Why? Because KC is #1 in rank over the last 3 games in defense
STL +12
Why? Because NO is #1 in offense in the NFL over the last 3 game.Why? Because SF is #1 in the NFL in win margin over the last two games.
For these plays, I don't just use the last game's totals, I use a few different things. I noticed how effective Kalind was at picking totals, and I began to look at point totals, and I believe I've tapped into some strategies that he uses, but I don't know for sure. One thing I do know, is that I like the totals he posted last year, and they usually fit with what I do too.
JAC / HOU Over 40.5
MIN / CAR Under 47.5
WAS / Buff Under 46
You made some good points. But you have also taken a small sample size. 1 week of games
1 week of nfl games does not indicate a pattern or future predictabilty I think. On any given week you can extrapolate the stats and come up with some crazy shit, trends etc. but how relaible are they.
If you do this then you have become like the masses yourself, betting largely with your emotions based on what happened the previous week.
I would say what happened to those teams was more of an statistical anomoly (deviation) than a pattern or trend. I would not draw any conclusions from that other than a bunch of good teams did not cover the spread in week 7
STL +12
CLE +9.5MIN / CAR Under 47.5
WAS / Buff Under 46
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