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Why People Get Steamrolled in Sports Gambling

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Posts: 107
 
Veteran
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Posted: #101
Look at the past and you can see the future . Just  that eazy !
 
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Posted: #102
im not sure it works that way but what ppl do have to understand is that after a big/impresive win the line for that team is inflated (regardless of if they cover this inflated line).

now you add a team that had a poor performance and is gonna have a short line... if they play against each other then yeah the line will be bigger that it normally would be... soooo the "bad" team has a better chance of covering that spread
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:

In Fact, let's do this:

WEEK 8

Tafter12's system

1) fade teams that have scored many points in their last 3 games

2) fade teams that have given up the fewest points in their last 3 games

3) fade the team that's leading the NFL in win margin over their last two gams.

4) play good teams after a SU Loss

5) O/U regression.  ( it's too complicated to explain, but it's regression )

Thus, here are all the plays: for WEEK 8


BALT -13

DET -3.5

SD -4

STL +12

CLE +9.5 

JAC / HOU Over 40.5

MIN / CAR Under 47.5

WAS / Buff Under 46


 







 
Prospect
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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:



teams that turn the ball over 4 or more times in their previous game

teams on a two game win streak or more that less have a win margin of 10 or less total for their previous 2 games.

Can you look up NHL also?
 


There is no statstical significance with those two. They need to be tightened up.

NHL...I have no clue about that sport. sorry.

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #105

Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:

How about how teams do after they've had two consecutive Turnover Free games? 

How teams do after two TO-free games .........

Since 1989....... 

Overall: 172-153-4 ATS

Road dogs are 53-35-1 ATS (60%)

Since 2006 Road dogs are 20-6 ATS (77%)

Play on road dogs after two consecutive TO-free games.

 
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Posted: #106
Orange....

how do teams do after 1 game Turnover Free vs a team that won ATS?

how do these turnover free teams for 1 game do against teams that won their previous game by 20?


 
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by OrangeCrush07:

There is no statstical significance with those two. They need to be tightened up.

NHL...I have no clue about that sport. sorry.

 



How does a team do who's won 2 consecutive SU games, but lost both games ATS?



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