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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 1

    123 ... 789 Next Last»
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Biscuiteater1
    trainwreck66
    undermysac
    bigred84
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 357
    Posts: 222
    123 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 8:44 AM ET #1

    Me writing this for CD is like Horace Clark pinch hitting for Babe Ruth. Unfortunately, the Babe seems to have retired, so I will start a week 1 thread.

    Unlike our leader, I will not break down each game. This will simply be a thread for the boys to post NFL thoughts and opinions on various games.

    #cake is welcome to post an occasional soccer game, other than that lets keep it to NFL please peace_5

    bigreds daddy
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Me writing this for CD is like Horace Clark pinch hitting for Babe Ruth. Unfortunately, the Babe seems to have retired, so I will start a week 1 thread.

    Unlike our leader, I will not break down each game. This will simply be a thread for the boys to post NFL thoughts and opinions on various games.

    #cake is welcome to post an occasional soccer game, other than that lets keep it to NFL please peace_5

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 8:59 AM ET #2

    Hugh stepping up to the plate!! I'm going to take a hard look @ the opening card later, i would venture to say that hf will certainly mean something this week after last year. Of course the books know that.an_wink Usually wise to tread lightly 1st couple weeks. BOL PB NATION reallyhappy

    Reply

    Hugh stepping up to the plate!! I'm going to take a hard look @ the opening card later, i would venture to say that hf will certainly mean something this week after last year. Of course the books know that.an_wink Usually wise to tread lightly 1st couple weeks. BOL PB NATION reallyhappy

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 9:13 AM ET #3

    Nice work Hugh......this is the first week in a long time that I like only 1 game and have no idea on the others an_timeout

    Reply

    Nice work Hugh......this is the first week in a long time that I like only 1 game and have no idea on the others an_timeout

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 9:15 AM ET #4

    Thursday night tilt. America's Team vs the Lombardi hoisting TB Bucs and the GOAT.

    TB favored by 7.5.

    For starters, I don't always bet on Dallas, but I never bet against them. Also, it is very rare that I lay a TD or more in an NFL game, so this is a play on the Boys or just sit back and watch the game.

    The entire world seems to know that the SB champs have returned all 22 starters. We all suffer from recency bias, and we all seen what TB's D did to the mighty Chiefs in the SB. I'm not fooled into thinking this group is as dominant as the talking heads would have you believe.

    KC was missing both starting Tackles, and Mahomes was hobbled. The previous week they gave up 26 to GB, and should have lost that game. The playoff game before that they gave up 20 to the Saints, and anyone who watched that game witnessed future HOFer Brees have the worst game of his career. He had some open WR's, he just couldnt get the ball there with his bad shoulder. The opening game of the playoffs was against WFT, where TB gave up 23 points to an inept offense playing with their 3rd staring QB.

    In the last 3 weeks of the season, Atl put up 27 points on them twice. Matter of fact, for the season including playoffs (20 games total) they had 4 dominating performances on D. But all everyone wants to talk about is the SB because everyone watched it and we all have recency bias. 

    I'm not saying that Dallas will walk into TB and win, but if Dak and their RT Collins are healthy they will put up at least 27 points on them. We won't know the full health of Daks shoulder until the game starts. I think it was a good sign for the Boys that they didn't trade for Minschew. Had they made such a move for a borderline starting caliber QB, it would raise concerns for me as to Dak's health.

    Lastly, the Cowboys defense will get better as the season progresses, but there might be some growing pains early on. I love what they did in FA as well as the draft.

    Signing Neal, a former Falcon safety, to play LBer will instantly correct all the assignment mistakes that group had last year. Then getting Malik Hooker, who was a stud for the Colts before the injuries, was a tremendous pickup if he is healthy. He was one of the best safeties in football before injuries took their toll. He is still young. Lastly, they signed Hooker, who will start at one of the safety spots, and he is an immediate upgrade over the trash that played that position last year. LBer Micah Parson will be the only rookie who starts for Dallas in week 1. All I can say is watch this kid play. I'm sure the cameras will be focused on him. This kid is special. The Boys still have an issue with their interior D line. Hopefully Urban can make a difference.

     

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Thursday night tilt. America's Team vs the Lombardi hoisting TB Bucs and the GOAT.

    TB favored by 7.5.

