@undermysac
Agree, can’t trust the Packers and Stafford did totally break his thumb. Watched the replay a few times and it didn’t look good. He has broken his thumb before too, so not sure how the prior break will impact his recovery.
The Rams defense is bad, but the Packers offense sucks. Usually with that combo, the bad offense looks normal against the bad defense. But here GB is so incompetent it’s hard to predict.
Why are the Chargers favored by -3 vs the Jets. The game should be a pickem or Jets slightly favored at home.
Jets defense is nasty. Expecting a lot of Charger turnovers. Should be low scoring which also favors the Jets.
Don't let what the Chargers just did to the Bears fool you, that defense is a dumpster fire.
And finally the Jets offense struggled against the NYG who have quietly been playing like one of the best defenses in the league over the last few weeks.
I see the Jets putting up 20+ points in week 9 and don't think the Chargers can score that much.
@Pablo989
If you can trust Zach Wilson to light up the Chargers secondary, it's their weakness. But he isn't too good. He had a rough day vs the Giants.
It will be hard to run on the Chargers.
Line seems right, both teams sos are near even. But you could probably talk us into a play on the home dog I would think.
This.
The Packers are a complete mess. Just surprised to see them favored.
@Sidehatch
Biggest one to me that i bet immediately sunday night was Ten/Pit total over at only 36. Both of these secondaries can be beat and both QBs can throw the ball downfield now w Levis. It doesnt take much to get over 36 in the NFL.
Last week it was atlanta laying pts on the road to tennessee coming off the bye for me.
The only other one that popped out to me was arizona catching 7. My first instinct was that cleveland w pj walker should not be laying 7 but thinking about their defense maybe its justified so im staying away from that
@undermysac
That's where the turnovers come in to play. Jets managed 13 points off of the Giants without causing any turnovers.
I expect the Chargers to make at least a few mistakes with the ball... 2-3 turnovers is probably worth about 10 points.
As bad as Zach Wilson has been he is still capable of capitalizing off of a short field.
@puds
Im a bills homer. That being said, i think everyone is gonna be on the bungles this week since they smashed sf and the bills were soft as baby poo 3 weeks in a row, so id be a little worried about that.
The bills are also a team that plays up to or down to competition typically. Im not saying they win this game. In fact i dont think any result would be surprising to me. Bengals 31-14, Bills 31-14, 27-24 either way, 20-17 either way. I guess i would be surprised if either of these offenses failed to breach 13, that would be the only result that would surprise me.
I dont see any value in this game except maybe in the prop market
Should have one of these every week.
Here's one that no one will like.
Vikings +4.5
Circle the wagons type of play. As the whole world worries about the Vikings qb situation, I know that Desmond Ridder or Taylor Heineke shouldn't be laying 4.5 against anyone.
Game is in a dome, not bad travel, and Jaren Hall with a full week of practice could do just enough to get by. Trading deadline is tomorrow, maybe they pick someone up? Where does the line go then?
Don't look now, but the Vikings have a defense, the Falcons don't. Special teams are a wash, the Vikings have had a harder schedule. No one will be on the Vikings. I don't think it's that hard of a bet to make on the Vikings...
If you want to correlate a future at this time, take the Saints to win the NFC South at +140
Good thread Sidehatch, I agree....we should have something like this every week and see who's "gut" reigns supreme...lol.
I feel the lines have been pretty tight this season, and yeah, my Bears STINK.
People should also be updated on injuries and such, and how that would impact the current lines.
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