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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    The Lippsman Split

    «First Previous 123 ... 151617 Next Last»
    Gainsford
    MrBags7
    Bosshogg99
    dyamarik
    Ramanujan
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 24435
    Posts: 409
    «First Previous 123 ... 151617 Next Last»
     
    Gainsford
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 9:11 AM ET #351

    Think I might give it a run here, based on team parity this season.

    clovercloverpeace_5cloverclover

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    Think I might give it a run here, based on team parity this season.

    clovercloverpeace_5cloverclover

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 12:13 PM ET #352

    So is it 

    Sens

    Flyers

    I have Wild at even money so that would NOT qualify?

     

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    So is it 

    Sens

    Flyers

    I have Wild at even money so that would NOT qualify?

     

     
    MrBags7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 12:14 PM ET #353

    THE PLAYS
    ---------
    1. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM
    2. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM
    3. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)
    4. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)

    THE PASSES
    ----------
    Ottawa — Dobson (1st pair D) out
    Minnesota — Line too short (+100)
    LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for season
    Montreal — Dobson + Laine both out

    an_violin

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    THE PLAYS
    ---------
    1. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM
    2. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM
    3. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)
    4. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)

    THE PASSES
    ----------
    Ottawa — Dobson (1st pair D) out
    Minnesota — Line too short (+100)
    LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for season
    Montreal — Dobson + Laine both out

    an_violin

     
    Bosshogg99
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 12:37 PM ET #354

    @MrBags7

     Sens don’t have a top pairing guy out. Jensen was sometimes a top 4 but has been out for more than a month. 

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    @MrBags7

     Sens don’t have a top pairing guy out. Jensen was sometimes a top 4 but has been out for more than a month. 

     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 1:07 PM ET #355

    Ottawa is a play - assume you meant Jensen not Dobson but he is not top 2 D.  They split Sandersen and Chabot up but that's their top 2 D.peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    Ottawa is a play - assume you meant Jensen not Dobson but he is not top 2 D.  They split Sandersen and Chabot up but that's their top 2 D.peace_5

     
    MrBags7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 1:25 PM ET #356

    yup that’s my bad. ty fella. UPDATED

    THE PLAYS
    ---------

    1. Senators +123 — Today 3:10 PM
    2. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM
    3. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM
    4. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)
    5. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)

     

    THE PASSES
    ----------
    Minnesota — Line too short (+100)
    LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for season
    Montreal — Dobson + Laine both out

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    yup that’s my bad. ty fella. UPDATED

    THE PLAYS
    ---------

    1. Senators +123 — Today 3:10 PM
    2. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM
    3. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM
    4. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)
    5. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)

     

    THE PASSES
    ----------
    Minnesota — Line too short (+100)
    LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for season
    Montreal — Dobson + Laine both out

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 2:22 PM ET #357

    I’ll hit the Sens +133 and the Flyers +125 for a unit each!
    GL everyone!

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    I’ll hit the Sens +133 and the Flyers +125 for a unit each!
    GL everyone!

     
    Bosshogg99
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 2:40 PM ET #358

    GL fellas let’s get it!

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    GL fellas let’s get it!

     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2026 - 2:58 PM ET #359

    1/2u each for me peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    1/2u each for me peace_5

     
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 3:03 AM ET #360

    Was lucky enough to miss the early game so 1 for 1 on the cheese steaks

     

    Any reason to think we shouldn’t apply this to the NBA too?

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    Was lucky enough to miss the early game so 1 for 1 on the cheese steaks

     

    Any reason to think we shouldn’t apply this to the NBA too?

     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:11 AM ET #361

    Hey guys first of all my respects to Mr Lippmann and any of his family and good friends in here.. because of his great work  and integrity I hit classic examples of this like JS Giguerre and the Ducks vs the might Red Wings plus 250, the joke over hyped Sedin sisters vs my LA Kings in 2012 where they not only won game one plus 250 they swept those clowns to the Cup!

    Yesterday I personally took all 3 and made $$$ .. don’t see why the Wild wasn’t a play and don’t they all look good today? Here’s to the best nicest cappers in sports!

     

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    Hey guys first of all my respects to Mr Lippmann and any of his family and good friends in here.. because of his great work  and integrity I hit classic examples of this like JS Giguerre and the Ducks vs the might Red Wings plus 250, the joke over hyped Sedin sisters vs my LA Kings in 2012 where they not only won game one plus 250 they swept those clowns to the Cup!

    Yesterday I personally took all 3 and made $$$ .. don’t see why the Wild wasn’t a play and don’t they all look good today? Here’s to the best nicest cappers in sports!

     

     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:14 AM ET #362

    Actually sorry you’re right about Montreal but My Kings aren’t starting driven, I’ll play em. They’re so happy not to see Edmonton 

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    Actually sorry you’re right about Montreal but My Kings aren’t starting driven, I’ll play em. They’re so happy not to see Edmonton 

     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:23 AM ET #363

    *Star driven 

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    *Star driven 

     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:27 AM ET #364

    @Hoyasaxa

     I think Lipps system was predicated on likely hitting less than 50% game 1 wins, pushes, and double losses so he chose +120 as a chinning bar for built in margin when a Fave or 2 wins 1st 2 games.

