AFL rnd 6

the last 2 weeks there where a few off lines a week..however as is common the bookies have sharpened up a bit with a bunch of lines over 25..so staying away from pre game lines this week..ill maybe take game totals or jumper numbers ..and waiting for half time in every game

 

magies ess..line of 15 given with a team thats played flat the last 2 weeks which was always inevitable with there list its a bit thin n young...while ess have some major injuries mcveigh fletcher and lucas so could easily lose the game by 50 pts. then again they could win the game by 20 if they play there best on the day..an axample of why its best to wait for the 2nd half is if ess lead by say 25 at the half youll be able to get a line of say ess -10 for the game which ill gladly take..or if magies lead by say 40 at the half u might get +55 at the half to ess.

 

fremantle geelong..biggest line for freo at subiaco ever i think..cats playing like freaks while the dockers are all having shockers..dockers may be fired up and kick a few at the end then again cats may massacre them by 70 pts..

 

blues adelaide..blues in form..crows have top dee and experience..staying away as blues have the midfield and fev up front  n crows have nothing major up  in there forward line.

 

not gonna bother going through each game as its basically the same sort of thing for each a few reasons both the fav or underdog can cover the line so waiting for half time in all of them.

missing

ess:lucas mcveigh davey j johnson peverill

coll:burns

COLLINGWOOD
B: Heath Shaw, Shane Wakelin, Tyson Goldsack
HB: Nick Maxwell, Nathan Brown, Harry O’Brien
C: Scott Pendlebury, Dane Swan, Tarkyn Lockyer
HF: Alan Didak, Anthony Rocca, Paul Medhurst
F: Cameron Wood, Travis Cloke, Dale Thomas
Foll: Josh Fraser, Shane O’Bree, Leon Davis
I/C: Martin Clarke, Ben Johnson, Ryan Cook, Rhyce Shaw
EMG: Sharrod Wellingham, Chris Bryan, Shannon Cox

In: Maxwell, Cook
Out: Ben Reid (quad), Brodie Holland (ankle)

ESSENDON
B: Andrew Welsh, Mal Michael, Dustin Fletcher
HB: Bachar Houli, Patrick Ryder, Kyle Reimers
C: Angus Monfries, Jobe Watson, Ricky Dyson
HF: Henry Slattery, Adam McPhee, Andrew Lovett
F: Matthew Lloyd, David Hille, lovett murray
Foll: Jason Laycock, Jason Winderlich, Brent Stanton
I/C: Courtney Johns, Jay Nash, Tayte Pears, Adam Ramanauskas
EMG: Darcy Daniher, Nathan Lovett-Murray, Damien Peverill

100 1234 6.75

all combos covered in tip 8 and 9 this week about 400 worth of combos placed as it pays twice as much

live betting lines offered at qtr times( centrebet) so waiting till the end of the 3rd not half time to take something

lines 44.5 at half time..magies by 31..nothin good as magies are on top in this game ess witches hats for the last 10 mins of the qtr so can win by 50+..but ess are the sort of team that can kick a few in a row to cover the 44.5

26-6 win to st george easy 2nd half cover

cats have led from go to whoa 1234 qtrs the last 2 times at subiaco cats are more confident now while dockers are badly out of form..but it only pays 1.60.

 

cats won by 68 and 66 there last 2 trips to subiaco..the crowd will turn against the dockers if they trail by about 40.decisions desicisions.

 

Round 17 2007 Subiaco Oval
	Fremantle Dockers	Geelong
Scores	1-3-9, 4-5-29, 8-9-57, 10-12-72	6-4-40, 8-11-59, 12-18-90, 20-20-140

 

Round 12 2006 Subiaco Oval
	Fremantle Dockers	Geelong
Scores	3-6-24, 5-8-38, 5-13-43, 6-16-52	4-3-27, 12-6-78, 15-8-98, 18-10-118

 

 

FREMANTLE v GEELONG

FREMANTLE
B: Steven Dodd, Antoni Grover, Roger Hayden
HB: Ryan Crowley, Luke McPharlin, Michael Johnson
C: David Mundy, Rhys Palmer, Byron Schammer
HF: Des Headland, Ryan Murphy, Dean Solomon
F: Peter Bell, Matthew Pavlich, Jeff Farmer
Foll: Aaron Sandilands, Josh Carr, Shaun McManus
I/C: Marcus Drum, Daniel Gilmore, Clayton Hinkley, Garrick Ibbotson
EMG: Brock O’Brien, Robert Warnock, Scott Thornton

In: Headland, Murphy
Out: Scott Thornton, Matthew Carr

GEELONG
B: Tom Harley, Matthew Scarlett, Josh Hunt
HB: Darren Milburn, Harry Taylor, Corey Enright
C: Cameron Ling, Joel Selwood, Jimmy Bartel
HF: Steve Johnson, Cameron Mooney, Paul Chapman
F: James Kelly, Tom Hawkins, Mathew Stokes
Foll: Mark Blake, Gary Ablett, Joel Corey
I/C: Shane Mumford, Andrew Mackie, Ryan Gamble, David Wojcinski
EMG: Brent Prismall, Max Rooke, Trent West

In: Taylor, Gamble, Mumford
Out: Prismall, West, Rooke

fremantles last 6 games at subiaco:

87-73(160) wc

144-85(229melb

140-77(217) ess

124-97(221) wc

 

2 loses bolded

1 time it went under was against a out of form wc with no forward line

 

richmond scored at will against the dockers weak defence..so what will cats get..leaning to the over 201.5..but not sure what style the dockers will play this game

stuff that 1.77 now for the over..after going through what might be good gonna take cats 1st half -15.5..

59-29 lead to cats at subiaco rnd 17 2007..+30

59-30 lead to cats at skilled rnd 8 2007.....+29

78-38 lead to cats at subiaco rnd 12 2006..+40

 

richmond and hawks both led at the half by 10 pts + i think

 

180 cats -15.5 1st half..taking something else at half time

 

3486999

25/04/2008 20:02

Go to Whoa - Fremantle v Geelong (25/04/2008)

Geelong to lead at the end of each quarter

$120.00 @ 1.60

Accepted

 

took that as no matter what the score at half time i wont take the dockers.

24-7 after 1..

hoping the dockers can get a good half time lead and might take them at the half and that they win and secure a big payout in the tip 8s 9 and 12 ozbet picks i took as i have about 20 pending.

taking dockers at half time42-9 and theyre +1.5 at 365 so hopefully theyll keep the lead and be slight favs or getting pts

hopefully the line at sportsbook is +30 or more to freo 365 have dockers -6.5 and theyre up 38