    For starters, I don't always bet on Dallas, but I never bet against them. Also, it is very rare that I lay a TD or more in an NFL game, so this is a play on the Boys or just sit back and watch the game.

    The entire world seems to know that the SB champs have returned all 22 starters. We all suffer from recency bias, and we all seen what TB's D did to the mighty Chiefs in the SB. I'm not fooled into thinking this group is as dominant as the talking heads would have you believe.

    KC was missing both starting Tackles, and Mahomes was hobbled. The previous week they gave up 26 to GB, and should have lost that game. The playoff game before that they gave up 20 to the Saints, and anyone who watched that game witnessed future HOFer Brees have the worst game of his career. He had some open WR's, he just couldnt get the ball there with his bad shoulder. The opening game of the playoffs was against WFT, where TB gave up 23 points to an inept offense playing with their 3rd staring QB.

    In the last 3 weeks of the season, Atl put up 27 points on them twice. Matter of fact, for the season including playoffs (20 games total) they had 4 dominating performances on D. But all everyone wants to talk about is the SB because everyone watched it and we all have recency bias. 

    I'm not saying that Dallas will walk into TB and win, but if Dak and their RT Collins are healthy they will put up at least 27 points on them. We won't know the full health of Daks shoulder until the game starts. I think it was a good sign for the Boys that they didn't trade for Minschew. Had they made such a move for a borderline starting caliber QB, it would raise concerns for me as to Dak's health.

    Lastly, the Cowboys defense will get better as the season progresses, but there might be some growing pains early on. I love what they did in FA as well as the draft.

    Signing Neal, a former Falcon safety, to play LBer will instantly correct all the assignment mistakes that group had last year. Then getting Malik Hooker, who was a stud for the Colts before the injuries, was a tremendous pickup if he is healthy. He was one of the best safeties in football before injuries took their toll. He is still young. Lastly, they signed Hooker, who will start at one of the safety spots, and he is an immediate upgrade over the trash that played that position last year. LBer Micah Parson will be the only rookie who starts for Dallas in week 1. All I can say is watch this kid play. I'm sure the cameras will be focused on him. This kid is special. The Boys still have an issue with their interior D line. Hopefully Urban can make a difference.

     

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 9:18 AM ET #5

    The first MNF game features the Shrimp visiting the Raiduhs.

    Newsletter suggestion is to pound the team from Vegas an_cheers

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    The first MNF game features the Shrimp visiting the Raiduhs.

    Newsletter suggestion is to pound the team from Vegas an_cheers

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 9:32 AM ET #6

    Way to step up Hugh, and keep CD's name in his honor.

    peace_5

    One thing I heard that should help(otherwise I don't know squat).

    The Chargers faced the #1 sos in pass defense last year. This year they are projected to face the #32 sos in pass defense. 

    And I thought Justin Herbert was great as a rookie. 31 tds, 10 ints, 66.6% comp.

    He should be just swell this year. The Dolphins fucked up by drafting Tua.

    Someone tell me how the Bills don't win the AFC East? In their division they go against 2 rookie QB's(Jets, Pats), and Tua in his 2nd year who looked awful.

    As far as week 1, I know as much as Trainwreck66, except I don't like a single game.

    Good Luck fellaspeace_5

    Reply

    Way to step up Hugh, and keep CD's name in his honor.

    peace_5

    One thing I heard that should help(otherwise I don't know squat).

    The Chargers faced the #1 sos in pass defense last year. This year they are projected to face the #32 sos in pass defense. 

    And I thought Justin Herbert was great as a rookie. 31 tds, 10 ints, 66.6% comp.

    He should be just swell this year. The Dolphins fucked up by drafting Tua.

    Someone tell me how the Bills don't win the AFC East? In their division they go against 2 rookie QB's(Jets, Pats), and Tua in his 2nd year who looked awful.

    As far as week 1, I know as much as Trainwreck66, except I don't like a single game.

    Good Luck fellaspeace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 9:59 AM ET #7

    @undermysac

     That's a great stat! I like the Chargers this year, but that's a tough division so doubtful they make the playoffs.

    They had a solid draft getting LT Slater with the #13 overall was one of the best picks in the entire draft. That kid is a can't miss pro bowler, and protecting Herbert was their biggest concern. Large part of that problem has been solved. Still not sold on their back 7 on D, but if Herbert improves in year 2, the D might be able to give up 28 points a game and still win many of them.

