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Why are so many people backing the Cards?

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Participants:

Posts: 144

LawsonJames

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 31214

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:52 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by swolesbee:

I'd actuall argue 3 bad spots in a row because after the OT win against miami they had to fly 1500 miles or whatever it was to play st louis in a thursday game... that was rough. I don't think they got lucky against miami really. They are awesome in those late game situations in close games. Last 2 years they have been incredible in those situations.

TB did the same thing, no?

hawgpix

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 1946

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:55 PM ET #52

Alex Smith is an avg QB in a good system...

benhogan76

Legend

Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 63837

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:55 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by swolesbee:

LOL at how misinformed that statement is. Skelton is better than Smith... He is undefeated in home starts...That means he has never lost lol.... Have you watched SF play at all this year??? They don't put much pressure on QB's at all. They want to keep everything in front of them and play coverage. They give teams the short stuff and rarely, rarely ever rush more than 4 and even more rarely blitz more than 5. The underneath stuff is always open. They are not a great pass rushing team AT ALL.They are good against the run but not AS GOOD as they are perceived to be. Offenses can move the ball against them. Don't get caught up in stats.

BOL luck tonight, saying Skeleton is better then Smith is like saying you would rather me punch you in the neck over kicking you in nuts.

We should stop eating bananas.

PhysEd35

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 120

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:56 PM ET #54

I see a slugfest tonight. See San Fran win but no cover

Professional1

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 41623

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:57 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by LawsonJames:

We will see tonight. After he has a good game people are going to then post that Arizona is just bad and he got lucky but he is still not good

I will bump this post after that happens

go ahead be my guest

PhysEd35

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 120

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 4:58 PM ET #56

Alex Smith good??

Doemaster

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 1657

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:04 PM ET #57

GL LJ

MustRisk2Win

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2009

Posts: 3407

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:07 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by Sjabo:

The answer to Ur question Lawson is that nowadays everyone looks at consensus sites and bets against it . I don't know when they will figure out that it won't work. Carry on fellas and good luck

A lot of us won on Denver last night, and that was the popular public play. People who disagree with taking the non-public team now are always quick to say that those who are against it (like Cardinals backers today) are stupid and only fading the public. I dont pay attention to where more money is, but I am guessing that my big wins yesterday (Giants and Denver) were both "public" plays, and that my Cardinals play tonight is not

MustRisk2Win

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2009

Posts: 3407

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:08 PM ET #59

Quote Originally Posted by LawsonJames:

We will see tonight. After he has a good game people are going to then post that Arizona is just bad and he got lucky but he is still not good

I will bump this post after that happens

Please also bump this post admitting you were wrong if Arizona covers

Which is no big deal, all gamblers are right sometimes wrong others

phat03

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 33714

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:09 PM ET #60

Quote Originally Posted by hawgpix:

Alex Smith is an avg QB in a good system...

I think that combo is good for 27 pts tonight...

NOLOCKS

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 229

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:09 PM ET #61

There's just no way in hell I can put my money on Skelton and AZ even laying a TD. I am actually surprised to see as many people on AZ as I do. I would take SF at 8-9 even.

haithuy

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 880

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:10 PM ET #62

Nice picks this week LJ....keep it up bud

LawsonJames

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 31214

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:12 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by MustRisk2Win:

Please also bump this post admitting you were wrong if Arizona covers

Which is no big deal, all gamblers are right sometimes wrong others

Most definitely

betshark101

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 1086

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:13 PM ET #64

Lawson- you sound a little cocky after your 9-1 week or whatever. great week but don't get trapped.. You already posted smith is a good QB we both know thats not true. He was shit without the new head coach.

Its a tough game to pick tonight IMO either way you go.

wwheee

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 32

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:20 PM ET #65

I agree...home dog, for a divisional game!

wwheee

LawsonJames

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 31214

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:22 PM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by betshark101:

Lawson- you sound a little cocky after your 9-1 week or whatever. great week but don't get trapped.. You already posted smith is a good QB we both know thats not true. He was shit without the new head coach.

Its a tough game to pick tonight IMO either way you go.

Not a tough game at all in my opinion (I already said Niners would win by double digits) but I appreciate you saying I sound cocky. Not just 1 good week also. I'm only trying to help others make money for them and their loved ones instead of giving it to the book by taking Arizona and Skelton.

After the Niners play hits I will refrain from posting my plays on this site and just post in other people's threads wishing them well and chop it up with the pbox homies.

ac_bum

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jun, 2011

Posts: 22968

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:24 PM ET #67

Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:

7 is a lot of points for a divisional game, on the road, with an inconsistent offense like the niners. A lot of people thought Skelton was the better QB in preseason. Hes finally getting his shot now. The Cards D can create turnovers. I for one, am not jumping to get in line to give 7 points. Just some random thoughts.

Stuck at home with a hurricane, and probably had too much to drink already. Talk me off the Cards, LJ.

are you back in new york or are you down here in baltimore

MoneyMike916

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 76

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:28 PM ET #68

Lawson is retiring after a 9-1 week?

mikesomoney

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 1859

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:30 PM ET #69

Keep posting please don't stop cause of haters. I find yours very helpful!

PhantomFlag

Rookie

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 941

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:31 PM ET #70

LJ you have my vote come November. I am SO CLOSE to putting a 5unit bomb on Niners because of your post. BUT me tailing Covers posts has about a 1-12 trend going itself. But if I tailed ME, I would cashout the nickel and just watch the game, but thats not gambling and going to happen. Love your take and no doubt I hit submit. Good luck.

edubb13

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 153

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:31 PM ET #71

Its a tough game to pick tonight IMO either way you go.

Before Harbaugh got there I dont even think alex smiths mom would say hes a good qb lol Before harbaugh alex smiths hands were too small to play qb.Remember that everyone.Did they all of a sudden grow a inch ummm no.Hes just put into a better system in which he still leaves you scratching your head sometimes on some decisions he makes.I wont touch this spread but I do believe it will be a game of more field goals than touchdowns.So ill take the under 38

brkatz1234

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 10

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:33 PM ET #72

First off, Denver was not public play, Saints were, Betting Drew Brees at +6 was very public, why do you think moneyline went from +240 to +180.

As for this game, I like 49ers -7. At first look the 49ers appear public square play, Smith being overated, but Arizona has lot injuries offense, running back, tight end, offensive line.Smith struggled against good defenses, Seattle, Giants, but these are teams that forced 49ers pass. Arizona's run defense horrible, Docket not 100%. Smith solid when Gore gets going, and if Rams run over Arizona I think SF.

ffbcrazed

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 43

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:37 PM ET #73

I'm new here Lawson, but I love your picks and hope you keep posting them. I don't see any attitude in any of your posts..screw the haters, and thank you for some of your insights, its greatly appreciated.

Foosball

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 66

Posted: Oct. 29, 2012 - 5:39 PM ET #74

I haven't been watching Arizona, but when I looked back into their history, how did they win against Seattle? And why did San Fran have such a hard time playing against them? 7 pts seem like arizona can keep up. LJ, how much do you like San Fran? I like that they have more weapons but espn said they seem to always do better at home. Scared of San fran's turnovers...