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FIBA Women's World Cup

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Posted: #1
Hi all,

Wasn't sure where to post this topic, will be posting this under the "other pro basketball" section as well to see who is actually following this World Cup. Not sure too many people visit the WNBA forum when the season is over. 

So this is going to be a quick WC, starts 22 September, finishes 30th. Very quick and very strange. Its being played in the Canary Islands. WK is actually going there to watch it. Enjoy the live action. 

So the way this works is, we have 16 teams divided into 4 groups. Top 2 teams from each group goes to the next stage. 

Group A: Korea, Greece, Canada & France.
Group B: Australia, Turkey, Argentina & Nigeria
Group C: Japan, Puerto Rico , Belgium & Spain
Group D: USA, Latvia, Senegal & China.

USA obvious clear favs, their opening line vs Nigeria is -53.5 last time I checked. 
 
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Posted: #2
GROUP A Teams

Korea: Don't know many players from this country. Ji Su Park is a decent centre and the Korean's should do ok against Greece but will struggle vs Canada and France.

Greece: Another country I don't know many players, can't see them doing very well in this group against tough Canada and France.

Canada: Decent team, should finish 2nd if not 1st. They have Kia Nurse (Liberty), Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe (let go by Liberty), Nirra Fields (plays in Germany), Natalia Anchonwa (Fever), Jamie Scott (plays in Oz) and Ruth Hamblin (many teams in the WNBA). So its not a bad roster at all from the Canadians and think they can do some damage early on.

France: Olivia Epoupa - very energetic, the Westbrook of France. Needs to slow down sometimes, Endene Miyem (Lynx), Sandrine Gruda (Sparks), Valeriana Ayayi (Aces). This team is quite young, majority of players born after 1993. 
 
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GROUP B Teams

Australia: Good team on paper. Cambage is up for this WC. There has been a lot of praise on Ezi Magbegor and what she can do. Sami Whitcomb from Storm in the team. Plenty of WNBA experience from Jenna O'Hea, Steph Talbot (Mercury), Bec Allen (Liberty), Cayla George (Wings) and other players that play in the Aussie League. Would be surprised if Australia don't make the semi-finals at least.

Turkey: I don't know much about this team but a lot of their players play in the Turkish league which is one of the stronger Women's league in the world. Hollingsworth is actually on this tea for those who know her.

Argentina: One of the lowest ranked teams in this WC. I don't know much about this roster at all.

Nigeria: Evelyn Akhator from the Wings is in this team along with Adaoru Elonu who has played some European basketball. I don't see them doing too much in this WC
 
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Posted: #4
Group C Teams

Japan: Big news is that Tokashiki is out of the WC so they will struggle down low without her. Fujioka is the only other player I know and she may have to get this offense moving along if they are a chance to qualify for next stage.

Puerto Rico: Jazmon Gwathmey & Jennifer O'Neill are the only two players I recognise in this roster. Either way, can't see the getting past the group stage.

Belgium: Ok, so Meesseman missed the WNBA season to have a rest and to help her country qualify for this WC. She has done that. Now its her time to shine in a group which they should battle it out with Spain for top spot. They also have Ann Wauters, Mestagh sisters and a few other players that are a real threat and fun to watch. They do play defense as well which is good. They 

Spain: Team is stacked. Alba Torrens (best guard in Europe), Marta Xargay (never really thought she was a good player), Anna Cruz and Astou Ndour. Plenty of experience in this team who have played in big occasions. They definitely should finish in the top 4 overall.
 
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Posted: #5
Group D Teams

Latvia: Not too sure about the Latvians, average height is 6'0 and average age is 27 so thats decent with youth and experience. They should actually finish 2nd in this group IMHO.

USA: Big favs to win, they have gone with Loyd, Plum, Bird, Clarendon, Tuck, A'ja Wilson, Stewart, EDD, Taurasi, Nneka, Charles & Griner. This is an unstoppable team, unfortunately you will get ridiculous lines and always have the chance of a backdoor cover when the lines will be -40 or higher against weak teams. 