    @trainwreck

    My most successful weeks tend to be the ones where I only like 1 game, but bet my standard 7 games anyway reallyhappy

    @Biscuit

    It's wise to tread lightly all season ... but that's simply not what a good degenerate does peace_5

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    @undermysac

     That's a great stat! I like the Chargers this year, but that's a tough division so doubtful they make the playoffs.

    They had a solid draft getting LT Slater with the #13 overall was one of the best picks in the entire draft. That kid is a can't miss pro bowler, and protecting Herbert was their biggest concern. Large part of that problem has been solved. Still not sold on their back 7 on D, but if Herbert improves in year 2, the D might be able to give up 28 points a game and still win many of them.

    @trainwreck

    My most successful weeks tend to be the ones where I only like 1 game, but bet my standard 7 games anyway reallyhappy

    @Biscuit

    It's wise to tread lightly all season ... but that's simply not what a good degenerate does peace_5

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 10:43 AM ET #8

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Dobbins loss hurts a lot.....but not sure Lamonica and the Raidduhs can keep up....

    Ravens D looked dominant in pre season....an_wink

    Reply

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Dobbins loss hurts a lot.....but not sure Lamonica and the Raidduhs can keep up....

    Ravens D looked dominant in pre season....an_wink

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 12:37 PM ET #9

    Cowboys RG Zack Martin ruled out for Thursday game due to Covid. This is huge

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Cowboys RG Zack Martin ruled out for Thursday game due to Covid. This is huge

     
    JEG53
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 2:16 PM ET #10

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     The Books must of knew which makes the line being over a TD easier to understand, was ready to take the points but now will just watch it until its boring.

    Reply

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     The Books must of knew which makes the line being over a TD easier to understand, was ready to take the points but now will just watch it until its boring.

     
    BWS77
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 3:17 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    Cowboys RG Zack Martin ruled out for Thursday game due to Covid. This is huge

     

    Just put another bank account on Under 9 wins.   an_wink

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    Cowboys RG Zack Martin ruled out for Thursday game due to Covid. This is huge

     

    Just put another bank account on Under 9 wins.   an_wink

     
    BWS77
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 3:23 PM ET #12

    Titans seem cheap.  Kyler might be playing baseball in 2 years

    Reply

    Titans seem cheap.  Kyler might be playing baseball in 2 years

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 6:24 PM ET #13

    Good lord, they put the Bears/Rams game on Sunday night.

    If I had to set a team total for the Bears, it'd be 10. And would probably still bet the under.

    reallyhappy

    Reply

    Good lord, they put the Bears/Rams game on Sunday night.

    If I had to set a team total for the Bears, it'd be 10. And would probably still bet the under.

    reallyhappy

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 6:55 PM ET #14

    All NFC East teams are dogs...rightfully so.  And already the Boys lose a starter they can't afford to lose. 

     

    Kudos Hughj for initiating this. Hats off. an_clap

    Reply

    All NFC East teams are dogs...rightfully so.  And already the Boys lose a starter they can't afford to lose. 

     

    Kudos Hughj for initiating this. Hats off. an_clap

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 7:02 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Way to step up Hugh, and keep CD's name in his honor. One thing I heard that should help(otherwise I don't know squat). The Chargers faced the #1 sos in pass defense last year. This year they are projected to face the #32 sos in pass defense.  And I thought Justin Herbert was great as a rookie. 31 tds, 10 ints, 66.6% comp. He should be just swell this year. The Dolphins fucked up by drafting Tua. Someone tell me how the Bills don't win the AFC East? In their division they go against 2 rookie QB's(Jets, Pats), and Tua in his 2nd year who looked awful. As far as week 1, I know as much as Trainwreck66, except I don't like a single game. Good Luck fellas
    He hate Tua...you are writing him off too soon.imo

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Way to step up Hugh, and keep CD's name in his honor. One thing I heard that should help(otherwise I don't know squat). The Chargers faced the #1 sos in pass defense last year. This year they are projected to face the #32 sos in pass defense.  And I thought Justin Herbert was great as a rookie. 31 tds, 10 ints, 66.6% comp. He should be just swell this year. The Dolphins fucked up by drafting Tua. Someone tell me how the Bills don't win the AFC East? In their division they go against 2 rookie QB's(Jets, Pats), and Tua in his 2nd year who looked awful. As far as week 1, I know as much as Trainwreck66, except I don't like a single game. Good Luck fellas
    He hate Tua...you are writing him off too soon.imo