    I agree with you and i just play all the dogs rd 1 unless it's truly a pick'em. an_cheers

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    @Hoyasaxa

     I think Lipps system was predicated on likely hitting less than 50% game 1 wins, pushes, and double losses so he chose +120 as a chinning bar for built in margin when a Fave or 2 wins 1st 2 games.

    I agree with you and i just play all the dogs rd 1 unless it's truly a pick'em. an_cheers

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:37 AM ET #365

    Is it Bruins and Mammoth today??

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    Is it Bruins and Mammoth today??

     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 10:50 AM ET #366

    @dyamarik

     Well road teams  overall hit like 49% or you have to play 50 series for a favorite to have an edge in 7 games .. I’ve seen  Stars blow plenty home games..and the Wild always show up on the road.. the Kings have too in Edmonton recently.. I remember 2014 vs Chicago it was road teams big game5,6,7

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    @dyamarik

     Well road teams  overall hit like 49% or you have to play 50 series for a favorite to have an edge in 7 games .. I’ve seen  Stars blow plenty home games..and the Wild always show up on the road.. the Kings have too in Edmonton recently.. I remember 2014 vs Chicago it was road teams big game5,6,7

     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 11:59 AM ET #367

    @Gainsford

     thumbs_up

    Im on both for 1/2u each peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    @Gainsford

     thumbs_up

    Im on both for 1/2u each peace_5

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 1:11 PM ET #368

    Splitsman (all plays 1 Unit)

    Previous 1-1 +.24

    B’s +143

    MAM +132

    GLTA

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    Splitsman (all plays 1 Unit)

    Previous 1-1 +.24

    B’s +143

    MAM +132

    GLTA

     
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2026 - 9:54 PM ET #369

    Same for me

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    Same for me

     
    PUSSYGALORE333
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 12:41 AM ET #370

     Posted #356 by MrBags7    yup that’s my bad. ty fella. UPDATED THE PLAYS--------- 1. Senators +123 — Today 3:10 PM2. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM3. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM4. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)5. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)   THE PASSES----------Minnesota — Line too short (+100)LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for seasonMontreal — Dobson + Laine both out.....  peace_5  info

    goldfinger 1964
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     Posted #356 by MrBags7    yup that’s my bad. ty fella. UPDATED THE PLAYS--------- 1. Senators +123 — Today 3:10 PM2. Flyers +125 — Tonight 8 PM3. Bruins +135 — Tomorrow 7:30 PM4. Mammoth +125 — Tomorrow 10 PM (IF Kadri plays)5. Ducks +145 — Monday 10 PM (verify injuries)   THE PASSES----------Minnesota — Line too short (+100)LA Kings — Fiala (1st line LW) out for seasonMontreal — Dobson + Laine both out.....  peace_5  info

     
    dyamarik
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 5:15 PM ET #371

    Split is not faring well again this year.  1-3  down 1.75 unit through 7 Game 1's.  It only has success if you nail 30-40% of the Game 1's.  Last few years, Home Faves have been crushing it in Round 1 Game 1 (and game 2) and this year, barring a Quacks win Game 1, it will be a tough uphill battle to profit.

    If you ignore the rules and just play all dogs, Split is 3-4 for only -0.25 units on a 1 unit bet.

     

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
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    Split is not faring well again this year.  1-3  down 1.75 unit through 7 Game 1's.  It only has success if you nail 30-40% of the Game 1's.  Last few years, Home Faves have been crushing it in Round 1 Game 1 (and game 2) and this year, barring a Quacks win Game 1, it will be a tough uphill battle to profit.

    If you ignore the rules and just play all dogs, Split is 3-4 for only -0.25 units on a 1 unit bet.

     

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 5:38 PM ET #372

    Splitter (all plays 1 Unit)

    Previous 0-2 -2 Units 

    Split to date 1-3 -1.72 Units

    Sens +138

    Ducks +158

    May the Split be With You!

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    Splitter (all plays 1 Unit)

    Previous 0-2 -2 Units 

    Split to date 1-3 -1.72 Units

    Sens +138

    Ducks +158

    May the Split be With You!

     
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 6:15 PM ET #373

    You really have to trust the system. Don’t feel good about today’s plays at all

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    You really have to trust the system. Don’t feel good about today’s plays at all

     
    Gainsford
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 7:03 PM ET #374

    @Ramanujan

     Yes it’s an interesting situation…love me a system, but tough to find a winning one, unless you are a bookmaker.

    I’m not usually a huge playoff bettor so this is a fun way to keep engaged, and the dumpster fires are all extinguished in 2 games.

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
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    @Ramanujan

     Yes it’s an interesting situation…love me a system, but tough to find a winning one, unless you are a bookmaker.

    I’m not usually a huge playoff bettor so this is a fun way to keep engaged, and the dumpster fires are all extinguished in 2 games.

     
     
    Redlad
    Redlad
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    Joined: Aug, 2001
    Posts: 6822
    Posted: Apr. 20, 2026 - 7:23 PM ET #375

    While I agree with the concept, I think you also have to consider style of play. Some teams style will be more conducive to winning playoff hockey games than others IMO. Wide open styles generally do not fare well. Physical grinding teams seem to have a substantial edge. Just my opinion.

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    While I agree with the concept, I think you also have to consider style of play. Some teams style will be more conducive to winning playoff hockey games than others IMO. Wide open styles generally do not fare well. Physical grinding teams seem to have a substantial edge. Just my opinion.

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