Went 5-1, +11.2u myself today... Won my biggest stage winner bet with Cav for 3u while losing on my outsider with Galimzyanov for 0.5u.. Won 3u on Rojas over Feillu even though it was closer than I tought it would be, won 3.2u on Boasson as a +130 "dog" and 1.2u on Swift as a +120 dog with both beeing over a Petacchi who is totaly out of it (might fade him throughout the Tour). My last win was 1u on Greipel over Feillu...
IMO, tomorrows stage is the hardest one to predict so far... It's a small climb that should fit Gilbert at the end, but it might not be steep enough for him to drop the other riders (even Cav got a chance to make it up there at with the front group on a good day..).
Decent odds on Gilbert this time, but I think it's to open to see any value in it... I like the value on Hushovd, Rojas and Boasson more and I got a feeling that this might be Feillu's time to get a stage win after beeing close a couple of times now..
Went 5-1, +11.2u myself today... Won my biggest stage winner bet with Cav for 3u while losing on my outsider with Galimzyanov for 0.5u.. Won 3u on Rojas over Feillu even though it was closer than I tought it would be, won 3.2u on Boasson as a +130 "dog" and 1.2u on Swift as a +120 dog with both beeing over a Petacchi who is totaly out of it (might fade him throughout the Tour). My last win was 1u on Greipel over Feillu...
IMO, tomorrows stage is the hardest one to predict so far... It's a small climb that should fit Gilbert at the end, but it might not be steep enough for him to drop the other riders (even Cav got a chance to make it up there at with the front group on a good day..).
Decent odds on Gilbert this time, but I think it's to open to see any value in it... I like the value on Hushovd, Rojas and Boasson more and I got a feeling that this might be Feillu's time to get a stage win after beeing close a couple of times now..
great day lucky7th. i have no feeling on tomorrow as well. if gilbert hasn't been killing himself in every stage, i would like him. if i get good plus money against him, ill probably take it.
great day lucky7th. i have no feeling on tomorrow as well. if gilbert hasn't been killing himself in every stage, i would like him. if i get good plus money against him, ill probably take it.
Agree about the breakaway, a perfect stage for that with a lot of ups and downs.... Think I'll stay away from picking a stage winner and only play h2h's for this one...
Sims: good point about Gilbert using energy on every stage... Boasson showing some life today, but timed it bad, something he said himself. In the same interview he also said that his leg feelt great and that he's excited for this stage -- Boasson is +130 vs Gilbert, also this should it Rojas well who is +120 vs Gilbert.
Uran -192 over Voeckler 2* Uran had a solid stage 4 that is close to this one where he finished 4th while Voeckler got to feel todays effort for tomorrows stage...
Uran +190 over Thomas IMO a closer matchup than the line shows and I belive Uran can follow up on his stg 4 effort...
Vino -106 over S. Sanchez: Could in reality go either way, but I dont see the GC contenders trying to win time here while Vino might try to get his stage win here again after ending 4th on stage 4...
Roche -167 over Ruijgh I don't see Roche droping lower than top 30 here and that's where Ruijgh have finished on both 1st and 4th stage. Simple as that...
Evans -154 over Klöden 3* Klöden will probably be in the top 15 or even top 10, but I think also this stage fit Evans well just like stage 1 and 4 (2nd and 1st..) This will probably be my POD...
This is what I like so far, but nothing locked inn as I want to see what you guys think about them first...
Agree about the breakaway, a perfect stage for that with a lot of ups and downs.... Think I'll stay away from picking a stage winner and only play h2h's for this one...
Sims: good point about Gilbert using energy on every stage... Boasson showing some life today, but timed it bad, something he said himself. In the same interview he also said that his leg feelt great and that he's excited for this stage -- Boasson is +130 vs Gilbert, also this should it Rojas well who is +120 vs Gilbert.
Uran -192 over Voeckler 2* Uran had a solid stage 4 that is close to this one where he finished 4th while Voeckler got to feel todays effort for tomorrows stage...
Uran +190 over Thomas IMO a closer matchup than the line shows and I belive Uran can follow up on his stg 4 effort...
Vino -106 over S. Sanchez: Could in reality go either way, but I dont see the GC contenders trying to win time here while Vino might try to get his stage win here again after ending 4th on stage 4...
Roche -167 over Ruijgh I don't see Roche droping lower than top 30 here and that's where Ruijgh have finished on both 1st and 4th stage. Simple as that...
Evans -154 over Klöden 3* Klöden will probably be in the top 15 or even top 10, but I think also this stage fit Evans well just like stage 1 and 4 (2nd and 1st..) This will probably be my POD...
