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2011 Tour

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

Gerrans is a decent outside shot, at least an each way prospect IMO. Came in 3rd at Amstel in April on a profile very similar to today.

But realistically Gilbert would have to fall off his bike not to win today.


too steep for gilbert imo when contador HAS to pick up some time.
 
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Posted: #27
Gonna play the roughie card tonight...

Stage 4 Winner...

Alexandre Vinokourov @ $26.00
Ryder Hesjedal @ $34.00
John Gadret @ $41.00
Matthew Goss @ $51.00
Simon Gerrans @ $51.00


GL Guys...
 
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Posted: #28
COME ON ANDY    PLEASE
 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by dragonrickjs:

COME ON ANDY    PLEASE

LAST LEG FOR 11000

 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

Stage 4:

Cadel over Gilbert  (+315) 3u  
Contador over A. Schleck & Cadel (+300) 3u  
Vino over S. Sanchez & Voeckler & F. Schleck (+305) 3u  


just need to win 1 of these to win money...2 wins huge money.

missed hitting all 3 by about 10mm.  still, an enormous payday for me.  in fact, the biggest payday ever for me on one sporting event.



Stage 4: 2-1 +15.60 units

 
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Posted: #31
2011 TOUR: +16.35 units

Stage 1: 2-2 +0.00 units

Stage 2: 4-3 +1.15 units

Stage 3: 1-1 -0.40 units

Stage 4: 2-1 +15.60 units

Futures:

Contador to win (-125) 4u

Horner to finish in top 3 (+1500) .5u

Horner to finish higher than Levi (+115) 2u

Cavendish to win Green Jersey (+125) 4u

Hesjedal over Mollema (-200) 2u

Radioshack over Leopard Trek (-215) 2u

Sammy Sanchez to finish in top 6 (-110) 2u
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:



too steep for gilbert imo when contador HAS to pick up some time.

was spot on that call, although i am SHOCKED that contador couldn't drop the field.  this is going to be a FANTASTIC tour imo.

btw - how in the HELL does Thor outclimb Andy Schleck and others?  that just screams doping...impossible imo.
 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

Stage 4:

Cadel over Gilbert  (+315) 3u

Contador over A. Schleck & Cadel (+300) 3u

Vino over S. Sanchez & Voeckler & F. Schleck (+305) 3u


just need to win 1 of these to win money...2 wins huge money.

Wow talk about needing the finish line another foot away and would have been 3-0 day, but looks like you did fine in your other plays

GL on stage 5 a day for the sprinters

 
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Posted: #34
killing it Sims.  Keep it up.  My book didn't have all those props unfortunately for me to tail
 
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Posted: #35
all I have are Odds to Win.  Contador is 19/20, Schleck 3/2, and Evans 3/2 right now.  What should I go with? I haven't been paying attention to the race, but is Contador still a good bet?
 
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Posted: #36
sorry Evans is 6/1
 
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Posted: #37
i wouldn't bet contador at 1/1 right now.  he should be plus money, but i still think he'll win it.
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by Boydy5:







 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

i wouldn't bet contador at 1/1 right now.  he should be plus money, but i still think he'll win it.



 
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Posted: #40
i will be all over cavendish tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #41
nice call! also had evans over gilbert. but only for a small amount.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

killing it Sims.  Keep it up.  My book didn't have all those props unfortunately for me to tail

you don't have a 5dimes account yet?

let me know if you want to set one up.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:


was spot on that call, although i am SHOCKED that contador couldn't drop the field.  this is going to be a FANTASTIC tour imo.

btw - how in the HELL does Thor outclimb Andy Schleck and others?  that just screams doping...impossible imo.


Bad position for contador... All he has done now is used a fuck load of energy for a 2nd place finish with no time gain and given cadel extra confidence... Hahaha did ya see cont claiming the win going over the line?... What a knob...

Thor is a strong guy... I always expected him to go alright there... Plus ya got to remember man that he was riding to keep yellow... He said so before the stage... I def dont think he is doping...

Anyway congrats man you went well tonight... I had a small play on cadel but only at $6 so not really a big win but keeps me even with still plenty of cash in hand (Gotta love MLB parlays haha)...





 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

i will be all over cavendish tomorrow.


He's too short man... Unless of course you're gonna play matchups then there may be some value somewhere...


 
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Posted: #45
Great calls sims

Honestly didn't think Contador would try anything in that stage. To me that move he made reaked of desperation, all he did was expend energy for no real reason.



 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:


was spot on that call, although i am SHOCKED that contador couldn't drop the field.  this is going to be a FANTASTIC tour imo.

btw - how in the HELL does Thor outclimb Andy Schleck and others?  that just screams doping...impossible imo.


1. That might tell us that Contador don't have the same legs that he usualy have and that the Giro took a lot of engery...

2. Thor have trained on climbing the last 2-3 years and get better at it each season, but he's not as strong sprinter anymore compared to what he was when he won the green jearsey...
Thore beating Andy might say more about Andy than anything, but I was impressed myself by what Hushovd did today....

Hit Evans to win on this stage, but would been nicer if my Contador to win bet hit intead :/
 
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Posted: #47
Like Cav myself tomorrow, but I realy like the Garmin train right now with Hushovd and Dean pulling Farrar up. But then again, Hushovd said he used all the energy he had on stage 4 so he might not be able to help Farrar on this one...

Either Farrar or Cav to win this one, but the technical finish fits Cav as well as stage 1 did to Gilbert....

In H2H I realy like Rojas over Felliu with Felliu getting a flat tire twice in the final 20 or so km and had to get back over 1 min on the peleton...
Also like Rojas over Galimzyanov and Greipel over Feillu and Galimzyanov + Swift over Boonen...
 
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Posted: #48
all great thoughts guys.  lines not out yet on 5dimes.  i don't think they are supposed to be letting us parlay these matchup props.  i have been getting crazy odds.

i will be all over cavendish...whatever they offer.
 
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Posted: #49
interested to see lines on contador to win the tour now.  if it's +150 or so, i'll be eating that up. 

buy low, sell high, right?  he's still the best in the world.  and i don't think anyone can climb for 3 weeks with him...and then top it off with a great time trial.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Stage 5:

Cavendish over Farrar (-170) 5u

Rojas over Feillu (-135) 2u
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