China: Another roster I don't know much about, they all seem to play in their domestic league which may help with team cohesion but they should struggle getting out of this group. Will be out of them or Latvia for 2nd spot. 
 
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Posted: #6
Country FIBA World Rankings

1. USA
2. Spain
3. France
4. Australia 
5. Canada
7. Turkey
10. China 
13. Japan
15. Argentina
16. Korea
17. Senegal
20. Greece
22. Puerto Rico
26. Latvia
28. Belgium
34. Nigeria

Very surprised to see Belgium so low on the FIBA rankings. They will be my darkhorse when I bet them this WC. I think they have a good team and we should get some high lines based on their ranking. Also, the Japanese PG has stated that she really wants a quick tempo and she wants to bring pace to this team, could be a good opportunity to take some overs if we get some low 120-130 totals. 

Starts tomorrow night, enjoy for those who are watching and betting. We are going to get a mixed up lines/totals because some books will just post lines that aren't the same as other books so shop around if you are planning to bet this WC. 

GL all 
 
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Posted: #7
Australia vs Nigeria: Over 144.5

Cannot see anyone stopping Cambage. If she plays big mins, she should score 30+ in this game. Australia also has plenty of good 3 point shooters in their team as well with Ebzery leading the way. Australia played quick ball at the Olympics 2 years ago and Brondello is the coach of the Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA who don't play much defense so I cant see the Aussies locking down on D tonight. Think we see a open, high scoring game with the Aussies scoring the majority of points.
 
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Posted: #8
This is a very poor basketball by Aussie so far.I saw them in friendly vs spain and latvia - horrible experiences.But over won propably, GL :)
 
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Posted: #9
vs France not Spain 
 
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Posted: #10

It was ugly basketball and very one dimensional. Basically just feeding Cambage and their shooting of 3s was very poor. Nigeria impressive on the boards. If they keep getting offensive boards they will cover large spreads 

 
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Posted: #11

Ok, so there was some ugly basketball yesterday.

Belgium were up 48-6 at half time vs Puerto Rico which is just insane given that this is a World Cup.

Canada easily beat the Greeks.

USA cruised to victory vs Senegal.

Spain too good for Japan.

Tonight looks like another long night for some countries. One line sticks out to me and that's purely because I don't think they deserve such a long line. Yes they destroyed the Greeks last night and the Koreans gave up after 1Q vs the French but I don't think the Canadians deserve a massive chalk line. Expect much better from the Koreans in this game.

  Canada vs South Korea: Korea +24.5

 
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Posted: #12

Now that was a nice cover by the Koreans. Their 3 point shooting kept them within the range of the spread.

One last play coming up for the night, going to do some shopping around for the total I am looking for. Is there anyone else capping/betting this World Cup? Feel free to chime in. Feels like I am talking to myself

 
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Posted: #13

 Senegal vs Latvia: Over 136.5

The Senegalese had a total of around 157.5 last night vs USA and that would have been mostly because of the Americans scoring points which they did but the total didn't quite get there but the pace was, Senegal took around 67 shots. The Latvians showed they can play at a fast pace, racking up 75 shots but only scoring 61? Now that's an anomaly if you ask me. I think we see a high scoring game with the Senegalese causing some issues and keeping this game rather close.

 
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Posted: #14

nice work bredren I was hoping for you but was starting to wonder

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by shugow:

nice work bredren I was hoping for you but was starting to wonder

Thank you Shugow, it was a nail biting finish and the fouls in the 3Q really helped with the over.

 
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Posted: #16

That will do me for tonight/today's action.

Tournament: 3-0

Do have a lean on the USA to really pound the Chinese, something like 105-64 or something silly but who knows. Won't get greedy

 
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Posted: #17
Ok so this is how the next stage is after Group Stage.