This is what I like so far, but nothing locked inn as I want to see what you guys think about them first...
Hushovd got a good chance tomorrow as well, but I'm still a bit scared about that the stage 4 effort is still in his feets -- today he realy feelt it (he said it himself after the stage..), will he tomorrow??
Hushovd got a good chance tomorrow as well, but I'm still a bit scared about that the stage 4 effort is still in his feets -- today he realy feelt it (he said it himself after the stage..), will he tomorrow??
Found a good post that I agree with on a other site...
" The top finishers from stages 1,4, and some of 5 are the pool of contenders.
Maybe Thor will want the Jersey for another day? If he held on two days
ago, he can handle this, I think. For that reason I'm ruling out a
breakaway finish.
EBH impressed me with his acceleration today, Gilbert can always live up
to expectations, Feillu, Rojas, and a few I'm forgetting others should
not be ruled out. Evans and Vino types will probably be opportunistic on
these rolling courses.
I think Rojas will handle the strong attempts of the leaders to make a
small selection, pass a fading attacker in the last 100, and get the
good one that he's been close to.
"
Found a good post that I agree with on a other site...
" The top finishers from stages 1,4, and some of 5 are the pool of contenders.
Maybe Thor will want the Jersey for another day? If he held on two days
ago, he can handle this, I think. For that reason I'm ruling out a
breakaway finish.
EBH impressed me with his acceleration today, Gilbert can always live up
to expectations, Feillu, Rojas, and a few I'm forgetting others should
not be ruled out. Evans and Vino types will probably be opportunistic on
these rolling courses.
I think Rojas will handle the strong attempts of the leaders to make a
small selection, pass a fading attacker in the last 100, and get the
good one that he's been close to.
"
Found a good post that I agree with on a other site...
" The top finishers from stages 1,4, and some of 5 are the pool of contenders.
Maybe Thor will want the Jersey for another day? If he held on two days
ago, he can handle this, I think. For that reason I'm ruling out a
breakaway finish.
EBH impressed me with his acceleration today, Gilbert can always live up
to expectations, Feillu, Rojas, and a few I'm forgetting others should
not be ruled out. Evans and Vino types will probably be opportunistic on
these rolling courses.
I think Rojas will handle the strong attempts of the leaders to make a
small selection, pass a fading attacker in the last 100, and get the
good one that he's been close to.
"
I agree with that also... What site is that from mate?...
Quote Originally Posted by Lucky7th:
Found a good post that I agree with on a other site...
" The top finishers from stages 1,4, and some of 5 are the pool of contenders.
Maybe Thor will want the Jersey for another day? If he held on two days
ago, he can handle this, I think. For that reason I'm ruling out a
breakaway finish.
EBH impressed me with his acceleration today, Gilbert can always live up
to expectations, Feillu, Rojas, and a few I'm forgetting others should
not be ruled out. Evans and Vino types will probably be opportunistic on
these rolling courses.
I think Rojas will handle the strong attempts of the leaders to make a
small selection, pass a fading attacker in the last 100, and get the
good one that he's been close to.
"
I agree with that also... What site is that from mate?...
Ah ok yeah I go there a fair bit... Haven't had a look today but I will soon... They really seem to know what they're talking about over there... Very helpful...
Ah ok yeah I go there a fair bit... Haven't had a look today but I will soon... They really seem to know what they're talking about over there... Very helpful...
Yeah, some of them got to be following cycling as closely as I do with soccer -- I've seen some posts where they refeere to how riders did it on stages 2-3 years ago... Nice to have some help from people who follows it closely (im trying to watch "the big four Tours" and the biggest classics, but my work gets in the way so I don't get the chance to watch all of it. This week I have to record the stages and watch it when I get back from work..)
Yeah, some of them got to be following cycling as closely as I do with soccer -- I've seen some posts where they refeere to how riders did it on stages 2-3 years ago... Nice to have some help from people who follows it closely (im trying to watch "the big four Tours" and the biggest classics, but my work gets in the way so I don't get the chance to watch all of it. This week I have to record the stages and watch it when I get back from work..)
i wouldn't play against sammy sanchez on any course with signficant descents. and the problem with taking vino is if takes a run at it (which probably won't work), he will fade back to middle of pack.
i would also be careful playing against voeckler at that big juice. he has been known to attack in back to back days.
other than that...plays seem good.
lucky7th,
i wouldn't play against sammy sanchez on any course with signficant descents. and the problem with taking vino is if takes a run at it (which probably won't work), he will fade back to middle of pack.
i would also be careful playing against voeckler at that big juice. he has been known to attack in back to back days.
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