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 5, 2021 - 7:34 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    The first MNF game features the Shrimp visiting the Raiduhs. Newsletter suggestion is to pound the team from Vegas
    CD would be proud of you, but not so fast. Balty stuffs the run, gets 2 picks, the win & cover. reallyhappy

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    The first MNF game features the Shrimp visiting the Raiduhs. Newsletter suggestion is to pound the team from Vegas
    CD would be proud of you, but not so fast. Balty stuffs the run, gets 2 picks, the win & cover. reallyhappy

     
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 8:02 AM ET #17

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.new_pleased

    Reply

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.new_pleased

     
    BWS77
    BWS77
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 35351
    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 8:44 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.

     

    He lives!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.

     

    He lives!

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Joined: Sep, 2002
    Posts: 22961
    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 8:52 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

    @Hugh_Jorgan  The Books must of knew which makes the line being over a TD easier to understand, was ready to take the points but now will just watch it until its boring.

    JEG, the books could not have known that the Cowboys best player (not the most valuable player, that is Dak) would get Covid 5 days before their first game. The line being 7.5 is a result of recency bias, and the media's fascination with TB. The fact that the line did not move when Dallas's best player, a future HOFer still in his prime, is ruled out makes no sense to me. Especially when you consider that Martin plays RG, and the starting RT is questionable this week. IMO there was tremendous value at +7.5. That value has been greatly diminished with the loss of Zack Martin.

    @ Biscuit ... I fully expect you and your BFF Bigred to be on the Shrimp this week peace_5

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

    @Hugh_Jorgan  The Books must of knew which makes the line being over a TD easier to understand, was ready to take the points but now will just watch it until its boring.

    JEG, the books could not have known that the Cowboys best player (not the most valuable player, that is Dak) would get Covid 5 days before their first game. The line being 7.5 is a result of recency bias, and the media's fascination with TB. The fact that the line did not move when Dallas's best player, a future HOFer still in his prime, is ruled out makes no sense to me. Especially when you consider that Martin plays RG, and the starting RT is questionable this week. IMO there was tremendous value at +7.5. That value has been greatly diminished with the loss of Zack Martin.

    @ Biscuit ... I fully expect you and your BFF Bigred to be on the Shrimp this week peace_5

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posts: 52417
    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 9:03 AM ET #20

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Lamar on a fast track, no cleats, should run for 144 yards and 2 td's by halftime. 

    peace_5

    Reply

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Lamar on a fast track, no cleats, should run for 144 yards and 2 td's by halftime. 

    peace_5

     
    trainwreck66
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 9:09 AM ET #21

    Im hearing Lamar playing barefoot peace_5

    Reply

    Im hearing Lamar playing barefoot peace_5

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 10:08 AM ET #22

    Raiders gave the Chiefs fits 2 times last year...

    Ravens back up runner Williams was impressive in pre season...

    Defense looks fierce..Jimmy Smith looks ready to go....reallyhappy

    Dont bet against them...Chiefs on deck is a concern....but its week #1,...

    He will actually wear purple water shoes....LoJack.....an_dance

     

    Reply

    Raiders gave the Chiefs fits 2 times last year...

    Ravens back up runner Williams was impressive in pre season...

    Defense looks fierce..Jimmy Smith looks ready to go....reallyhappy

    Dont bet against them...Chiefs on deck is a concern....but its week #1,...

    He will actually wear purple water shoes....LoJack.....an_dance

     

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 10:48 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    Im hearing Lamar playing barefoot

    surprised

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    Im hearing Lamar playing barefoot

    surprised

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posts: 22961
    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 10:53 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.

    Welcome home, you salty Overs betting dog, you peace_5

     

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    Still pondering on the Overs for Sunday's Games.

    Welcome home, you salty Overs betting dog, you peace_5

     

     
     
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 6, 2021 - 10:56 AM ET #25

    Lamar is so good he can score TD's just by looking at the end zone peace_5

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Lamar is so good he can score TD's just by looking at the end zone peace_5

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