.5 (42.5)

    This # is saying that CJ Stroud is playing right?

    As much as we like to take Vrabel as a dog, I wouldn't here.

    Will Tannehill start again, or Will Levis?

    Hard game to cap, ugly matchup in the afc south where 3 teams are all 8-7, but the Titans ain't one of them.

    Raiders @ Colts -3 (44)

    There's only 1 play. You guys should know. We take the colts here every time.

    Aiden O'Connell had 62 yards passing the entire game and beat the Chiefs. Even better, they were all in the 1st quarter.

    The Raiders played their ass off vs a division rival, and otr. Now have to go otr again, non division vs a team that got beaten handily by the Falcons. They are 7-8, I guess still in the playoff picture? Not sure. But there will be a let down.

    https://youtu.be/W55xzrgoJbc?si=Sx9KTwJ2yX9pZkEu

    This is the Raiders post Chiefs game.

    I can't talk too much about the Colts, because if I do no one here would lay 3 with them. This is a hard bet to make, but it's a winner.

    We can talk about it some more later. Maybe the 1H would be better, we'll see.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:52 PM ET #10

    Bowling Green is killing me. I apologize guys

    Reply

    Bowling Green is killing me. I apologize guys

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 4:57 PM ET #11

    @undermysac

    My bookie asked for your address. 

    He wants to send you gifts, and asked that you release more bowl game picks peace_5

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    @undermysac

    My bookie asked for your address. 

    He wants to send you gifts, and asked that you release more bowl game picks peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:01 PM ET #12

    Panthers @ Jaguars -7 (37.5)

    Jesus. I can't. Trevor is hurt again, his 5th injury this year but he still hasn't missed a game.

    Gun to head, Panthers +7. 

    Getty, elaborate on this game if you like.

    Rams -6 @ Giants (42)

    This square fav will hit and there's nothing the books can do about it. Get it now before it moves to 7.

    The Rams since their bye are 5-1, with their only loss at Baltimore which went into overtime. No one from the nfc wants to see them get into the playoffs. 

    The Giants played Philly tough, lost by 8 but still had the ball on the last play of the game. And Philly isn't really all that good once you look past their record. The Giants should be spent from that effort. 

     

    Reply

    Panthers @ Jaguars -7 (37.5)

    Jesus. I can't. Trevor is hurt again, his 5th injury this year but he still hasn't missed a game.

    Gun to head, Panthers +7. 

    Getty, elaborate on this game if you like.

    Rams -6 @ Giants (42)

    This square fav will hit and there's nothing the books can do about it. Get it now before it moves to 7.

    The Rams since their bye are 5-1, with their only loss at Baltimore which went into overtime. No one from the nfc wants to see them get into the playoffs. 

    The Giants played Philly tough, lost by 8 but still had the ball on the last play of the game. And Philly isn't really all that good once you look past their record. The Giants should be spent from that effort. 

     

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:02 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    @undermysac My bookie asked for your address.  He wants to send you gifts, and asked that you release more bowl game picks

    Give him the address to the igloo, the glory hole awaits

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    @undermysac My bookie asked for your address.  He wants to send you gifts, and asked that you release more bowl game picks

    Give him the address to the igloo, the glory hole awaits

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:14 PM ET #14

    Cardinals @ Eagles +10.5 (48)

    See above post. Cardinals ats or no bet at all. We've seen how many big dogs covered and won last week. The books still don't care cause they know where the public's $ will go.

    I'm leaning no bet personally. I hate betting on or against either team most of the time.

    Saints @ Bucs -3 (42)

    Leaning the Baker Mayfield's here. And thinking to bet it soon before the hook comes.

    A lot of people are wondering how Baker is playing so well. I mentioned earlier in the year that their new OC is Dave Canales. He's a quarterback whisperer of sorts. He was Russell Wilson's qb coach is Seattle for years. Then Russ left Seattle and we saw what happened to him.

    I lost a 5 unit bet on the Bucs in week 3 I believe, on this premise of Baker Mayfield surprising and being undervalued. I was early, but it's looking to be coming to fruition now.

    Todd Bolwes vs Dennis Allen. Advantage Bowles. 

    Baker>Carr

    I'll bet this # this evening. 

    Reply

    Cardinals @ Eagles +10.5 (48)

    See above post. Cardinals ats or no bet at all. We've seen how many big dogs covered and won last week. The books still don't care cause they know where the public's $ will go.

    I'm leaning no bet personally. I hate betting on or against either team most of the time.