It is a strange set-up but this is according to the FIBA page.

You have to "qualify" for the quarter finals. Teams that win their Group get an extra 2 nights off and go straight to the quarters. Here is it. 

C2 vs D3
D2 vs C3
A2 vs B3
B2 vs A3

Then after that stage,
Winner of C2 vs D3 plays A1 (could be Canada or France)
Winner of D2 vs C3 plays B1 (should be Australia)
Winner of A2 vs B3 plays C1 (should be Spain)
Winner of B2 vs A3 plays D1 (will be USA)

Then the winners go onto the semi finals and then to the final and also there will be a 3rd/4th place game as well. 


 
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Posted: #18

Aussie, great start! Wish I had followed you yesterday. Took USA -51, thought they’d want to show everyone they were the king of the hill with that loaded roster. Just seemed to play through the motions though. Did follow you on Korea this morning, Thanks!

 
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Posted: #19
Just wanted to leave a quick thanks here for you AussieDownUnder
as I hopped on on all of your three plays.

However I am so far break even for the World Cup as I lost 5 straight quarter bets on team USA.
Luckily I switched on the over on todays game for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th q.
It is just unbelivable how a team stacked with stars like team USA didn't manage to cover even one quarter so far. They are in fact 0-8 so faor. I know that the lines are ridiciculous, but same goes for their roster.

Will definitely have my eyes on the game USA/Latvia and may take the over as team USA seems to be to lazy to play defense in the group stage (maybe even in the whole tournament?)
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by brew82:

Aussie, great start! Wish I had followed you yesterday. Took USA -51, thought they’d want to show everyone they were the king of the hill with that loaded roster. Just seemed to play through the motions though. Did follow you on Korea this morning, Thanks!

Good to see you Brew. I thought USA would want to show the world a thumping win vs China but that didn't happen either. Feel as though they are just coasting through knowing they will get the win but that's all they need.

 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by CantWinemAll:

Just wanted to leave a quick thanks here for you AussieDownUnder
as I hopped on on all of your three plays.

However I am so far break even for the World Cup as I lost 5 straight quarter bets on team USA.
Luckily I switched on the over on todays game for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th q.
It is just unbelivable how a team stacked with stars like team USA didn't manage to cover even one quarter so far. They are in fact 0-8 so faor. I know that the lines are ridiciculous, but same goes for their roster.

Will definitely have my eyes on the game USA/Latvia and may take the over as team USA seems to be to lazy to play defense in the group stage (maybe even in the whole tournament?)

WOW, 0-8 ATS in all 4Q's so far? That is just crazy mate. I didn't realise that at all. Maybe they are too cocky? They know they are the best team in the world and potentially don't want to get injured either because if they do, then their big dollar contracts in Europe might be cancelled due to injury. We all know they will win this thing, but I guess they just need to get the wins, not the covers.

Thanks for the kind words.

 
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Posted: #22

i wanted to ask, where is Serbia? how they didn't qualify?

btw, Korea/Canada with good odds tomorrow.

 
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Posted: #23
Korea/Canada odds also attracted me on first sight. Opening odds were even better.

Canada vs France seems to be a long term rivalry as they often faced each other @ major tournaments. Also this is a revenge game for Canada. Canada dominant so far and France struggling in their last match vs Greece. So too good to be true with Canada as a dog?

Korea vs Greece not sure which Greece team we will see as we saw already two different ones.
 
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Posted: #24
Here are the scenarios to advance...

https://www.fiba.basketball/womensbasketballworldcup/2018/news/permutations-all-to-play-for-on-exciting-last-day-of-group-phase

I've seen a lot of Group B and I like Australia and Nigeria to cover...also like Canada's team but I haven't seen France so who knows...
 
 
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Posted: #25
I think Nigeria Cover and USA  Cover this Game will by halftime over Latvia isn't China they score around 55-60.Korea with Greece under,Canada-France take dog ml
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