Good post, read the whole thing and agree with you 100%. This NFL season has been unlike any other. After weeks 1 & 2 I could see the favs covering by a large margin. I've done something that I've never done in the past, bet teasers (I know, suckers bet). For the past 3 weeks I've been taking 4, 3, 2-team teasers taking the favs and subtracting 6.5 from their spreads, every now and then I'll add to the underdogs. With the exceptionof the Philly -8 to Oakland and NYG +16.5 against NO I've hit all individual teasers (18). If you play a 4-team teaser you can add up to 13pts. Now that Vegas is overadjusting the lines I may be able to get Oak at +30.5 in a teaser, 30 pts in an NFL game, never thought I'd see that.
I'm not saying teasers are good bets. I'm just giving an example of how adjusting lines that are already set to low or to high increases your chances by alot. This past weekend I hit 2 4-team, 1 3-team, and 5 2-team teasers. Didn't lose 1 game I teased. Just something to think about!
I'll be taking this
NYG +6.5/Hou +3 (-120) 5U
0
Good post, read the whole thing and agree with you 100%. This NFL season has been unlike any other. After weeks 1 & 2 I could see the favs covering by a large margin. I've done something that I've never done in the past, bet teasers (I know, suckers bet). For the past 3 weeks I've been taking 4, 3, 2-team teasers taking the favs and subtracting 6.5 from their spreads, every now and then I'll add to the underdogs. With the exceptionof the Philly -8 to Oakland and NYG +16.5 against NO I've hit all individual teasers (18). If you play a 4-team teaser you can add up to 13pts. Now that Vegas is overadjusting the lines I may be able to get Oak at +30.5 in a teaser, 30 pts in an NFL game, never thought I'd see that.
I'm not saying teasers are good bets. I'm just giving an example of how adjusting lines that are already set to low or to high increases your chances by alot. This past weekend I hit 2 4-team, 1 3-team, and 5 2-team teasers. Didn't lose 1 game I teased. Just something to think about!
Good post, read the whole thing and agree with you 100%. This NFL season has been unlike any other. After weeks 1 & 2 I could see the favs covering by a large margin. I've done something that I've never done in the past, bet teasers (I know, suckers bet). For the past 3 weeks I've been taking 4, 3, 2-team teasers taking the favs and subtracting 6.5 from their spreads, every now and then I'll add to the underdogs. With the exceptionof the Philly -8 to Oakland and NYG +16.5 against NO I've hit all individual teasers (18). If you play a 4-team teaser you can add up to 13pts. Now that Vegas is overadjusting the lines I may be able to get Oak at +30.5 in a teaser, 30 pts in an NFL game, never thought I'd see that.
I'm not saying teasers are good bets. I'm just giving an example of how adjusting lines that are already set to low or to high increases your chances by alot. This past weekend I hit 2 4-team, 1 3-team, and 5 2-team teasers. Didn't lose 1 game I teased. Just something to think about!
I'll be taking this
NYG +6.5/Hou +3 (-120) 5U
I agree 100%. Ive had alot of sucess with teasers over the years, but I primarily stuck to the 2 team 7 point teasers. I truly don't think they are sucker bets if you play them right. If you put a ton of plays on the card, its a bookies dream. But if you keep it small, and contain it to strong plays they are a pretty solid investment. This year I have changed my approach, and i've been teasing down the strong favorites. Normally I tease the dogs, but there is just too much value getting a team like the colts -2 against the rams.
I think that if you play your strongest bets of the week strait, and then tease them as well, you will hit them much more than you will miss. If you can handicap, getting a 10 or 13 point buffer on 3-4 games, your sitting pretty good. I don't go nuts on them, but they are a nice little cushion. I've only had two losing days sofar this football season including the NCAA. Both of those days I got absolutely moosed on a few games, but since I teased them, i was able to keep the losses minimal on those days. Played one 6 team 7 point teaser this year, and nailed it for over 3-1 odds.
But the lack of paridy in the league makes these high point teasers almost foolproof. Dropping 1-2 units on one or two a week have been canceling out any games that I lose.
0
Quote Originally Posted by mpigpen16:
Good post, read the whole thing and agree with you 100%. This NFL season has been unlike any other. After weeks 1 & 2 I could see the favs covering by a large margin. I've done something that I've never done in the past, bet teasers (I know, suckers bet). For the past 3 weeks I've been taking 4, 3, 2-team teasers taking the favs and subtracting 6.5 from their spreads, every now and then I'll add to the underdogs. With the exceptionof the Philly -8 to Oakland and NYG +16.5 against NO I've hit all individual teasers (18). If you play a 4-team teaser you can add up to 13pts. Now that Vegas is overadjusting the lines I may be able to get Oak at +30.5 in a teaser, 30 pts in an NFL game, never thought I'd see that.
I'm not saying teasers are good bets. I'm just giving an example of how adjusting lines that are already set to low or to high increases your chances by alot. This past weekend I hit 2 4-team, 1 3-team, and 5 2-team teasers. Didn't lose 1 game I teased. Just something to think about!
I'll be taking this
NYG +6.5/Hou +3 (-120) 5U
I agree 100%. Ive had alot of sucess with teasers over the years, but I primarily stuck to the 2 team 7 point teasers. I truly don't think they are sucker bets if you play them right. If you put a ton of plays on the card, its a bookies dream. But if you keep it small, and contain it to strong plays they are a pretty solid investment. This year I have changed my approach, and i've been teasing down the strong favorites. Normally I tease the dogs, but there is just too much value getting a team like the colts -2 against the rams.
I think that if you play your strongest bets of the week strait, and then tease them as well, you will hit them much more than you will miss. If you can handicap, getting a 10 or 13 point buffer on 3-4 games, your sitting pretty good. I don't go nuts on them, but they are a nice little cushion. I've only had two losing days sofar this football season including the NCAA. Both of those days I got absolutely moosed on a few games, but since I teased them, i was able to keep the losses minimal on those days. Played one 6 team 7 point teaser this year, and nailed it for over 3-1 odds.
But the lack of paridy in the league makes these high point teasers almost foolproof. Dropping 1-2 units on one or two a week have been canceling out any games that I lose.
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