    Saints @ Bucs -3 (42)

    Leaning the Baker Mayfield's here. And thinking to bet it soon before the hook comes.

    A lot of people are wondering how Baker is playing so well. I mentioned earlier in the year that their new OC is Dave Canales. He's a quarterback whisperer of sorts. He was Russell Wilson's qb coach is Seattle for years. Then Russ left Seattle and we saw what happened to him.

    I lost a 5 unit bet on the Bucs in week 3 I believe, on this premise of Baker Mayfield surprising and being undervalued. I was early, but it's looking to be coming to fruition now.

    Todd Bolwes vs Dennis Allen. Advantage Bowles. 

    Baker>Carr

    I'll bet this # this evening. 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:19 PM ET #15

    49ers -13.5 @ Commanders (49)

    49?!

    Books are playing the fav and over card hard, martingale $ is coming. 

    If the Niners do indeed decide to put their foot in the ground and bounce back from that embarrassing loss last night, then how are the Commanders going to score?

    The spread and total is inflated to all hell. God bless you if you take either side or the over. I may consider the under here.

    Word on the street is that RR is on the hot seat, can anyone confirm this?

    Reply

    49ers -13.5 @ Commanders (49)

    49?!

    Books are playing the fav and over card hard, martingale $ is coming. 

    If the Niners do indeed decide to put their foot in the ground and bounce back from that embarrassing loss last night, then how are the Commanders going to score?

    The spread and total is inflated to all hell. God bless you if you take either side or the over. I may consider the under here.

    Word on the street is that RR is on the hot seat, can anyone confirm this?

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:23 PM ET #16

    Steelers @ Seahawks-3.5 (41.5)

    I'd love to see Mason Rudolph do it again, otr in a hostile environment. I bet he comes back down to earth.

    I feel like the Hawks are the right side, that's why that hook is there to make us think twice.

    Geno should surely be better in his 2nd game back from injury. 

    Reply

    Steelers @ Seahawks-3.5 (41.5)

    I'd love to see Mason Rudolph do it again, otr in a hostile environment. I bet he comes back down to earth.

    I feel like the Hawks are the right side, that's why that hook is there to make us think twice.

    Geno should surely be better in his 2nd game back from injury. 

     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:25 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Bowling Green is killing me. I apologize guys

     

    no problem......but Christmas is now ruined.   thank your father kids.  "thanks dad" 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Bowling Green is killing me. I apologize guys

     

    no problem......but Christmas is now ruined.   thank your father kids.  "thanks dad" 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:31 PM ET #18

    Bengals @ Chiefs -7 (44.5)

    Interesting game. Lots of crap to look at in this one. I'd expect both teams to bounce back after bad losses last week.

    The Bengals with 2 extra days rest. Have to look at their injuries. Is DJ Reader and Jamar Chase playing? Both guys are a big deal.

    Can the Chiefs rally when it feels like they are coming unhinged? 

    I have no opinion on this game, tough cap.

    Reply

    Bengals @ Chiefs -7 (44.5)

    Interesting game. Lots of crap to look at in this one. I'd expect both teams to bounce back after bad losses last week.

    The Bengals with 2 extra days rest. Have to look at their injuries. Is DJ Reader and Jamar Chase playing? Both guys are a big deal.

    Can the Chiefs rally when it feels like they are coming unhinged? 

    I have no opinion on this game, tough cap.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:39 PM ET #19

    Chargers @ Broncos -5.5 (39.5)

    Kind of feeling that the Chargers really have no reason to play this game, and no motivation. I don't see any angle to back them.

    The Broncos are the right side, but the asshole bookmakers make the spread 5.5 when it should be 3.5

    This could be a complete ass whooping by Denver, or another bumbling nightmare of a game. The total says that it will be ugly.

    Reply

    Chargers @ Broncos -5.5 (39.5)

    Kind of feeling that the Chargers really have no reason to play this game, and no motivation. I don't see any angle to back them.

    The Broncos are the right side, but the asshole bookmakers make the spread 5.5 when it should be 3.5

    This could be a complete ass whooping by Denver, or another bumbling nightmare of a game. The total says that it will be ugly.

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:39 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    @trainwreck66  I will be on the Over in Jets / Browns game. I don’t trust the Over in GB/ Vikings game since it’s on Sunday Night. The Over in Bucs / Saints game doesn’t interest me that much. There is One game that I’m  ing  right now. Can you guess???

    Ravens Phins u love Phins overs...an_wink

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    @trainwreck66  I will be on the Over in Jets / Browns game. I don’t trust the Over in GB/ Vikings game since it’s on Sunday Night. The Over in Bucs / Saints game doesn’t interest me that much. There is One game that I’m  ing  right now. Can you guess???

    Ravens Phins u love Phins overs...an_wink

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:40 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Dolphins @ Ravens -4 (47.5) Not much interest in this game for me. Gun to head Dolphins +4. Think it opened at 3. If the Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is out, Tua will carve them up. Patriots @ Bills -12 (41) The Bills should bounce back after almost losing vs the Chargers on the west coast. It was an inevitable flat spot vs a team on a dead cat bounce after their coach was fired. Yet the Pats still playing Belichick ball, keeping games close by playing ugly as hell. Too bad they don't face Russell Wilson again who is inept in throwing the ball down the field. Josh Alen is more than equipped to do so. Zappe has been a spark plug for the Pats late. Will the Pats get some key players back? They limped into Denver and still pulled off a win. I don't know what to do with this #. Maybe it's too high for teaser protection?

    Tua might get killed...Pray for him....an_nailbiter

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Dolphins @ Ravens -4 (47.5) Not much interest in this game for me. Gun to head Dolphins +4. Think it opened at 3. If the Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is out, Tua will carve them up. Patriots @ Bills -12 (41) The Bills should bounce back after almost losing vs the Chargers on the west coast. It was an inevitable flat spot vs a team on a dead cat bounce after their coach was fired. Yet the Pats still playing Belichick ball, keeping games close by playing ugly as hell. Too bad they don't face Russell Wilson again who is inept in throwing the ball down the field. Josh Alen is more than equipped to do so. Zappe has been a spark plug for the Pats late. Will the Pats get some key players back? They limped into Denver and still pulled off a win. I don't know what to do with this #. Maybe it's too high for teaser protection?

    Tua might get killed...Pray for him....an_nailbiter

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:48 PM ET #22

    MNF

    Packers @ Vikings -2.5 (46.5)

    Everything about this game screams under to me.

    The Packers d sucks, their DC Joe Barry is an idiot.

    But Nick Mullens could fuck up a game of tic tac toe, he's that bad. Ask Hugh. Jordan Love under the lights against a good D will be in for a long night.

    Minny's D is great when they don't play teams like the Lions.

    The Packers probably have the worst special teams unit in the league. 

    Both teams are 7-8, it's prime time with big playoff implications. Division rivals will come to play. Both defenses will shine in such a spot.

    I think that's it.

     

    Reply

    MNF

    Packers @ Vikings -2.5 (46.5)

    Everything about this game screams under to me.

    The Packers d sucks, their DC Joe Barry is an idiot.

    But Nick Mullens could fuck up a game of tic tac toe, he's that bad. Ask Hugh. Jordan Love under the lights against a good D will be in for a long night.

    Minny's D is great when they don't play teams like the Lions.

    The Packers probably have the worst special teams unit in the league. 

    Both teams are 7-8, it's prime time with big playoff implications. Division rivals will come to play. Both defenses will shine in such a spot.

    I think that's it.

     

     
    dubz4dummyz
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:52 PM ET #23

    @Cyrax

     

     Boys/lions?

     

    Lean atl/chi 38.0 barring weather...think both teams can get 17+

     

    Gut lean min -2.0...they might be the better team and at home catching less than a fg

     

    Looking at 7-8 props depending on lines. Couple decent matchups. 

    Reply

    @Cyrax

     

     Boys/lions?

     

    Lean atl/chi 38.0 barring weather...think both teams can get 17+

     

    Gut lean min -2.0...they might be the better team and at home catching less than a fg

     

    Looking at 7-8 props depending on lines. Couple decent matchups. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:52 PM ET #24

    I just read that the Vikings lost TJ Hockenson to a torn acl.

    I'll bet that under later tonight 

    Reply

    I just read that the Vikings lost TJ Hockenson to a torn acl.

    I'll bet that under later tonight 

     
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2023 - 5:53 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

    @Cyrax  Boys/lions?   I lean atl/chi 38.0 barring weather...think both teams can get 17+   Min -2.0 interesting....they might be the better team and at home catching less than a fg

    That total could land in the 60's

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

    @Cyrax  Boys/lions?   I lean atl/chi 38.0 barring weather...think both teams can get 17+   Min -2.0 interesting....they might be the better team and at home catching less than a fg

    That total could land in the 60's

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